Osun is divided to three senatorial district, with osun east( Omisore zone) having the highest voting power, followed by osun west(Adeleke zone), then osun central (Oyetola zone).
1. Osogbo lg: This is the state capital of Osun . This is largest local government in osun state with the highest voting population except if voters registration says otherwise. Apc always win here since Aregbesola inception. In 2018 Apc got 23378 votes while pdp 14499. I think many things has changed in osogbo politics they seems not to like Oyetola style of ruling. I see pdp doing more better here than 2018 as is very near to Adeleke's home town . Apc wins

2.Ife south: This is lg outside of ife town . The national Secretary of Apc late father is a king in ifewara. So he got many influence in this lg. This lg is full of settlements so it very easy to influence voters here . Apc remain a strong party here. Infact when Omisore was vying to be governor he do struggle there. In 2018 Apc won polled 7223, pdp = 4872 , Sdp = 6151. Now it very obvious Omisore influence here can never be overlook. He contested in 2018 under Sdp and he polled more votes than pdp tho lost to Apc . Apc will win here with an audacious margin . Apc

3.Ife north:[/b]Also lg outskirt of Ife. Many towns dominate this lg , commonly referred to as [b]Orígbó méjèje which comprises of town such as Moro, ipetumodu, Edunabon etc. Apc TOP members are very active here, they already vow not to work for the governor . Infact they believed this is their opportunity to kick him out of office .In 2018 Apc =6527 pdp =5486 sdp=5158. When Omisore was on ballot Apc still did well here and won the lg tho it's based on Aregbesola influence here . But now the table had changed , pdp should win this lg narrowly this time , Apc top members will show their capabilities here. Pdp

4. Ife East:[/b]Here comes [b]Omisore lg. This lg extend to Modakeke where the Area office is situated. This lg will deliver be deliver to Apc . Infact Omisore polling unit in yemoo will massacre pdp . However the Modakeke people are lovers of Aregbesola. Top members are very much active . Pdp will do well also but they can't win this lg even tho Adeleke deputy is from ife . In 2018 Apc = 8925 pdp = 6608 sdp= 17643. Omisore won in 2018 with an audacious margin . Pdp will do a lot better here tho. Apc

5.Ife central lg:[/b]Here come the individual biggest local govt in osun state apart from osogbo . It has a very high voting strength and this is where pdp supporters will targeting inorder to limit Omisore influence in ife axis. Pdp chieftain such as Wale Ladipo might little frustrate Omisore here . Also lawmaker representing ide federal constituency will make so much influence here . In 2018 Apc= 6957 pdp =3200 sdp= 20498. Omisore also won with very high margin . Ife is naturally pro pdp but in 2018 their son is on ballot and that's why pdp lost it precious lg. Adeleke deputy is from ife and many are supporting him . Mind you in 2018 his deputy is also from ife but I must say Adeleke made a mistake choosing that old baba , he got no electoral value infact ife people hate him . TOP members are also active here . Both parties will do very well in this lg . Infact both will have to spend high for the voters to have their votes. Close to call but [b]pdp should win .

To be continue

6.Ayedade lg: This lg is situated in osun west( Adeleke zone) . This lg is dominated by villages and districts with headquarters in Gbongan. The likes of Wakajaiye, Orile-Owu, Ogbagba, Ode-Omu etc belong to this lg.In 2018, Apc = 10861 pdp= 9836 sdp = 2967. Nothing is really changing in this lg. Both dominant parties will still go neck to neck . Apc

7.Ayedire lg:[/b]This is another similar to Ayedaade lg dominated by villages and settlements. No much here. 2018 Apc = 5471 pdp= 5133 sdp= 2396. Apc should also win again here . But pdp is not a push over and might spring a surprise to take over here . [b]Apc

8.Egbedore lg:[/b]Also in osun west . Also dominated by villages, the likes of Iragberi, Awo and others. In 2018, Apc = 7354 pdp= 7231 , sdp = 3367. This lg is very close to Adeleke , I see pdp claiming back this lg . [b]pdp

