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Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako - Politics - Nairaland

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Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by powerfulguy: 5:18pm On May 19, 2022
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu has declared his intention to achieve his “lifelong ambition” of becoming the president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. His tenure as Lagos state governor ended in 2007, about 15 years ago. He was the only governor who got reelected on the platform of the defunct Alliance for Democracy (AD) party. Why he didn’t deem it fit to contest the 2007, 2011, 2015 and 2019 Presidential election to achieve “his lifelong ambition” remains inexplicable.

He was the de facto leader of the defunct AD which metamorphosed to Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) as the only surviving governor on the platform of the party. And that could have made it pretty seamless for him to have emerged as the presidential candidate of the party at the time.

As a renowned political strategist as claimed by many of his admirers, he could have equally challenged a so-called weaker candidate of the then Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) who was President Goodluck Jonathan in the 2011 general election. Does it mean that this purported “lifelong ambition” was not there when opportunities for presidential elections arose in the past after his gubernatorial sojourn?

President Muhammadu Buhari could be said to have harbored a lifelong ambition for the presidency. That was why he contested for the position in 2003, 2007, 2011 and finally succeeded in 2015. Tinubu has been harbouring a “lifelong ambition” yet was shying away from expressing it until now. My hunch tells me that Tinubu doesn’t have any “lifelong ambition” for the presidency of Nigeria. If he truly has, he would have made efforts to realize it in the past elections when he was younger and healthier. I wager to posit that Tinubu’s main interest is his suzerainty in Lagos state which may slip off his hands in 2023 if care is not taken.

Tinubu was declared as the winner of the 2003 governorship election against late Funsho Williams by a slim margin in the ratio of about 9:7 in hundreds of thousands of votes as declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). That was the closest chance PDP ever had in taking over Lagos state. Stories had it that Funsho Williams actually won the election with over a million votes, but then Vice President Atiku Abubakar did some political magic to save his friend by ensuring that Tinubu retained his seat.

There were speculations that Tinubu never wanted former Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola to get a second term in 2011. By the end of Fashola’s first term, his relationship with his godfather (Tinubu) had soured. Tinubu was poised to deny him a second term.

However, his major impediments were PDP at the federal level and Fashola was popular and endeared himself to Lagosians. PDP at the federal level was ready to hand over the party’s ticket to Fashola if Tinubu had denied him the ACN ticket. President Jonathan and the PDP were watching the Lagos political scenario with keen interest. Tinubu was handicapped. His hands were tired. As a clever politician that he is, he demurred. Recoiled to his shell and allowed Fashola a second term.

Tinubu was able to deal with immediate past Governor Ambode just because APC was controlling the federal government in 2019. Those who say that Ambode is a coward are missing the point. He is not. If Ambode had defected to PDP, he would have still lost the election because President Buhari needed Lagos State for his (Buhari) own reelection. He needed Tinubu’s support and wouldn’t want Ambode’s second tenure ambition to torpedo his own reelection.

Tinubu’s purported control of the Southwest is a fallacious myth. He can only do that when his party is in control of the federal government. Both Governors Olusegun Mimiko and Ayo Fayose dared him, defied his challenge and got their second terms without his support. When Tinubu tried to overreach his influence, in the last Edo State governorship election, Edo people called his bluff by telling him that “Edo no be Lagos”.

As the 2023 general election approaches, Tinubu may lose his stranglehold of Lagos if he doesn’t play his politics well. I want to reveal to Tinubu, through this piece, that he will not be the presidential candidate of the APC for the 2023 general election. The presidential standard bearer of the party would be chosen through the consensus option. The dejure National Leader of the Party President Buhari would assert his authority by choosing who will succeed him in office. When Tinubu finally loses the presidential ticket of the APC, he must remain with the party and vigorously campaign for its presidential candidate. If he decamps to any other political party in order to realize his “lifelong ambition”, the incumbent Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu may likely defect with him to the new party in order to get his support for his own reelection. New leadership will emerge for the Lagos APC. Fashola, Ambode, Muiz Banire and this group which goes by the name Lagos4Lagos, will definitely take over the leadership of Lagos APC.

