Happy birthday baba Iyabo

Remember ministerial appointment is a political appointment, so the minister are not devoid of party affiliation. Infact they are members of the ruling party except it is a government of national unity.

Big Shame on LASAA.
And they are collecting plenty millions and pulling down bill boards of proper advertisers

DejiYesufu:

I have opened this discuss in direct answer to the Gentleman(https://www.nairaland.com/nigeria/topic-612408.0.html) who gave 7 reasons the Buhari/Bakare ticket would not sail in the April elections. I do sincerely hope each will counter his points and leave enough for the BB ticket to take the day come May 2011.

This thread is no match to Papabrowne analysis of  7 reasons BB will not win april elections. Infact this added the eight Reason BB will not win

8. BB fans do not know how to campaign for them. Instead of pushing out what  BB will do when elected, they keep attacking GEJ as if that is the only thing  BB will give Nigerians when elected :A  Jonathan free Nigeria. 

GEJ 2011

Before BB finish their zone to zone campaign, GEJ will be in his second round  state to state campaign, to further  motivate his supporters and quash out all the unrealistic promises BB must have made.

And It will be too late for BB to  be able to convince the electorate otherwise, because they wont even be able to cover the 36 states for their first round visit, talk less of going for second round.

GEJ carry go.

Tinubu can never be like Awolowo

Gbawe:

You now mention Tinubu everyday . Why ?

Because Tinubu is a very dirty politician and he keeps attacking GEJ as if he has something better to offer.

johnie:

George and Tinubu, abi?

^^The difference is that, one is retired and one is still serving.

I believe Tinubu is still in active service as a thief.

Quote Justcash: Re: What GEJ has Achieved in 9months

1. He has ensured an independent and powerful Judiciary that is not influenced for any reason.
2. He has made genuine and visible efforts towards raising the power sector from it's dead state.
3. He has ensured that petrol products are sufficiently available to avoid the pain of long queues in fuel stations.
4. He has made genuine efforts towards tackling security issues (Aba Kidnapping saga, Abuja bomb blast, Jos Killings etc)
5. He has created a better representation for Nigeria in the international community, thereby restored abit of Nigeria's diplomatic prestige.
6. He is the closest leader Nigeria have ever had to the masses. He makes efforts to visit Disaster areas, and makes efforts to counter such disasters (Lagos/Ogun floods, The lead poisoning issue in zamfara etc)
7. He is the first Nigerian leader that ensures that Nigerians are rescued from troubled countries.
8. Within his time, the economy, in terms of GDP, have been performing very well.
9. He has made a genuine effort to counter the educational issues being encountered by Nigerian students, by establishing new universities, appointing Nigerian academicians from developed countries, and making the biggest allocation in the budget to education.
10. He saved the banking sector from total collapse through the mop up embarked on with Amcon which was established by GEJ
11. He has recorded some milestones in the aviation sector, with the certification of Nigeria as being airworthy by notable international aviation bodies.
12. GEJ has maintained relative peace in Niger-delta and the production capacity of Nigeria has risen to over two million barrels per-day.
13. GEJ was the first Nigerian leader to ever fight against the disqualification of a fierce opponent (Atiku during the primaries), even when the said opponent was really guilty of the reason that warranted his disqualification (Not following due process to get back into PDP).
14. Under GEJ, Electricity supply hit almost a commendable 4,000 MW (3,800MW) due to intense investments in the power sector.
15. Under GEJ, there is a roadmap for power.
16: Under GEJ, the FOI bill came into place (Was not fought against)
17. Under GEJ, minimum wage has reached a record 18,000 Naira.
18. Under GEJ, opposing Politicians e.g. Fashola and Obi have all enjoyed full government support and presence.
19. Under GEJ, Citizen's voices were heard through social media (Facebook) and their proposals were attended to (Case of the embassy in America).
20. Under GEJ, Niger-deltans are seeing genuine plans made towards giving them the benefits of the oil gotten from their lands.
21. Under GEJ, A provision was specifically made for Job creation in the national budget.
22. Under GEJ, the Lagos seaport was further dredged, and the biggest cargo ship ever to sail to Nigeria anchored in Lagos state this year.
23. Under GEJ, Nigeria's soccer woes (I love soccer   ) were properly looked into, for the sake of the happiness of Nigerians (Majority are soccer fans)

I can dig out more. All these were done in 9 months. That is why APGA, my party endorsed him. The guy has delivered some unimaginable dividends.