9.Ejigbo lg: [/b]This is hometown of former speaker of Osun house of assembly speaker , Najeem Salam. He is in charge of the politics in his town . But I doubt he is with the governor cos' have not been seeing him in any of the campaign. He is very loyal to Aregbesola. So if Top members stand on their words then there is problem for the ruling party in this town. Either way I don't see pdp winning here with the the latest decamp of Asler, he is also grassroot politician who understand the politics of Ejigbo axis.Fingers Cross to see how it unfold on july 16 . 2018, Apc = 14779 pdp = 4803. [b]Apc

10.ifelodun lg: [/b]This is situated in osun central. With headquarters in ikirun. Ikirun people are lovers of Oranmiyan . Aregbesola well popular here. In 2018, pdp= 12269 apc = 9882. Pdp is waxing stronger in this Zone , infact I expect them to do more better than in 2018 , especially when Ikirun is looking to align with Adeleke. Apc should also put up a good fight here . [b]pdp

To be continued

Ok

Troublemaker111:
Osun is divided to three senatorial district, with osun east( Omisore zone) having the highest voting power, followed by osun west(Adeleke zone), then osun central (Oyetola zone).
1. Osogbo lg: This is the state capital of Osun . This is largest local government in osun state with the highest voting population except if voters registration says otherwise. Apc always win here since Aregbesola inception. In 2018 Apc got 23378 votes while pdp 14499. I think many things has changed in osogbo politics they seems not to like Oyetola style of ruling. I see pdp doing more better here than 2018 as is very near to Adeleke's home town . Apc wins

2.Ife south: This is lg outside of ife town . The national Secretary of Apc late father is a king in ifewara. So he got many influence in this lg. This lg is full of settlements so it very easy to influence voters here . Apc remain a strong party here. Infact when Omisore was vying to be governor he do struggle there. In 2018 Apc won polled 7223, pdp = 4872 , Sdp = 6151. Now it very obvious Omisore influence here can never be overlook. He contested in 2018 under Sdp and he polled more votes than pdp tho lost to Apc . Apc will win here with an audacious margin . Apc

3.Ife north:[/b]Also lg outskirt of Ife. Many towns dominate this lg , commonly referred to as [b]Orígbó méjèje which comprises of town such as Moro, ipetumodu, Edunabon etc. Apc TOP members are very active here, they already vow not to work for the governor . Infact they believed this is their opportunity to kick him out of office .In 2018 Apc =6527 pdp =5486 sdp=5158. When Omisore was on ballot Apc still did well here and won the lg tho it's based on Aregbesola influence here . But now the table had changed , pdp should win this lg narrowly this time , Apc top members will show their capabilities here. Pdp

4. Ife East:[/b]Here comes [b]Omisore lg. This lg extend to Modakeke where the Area office is situated. This lg will deliver be deliver to Apc . Infact Omisore polling unit in yemoo will massacre pdp . However the Modakeke people are lovers of Aregbesola. Top members are very much active . Pdp will do well also but they can't win this lg even tho Adeleke deputy is from ife . In 2018 Apc = 8925 pdp = 6608 sdp= 17643. Omisore won in 2018 with an audacious margin . Pdp will do a lot better here tho. Apc

5.Ife central lg:[/b]Here come the individual biggest local govt in osun state apart from osogbo . It has a very high voting strength and this is where pdp supporters will targeting inorder to limit Omisore influence in ife axis. Pdp chieftain such as Wale Ladipo might little frustrate Omisore here . Also lawmaker representing ide federal constituency will make so much influence here . In 2018 Apc= 6957 pdp =3200 sdp= 20498. Omisore also won with very high margin . Ife is naturally pro pdp but in 2018 their son is on ballot and that's why pdp lost it precious lg. Adeleke deputy is from ife and many are supporting him . Mind you in 2018 his deputy is also from ife but I must say Adeleke made a mistake choosing that old baba , he got no electoral value infact ife people hate him . TOP members are also active here . Both parties will do very well in this lg . Infact both will have to spend high for the voters to have their votes. Close to call but [b]pdp should win .

