A former aide to former President Goodluck Jonathan, Reno Omokri, on Sunday, predicted the outcome of the 2023 presidential election and the chances of both ruling All Progressives Congress and Peoples Democratic Party ahead of the exercise.

He said that should the APC zoned its presidential ticket to South West region, the main opposition party would lose the election if it zoned its ticket to a region with lover voting strength.

In a tweet on his Twitter handle on Sunday, the former presidential aide and staunch critic of the President, Major General Muhammadu Buhari (retd.) regime, analysed the 2019 election with voter numbers to back his prediction.

According to him, politics is a game of numbers, not sentiments.

He wrote, “The 2019 election by voter numbers:

NW: 8.2 M
NC: 4.4 M
NE: 4.3 M
SW: 3.8 M
SS: 3:2 M
SE: 2.09 M

“If APC gives their ticket to the SW, PDP will LOSE if it gives its ticket to any zone with a lower voting strength. Politics is a game of numbers, not sentiments!”

https://punchng.com/why-pdp-may-lose-2023-presidential-election-reno-omokri/

The 2019 election by voter numbers: NW: 8.2 M NC: 4.4 M NE: 4.3 M SW: 3.8 M SS: 3:2 M SE: 2.09 M If APC gives their ticket to the SW, PDP will LOSE if it gives its ticket to any zone with a lower voting strength. Politics is a game of numbers, not sentiments! #TableShaker

https://twitter.com/renoomokri/status/1518273992460800000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1518273992460800000%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpunchng.com%2Fwhy-pdp-may-lose-2023-presidential-election-reno-omokri%2F

If Nigerians go ahead to vote for APC again in 2023 then no one should complain of hardship when the suffering will triple

Reno na bunkum

No candidate from the S/E can win general election for PDP,

That's somewhat true but 2023 will be VERY LITTLE about the party and a WHOLE LOT about the candidate.
An Osinbajo by virtue of his pan-Nigerian appeal will pummel anyone from the north, Turaki inclusive.

For once, I do hope Nigerians get the opportunity to choose between 2 young and cerebral candidates in Obi and Osinbajo.

Reno has seen the game plan and knows his master Atiku stands no chance of becoming the pdp candidate.

Lets now hope Apc chose a worthy south westerner else Reno prediction might turn out wrong

TheDemola:


https://punchng.com/why-pdp-may-lose-2023-presidential-election-reno-omokri/


https://twitter.com/renoomokri/status/1518273992460800000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1518273992460800000%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpunchng.com%2Fwhy-pdp-may-lose-2023-presidential-election-reno-omokri%2F



Cc lalasticlala Mynd44

As true as it is, some persons will still contest this fact because nor be everybody get sense.

Some of d figures are not correct how can u explain that northwest that has been a wotowoto of Boko Haram has more vote than ss

One thing that has kept Nigeria behind and unprogressive is tribalism and sentiments.

What Reno is indirectly saying here is that PDP should give Atiku the flag because he's from the North and not Peter Obi, cos the Northerners will prefer to vote for their own despite Obi being much better in every ramification.

But I think Buhari's regime should have opened many people's eyes to the truths and realities of things. What Nigeria has gone through in the hands of Buhari should have made virtually everyone to know that what matters is competence and true leadership.

Peter Obi is the best candidate so far from the PDP, he's someone with a track record of success. He's like a coach that has good record in his former team and will most likely replicate his performance in the next and bigger team.

In the PDP we have Obi and in the APC we have Osinbajo, these are men that will offer hope and brighter things to Nigeria. They're not power drunk or selfish, they're there to salvage the situation on ground unlike their older counterparts who just wants to rule for ruling sake. Anyone of them that takes the mantle of leadership will take Nigeria to a better and greater heights.

People should stop taking us backwards by talking about regions and tribes, we're past that stage of voting out of sentiments. Look for the best candidates and vote for them irrespective of tribe, color and religion. Make Nigeria a better place, we're bitterly far from our mates in the world due to bad leadership. Stop suffering others because of your selfish interest.