If BB can guarantee half of these Achievement by 2012, I will consider decamping.

Am talking about writing manifestos and promises, cos it is easier making noise from the outside.

^^^^The reality is that majority of those that needed to decamp to BB camp have since done that.

Now is time for others to decamp from all other political affiliations to GEJ camp, cos GEJ is really sweeping the entire nation with his campaigns

Always a GEJ suppoter!

Timbi:

@papa brown,in as much as i like your write up,i draw a conclusion that you are the biggest fool on NL.What makes u think that all voters from the north west are almajirai  ? perhaps you have a shallow knowledge about the states in the region.

^^ haba why the insult? He only gave an illustration and from his write up, you can actually see that he an intelligent person.
He  surely knows that all voters from north west are not  Almajiris. So you dont need to bring insults here, instead bring your countering analysis.

KnowAll:


Structures can't for nothing when the man in the villages and towns know the reason why there is no food on their tables is because of the corrupt LG Chairman appointed by an even more corrupt and evil Governor. .

Then how will the people in these villages know the right alternative?

If there are no structures to inform the the electorate of a better deal, then they surely stick to the one they know.
As the saying goes, the Devil you know is better than the angel you dont know.

Secondly GEJ doesnt just rely on party chairmen and Governors who are looking for second term or more, for his campaigns.

He has his own campaign team deep in the grassroots that are independent. Thats how real politics is done in Nigeria,not in pages of papers and internet

Structures are needed and GEJ has it. So he carries the day.

KnowAll:





Now let us take a LOOK at Team Hurricane BB, It is a phenomenon[b],  it is Obamamistic[/b], I would urge those of our SE Brothers who are currently sitting on the fence angry,  perplexed and embarrassed as to why they should toe the elders line to vote for Jonathan,  is it because of the shared history of once being from the old Eastern Region ?  ,

Obamamistic indeed! lol

Obama had campaign structures everywhere o, and he went to the grassroots. hmmm
Obama also spent over 600million dollars for his campaign oo and he involved the rich billionaires

If I am right then it is Hurricane GEJ/Sambo that is Obamamistic  lol

tolu001:

Under normal circumstances of a free and fair election, BB ticket will definitely secure a landslide victory over the Jonathan/Sambo going by the present political calculations and number of registered voters from each state.

If votes would be allowed to count, then you can surely throw the so-called power of incumbency into the dustbin, cos GEJ will loose gallantly.

People keep saying under normal circumstances of free and fair election BB will win. How is that possible with this analysis?

If they refuse to their home work well, they will surely loose. Its not about rigging or not rigging.

This analysis clearly shows that GEJ  is better planned than BB and he is working with time.

A free and fair election will surely bring GEJ back to power unless something changes, and I don't see anything changing.

ogunniyi2:

papabrowne! please you are on your own. just do what you think is right but you can not convince others to do what is wrong!!

How?

PapaBrowne:

Let me start by acknowledging the fact that the Bakare pick by Buhari, has improved Buhari's fortunes desperately. In many online polls I've come across of recent, Buhari/ Bakare's popularity has skyrocted sometimes surpassing that of Jonathan. What I observed however, is that the biggest loser is Ribadu. All his fans seemed to drift enmass to the Buhari/Bakare ticket. Jonathan's popularity remains good, just a little less than the early days.
Given the fact that Buhari controls the North West with 19 Million Voters and has a pretty Good Showing in the South West, you would think Victory should be certain for CPC.
However, I'm 1000% sure that after a free and fair election come May 29th Buhari would not be anywhere near Aso rock for the simple reasons stated below

1)They are not campaigning
We have just 5 weeks to the elections and I can't see any sign of Buhari campaigning anywhere in Nigeria . He hasn't visited any states in the south or middle belt. No rallies whatsoever. Does he think everybody reads newspapers or have internet connection?? Ruralites which constitute the real voters in Nigeria have never heard about CPC. How are they going to give him votes. How is the farmer in Isale Egan, Arochukwu or Gbaramatu going to vote a Buhari he has has never heard about? Jonathan on the other hand is travelling everywhere despite the fact that he has the required visibility already.