To be continue

. My permutation is as follows:. Osun West :. Ede North and Ede South PDP. Others APC Osun Central: Osogbo Olorunda Ila, Ikirun Iragbiji etc APC. Osun East : Ife Central East North and South APC Atakumosa West and East APC. Ilesa West APC Oriade PDP Ibokun. PDP Factors that will contribute to APC victory are: 1. Omisore factor ..He is a decider in the election. 2. Workes love Oyetola 3 Osogbo /Edeland face off. Osogbo will prefer a person from their zone to continue for now..4 Aversion that workers had for Aregbesola as a build up to 2/18 election is still there for him. He still has no relevance in Osun politics for now 5 Influence of Baba Akande in Ila Orangun....A Federal instititution is their now. 6 Iwo will not lose the opportunity to show appreciation for the new Federal school in the town. 7 Ijesas have STATE UNIVERSITY NOW......A LOT MORE...

Until after the election you will know how important is Aregbe in osun politics . Apc will lose woefully in ijesa axis . I laugh at you when you said pdp will only win Ede north and south in osun west

ejimatic:
. My permutation is as follows:. Osun West :. Ede North and Ede South PDP. Others APC Osun Central: Osogbo Olorunda Ila, Ikirun Iragbiji etc APC. Osun East : Ife Central East North and South APC Atakumosa West and East APC. Ilesa West APC Oriade PDP Ibokun. PDP Factors that will contribute to APC victory are: 1. Omisore factor ..He is a decider in the election. 2. Workes love Oyetola 3 Osogbo /Edeland face off. Osogbo will prefer a person from their zone to continue for now..4 Aversion that workers had for Aregbesola as a build up to 2/18 election is still there for him. He still has no relevance in Osun politics for now 5 Influence of Baba Akande in Ila Orangun....A Federal instititution is their now. 6 Iwo will not lose the opportunity to show appreciation for the new Federal school in the town. 7 Ijesas have STATE UNIVERSITY NOW......A LOT MORE...

11.Boluwaduro lg: This lg is present in osun central( governor zone). Apc Is expected to do well here . A win for the governor is very sure . Apc

12.Boripe lg:[/b]Also in osun central , Apc will win Landslide here .[b]Apc

13.Ifedayo lg: This a local govt Adeleke won in osun central in 2018. I don't see him retaining the winning over here but pdp will get reasonable votes I mean will be so close . In 2018 , Apc= 3182 pdp= 3374. Apc

14.Orolu lg:[/b]Another lg Adeleke won in osun central in 2018 . Pdp is expected to win this lg again . Adeleke is very much popular here . In 2018, Apc = 5442 pdp= 7776 . [b]pdp

15. Irepodun lg: Another lg in osun central where Adeleke won convincingly in 2018. Yet nothing is changing here again , he is taking the lg again . in 2018 Apc = 6517 pdp = 8058. pdp

Troublemaker111:
Until after the election you will know how important is Aregbe in osun politics . Apc will lose woefully in ijesa axis . I laugh at you when you said pdp will only win Ede north and south in osun west

Do you know why APC saw Hell in Ilesa in 2018? It was the inglorious second term of Aregbesola....The Ijesas and Osun hated him with pasion when they found out the wickedness in him on labour matters. This year's is different.I expect a better results now for the APC in Ikesa. With the speaker coming from there except Oriade and Ibokun known for PDP since because of the love they have for Wole Oke.

16.Atakumosa East: pdp is very strong in this lg but see Apc winning this lg . Apc

17. Atakumosa West: Like it counterpart pdp is very much more stronger here . Tho pdp won here in 2018. APC TOP faction got strong influence here , as determined as they are , they might spoil show for Apc unless otherwise . pdp

18.Ilesa west: This is where the battle lies . Believe whatever you want . Aregbe still remain influential in ijesa politics although not as before . He is factor to reckon with in this lg . If he didn't support the governor then this local government will go to pdp as Fadahunsi , senator representing osun east got much more influence here . Infact pdp won here in 2018 with Apc = 7251 pdp = 8286 . Omisore don't really have any influence in ijesa politics . pdp

