mightyhaze:
Says who?


Nobody can win presidency all by himself... It has to be concerted and studied effort.. just like it was done for Southwest,Northwest and southsouth in the past..


Southeast 2023...


Oya those that claim to love one indivisible naijuria this is the time to do some work.. let's see how determined to keep one naijuria at all cost

—This is 2011 election result spread. Buhari won those 12 Northern states at the top and Jonathan won the swing states of the SW and Middle belt of Kogi, Kwara, Benue.

[img]https:///65535/51571570952_5c66b8c7d1_b_d.jpg[/img]

—In 2015, the swing states of SW, Kogi, Kwara, and Benue supported Buhari and that made him president. Hence the constant factor is that 12 states in the North for Buhari.

[img]https:///65535/51573309120_6f06f2e06c_b_d.jpg[/img]

—In 2019, Buhari still retained that 12 states in the North. With the swing states of SW, and Middlebelt Kogi and Kwara. The constant K for Buhari is those 12 Northern states, even Atiku a fellow Northerner could not defeat Buhari in any of those states in 2019.

[img]https:///65535/51573307855_ff560dc58c_b_d.jpg[/img]

olamidedivotee:
What he said is true. South East don't have an eligible candidate present.



In case, anyone need a technology writer. Check my signature.

TotoGame:
Why are southern politicans so stupid and daft ....


Tufiakwa!

Moferere:
He has said the truth, S/E are politically disadvantaged. They have not electoral value.

They will make all the noise but they will not come out on the election day

olamidedivotee:
What he said is true. South East don't have an eligible candidate present.



In case, anyone need a technology writer. Check my signature.

vanbonattel:
[s]Dear Raymond, we have since gone past that your myopic reasoning that tends to put the presidency as a means of compensation or financial benefits.

Of what use will an Igbo president be with the lopsided army and national assembly? He will be as tiothless as Ernerst Shonekan in 1993[/s].

Leaforever:

A SW leader can never make the statement dt "a southerner can't win presidency".
Neither will SWesterners vote a northerner back to back for 2023.

It's other southerners dt can accept dt.

TotoGame:


Sharrap....so many politicans from the east are eligible if the pdp really wants to zone it's ticket to the east

People like peter obi, sen anyim pius anyim, ike ekweremadu etc

Eastlink:
Dokpesi has said his own, let's hear from the nairaland SE PDP die-hard mumu’s. Fadhiga and MrVitalist what says both of you. Are you willing to concede the Igbo Presidential aspiration to the north and accept the VP slot?

TotoGame:


Sharrap....so many politicans from the east are eligible if the pdp really wants to zone it's ticket to the east

People like peter obi, sen anyim pius anyim, ike ekweremadu etc

LegendHero:
Dokpesi is right, a SE candidate in PDP is a 100% automatic win for any southern candidate in APC.

If PDP main aim is to come back to power, their best bet is a Northerner like Atiku.

However, looking at the pattern of voting since 2007, I can confidently say any southerner that wants to win election in 2023 will need Buhari support, even if it’s a SW candidate.

I repeat Buhari support is very key. Anyone that he supports openly and campaign for in 2023 will emerge.

Before anyone roast me alive, see the below analysis.







I know some people will say Buhari will not be contesting in 2023 and that will change the pattern, but what I want us to understand is that so far Buhari openly support and campaign for that southern candidate, the votes in those states are sure to like 80% confidence.

Atiku is just an overrated politician, when he contested in 2007 he couldn’t get up to 3million votes on his own. He can only use the party structure to garner vote which was why he was able to get those 2019 votes number. Any PDP candidate from even the South will win all those states Atiku won in 2019 except probably Adamawa.

Sunday2021:
and who will vote for them?

Leaforever:

Buhari is influential in the north, no doubt. They see him like a cultural icon cos he took part in dt coup to avenge sardaunas death. In the Nigerian story, he is their person.

It all depends on the opponent though. Northerners have bn ravaged by bandits/terrorists and although they reverence Buhari, they still will compare his candidate to whoever they think can give them security.

LegendHero:


@the bolded, that was what we thought about in 2019 thinking Atiku will make inroads into those Buhari states. There is no security problem we are facing now that we don’t face in 2019 and yet Buhari still held on to those states.

Both Tinubu or Osinbajo are acceptable somehow in the North especially considering the fact that the North have no animosity against these guys personality and a Buhari stamping any one of them will definitely be a banker for them.

The other determinant of 2023 election is the voter turnout on Election Day. The Southerner got lot of voter apathy which is also one thing that is killing the votes. If I am Tinubu/ Osinbajo political strategist, the main thing I will be canvassing in the SW is voters turnout because that is very key in 2023. What method can you employ that will induce massive voters turnout on Election Day? Beside the fact that politicians write numbers with unused voters ballot, what method can you actually use to bring out real voters on Election Day. I know it’s two way, if the woke youth come out to vote on Election Day then they will definitely vote against him so that somehow makes it dicey. But balance can still be sought.

See 2019 voters turnout on Election Day below and you will weep for the South. We all do like we are educated but elections time and time have proven that we are not wise.

Leaforever:

APC will not bring out a SW candidate. I think theyll choose a SSoutherner dt has some southeast blood. Tinubu is not stupid.

Leaforever:

Tinubu wants to lead a party dt wins elections. He also sees himself as a strong nigerianist dt supports democracy. Dts how all his oyinbo diplomat friends see him too. They will probably drop amechi or someone weaker like Jonathan, so he can get d SS, along wt the north. Watch.

Leaforever:

APC will not bring out a SW candidate. I think theyll choose a SSoutherner dt has some southeast blood. Tinubu is not stupid.

tamdun:

In 2011/2015, ss/se did not vote for APC and they still won,do the mathematics Mr man,a SS candidate with Igbo blood is a red flag in the north and Yoruba too will be disappointed if their son did not clinch the ticket,thats automatic win for PDP