2)The CPC has very limited structures
CPC has no structures in many states across the country. In fact, they didn't even field Governorship candidates in many states. Elections are won by politicians and not on the pages of newspapers. People actually think PDP wins because they rig. Thats far from the truth. PDP winS elections because they built structures across the country. Every Okada Association, Taxi drivers Asscoc, Market women group, and every other group that controls large swaths of REAL voters are all on the payroll of the PDP. The CPC structures start and finish in the North West and some states in the North East. Structures in the South West are shared between PDP and ACN. Without these structures, there is no way CPC is winning even 10% of the votes in the South West.

3)Jonathan's Popularity
[/b]It is not very often you see a popular incumbent. Jonathan is very popular, not because of his performance but because of the nature of his ascension. Nigeria is a very religious country and many people have come to believe that Jonathan has been propped up by God to bring change to the country. There is the impression amongst so many I've spoken with, that God will use Jonathan to change Nigeria.
Buhari knows this so well, so he calculatedly brings in a Pastor as running mate to tilt the balance. Was it a good strategy,I think very much so! Will it improve his fortunes, sadly I don't think so as Bakare is known to have discredited all the crowd pulling ministers including Adeboye whose he seems to be courting desperately these days.

[b]4)Cash, Money and Finance
Seriously, in any election, Cask is King. Whether that Election is in America or Zimbabwe, Nigeria or New Zealand!! Obama raised $600million dollars to execute his election. Without that war-chest, he would have lost to McCain. Fact is, He bought that election legitimately!!
Nigeria is not an exception! Money rules! Donald Duke estimated that it would cost close to 20 Billion naira to execute a honest presidential election. And that's just for campaigning minus settlements. My opinion, 50 Billion wouldn' t even do. If Buhari can raise that money in 5 weeks, then trust me he stole it!!

The PDP can buy up all those almajiris in the North West with N1000 each and they would line up enmasse for Jonathan. 19 Million almajiris will cost the PDP only 19 Billion Naira= Now that's chicken change for a party that has controlled a the economy of a country with some of the world's finest oil wells.
On a serious note, where is Buhari going to get the money required to campaign across the nation in just 5 weeks.The man needs to advertise, billboards, posters, etc they all cost money !!

[b]5)Jonathan is relaxed
[/b]Jonathan is so relaxed. When a man is so relaxed, you can tell that he has very little to worry about. The Buhari ticket would have worried the Jonathan camp if they had teamed up with ACN. But as it is always with the opposition their selfish interests carried the day.
Before the PDP presidential Primaries, Jonathan was very uneasy until Babangida was out of the race. When Atiku was left in the race, Jonathan became relaxed because victory was now certain. Atiku was an easy case. Exactly the same is playing out with Buhari. Jonathan's relaxed mien suggests that Buhari's CPC is nothing but a paper tiger!!

[b]6)25% in 24 states
[/b]Buhari cannot win up to 25% in any of the South South or South East states. That takes 11 states out of the running, leaving him with 25 states to score at least 25% of the votes. Is that a possiblity? I doubt especially given the fact that in the south west, the votes will be split in three between Jonathan, Ribadu and Buhari. Also states like Plateau and Benue would hardly give Buhari 25%. It will be so hard for Buhari to score that 25% in 24 states. That automatically nullifies any numerical victory he wishes he might obtain.

[b]7)Time and Chance
[/b]One of the most fundamental principles in life is the Time and Chance principle. Somehow it just appears like this is Goodluck Jonathan's time. Despites many miscalculations on his part, his popularity just doesn't seem to want to go downhill. Whether we like him or not, it looks like he is here to stay at least till 2015.
Same way Obama came and upset the dreams of so many like McCain and Hilary Clinton, so also Jonathan has truncated the life long ambitions of the likes of Babangida, Atiku, Gusau and come April it looks like Buhari will be added to the list of those who have fallen under Jonathan's dream killing sword!!