APC will win the election nobody can stop this project except the might God .Tinubu as a president republic of Nigeria he will reposition country from this present situation to better one.

Malory:
If Nigerians go ahead to vote for APC again in 2023 then no one should complain of hardship when the suffering will triple

Malory:
If Nigerians go ahead to vote for APC again in 2023 then no one should complain of hardship when the suffering will triple

but there is little to nothing you or your 5% region can do obviously because your votes are irrelevant to change or effect any results. I'm only angry with Reno cos he too like to torment you people just for no cause

Where is asgard fhadiga and asgard73 power must return to north crews. Very bitterness people what do you want to benefit if power return north? If power come southwest there is no single thing will come Yorubaland that you igbos will not part of those the things will benefit.


Igbos are more close to Yoruba than any tribe when 80% igbos living southwest.

It seems all the igbos in Lagos, Kaduna, Kano, Jos , Maiduguri and Abuja are now automatically APC members . There are more than 15 million igbos outside the south east , are they pure APC voters

For those that have submitted their brains to Kanu, I mean ipob miscreants and cannibals, what Reno is saying Peter obi is not a worthy candidate for 2023, he should wait till 2039, because he doesn't stand a chance of been voted as president of the federal republic of Nigeria, no sentiment

It appears no candidate from the NW may flag either the APC or PDP ticket, so we may not expect as large a turnout from the NW in 2023. That turnout was driven by PMB who had a cult following in that region. No matter who PMB endorses, the turnout may not be as large this time around.

The PDP may have an upper hand if the APC makes the mistake in who flags its ticket. A key consideration for the APC should not be the most popular in the party, but rather who is widely accepted and can go on to win the general election. I'm not sure if there is any credible poll for the APC but speaking from sentiments I would think Osinbajo remains the strongest candidate even against an Atiku/Obi ticket though he still needs to be able to extricate himself from the government in his messages and campaigns which will be a tough job but not impossible.

The PDP is supposed to have an upper hand in this coming election for several seasons. First, Buhari is not on the ticket. Second, the economy is in bad shape. Third, insecurity is clearly a big issue. Fourth, they can field a popular candidate from the north and capture huge voter numbers.

Given the above reasons, the APC is in a vulnerable position and needs to get it right, else they will lose the election.

What was the voting strength of south south when Jonathan became president?

What was the voting strength of SW when Obj became president?

Reno knows how to tickle skull miners into baying for human skull.

IIamwonderful stop regurgitating bro!

The igbos living those state not get voters card not to talk on voting.

kettykings:
It seems all the igbos in Lagos, Kaduna, Kano, Jos , Maiduguri and Abuja are now automatically APC members . There are more than 15 million igbos outside the south east , are they pure APC voters

Shey una dey hear am?

Tinubuadvocate:
The igbos living those state not get voters card not to talk on voting.

Yes they don't have voters card but the Igbos living in Isolo pelted your box snatcher with stones in 2019 that had him hospitalized.

Tinubuadvocate:
APC will win the election nobody can stop this project except the might God .Tinubu as a president republic of Nigeria he will reposition country from this present situation to better one.

Coming from MC Oluomo faction of NURTW

Baawaa:
No candidate from the S/E can win general election for PDP,

For any political party except it is manipulated by the incumbent

Baawaa:
No candidate from the S/E can win general election for PDP,

GEJ won in 2011, what was the voting strength of SS.
No region or zone can win election singlehandedly.

NW with the highest number had to align with SW before Buhari could win.

Reno didn't make any sense here.

Minority always have says while majority have ways.

Tinubuadvocate:
The igbos living those state not get voters card not to talk on voting.

Go get sense.

Well said

ClintonEmex:
One thing that has kept Nigeria behind and unprogressive is tribalism and sentiments.

What Reno is indirectly saying here is that PDP should give Atiku the flag because he's from the North and not Peter Obi, cos the Northerners will prefer to vote for their own despite Obi being much better in every ramification.

