Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by NwaNimo1(m): 6:34pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
By Dakuku Peterside, PhD.Diesel has become a local symbol of the global energy crisis and Nigeria’s expansive economic woes. The astronomical rise in the price of diesel, the fuel that powers a large part of the industrial, commercial, and domestic activities in the Nigerian economy, has sent chills and ripples throughout the economy, from manufacturing giants through medium-sized enterprises and small-scale organisations to individual homes that rely on it for power because of non-existent or epileptic electric power supply.
Diesel’s stronghold on Nigeria’s economy is seen from gigantic diesel powered generating plants that turn the industrial machines in Nigeria through the trucks used for long-distance haulage of industrial and finished goods to small devices used by small-scale enterprises. The demand for diesel is inelastic as there are virtually no substitute products in the short run; therefore, a change in price does not have a devastating impact on demand.
Producers and consumers bear the brunt of the diesel price increases. The price rose from about N260 per liter late last year to over N850 in some parts of Nigeria currently, and this has put unprecedented stress on the economy, threatening its ability to produce goods and services .
The debate about the cause of this scourge is raging. Some claim that it is because of the global energy crisis occasioned by the Russia-Ukraine war. Others argue that although the war in Europe may influence diesel prices in Nigeria, the effect alone should not have such an impact. The impact of the global energy crisis combined with local structural defects and deficiencies in the Nigeria energy mix, where although we are a large crude oil producer, we still import diesel and other petroleum products from abroad, have a lot to do with the rising prices.
This opens Nigeria up to supply-side shock, especially during global crisis, and Nigeria is not importing enough diesel to meet local demand, which invariably forces the price of diesel up. In the short run, our local refining capacity is low because our national refineries are almost comatose. There is hope in the medium to long term that private refineries like Dangote Oil Refinery and Petrochemicals, Walter-smith Refineries ,OPAC Refineries, Niger Delta Petroleum Resources, BUA Refinery and Petrochemicals ;and Edo Refinery and Petrochemical Company will increase local refining of crude and produce more diesel. But until then, Nigeria is at the mercy of the vagaries of the local and global energy crises that upend diesel supply and price with a devastating impact on the national economy.
[b]The immediate impact of the hike in diesel prices can be seen in the stranglehold it is having on the Nigerian economy. The increase in production and distribution costs for goods and services due to the high price of diesel is passed on to consumers, leading to hyperinflation. [/b]Prices of goods and services are going over the roof, worsening an already grim poverty situation. Most people struggle to make ends meet as their disposable income loses value daily. More people are impoverished and cannot get basic provisions.
With the increase in prices, demand for goods with high demand elasticity plummets, which has a devastating effect on small-scale businesses that produce these goods and services and sometimes put them out of business. Hotels, private schools, artisans, and small-scale producers are responding by, reducing their staff strength, shortening their hours of operation , or shutting down outrightly because of the increase in the cost of production. This has negative implication for our fledgeling economy held together by these small businesses that are the engine room of our economy.
Other macro-economic impacts include the potential of increased lending rate by banks which would affect local prices Besides, savings will suffer as people struggle to satisfy their basic needs with dwindling disposable income. .
The social consequences of the harsh economic realities are enormous to contemplate. Soaring food as a result of rising fuel prices would ultimately lead to inflation. If furniture or smartphone prices rise, people can delay a purchase or forgo it. But they cannot stop eating. Likewise, increased transport costs affect most people and is inflationary by nature. This will further lead to high cost of living and lower standard of living.
The last time the world suffered a food-price shock as we have now, it helped set off the Arab Spring, a wave of uprisings that ousted four presidents and led to horrific civil wars in faraway Syria and Libya.
The government has to protect the economy and alleviate the pains of the problem of the high price of diesel. There is a vital strategic linkage between the diesel price hike and the movement of other variables in the economy . The Nigerian authority assumes that this problem is temporary and that diesel prices will return to normal levels soon, and this appears farfetched and unrealistic at best. Lack of proper energy planning for the future in the past has kept Nigeria in this state, and if nothing serious is done now, the crisis will exacerbate.
