Kyase:

Let me ask you two questions
1: can Obi win as things stands rn?
2: Jonathan was president when my home town was scorched Anyii by the herdsmen
I remember when I came for holiday in Gboko finding our cousins at home, running away from herdsmen there, so my question now is, how would Obi do differently from what GEJ did

Yes, Obi has a path to winning the Presidency next year.

There is a reason virtually everyone or party that have dismissed him even some weeks ago, now see the election as a 3 horse race.

Nyamuri:
Lol northerners were slaughtered when he was governor

The confinement of El-Rufai, a fellow colleague!!

The insistent the northerners most have an ID card in anambra

The reading out in public the concocted and fabricated whatsapp text to achieve tribal sentiment

No northerner was asked to get an ID card when Obi was Governor. I repeat, that did not happen. This was just a propaganda to play the religious card against Obi in the Upper North. It did not happen. Obi himsself and the northern Muslim Commisioner of Police has confirmed this and challenged anybody with contrary evidence to present it. And i want to challangne you to prevent any such evidence if you have it here. Dont forget that i said i wanted to engage you in a decent conversation.

How does confining El Rufai to a hotel during an election tribal or religious bais!!! Like i dont just get it. El Rufai was restricted by the Police as a political interest just as other Govs and politician from different parties and regions of Nigeria in that election. How is it anti-religious? Is El rufai a Prophet of God? Plzz enlighten me.

As for the killings of northerners in Anambra. I dont have info on that. But northerners have unfortunately been killed in the south(including Anambra) just as southerners have been killed in the north. It is very unfortunate situation that we Nigerians are well aware of. But i dont see how that makes the state Govs tribal or religious bigots

Nyamuri:
There is nothing new, and NC won't be any decider in 2023! You guys keep talking as if it's today the northern Christians started voting against Muslim presidential candidate!! Christians in the north has never voted along with us, and we won't be needing it!!

We have always lost Benue, plateau and partially nasarawa state!! And nothing changed, just like how it won't change in 2023.. Christian votes have always been inconsequential and insignificant to over all interest of core north

Actually, the President that the Middle Belt and North Central voted for(a majority) has always won the Presidential elections since 1999. They have always determined the winner of the elections. For instance, it was when the NC/MB voted for Buhari, along with a majority of the SW, that Buhari won. Buhari had been a perpetual loser until then even with the vast majority of NE and NW votes since 2003.

In 2023, due to the peculiar nature

Nyamuri:
There is nothing good about PO, his a tribal and religious bigot! Support ur candidate because his from ur region but stop trying to shove him down our truth with this hogwash propaganda!!

The man has no achievements worthy of a presidential candidate whatsoever

I understand u might want to vote him because u feel it's the turn if SE, that's reasonable.. nut anything in terms of capabilities is a fallacy!

In what ways has Obi shown that he is a "tribal or religious bigot"?

Obi o, not his so called supporters.

I hope you and I have a decent conversation

Nyamuri:
But Christian-Christian ticket is all over the southern region, but u people don't have any issue with it, why now? That's hypocrisy

Bros, plzz answer the question.

Your HONEST answer

Nyamuri:
Kyase, my amidable worthy ally, I really appreciate ur acumen, wisdom and awareness as a norther Christian. It's very unfortunate that we depart henceforth by taking a different path

My question:
1-If the presidential candidate from the south is a Muslim, what's wrong if we the north insist on a Muslim since we are the majority? The south made their choice, why can't we make ours

2- the combination had nothing to do with religious factor, but how to gain votes.. you and I know there is no famous Christian northerner with political clout that can garner votes for Tinubu

3- both Tinubu and shettima are not known to discriminate along religion line, even soome pastor's attested to this.. why the fair

4- south kd, Benue, plateau and nasarawa Christians all voted for PDP.. so there is nothing Tinubu will lose from here

Bros, if the reverse was the case: you have a Christain-christain ticket and the possibility of Christains been President for at least 24 years straight, would you as a northern Muslim ever accept it regardless of any of the reasons given by a political party (ala, we want votes to win)?

I need only HONEST answers plzz

Well, well......

Interesting times.

I respect that you are making a decision based on what you believe in i.e you are standing for something. This is becoming rare in our political climate lately, unfortunately.