Since Sanwo-Olu may go with Tinubu to the new party, a brand new governorship candidate will emerge for the APC in Lagos. Don’t forget that PDP is lurking at the corners. Tinubu will then face a stronger challenge to his stranglehold of Lagos by the APC-led federal government and the PDP.

President Buhari as an outgoing president will ensure that APC retains Lagos state under a new leadership. Or even allow the PDP candidate to win in order to spite Tinubu. It bears repeating, that was the treatment given to Tinubu in the last election in Edo state. If Lagos state slips off the control of Tinubu, his humongous wealth and unquantifiable investments may be jeopardised. Tinubu is stuck with APC whether he eventually emerges as the presidential candidate or not. He has a lot to lose if the opposition takes over the governance of Lagos state.

https://www.blueprint.ng/why-tinubu-may-lose-lagos-in-2023-2/
Lalasticlala
Mynd44
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by espn(m): 5:19pm On May 19, 2022
Ifeayinnnnnnn.....

9 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by triple996(m): 5:20pm On May 19, 2022
Comedy
Sha no mkpurumiri will ever near asorock grin

14 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Mokason288(m): 5:20pm On May 19, 2022
This political mathematics is completely false

If Tinubu decamp’s to a new party like you predicted

Tinubu will still need Sanwo Olu as the Governor to ensure that He Tinubu wins in Lagos.

His party could just simply adopt Sanwo olu as a Consensus candidate
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by tinsel: 5:22pm On May 19, 2022
People are just writing all sorts of nonsense.

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Joeyzinho: 5:24pm On May 19, 2022
Incoherent gibberish devoid of logic. Only a druggie will think Tinubu might lose Lagos in 2023..

Some of us dont believe in Tinubu and we are unapologetic about it. But these obi fans should cut him some slacks. Man worked his way to the top...

President obasanjo who was touted to have possessed and exercised more powers than the American President during his time, Tinubu crushed him in all aspects of governance.

He challenged Obasanjo on legislative matters and won; he contested against Obasanjo’s position on the judiciary and made mincemeat of him; and in Obasanjo’s desperate bid to conquer Lagos State, along with other Yoruba States, Tinubu triumphed over OBJ..

11 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by babyfaceafrica: 5:24pm On May 19, 2022
Make una talk another thing abeg.... Next!

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by NoPlaceLike(f): 5:25pm On May 19, 2022
Ok
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by islandsscotch8: 5:29pm On May 19, 2022
Asiwaju Tinubu .
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by cleatsmottled9: 5:32pm On May 19, 2022
Baba Tinubu , the man that make the heart of Meth addicts beat with fear. They wish they had someone like him, but they can never see someone like him hence they resorted to hating and gnashing of teeth. He is the governor with the best cabinet in his era and we are very sure that having a man like this as president means we will have capable hands at the helm of affairs, a win-win for Nigeria

13 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by TheNiceGuy(m): 5:32pm On May 19, 2022
Aside the title, I don't read that junk when I saw the name of who wrote it.

We expect nothing much from Ipob infested brain.

6 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by osinbanjoisaliar: 5:33pm On May 19, 2022
Pesin wen no know sey him wife no suppose run for senate as him dey seek the number 1 job

Pesin wen sack him campaign DG 3weeks to primaries

Pesin wen no get manifesto

Pesin wen no get any selling point except na my entitlement

Pesin wen to Waka 3ft na like to carry weight

Pesin wen him hand dey shake if you give am microphone to talk

Pesin wen no know the difference between NIN and NIPP

Pesin wen no dey read the speech wen dem give am before him start to dey talk spoil

Abeg, Tinubu na the most incompetent, laziest, most unprepared, dullest presidential aspirant ever for the world history

The only people wen believe sey Tinubu go win any election for him present state na people wen wan chop am and people wen dull pass am
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by paracolaxnear1: 5:34pm On May 19, 2022
Baba Tinubu . This man carefully masterminded the defeat of a ruling party. That is why Meth addicts hated him like he's the architect of IPOD terrorism. These hate filled souls have made it a duty to slander his image but the man keep showing them why he is the Lion of Bourdillon

11 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by austine4real(m): 5:34pm On May 19, 2022
Na money I dey find now


Let's make money together I'm selling POS machines for N15K promo price


7&8 bus stop airport road
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Nobody: 5:35pm On May 19, 2022
Nyamiris should stay out of issues that concern the south west and focus on the growing terrorism in their own region.