We must acknowledge that the Russian – Ukraine war will continue in the immediate to probably medium term. The demand for diesel will continue to increase, given the electricity providers’ poor power supply to both commercial and private users. Nigeria needs the energy to power its industrialisation in a world working hard to jettison carbon energy for clean and renewable energy.
It is time for a significant policy shift by the Nigerian government on oil. We need to start signing an array of sweeping executive orders and policies to create an energy mix fit for Nigeria’s growth. This policy shift should have short-term, medium-term, and long-term outlook. The short-term focus should be on solving the current diesel price crisis. As a matter of urgency, out of compassion and concern for the people’s welfare ,the government must tackle the high price of diesel and other related items like cooking gas and gasoline , which directly impinge on mass welfare , to avoid the economic quagmire it is throwing the country into.
The government should consider placing an embargo on VAT, Duties, and other forms of taxation on diesel immediately. Improved supply of diesel will significantly reduce supply-induced price increases. This includes provisions for more importation of diesel and intervening in the local distribution to most parts of the country to avoid shortage of the product in the country..
Another short-term measure is to support electric suppliers to increase power supply to small, medium, and large-scale companies and, if possible, offer discounts on electricity tariffs to manufacturers. This will immediately reduce the demand for diesel and invariably impact the product’s price. Government should help affected businesses by offering tax holidays, grants and subventions to the small companies on the verge of collapse due to the impact of high diesel prices on their production cost. These costs may be catered for with the money from the oil windfall from the high cost of crude oil in the global market. The price has risen to almost $135 per barrel. We are not feeling the impact of the oil windfall, and we are not sure how that is used to protect the economy.
In the medium term, the government should revive our moribund national refineries and increase their capacity to refine crude oil locally. It should encourage the proliferation of modular refineries to complement the quantity of diesel and petrol produced by government and private refineries. The government should turn Nigeria into a net exporter of refined petroleum products, including diesel, rather than exporting crude oil. The government should drastically reduce the amount of diesel imported from abroad, protecting the local energy sector and the economy from global energy crises like the one going on now because of the Russia- Ukraine war.
In the long run, the government should plan for a post-carbon energy era. Sustainable and renewable energy is the future. The government needs to make policies and take actions targeting providing clean energy by using the advantages of existing carbon energy to fund the energy transition. I will suggest that government develops a new institutional mechanism for managing the funds from this last stage of rapid oil transition revenue. It should localise the Paris climate propositions, tax the fossil fuel industry, and use the funds to implement our energy transition before we can revoke permits for new and old oil fields and convert our government’s fleet of vehicles to electric power. We need an ambitious proposal that will drive net-zero greenhouse gas emissions across Nigeria’s economy by 2035 while not jeopardising the overall economic health.
This situation of diesel price hike provides Nigeria with pains and opportunities. The ‘pains’ are excruciating and biting hard. People, companies, and organisations are struggling with the crippling effect of high energy prices, from petrol and gas to diesel. The economy is in a meltdown. Something needs to be done and done fast. But this time provides us the opportunity to get it right. To create policies and actions that will help with the energy crisis now. And in the future, offer energy solutions to grow our economy. That is why the forthcoming election is crucial. We must vote for leaders with the clarity of vision and capacity to tackle the energy crisis once and for all . https://independent.ng/expensive-diesel-expansive-economic-crisis/ 11 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Tianamen1: 7:25pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel. 31 Likes 6 Shares |
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Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Penguin2: 7:37pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
Tianamen1: Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel.
You are right. But it actually from Tafawa Balewa. That man should have saved 1964. Nigeria would have been eldorado by now. Eghu! 31 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Whois(m): 7:49pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
If you are paid to support any candidate online To deceive, confuse, enforce and fight people online That is bribery and corruption...you are part of the reason why this nation has refuse to progress because of a plate of porridge yam.