19.Ilesa east: Almost same theory with Ilesa west .TOP members got much say here also , tho Apc won here in 2018 but might go for pdp now . Still Apc might take this Apc

20. Obokun lg: [/b]This lg are lovers of pdp , pdp always dominate here . Hon Woke Oke is very influential here and he's well loved by his people , he control the politics in this lg .[b]pdp

ejimatic:
. My permutation is as follows:. Osun West :. Ede North and Ede South PDP. Others APC Osun Central: Osogbo Olorunda Ila, Ikirun Iragbiji etc APC. Osun East : Ife Central East North and South APC Atakumosa West and East APC. Ilesa West APC Oriade PDP Ibokun. PDP Factors that will contribute to APC victory are: 1. Omisore factor ..He is a decider in the election. 2. Workes love Oyetola 3 Osogbo /Edeland face off. Osogbo will prefer a person from their zone to continue for now..4 Aversion that workers had for Aregbesola as a build up to 2/18 election is still there for him. He still has no relevance in Osun politics for now 5 Influence of Baba Akande in Ila Orangun....A Federal instititution is their now. 6 Iwo will not lose the opportunity to show appreciation for the new Federal school in the town. 7 Ijesas have STATE UNIVERSITY NOW......A LOT MORE...

U have a point. Baba half was the reason APC struggled for 2018 Guber election. This time, it's gonna be a bit easier for Oyetola. U also mentioned those factors without mentioning Tinubu's presidential bid which is like a Yoruba project.

As osun dey like this.

It's not an election where you can make ur permutations.

You fit wrong. Cos the election go strong.

BTW is Irewole no longer a Local government in osun?

Anyways APC will win it, it's the deputy governors LGA and they've done somethings in that town

21.Oriade lg: Another strong base of Oluwole Oke . Although Apc is also strong here , hopefully Aregbe factor won't diminish their chances here . pdp

22.Irewole lg: [/b]This lg belong to osun west . Pdp will claim this lg again as they did in 2018. Nothing has changed here. In 2018 , Apc= 10049 pdp = 13848 . Adeleke ought to win here but this is lg of deputy Governor . So Apc might overturn it this time [b]Apc

23.Ola-Oluwa lg: : Also in osun central . Apc will win this lg slightly . Apc

24.Olorunda lg:[/b]Osun central. Apc will win massively here . I mean that . . Pdp will surely have reasonable votes [b]Apc

25.Orolu lg: Belongs to osun central . This is a lg Adeleke won in 2018 despite being in Oyetola senatorial district. Infact is rerun took place in some of the polling unit here . Adeleke still have some grip in this lg . It is expected he carry the day again . pdp

And that's the reason it is called permutation

Sammy07:
As osun dey like this.

It's not an election where you can make ur permutations.

You fit wrong. Cos the election go strong.

Troublemaker111:
Until after the election you will know how important is Aregbe in osun politics . Apc will lose woefully in ijesa axis . I laugh at you when you said pdp will only win Ede north and south in osun west

Did Apc win in ijesa axis in 2018 when Aregbesola was with Oyetola? Go back and check the results? He almost made Oyetola lose the election because workers hated him and still hate him. Osun is a civil service state.Baba hafu! Oyetola will win handsomely this time. He has been very worker friendly with full salaries being paid on time,he also cleared the arears left behind by Aregbesola. The incorporation of omisore into the Apc will make the election much easier for Oyetola this time. He's firmly in a much better position than he was in 2018.

Troublemaker111:
And that's the reason it is called permutation

Based on this permutation, apc will win

Apc will win 17 lgad,pdp 13 just like in 2018...pdp will win massively in only ede while apc will win massively in boripe,omisore LGA,osogbo,olorunda and iwo

What has Omisore got to do with the politics of ijesha Hope you are not Igbos I hate interacting with Igbos . In politics of ijesa Aregbe is very much more influential. Not supporting the governor now will even make the the governor have a bad outing in ijesa land . Pdp is very formidable here I mean very active

famology:



Did Apc win in ijesa axis in 2018 when Aregbesola was with Oyetola? Go back and check the results? He almost made Oyetola lose the election because workers hated him and still hate him. Osun is a civil service state.Baba hafu! Oyetola will win handsomely this time. He has been very worker friendly with full salaries being paid on time,he also cleared the arears left behind by Aregbesola. The incorporation of omisore into the Apc will make the election much easier for Oyetola this time. He's firmly in a much better position than he was in 2018.

