Stats: 3,177,913 members, 7,902,947 topics. Date: Saturday, 27 July 2024 at 08:24 PM |
Nairaland Forum / Nameo's Profile / Nameo's Posts
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yarimo: Nobody thought Dogara was part of us. Dogara only came out to say recently that the election was between Obi and Atiku (meaning him no gbado Tinubu). He is an Atiku man, but the reason he said the elections was between Obi and Atiku is cos his own people(Christain Northerners including in his Bauchi homestate) are massively supporting Obi. 2 Likes |
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Adaisback: Use this INEC link: https:///4Y6KJbndLP Just insert your name, date of birth and state and you would see your PU 1 Like |
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vicdom: Why do you think so? Are you saying that SW will vote Atiku over Obi? That is very unlikely. Think 2011 Bros. If there is a runoff(and that is a likelihood), it will be easier for Obi to win Atiku than Tinubu. I think that Obi will win any runoff 1 Like |
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Please where is the thread on the new Stears polls that was on frontpage earlier today I cant find it either on my likes or mentions again. Has it been deleted? @seun |
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garfield1: He used 8 years to laid the "foundation " abi garfield1 ![]() ![]() Let me hear any of you use Tinubu "performance" in Lagos as a campaign material ever again!! @ OP, thanks for your questions. Plzz ask more questions like this 9 Likes 1 Share |
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Hmmm... na wa o I patiently went through this thread o but i havent seen anybody answer OP's simple question: what "world class" project was executed by the so-called creator of Modern Lagos in 8 years as Gov? No answer yet o. Where are all those high falutin urchinns we have on NL. Your Lord and master is on trial o ![]() 9 Likes |
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Biodun556: Olodo!!! Is Adeleke and even PDP not a party to the case? Does a party to a case need th consent of another party in order to file an appeal? What is wrong with some of you guys here on NL sef |
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garfield1: Your point?? |
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garfield1: I just checked Bantupage data again, Obi actually was 2nd at 17%. There was a high "undecides " and "undisclosed" tho |
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Ezeama400: This is it. This is really what matters. If this happens, Obi wins easily |
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OnyeAshuaUru: I know. Predictive Modelling using some Assumptions, which may or may not pan out. I am just saying that in an election, low turnout favours rigging, vote buying and other things that some persons have termed "structure ". People should come out and vote. This is the surest way of ensuring Obi's win. This is the point 1 Like |
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garfield1: Hope you know that the last Bantupage poll gave NC to Obi too. Obi was 2nd in Kogi state also(if i am not mistaken) |
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garfield1: Yea, the 1st NOI poll was a tie. But all other polls(including subsequent NOI polls) have given him a slight lead. I think it is cos Obi will do very well in Benue and Plateau, which are the 2 most populated states in the NC. He will also win FCT of course. Of course will also do well in Nasawara. Then he seems to be doing well in Kogi, Niger and even Kwara. He will not win in these states but his chances seem to be increasing , esp for Kogi Like i said previously, it is what it is. This is what the data from various polling companies done scientifically are saying 1 Like |
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lhordspy: If their names were flagged as double registrants and srruck out of INEC database, why are their names still on INEC site as valid registrants? Oponu, hope you know that was what the OP was asking about: those whose names are in INEC database as registrants but INEC could not find their PVCs |
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PrinceOfLagos: Amen 1 Like |
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Another one!! The poll results is very similar to other scientific poll results: Obi wins the SE(by a mile), SS(significantly), NC(slightly) and comes out 2nd in SW(behind Tinubu of course). Whilst Tinubu and Atiku drags the NW(here Kwankwaso is also strong) and NE. Obi, tho still polling behind the field, also seems to be increasing his shares from parts of the NE(likely due to.Christain and minority voters there). I am almost certain as someone who understands statistics that this is what the long expected 3rd NOI/ANAP poll will show later this week when it comes out. It is also what most other unsceintific polls have been showing. Peter Obi is clearly the Leading candidate in this coming Presidential elections( and the worst case scenario for him is to get the elections to a 2nd round). I big take away from this poll result from Stears is that the only scenario where another candidate(Tinubu in this case) beats Obi is if the voter turnout is low(about 35%). Altho this is from their Predictive Model, I hope LP supporters do not play with this info. I beleive it myself. The only way "structure" can be crucial in an election is if the voter tunrout is low cos then party members, candidate loyalist(family members, villagers, members of ethnic or religious groups) as well as those that can be bribed, will be the majority of the voters in the elections. That is when "structure" will matter. See link to the report: https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/ 3 Likes 1 Share |
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OnyeAshuaUru: The percentage of who the respondents will vote(sample size of about 6500) is in their report. It is Obi of course. Only when they did their Predictive Model of the data that Tinubu slightly wins in one scenario(Low.voters turnout). Obi wins their Predictive Model if voters turnout is high |