My prayer is that the sickness, diseases, havoc, atrocities that has ever happened to Nigeria/Nigerians in the past years...may it come upon you, your immediate family, extended family and entire generation. You shall never go Scott free
You are free from this curse if you are willingly campaigning for your choice of candidate online free of charge...
Ask all those who collected bribe, laptop and 30k per month to deceive the masses with false news, documents, photos etc They all partaked in the after effects then it was too late They have come again to offer you a token and jobs afterwards...you are no different from the thugs and hire assassins they utilise to achieve their evil dreams.
Say no today and be free for forever 36 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by EdoBoy90(m): 8:01pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
Tianamen1: Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel.
Why blaming GEJ after 7 years? Is Buhari ready to reduce the cost of governance? The answer is NO. He would have reduced the cost of governance in 2015. 45 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Jack005(m): 8:29pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
Tianamen1: Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel.
Still blaming GEJ after 7 years? Something is definitely wrong with you. 64 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Tianamen1: 9:54pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
Jack005 Edoboy90 Penguin2 Tianamen1: Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel.
@Penguin2, I know you are being sarcastic, but would still respond. Obasanjo cleared our debt and saved a lot of money in our excess crude account. all the mistakes of the presidents before him were cleared off and Nigeria had a fresh start. the issues Nigeria is currently having is as a result of the presidents who came after Obasanjo. Of the 4 presidential candidates, if things remain as there are, it is my belief that Emi lokan will win. Of these four, Peter Obi is by far the most competent. Of these 4, I am supporting Kwankwaso. 3 Likes |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by richiemcgold: 9:58pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
only if we can fix power supply problems, more than 50% of Nigeria's problem will be solved, including this diesel wahAla.
In my location here, we currently buy diesel at 1,050 naira. How do you expect business to thrive under such condition? This energy problem is making Nigeria too hard for everybody, including the rich folks. Power supply should be the main focus of the next president. Anybody that has no realistic plan to fix power should not be allowed to near aso rock at all.
I'll keep saying it, 24 hrs power supply will solve more than 50% of this country's problems. And that's apart from increasing productivity and reducing all these excessive demands for gas, petrol and diesel. 19 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by verygoodbadboi: 10:51pm On Jun 27, 2022 |
God forbid Tinubu become president, he doesn't see anything wrong with expensive government it will be a case of from frying pan to fire. 16 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by AmGreat1234: 9:00am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Click Like for Peter Obi and Share for Tinubu. 32 Likes 3 Shares |
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Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by emmabest2000(m): 9:01am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Buhari will handle..... INSECURITIES Osibanjo will handle.... ECONOMY That was them in the office in 2015 11 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by inoki247: 9:01am On Jun 28, 2022 |
2 Likes |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by ekukeku(m): 9:01am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Hi |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Eriokanmi: 9:01am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Hail APC for the Nigeria's woes. Haven't we seen enough change? We'd never forget the evil party 5 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by anonimi: 9:02am On Jun 28, 2022 |
6 Likes 3 Shares |
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Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Kingpele(m): 9:02am On Jun 28, 2022 |
We shall over this nonsense with time and by God's grace when Peter obi becomes our president 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Ezedon(m): 9:02am On Jun 28, 2022 |
APC Govt, have absolutely nothing to offer 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by FrauleinBlossom(f): 9:03am On Jun 28, 2022 |
And expensive fuel and LPG too, the reason we are sensitising the public on the need to embrace biogas as a worthy alternative. 1 Like |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Dangrace01: 9:03am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Tianamen1: Dear Author,
Nigeria's current problems with inflation stem for decisions made in the last 12 years. Decisions such as GEJ not saving funds in the excess crude account, to Buhari not raising taxes on the rich and/or reducing recurrent expenditure (reduced compensation for public servants and reducing the number of MDA's)
Nigeria's future problems include the shift to renewables which is being hastened by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as you rightly noted.
Between 2011 and 2014, crude prices average over $110 per barrel and the local cost for a liter of petrol without subsidies in naira was about 140(the amount GEJ set it to before the subsidy protest). the increase in price of diesel isn't as a result of crude oil prices but as a result of the reasons I stated in paragraph 1.