4 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by stainedanisus1: 5:36pm On May 19, 2022
Tinubu is one of the greatest politician ever. As it stands, he is the most mentioned politician in Africa. He is the governor with the best cabinet in his era and we are very sure that having a man like this as president means we will have capable hands at the helm of affairs, a win-win for Nigeria

3 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Reality3080: 5:38pm On May 19, 2022
If okoro never mention tinubu one day,his day never complete

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by cuddlyaplasta4: 5:39pm On May 19, 2022
ABAT , the man that make the heart of Meth addicts beat with fear. They wish they had someone like him, but they can never see someone like him hence they resorted to hating and gnashing of teeth. We will never stop supporting our leader

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by osinbanjoisaliar: 5:41pm On May 19, 2022
paracolaxnear1:
Baba Tinubu . This man carefully masterminded the defeat of a ruling party. That is why Meth addicts hated him like he's the architect of IPOD terrorism. These hate filled souls have made it a duty to slander his image but the man keep showing them why he is the Lion of Bourdillon

Make you continue to dey phool yarself. Your work permit go expire on the 30th of May
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by slivertongue: 5:42pm On May 19, 2022
What is special about him losing?
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by bicoloratrite9: 5:42pm On May 19, 2022
Asiwaju of Nigeria , your direction is what we will follow.
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Nobody: 5:44pm On May 19, 2022
So no be only iragbiji urchins Sabi write nonsense... Interesting
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by totit: 5:55pm On May 19, 2022
grin

Article written by ;

- Ifeanyi Maduako

Which kind obsession be dis oooooo grin

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by duro4chang(m): 5:57pm On May 19, 2022
meth from Upper Iweka analysis.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Nobody: 6:02pm On May 19, 2022
TheNiceGuy:
Aside the title, I don't read that junk when I saw the name of who wrote it.

We expect nothing much from Ipob infested brain.

Same here. If any Nairalander wants to waste valuable minutes of his/her life best way to do this is to read the political analysis of an IPOBian.

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Nobody: 6:10pm On May 19, 2022
WesternOligarch:
Nyamiris should stay out of issues that concern the south west and focus on the growing terrorism in their own region.

Indeed. I can't wait for the inevitable restructuring of Nigeria. Let everyone go to build and strengthen from their regional base.

Especially Igbos who love wondering across Nigeria vagrantly like hobos.

4 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Britishpea: 6:35pm On May 19, 2022
Kindergarten political analyst; if he easy run am.

2 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by jieta: 6:35pm On May 19, 2022
First am not supporting tinubu, but he has really work hard for this. Tinubu has been fighting for indeed his life long ambitious. You have to give it to him.

Been among the founding fathers of the APC is a stepping stone, going extra mile to remove an incubent is another feather to his cap. He has been fighting this fight laying down good foundation to achieve his aim. From the let go he has been toil the whole Nigeria trying to sell him self to Nigerians which is very good.

He's sick BIG YES! Those who are healthy what have there been doing. Those from the south east who are desperately wanting to rule Nigeria what have there been doing, we have more than five candidate from South east in APC who are eyeing the presidential seat why are there not selling there candidature, why are there not toiling the country telling us what there will do.

An average south easterner, who have access to Android phone who throw jab at tinubu, you see nonsense post like''like this post if peter obi will be president'' and you will see one thousand likes two thousand like, is he going to be president of nairaland or president of Nigeria.



We have ogbonna onu, david umahi and the former governor of imo state i can't recall his name and the very vast orji kalu who i rated so much and should be in same class of tinubu with much experience but here you see him hide behind people who are political light weight.

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by YorubaNiBaba(m): 6:54pm On May 19, 2022
Nyamiri no dey disappoint with their igbotic gibberish... Imagine what a sensele** beerfraud p*g dey talk

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Balogunodua(m): 7:04pm On May 19, 2022
When the brain is filled with Kpokpomiri....what do you expect... grin

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by Balogunodua(m): 7:06pm On May 19, 2022

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose Lagos In 2023 - Ifeanyi Maduako by DEROX: 7:32pm On May 19, 2022
grin so that the flatskulls will take over lol fool

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