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garfield1: Lolz... garfield Every single sceintific poll has said Obi will.win the NC. They all cannot be making up this same shitt every single time. This is statistics and data science, guy. It is not dependent on one's "feelings" Bros. It is what it is. Whether you or any other person like it or not PS: See my modified comment (in my 1st comment) on the turnout scenario 7 Likes |
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Where is my good friend @garfield1. Food don come Another pool from a highly reputable company that predicts an Obi's win, in almost the same scenario most other polls have also predicted: Obi wins SE, SS and NC. And does well in SW and some other minority parts of the NE/NW. Link: https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/ 5 Likes |
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Another one. This is Stears o. Abi na Obi friends still be this I am coming, let me read through the report. Modified: The poll results is very similar to other scientific poll results: Obi wins the SE(by a mile), SS(significantly), NC(slightly) and comes out 2nd in SW(behind Tinubu of course). Whilst Tinubu and Atiku drags the NW(here Kwankwaso is also strong) and NE. Obi, tho still polling behind the field, also seems to be increasing his shares from parts of the NE(likely due to.Christain and minority voters there). I am almost certain as someone who understands statistics that this is what the long expected 3rd NOI/ANAP poll will show later this week when it comes out. It is also what most other unsceintific polls have been showing. Peter Obi is clearly the Leading candidate in this coming Presidential elections( and the worst case scenario for him is to get the elections to a 2nd round). I big take away from this poll result from Stears is that the only scenario where another candidate(Tinubu in this case) beats Obi is if the voter turnout is low(about 35%). Altho this is from their Predictive Model, I hope LP supporters do not play with this info. I beleive it myself. The only way "structure" can be crucial in an election is if the voter tunrout is low cos then party members, candidate loyalist(family members, villagers, members of ethnic or religious groups) as well as those that can be bribed, will be the majority of the voters in the elections. That is when "structure" will matter. See link to the report: https://www.stears.co/premium/article/stears-poll-predicts-nigerias-next-president/ 8 Likes 1 Share |
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Mynd44: You are actually not supposed to be a MOD here. You are compromised. You always have been tho. A lot of us, who are even old timers here, hold that view. Seun should continue running (down) this place the way he wants. 1 Like |
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masinga07: Sharrap, abeg!! Obi is winning this elections. The worst case scenario is that the election will go to a 2nd round, and then Obi will certainly win as there will be no more 25% in 67% states requirement to win in the 2nd round. Every thing points to Obi been in the lead in this elections. His base constitute the majority of the key demography needed to win elections in Nigeria today |
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Mynd44: APC Mod, The Obedient movement have various groups who are willing to stay in every polling booth across Nigeria; who are willing and are already canvassing for votes in the morning, noon and night across the lenghth and breath of Nigeria; who are going back to their villages, offices, churches, mosques, markets, friends etc with the message of a new Nigeria; who are spending their own money and resources(unlike those party members who wait for money/mobilization from the candidates). And these groups are organic and everywhere. In fact, some of the party members of the other political parties are even part of these organic Obdient groups. Obi also has the majority support of theze groups in Nigeria as it stands: Christains, Igbos, Young people and those persons who want a total change in Nigeria. This is one of the reasons he is the Leading candidate today in next Presidential elections 1 Like |
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Tinubu should step down for Obi now before t is too late 1 Like |
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Ist, Atiku will not and cannot win NC. Even Tinubu will do better in NC than Atiku. Obi will win NC. Atiku might likely win NE and NW but the net votes will be meaningless cos Tinubu and Kwankawaso, as well as even Obi, will drag and share the votes from those 2 zones together. Obi will clear the SE with block votes; he will win the clear majority in the SS; and come out a clear 2nd in the SW in addition to likely winning Lagos slightly, a state that is almost 40% of the entire SW(Tinubu will win this zone tho). Obi will also FCT. Obi is the man with the clearest chance of getting the highest number of votes in this election. The only thing left is to get the required 25% in 24 states(and the momentum towards that is currently satisfactory). |
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Edo in the south; Plateau in the North. Other states of course come very close, but Obi is like a religion in the 2 states mentioned above. God bless all supporters of a new Nigeria 34 Likes |
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APC has failed Nigeria in every imaginably possible way. I agree with the man that said that APC should be apologising to Nigerians rather than asking us for votes. You can imagine that from this article NONE of the 21 NNPC depots is working. Similarly, NONE of our refineries are working, almost 8 years after this same APC campaigned with it. These are some of the reasons fuel scarcity has persisted for at least 4 months now. They should be rejected- top to bottom and everywhere 1 Like 1 Share |
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