As Milton Friedman said " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", so it is true that Nigeria is on a path to hyperinflation because it cannot focus on handling its macroeconomics issues.
You correctly identified the problem, but your solutions would not work.
Nigeria needs to raise taxes on imported goods such as cars, phones, building materials. Basically, tax things that rich people spend money on apart from food, to limit the demand for dollars within the country. This will aid the accretion of our foreign reserves and excess crude account, thus stopping the bleeding of the Naira.
The government should also consider reducing the cost of governance by reducing the number of MDA (implementing the Oronsaye report) and reducing public servants allowances and pay.
This is how to reduce the price of diesel.
Sir How can you say should raise tarrif on imported goods Have you price car today The tarrif has over increased what has changed 7 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Triangles1(m): 9:03am On Jun 28, 2022 |
We are too soft in this kon3. 7 Likes |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Lanretoye(m): 9:04am On Jun 28, 2022 |
We are sitting on a keg of gun powder. 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by stevnwigw1: 9:05am On Jun 28, 2022 |
verygoodbadboi: Diesel is sold at 820 per litter. God punish and other supporters of this bad government. To those supporters of BAT, God punish you too. Amen and Insha Allah You sworn never to vote an igbo brain, you will weep and suffer from this day on 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by anonimi: 9:05am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Kingpele: We shall over this nonsense with time and by God's grace when Peter obi becomes our president Peter Obi the mega liar and failure SATANICALLY: In a 2018 interview, Peter Obi said he invested $20 million in International Breweries on behalf of Anambra state as a governor.
Obi’s claim was in response to questions on economic development, Anambra politics and his presidential ambition.
“… Anambra state is the single-highest shareholder in that facility. I invested in it, over $20 million,” Obi had said.
“It is worth almost $100 [million] today. That’s what government should do.”
TheCable had previously fact-checked some of the claims.
Chukwuma Soludo, governor of Anambra, also debunked a recent statement ascribed to him regarding the investment.
International Breweries (IB) Plc is a subsidiary of the world’s largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev) — a multinational drink and brewing giant based in Leuven, Belgium.
In its 2021 audited financial statement, the company said it holds 43 percent economic interest in International Breweries Plc, a publicly listed company in Nigeria.
According to a report by The Nation, AB InBev merged its Nigerian operations under a single corporate entity in 2017. It had three indirect Nigerian subsidiaries — International Breweries Plc, Intafact Beverages Limited and Pabod Breweries Limited. SABMiller Nigeria Holdings BV — another subsidiary of AB InBev — was also a major stakeholder in Intafact and Pabod.
ANAMBRA’S INVESTMENT
In a statement made available to TheCable on Tuesday, Ifeatu Onejeme, Anambra’s commissioner of finance, confirmed that Peter Obi’s administration invested the sum of N1,955,535,247.00 (an equivalent of approximately $12,616,356.43 at the then average CBN exchange rate of N155.00/$1) in Intafact Beverages Limited, a green-field brewery set up in Onitsha by SABMiller Breweries of South Africa in 2012.
https://www.thecable.ng/revealed-peter-obi-administrations-12-24m-investment-in-international-breweries-now-worth-5-38m/ 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Ijakumo1: 9:05am On Jun 28, 2022 |
3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Beverlyjean(f): 9:06am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Only a fool orba wicked evil person will vote APC again... infact anyone that promotes APC or votes APC in the next general elections will be Judged by God for trying to bring evil onto the children of God 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by gambia(m): 9:07am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Some coconut head Nigerians will still go ahead and vote this devilish party. |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by Zico5(m): 9:08am On Jun 28, 2022 |
The vote for Jagaban is not a vote for APC, it's purely a vote for individual who is capable of changing the fortune of this nation. 1 Like |
Re: Expensive Diesel, Expansive Economic Crisis by paskal16: 9:08am On Jun 28, 2022 |
Naija is a shiithole I go japa canada soonest make I dey send my momma Canadian dollars 5 Likes 2 Shares |