Just to say tho that this is the general sendiment in the Middle Belt currently. And would be a major decider in the 2023 elections

Plateau is about the most Obedient state in nigeria at this time.

And that is saying something

Good!!

Lolz

Aufbauh:
I was even surprise to see that Obi got 21% going by the online hype of zombidients. To me it's a poor online outing for Mr. Obi.

If Obi can't even mustered 50% and above of online sampling then I'm scared he can't even defeat kwankwaso on ground.

It was not an "online" poll.

It was a poll done by statisticians using Telephone and questionaires.

It shows one thing: the Obi "virus" is withspread.

However, if I am an Obi supporter, i will not put much mind to it. There is still lots of work to be done as indicated also by the large undecided votes particularly in the north

SmartPolician:
Peter Obi is popular online, but Atiku Abubukar is the favourite to win this election.

In fact, it will only take a miracle for Peter Obi or Bola Tinubu to win this election.

This was not an online pool, Sir

EndsarsReloaded:



Hahahaha, those with structure are now campaigning under the person without structure

No be juju be that

Lolz...

Buckeyemedia1:
I know, I am not surprised, it is encrypted, & will definitely not make any sense to 3rd eye blind bats like yourself.

Bros, how old are you?

By tbe way, who is a Bat?

I thought that is what you guys call yourselves??

Buckeyemedia1:
I pity 3rd eye blind children like you, same way we informed you infants in 2014 that it was over for Ebele Goodluck?

I have a very strong conviction that Peter Obi is been financed & promoted by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, & his political machinery, because it doesn’t make any sense why the Mumu will decide to weaken pdp for the benefit of APC.

What you just typed now, does it make any sense to you?

How old are you sef??

johnmartus:
And you think Tinubu campaign team see Pete obi as a threat to Tinubu ambition? This eboes people self.

No o, you dont see Obi as a threat but most of your threads and comments are on Obi.Even more than Tinubu

Be deceiving yourself there

Buckeyemedia1:
Bola Tinubu will win this election easily, because of the political misadventures of Peter Obi.

Mumu man.

Lolz.... win which election?

Beat your chest now and tell me where Tinubu will get block votes to win the election.

Even his SW is no longer sure for him sef (or at the very least, will be shared).

Win ko, win ni.....

Clear road there!!!

Bush Propadnada from one od f Tinubu's urchinn.

If there is one candidate in a descending trend in this election so far, it is actually Tinubu.

A billion propaganda will not erase reality looking us in the face, daily

Moh247:
Positive Campaign is very important and Ipob just seem not to get it

The OP did not mention any party or candidate either way.

He only warned about voting "incompetent" party or candidate.

So why are you pained?

Is it that you believe that your party is incompetent?

Na wa o

ArewaNorth:
He reason doesn't exist. Their delusional eyes go open after the election

Really?

He doesnt exist like this abi??


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jnnlLgk68w&feature=youtu.be

Michelle70:
Youtube video that could be edited and remove what does not favour u

Obi will not win the NC and whichever votes difference he got from that region will be cancelled by SW vote difference gotten by Atiku and Tinubu.

His strong hold is only SE
APC stronghold is NW
Atiku SH is NE

The rest regions could go either way.

From the look of things, the odd does not favour Obi

Ok....bye

Michelle70:
SS cannot be decided yet.

but nobody is winning it convincinly.
What we know is that Obi will loose the north convincinly and that is where 65% of the votes is coming from using 2019 as a case study

The Obi stronghold is just SE and lets give him SS as part of our benevolence. the total votes from this two region is just 20% of the total votes

so if he wins all 20% and take just 5% from the north. Atiku and Tinubu will still collect average of 37% from total votes

Obi will loss the north convincingly abi?

Does the "north" include the Middle Belt.

Una nova know werin dey happen abi?

Watch this poll of villagers in Plateau(a place that, according to you, Obi will loss convincingly

Enjoi


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jnnlLgk68w&feature=youtu.be

garfield1:


Oga,Kaduna south doesnt constitute 35%.they constitute 30%.they always vote pdp so as it stands,they will divide votes.thats all

By the way, talking about the "PDP voters" nonsense above.