Apc can't win massively in osogbo hopefully that not where defeat will start for Mr governor . You even said Apc will win massively in Iwo Where Sheu dey . If Sheu is not on ballot then expect Iwo to go to pdp . Iwo love to vote inline with pdp , 2018 was different cos' their son is on ballot . Infact TOP Apc dominate iwo land .

Omisore lg do you mean ife east . Of course he would deliver that lg but not as it always be for him . He should expect a strong contest with pdp in ife central cos' pdp is super strong here . This is my local govt

garfield1:
Apc will win 17 lgad,pdp 13 just like in 2018...pdp will win massively in only ede while apc will win massively in boripe,omisore LGA,osogbo,olorunda and iwo

26.Ede north:This is where Adeleke is expected to win massively. Ede people just love to follow Adeleke family anywhere . Even Apc knows it a bad outing here . pdp

27.Ede south: This lg is quite similar to it brother with a very high voting strength . Every part of this lg it for Adeleke. pdp

28.Iwo lg: This is hometown of Apc Top candidate , Sheu . He remained formidable and it is quite believed here that power should be in osun west. If Top members didn't reconcile with Oyetola till the election then the governor is about to lose this high voting strength lg . Iwo loves to vote inline with pdp . Adeleke may likely take this lg if no reconciliation is made before the election unless otherwise.pdp

29.Isokan lg: in osun west . Pdp will win here once again , Adeleke is very popular here and nothing is changing that pdp

30[b]Odo-Otin[/b]: in osun central Apc will win here again though it won't be a landslide victory . Apc

Troublemaker111:
Apc can't win massively in osogbo hopefully that not where defeat will start for Mr governor . You even said Apc will win massively in Iwo Where Sheu dey . If Sheu is not on ballot then expect Iwo to go to pdp . Iwo love to vote inline with pdp , 2018 was different cos' their son is on ballot . Infact TOP Apc dominate iwo land .

Omisore lg do you mean ife east . Of course he would deliver that lg but not as it always be for him . He should expect a strong contest with pdp in ife central cos' pdp is super strong here . This is my local govt

Apc is winning osun son

I won't declare anybody a winner but will likely put you through the winner might emeges

garfield1:


Based on this permutation, apc will win

Troublemaker111:
26.Ede north:This is where Adeleke is expected to win massively. Ede people just love to follow Adeleke family anywhere . Even Apc knows it a bad outing here . pdp

27.Ede south: This lg is quite similar to it brother with a very high voting strength . Every part of this lg it for Adeleke. pdp

28.Iwo lg: This is hometown of Apc Top candidate , Sheu . He remained formidable and it is quite believed here that power should be in osun west. If Top members didn't reconcile with Oyetola till the election then the governor is about to lose this high voting strength lg . Iwo loves to vote inline with pdp . Adeleke may likely take this lg if no reconciliation is made before the election unless otherwise.pdp

29.Isokan lg: in osun west . Pdp will win here once again , Adeleke is very popular here and nothing is changing that pdp

30[b]Odo-Otin[/b]: in osun central Apc will win here again though it won't be a landslide victory . Apc

16 14 in favour of apc

Me son I won't like to insult you here , remember you writing to Troublemaker.peace is never an option

garfield1:


Apc is winning osun son

Yes but more to that .

garfield1:


16 14 in favour of apc

Troublemaker111:
Yes but more to that .

How

Conclusion: Apc will win more lg than pdp perhaps even more than I projected up there . Apc still need Aregbe honestly, he still got strong network in osun politics if anyone tells you otherwise is just ignorant of Osun politics. There is a judgement to be deliver july 14 between Sheu and Oyetola . Top members seem to be fighting to the end.