Well said.

But I think Buhari's regime should have opened many people's eyes to the truth and reality. What Nigeria has gone through in the hands of Buhari should have made virtually everyone to know that what matters is competence and true leadership.

Peter Obi is the best candidate so far from the PDP, he's someone with a track record of success. He's like a coach that has good record in his former team and will most likely replicate his performance in the next and bigger team.

In the PDP we have Obi and in the APC we have Osinbajo, these are men that will offer hope and brighter things to Nigeria. They're not power drunk or selfish, they're there to salvage the situation on ground unlike their older counterparts who just wants to rule for ruling sake. Anyone of them that takes the mantle of leadership will take Nigeria to a better and greater heights.

People should stop taking us backwards by talking about regions and tribes, we're past that stage of voting out of sentiments. Look for the best candidates and vote for them irrespective of tribe, color and religion. Make Nigeria a better place, we're bitterly far from our mates in the world due to bad leadership. Stop suffering others because of your selfish interest.

Tinubuadvocate:
Where is asgard fhadiga and asgard73 power must return to north crews. Very bitterness people what do you want to benefit if power return north? If power come southwest there is no single thing will come Yorubaland that you igbos will not part of those the things will benefit.


Igbos are more close to Yoruba than any tribe when 80% igbos living southwest.

Ha! What happened Sir,
You are not insulting Igbos today.. Thank God ooo.

InsightsGuru:
It appears no candidate from the NW may flag either the APC or PDP ticket, so we may not expect as large a turnout from the NW in 2023. That turnout was driven by PMB who had a cult following in that region. No matter who PMB endorses, the turnout may not be as large this time around.

The PDP may have an upper hand if the APC makes the mistake in who flags its ticket. A key consideration for the APC should not be the most popular in the party, but rather who is widely accepted and can go on to win the general election. I'm not sure if there is any credible poll for the APC but speaking from sentiments I would think Osinbajo remains the strongest candidate even against an Atiku/Obi ticket though he still needs to be able to extricate himself from the government in his messages and campaigns which will be a tough job but not impossible.

The PDP is supposed to have an upper hand in this coming election for several seasons. First, Buhari is not on the ticket. Second, the economy is in bad shape. Third, insecurity is clearly a big issue. Fourth, they can field a popular candidate from the north and capture huge voter numbers.

Given the above reasons, the APC is in a vulnerable position and needs to get it right, else they will lose the election.

APC is not in any kind of danger because we all know quite well that PDP is broke and at the long run will give their ticket to the highest bidder either Wike or Atiku. Wike cannot get 5% votes in any northern state except may be Benue and Plateau states, and for Atiku he is a regular customer to Buhari pandemic, which ever option you choose APC will win because the likes Peter Obi, Saraki, are washouts when it comes to northern politics

Tinubuadvocate:
The igbos living those state not get voters card not to talk on voting.

Igbo registered voters are up 100k in Adamawa state

Tinubuadvocate:
APC will win the election nobody can stop this project except the might God .Tinubu as a president republic of Nigeria he will reposition country from this present situation to better one.

U dey dream. APC dey sponsor 5 candidates against your darling Tinubu. For primaries, if Tinubu get 3rd, make orna do thanksgiving. Them go so disgrace your oga at the top ehn, the next time him hear fulfide, him go run pick race

Reno dey talk nonsense because PDP no go give ticket to Atiku. D guy just wan use fear confuse PDP NWC

Malory:
If Nigerians go ahead to vote for APC again in 2023 then no one should complain of hardship when the suffering will triple

Nonsense Pdp Miscreant, you haven’t finished your 35 years suffering for pdp’s blunder.

So is he saying nigerians can only vote based on tribal lines? What about the millions of non indigens with pvcs in the north and the west?

buckeyemedia:
Nonsense Pdp Miscreant, you haven’t finished your 35 years suffering for pdp’s blunder.

Face front, mind yar bizness. Him no call yar name for him talk