Watch a poll of villagers from Plateau on their choice of Presidential candidate in 2023. These are the "PDP voters" that voted for Atiku i 2019 o. Many of you have not yet grasp what is happening in a lot of places yet and what will happen in 2023.

PS: This poll was taken after Obi overwhelming won in Jos and so people wanted the presenter to do same for the "dumb" villagers who will vote party (like those villagers no get sense).

Enjoi


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jnnlLgk68w&feature=youtu.be

garfield1:


Oga,Kaduna south doesnt constitute 35%.they constitute 30%.they always vote pdp so as it stands,they will divide votes.thats all

When you chaps mindlessly say this:" they are PDP or APC voters ", it bungles the mind.

Did you guys keep any special PDP or APC voters anywhere? Ok, the SE have always voted PDP. Are you saying they will leave Obi this time around and vote Atiku cos they are "PDP voters"?

I dont get.

Even here on Nairaland, most of the persons who supported Atiku in 2019 are now supporting Obi(they only just have more people from other sides also supporting Obi). Should they also be counted as "PDP voters" too?

Plus, the turnout in 2019 was 29% of registered voters(that is a majority of voters did not bother to vote). I hope you know that the turnout in the next elections will be way more than that. Are they also PDP or APC voters??

This is what is very likely going to happen next year:

Peter Obi will win SE and SS massively(he is actually the only one of the 4 that is almost certain of regional block votes next year: Delta and Bayelsa been the only states in the 2 regions he may get around 40%).

He will win Lagos(slightly) and get at least 25% in at least 4 of the SW states(Tinubu will very likey going to win the SW but not with block votes as 3 of the candidates are in play here).

Obi will win Benue and Plateau. And get at least 25% in Nasarawa, Taraba, Adamawa, Kaduna, FCT. Then Gombe, Kogi and Niger may also provide 25% if the present momentum continues.

Much of the NW and NE will be massively divided between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso, with Obi getting a distant 4th in both regions.

Obi will win the Majority of votes casted and if he gets 25% in at least 16 southern states(which is very likely), he only needs 25% in 8 states in the north(Kaduna, Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, FCT, Taraba- he needs 2 more and he is declared the winner)

kcnwaigbo:

I laughed my head off when LP was not awarded any % of votes in Taraba which I know for sure he will definitely win.He will also not secure less than 30% in Kaduna

Leave these guys alone.

We need to deh pity them sef.

It has not been easy been PDP or APC in the last 3 months

garfield1:


Datti is a nobody in Kaduna.obi won't get anything in Kaduna,do not be deceived by rallies of less than 10,000

It is not just about Datti.

Kaduna South will vote massively for Obi. That constitute about 35% of Kaduna. Amongst other reasons, the Gov candidate of Labour is the former President of SoKAPO. They also have a strong senatorial candidate there (this is for those of you always talking about "structures"

Then Kaduna North and Central will be spilt between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso. Obi will still even get some small votes from there.

Anybody discarding Obi from Kaduna is simply Deluded. And i cannot take that person serious.

Lolz.... gathering of Deluded Tinubu urchinns, giving themselves "hope". These few weeks have not been easy, really. It is understandable.

Anybody discounting Obi in Kaduna (a state he may actually slightly win) or even in Taraba, Gombe and Adamawa is not a serious person, and so should not be taken seriously.

Nuff said

fourboys:
God what is happening

A New Nigeria is happening....

kay1one:
There were 5 marches in Nigeria today for Peter Obi: Enugu, Akure, Otukpo, Jalingo and Oko Polytechnic.

Naira land has refused to move them (except Taraba) to front page.

Myndd44, nlfpmod you can't stop a moving train o!

Sorry!

There was also one in Ethiope(Delta state) and even a repeat at Onitsha

People are organizing themselves. This is what Movements look like

How come this "rebuttal" is from ?

Is that supposed to be a news channel?

By the way, i thought what she was said to have uttered was in a video? Can a video lie??

Questions!!!

garfield1:


My brother,do not be deceived.on election day,east will go obi,west tinubu.it is north we aren't sure

I think we should just leave it like this for now and wait till before the election.

Am sure of what am saying here

But we leave things be