The governor already shot Top members out Apc politics in osun believing he don't need them. Aregbe obsession with Oyetola is basically Omisore factor , I don't think both men can work together but nothing is impossible in politics . If Kwankwaso and Shekarau can be in the same party then stop both men also

Now anyone who will win that election must win at least four local govt out of all listed below if you don't then wahala ti de niyen
1. Osogbo lg
2. Ife East
3. Ife central
4.Ede north
5 Ede South
6. Obokun
7. Iwo

I repeat any party who can win massively in at least four local govt above there is almost coasting to victory infact winning more local govt doesn't guarantee victory but you must win local govt that matters.
Free to quote me after the election .

I'm from osun state , ile-ife precisely , from ife central lg. Love you guys

Troublemaker111:
Conclusion: Apc will win more lg than pdp perhaps even more than I projected up there . Apc still need Aregbe honestly, he still got strong network in osun politics if anyone tells you otherwise is just ignorant of Osun politics. There is a judgement to be deliver july 14 between Sheu and Oyetola . Top members seem to be fighting to the end.

The governor already shot Top members out Apc politics in osun believing he don't need them. Aregbe obsession with Oyetola is basically Omisore factor , I don't think both men can work together but nothing is impossible in politics . If Kwankwaso and Shekarau can be in the same party then stop both men also

Now anyone who will win that election must win at least four local govt out of all listed below if you don't then wahala ti de niyen
1. Osogbo lg
2. Ife East
3. Ife central
4.Ede north
5 Ede South
6. Obokun
7. Iwo

I repeat any party who can win massively in at least four local govt above there is almost coasting to victory infact winning more local govt doesn't guarantee victory but you must win local govt that matters.
Free to quote me after the election .

I'm from osun state , ile-ife precisely , from ife central lg. Love you guys

Well analyses permutations though i expect Adeleke to do well on dis coming election cos osun voters can’t wait to vote, I’m very sure he will win Osogbo lg.

Peacecore:
U have a point. Baba half was the reason APC struggled for 2018 Guber election. This time, it's gonna be a bit easier for Oyetola. U also mentioned those factors without mentioning Tinubu's presidential bid which is like a Yoruba project.

. You are right! Tinubu is a South West project .Yorubas will all support Osun to remain as an APC state

Troublemaker111:
Conclusion: Apc will win more lg than pdp perhaps even more than I projected up there . Apc still need Aregbe honestly, he still got strong network in osun politics if anyone tells you otherwise is just ignorant of Osun politics. There is a judgement to be deliver july 14 between Sheu and Oyetola . Top members seem to be fighting to the end.

The governor already shot Top members out Apc politics in osun believing he don't need them. Aregbe obsession with Oyetola is basically Omisore factor , I don't think both men can work together but nothing is impossible in politics . If Kwankwaso and Shekarau can be in the same party then stop both men also

Now anyone who will win that election must win at least four local govt out of all listed below if you don't then wahala ti de niyen
1. Osogbo lg
2. Ife East
3. Ife central
4.Ede north
5 Ede South
6. Obokun
7. Iwo


I repeat any party who can win massively in at least four local govt above there is almost coasting to victory infact winning more local govt doesn't guarantee victory but you must win local govt that matters.
Free to quote me after the election .

I'm from osun state , ile-ife precisely , from ife central lg. Love you guys

Add Olorunda

Lies and propaganda permutations, you are never from Osun State so you will never know what will happen in Osun State. Oyetola must go, the same Oyetola that completely destroyed Osun State APC beyond repair. July 16th is the return of the stolen mandate back to the owner senator Ademola Nurudeen Jackson Adeleke.

It's business as usual in South West...Election of Stomach infrastructure where people chose to sell their votes for 2k some for as low as #500. JFK learnt the hard way In Ekiti, when he was ousted by Fayose. The last election in Ekiti, he didn't lose sleep and made sure he bought every vote APC got.

Win Olorunda and even more lg , if you don't win at least the four lg I stared , you going no where. As you can see I only picked one lg in ijesa axis , even two in ife axis .

Aiel123:

Add Olorunda