Papabrowne thank you very much for a perfect analysis of the situation. You said all needed to be said

At times I wonder how people think. Theythink elections are won on Nairaland? They forget to reason that apart from some few states, people hardly get access to current news on even national dailies. They rely on local papers and network news to get their information. The bulk of the electorate are in the rural areas that have no access to internet.
For you to reachout to these people , you have to have a good campaign structure. PDP has an excellent campaign base all around the country.

I heard that Buhari said he wont collect more than 1million naira donation from an individual.  He is a big Joker.

Money is needed for campaign. The cost of Logistics alone runs into Billions.

Am not surprise he hasn't started going round states yet, maybe because there in no money.
He plans to visit only some few states he feels he has strong hold there.

Then how does he intend to win the elections?
Am still waiting to see how.

Maybe 2015,2019, 2023,,   as beaf said.

Till then, no room for him now

Knowall will be disgraced once more when it finally happens.

He will be quoted.

The real birds of the same feathers

presido1:

Did the FG ever condemn what is happening in Jos? I believe Libyan death toll is a child play compared to what we have in Jos.
Misplacement of priority in everything.

^^^ Useless post. How many times has FG condemned the killings in Jos?
How can u be comparing What Gadaffi is doing with with what is happening in Jos.
Killing his own people, Haba de!!

You are only here to condemn whatever moves GEJ does, without giving a thought whether it is right or wrong.

Thats a good and matured move from Mr President, wait and see other african countries will now follow

misterh:

Charity begins at home

^^^ In what sense?

Thats my President. He is not a coward. He knows when to speak.
UN have spoken, EU have spoken and AU is yet to speak. Are they afraid of that tyrant?

jabbok:

How did PDP obtain salami's call logs legally? Abeg which Network Salami dey use?

GEJ is desperate and leading Naija to d abatoir!

What's difficult in obtaining phone logs? If the call logs are wrong, let him him deny it before the courts

And what concerns GEJ with this one now. Go rest and rest jor

It is not because an election is overruled by a judge that makes the judge credible. I have said , some of this reversed rulings are greatly influenced by some corrupt politicians hiding in some political parties like ACN. It is widely believed that it is PDP that rigs election ,so any ruling against PDP is viewed as perfect. This is a wrong perception. Some parties even begin their rigging from Primaries,eg ACN and their imposition wahala.

Salami should be cross examined!!

greateros:

PDP will soon force Nigerians to take similar measures

In Tunisia, Egyt and Libya, there is constant power, water suppy, and basic amenities. the people lead a confortable life.

But in Nigeria, its like living in hell for majority of the mases.

PDP should not push us further to the wall cause the bounce back may be damn to hot for them to handle.

Free and fair election - or it will be a fight to finish between the mases and the government

^^Bros it cant happen. What concerns PDP with this one.
A strong and more credible opposition is what is needed to bring down PDP. But its a pity I haven't seen any yet.

So PDP will definitely carry the day, cos it is the only party with national representation

Remember obj literary begged Atiku for second term and after he succeeded, he showed Atiku that he is no match for him.

They will surely gather to scatter. GEJ 2011

End game. GEJ has won, no doubt about it.
Ngige!!! We still dey laugh o

jason123:

Just cash, MJB, etc

You guys are not serious. GEJ was referring to the NON-PDP members of the SW. There is a difference between forgiving him and trying to twist his word which insults our intelligence. The SW would probably still vote for him but he cannot say he was not referring to Fashola and co.

Ok, he was referering to the Non PDP members from the southwest that are Rascals. Is that clear now?

Ma_J_Blige:

I wonder why GEJ even bother.

If its OBJ - na dem go tire.

I tell u. Dem for tire and nothing go change.

Justcash:


You guys failed to realise that;
1. Nobody's name or party was mentioned.
2. PDP also gat governors in the South West.
3. The statement actually gave more prestige to the Southwest than insult.
4. Rascal was used by GEJ more like in a scenario, than in reality.
5. The rascals actually points more to the PDP governors than the ACN and Labour Party governors.

[b]Most people that reacted to GEJ's assertion are actually rascals, because their reactions gave a signal that his statement was meant for them. Fashola and Ribadu included. Though I like them, I am disappointed with them. They behaved like Primary school kids (Push me, I push you).[/b]

Well said my brother!

^^^^ Go to his facebook page.

Thank u Mr President.

People have gone far with their campaigns, while these ones are still clashing over choice of VP.