Lurker4Long:
So, this is how they admit failure in Russia!




https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/03/23/ukraine-as-its-happening-a76553

SuperSixSeven:
This is day 30 and since 10 days the Russian army offensive appears to be stalled. In other words this is not going according to their plan because you do not plan an war of attrition.

Kiev is not encircled
Weapons reach UKR troops from the western border
UKR command and control still effective
Moral of the population is not broken
Air Superiority?? If they would have they would use fighter bombers and not Cruise Missiles at this point.


It was not in favor for the Russian army to attack Ukraine from 4 directions. The RU Forces are dispersed now, they lack manpower and logistics to advance and take URK key cities (except Mariupol) or dominate contested areas.

Reminds me of the wars in former Yugoslavia. This can go on for months.

kabe1:


Russian objective in Ukraine was primarily to recognize the territorial claims of the 2 Donbass Republics, demilitarize and de-nazify the country.

In a month of war, the achievements of the Russian military are outlined below.

����❗Over the month, the losses of Ukrainian troops amounted to about 30 thousand people, including more than 14 thousand irretrievable and about 16 thousand sanitary.

The RF Armed Forces defeated 16 main military airfields from which Ukrainian aviation carried out combat sorties, destroyed 39 arsenals, where up to 70% of all stocks of Ukrainian military equipment were stored.

Of the 2,416 tanks and other combat armored vehicles that were in service with the Ukrainian army as of February 24, 1,587 were destroyed.

Out of 152 military aircraft, 112 were destroyed, out of 149 helicopters - 75 destroyed, out of 36 Bayraktar TB2 drones, 35 were destroyed.

Ukrainian air force and air defense system have been almost completely destroyed, the country's Navy has ceased to exist.


In terms of military objectives, I think their operations are going on pretty well.


So with regards to de-militarization, the Ukrainian Navy no longer exists, the Air Force and Air Defense units have lost 70% of their manpower. The Ukrainian army has lost 60% of their Tanks and Armoured vehicles.

In terms of De- Nazification you really can't kill an ideology.

With regards to the Donbass territories 93% of LPR territory liberated and 54% of DPR liberated.

Minsk Agreement almost entirely militarily enforced.

If Russia wanted to take all of Ukraine, they would not invade with only 130k troops.

kabe1:



.. out of 36 Bayraktar TB2 drones, 35 were destroyed.




.

SuperSixSeven:


This one Bayraktar TB2 left in their inventory is really doing miracles in Ukraine...

kabe1:


As at today, the An-124 heavy transport aircraft of the Ukrainian company Antonov State Enterprise returned to Europe, bringing with it new Turkish Bayraktar TB2 UAVs for the needs of the Ukrainian army.

The An-124 did not fly directly to Ukraine, landing in Polish Zheshov - the city is used as one of the main hubs for the supply of equipment for the needs of Kyiv.

So it's possible that previously destroyed stock is only been replaced.

GeneralFarouq:

it just common sense that an army will replenish... As far as Russia is concerned they ve won their objectives

kabe1:


I won't say all Russian objectives have been achieved, but it's clear that the ability for the Ukrainian military to wage war has been severely degraded.

The Donbass territories would have to be cleared for full military objectives to be met.

SuperSixSeven:


This one Bayraktar TB2 left in their inventory is really doing miracles in Ukraine...

sczeska:

If the Ukrainian ability to wage war has been severely degraded like you claim, the Russians would be flying riot over Kyiv and eastern Ukraine, not lobbing stand off munitions from hundreds of miles away and employing artillery strike and digging in on the ground.
It became clear after the first week that they’ll bleed so much trying to oust zelensky. This new goal they claim to achieve is just an off ramp.

You can’t lose a war if you keep changing your goals.

Russia has already disturbed the water, it would be in their best interest to finish this now, press zelensky and force him to the table to completely demilitarize and agree to neutrality. (IMHO)

kabe1:


I don't think Russia's military objective was to take Kiev.

The lack of implementation of the MINSK agreement was the primary reason for this military operation in Ukraine.

If the Russians wanted to take Kiev, they would have sent more than 130k troops, this is a fact.

With the intensity of military operations in the last month, it seems pretty obvious that securing eastern Ukraine, degrading the Ukrainian military were the primary objectives.

Ukraine has received a lot of help, this is no Iraq or Afghanistan, all NATO countries including Japan, Australia and a couple countries in Asia have given Ukraine military assistance. Offcourse in such a situation the Russians would expect to meet major resistance.

Today the Russians have entered another city, Slavutych, Kyiv region.

This is what the current military map looks like.


"Russia continues to advance in Ukraine. If you look at the purple circle on the far right side of the map (this is the western border of Donetsk), the Russian forces and their LDNR allies are encircling the largest remnant of Ukraine’s army."

Also more than 60 Ukranian soldiers mostly officers surrendered. Occupied by the Russian military ZKP APU in the Kiev region. More than 60 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered in this area.

sczeska:

Ok, big brain play from putin.

kabe1:


Let's have an engaging discussion on this topic, no need for these sorts of memes.

sczeska:

We can have that engaging discussion when you’re ready to be objective.

sczeska:

We can have that engaging discussion when you’re ready to be objective.

kabe1:



The US & NATO attacked Iraq with 309,000 troops in an almost non-contested environment, while you think 130,000 Russian soldiers are supposed to take over all of Ukraine.

SuperSixSeven:




Because the RU intelligence service wrongly assumed that Ukraine will fall apart within days (like Afghanistan) when they attack UKR. Once things went out of hands they moved in unprepared troops that that were told to exercise at the border without providing them enough logistics, basic supplies and field engineering units.

And their tactics are just funny: They are still moving tanks on roads and enter urban areas without infantry. WTF? All they do now to minimize their causalities is to level cities with artillery as if this is WW2. As i said earlier this reminds me much of Yugoslavia in the 90s.

I was just a NCO in a mechanized battalion but it is clear that this campaign was a failure right from the beginning.

Lurker4Long:
Meanwhile, in Mozambique:

Lesotho Defence Force CASA-212 at FOB Mueda with resupply for Lesotho SF and Botswana SF.

FINAL PLANNING CONFERENCE FOR EASF COMMAND POST EXERCISE
Maj Gen Kiugu noted that EASF, as an important outfit of addressing peace and security, brings together militaries, police and civilians from ten (10) Eastern Africa member states namely; Burundi, Comoros, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Kenya, Seychelles, Somalia, Sudan and Uganda to build cohesion, tolerance and better understanding.

“The coming together of the ten member states to discuss matters security is not only a noble idea but also a good opportunity to accelerate military operations while striving to guarantee peace and security in this region,” said Maj Gen Kiugu.

The Acting Director of the EASF Brigadier Osman Abbas said the CPX’s main objective was to consolidate, maintain and test the capability of EASF in planning and conducting multi-dimensional operations.

“The exercise presents an opportunity to exercise tools as well as command and control of the forces on AU mandated Peace Support Programs. It shall ensure a multi-dimensional readiness and capability to effectively accomplish its mandate. The CPX shall also help synchronize the various doctrines and procedures from different EASF components,” said Brigadier Abbas.

He added that the complexity of Peace Support Operations requires a well-trained and organized force in the protection of civilians, disasters, pandemics and asymmetric threats among others.