BlueRayDick:
https://www.nairaland.com/7236306/tinubu-drug-money-saga-plainsite

@iamoyindamola this is why I was saying yesterday. Normally if Hundeyin dey Naija dem go Don reason him matter o.

raumdeuter:
Sod and BlueRayDick una don hear latest audio from portable say dem wan kill am

raumdeuter:


I dont think that is right and I hope its not right

Its obvious Osun people like PDP or Adeleke. He was denied his mandate in 2018 and they gave it to him powerfully this time. It will be wrong to deny him based on court case again

Let him do his 4yrs, its not that far. Let electorates judge him after the 4yrs. If he doesn't perform they vote him out.

Also the APC has to learn from losing too. Especially in states where the support is close to 50-50

raumdeuter:


He is the last of the 3 in SS abi you think he should be 1st or 2nd?

Oshiomole is running for senate and he will take some people for Tinunu

Oasis007:
https://twitter.com/DeeOneAyekooto/status/1549129614907396100?t=N2AY1BeOVqlS_UfpNpNRGQ&s=19

Cc izzou, BlueRayDick, Raumdeuter, Android17, larride

raumdeuter:


He is the last of the 3 in SS abi you think he should be 1st or 2nd?

Oshiomole is running for senate and he will take some people for Tinunu

raumdeuter:
Ibime Roland17 gloriousgbola and all the economists

What does this mean at least in theory without the Nigerian factor

Nigeria’s State-Owned Energy Firm Starts Commercial Operations
Revamped NNPC intended to operate as fully commercial venture
NNPC will import gasoline, government will shoulder subsidy

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-19/nigeria-s-state-owned-energy-firm-starts-commercial-operations?utm_medium=social&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-africa&utm_content=africa&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic

raumdeuter:


He is the last of the 3 in SS abi you think he should be 1st or 2nd?

Oshiomole is running for senate and he will take some people for Tinunu

Amoto94:

It is either they perform or they're toast the next step should be listing on the NSE so that the public can monitor their performance over time.

raumdeuter:


SW = Tinubu vs Atiku vs Obi

SE = Obi vs Atiku

SS = Atiku vs Obi vs Tinubu

NC = Tinubu vs Atiku vs Obi

NE = Atiku vs Tinubu vs Kwankwanso

NW = Tinubu vs Kwankwanso vs Atiku

That order is important as its from most favored to least favored. From left to right
Tinubu is first in 3 regions, Atiku is first in 2 regions, If Obi voters lose the ginger Atiku automatically becomes favorite in 4 regions and very competitive in SW. Obi's candidacy, being on the ballot and going into election with full belief he will win is very crucial for this election

I did not consider any candidate that will get less than 5% of votes

Roland17:


Na Boko Haram go price the book from him hand las las!

That is if dem no kidnap am join with him shelf.

izzou:
Where is Fashola and Muiz Banire?

Haven't seen those guys or heard from them in a long while

iamoyindamola:

They are cooking
E never done

No whine me

Dem no dey kitchen sef

Theflint1:
The region Oshiomhole is from in Edo State is like 15% of Edo States population and that part of Edo State has a good spread of Christians too, who would kick against this Muslim-Muslim ticket. But even if Tinubu gets that 15% entirely, it's little or nothing in the entire SS. South South is Atiku and Peter Obi.

EmmanuelScott1:


I guess you're F.C , same here but ain't so much about Fanbase, I listen to good music that's why I rate Fireboy and burnaboy more(they speak life). Damini worth every hype it's getting 100%, like I said wizzy,David and Fireboy have to put more effort to beat damini.

On Asa, I pick Lucid album over V(Check Google rating).

raumdeuter:


Which still means Tinubu will be 3rd in SS behind Atiku and Obi. Tinubu will get more votes in SS than in the SE where he wont be a factor at all

Android17:
Did APC not win the gubernatorial elections in Bayelsa in 2019? How come someone wants to analyze an election but conveniently avoids facts that would have affected his analysis of said election. If you point it out, they'll label you an APC apologist.

raumdeuter:


Which still means Tinubu will be 3rd in SS behind Atiku and Obi. Tinubu will get more votes in SS than in the SE where he wont be a factor at all

Android17:
Did APC not win the gubernatorial elections in Bayelsa in 2019? How come someone wants to analyze an election but conveniently avoids facts that would have affected his analysis of said election. If you point it out, they'll label you an APC apologist.

Theflint1:
True sha, but in truth it will be insignificant. If Peter Obi wasn't running Tinubu may have gotten votes from South Easterners who would not want Northern presidency back to back.

raumdeuter:


Local gubernatorial politics s different. Jonathan got like 99% of votes from Bayelsa in presidential but if he had contsted for Bayelsa governors he wont get up to them

The race becomes our son vs outsider

I try to avoid emotions and make analysis based on numbers

Theflint1:
I wonder how the APC factor would play in this permutation though, people are tired of APC, even up North. Those not voting Atiku up North will vote Kwakwanso (an alternative for those tired of APC and even PDP). Tinubu will get votes up North though, he could tie NC but will most likely come third NW and NE. The Northerners can keep the presidency by voting Atiku, why vote Tinubu?

Theflint1:
Exactly. If their APC candidate that won the governorship elections initially was on seat it'd have been a factor but now that it's PDP governor there, APC has no chance.

raumdeuter:


If Obi wasnt running all those votes would have gone to Atiku straight as the PDP is very strong in the SE. Actually SE and SS are PDPs strongest base

popizaino:

Theflint1:
APGA wins elections in Anambra, doesn't mean a Peter Obi won't sweep Anambra even if APGA had a presidential candidate. Bayelsa is a strong PDP state. Which APC candidate won elections in Bayelsa in 2019? Their present governor is a PDP party member.

raumdeuter:


Local gubernatorial politics s different. Jonathan got like 99% of votes from Bayelsa in presidential but if he had contsted for Bayelsa governors he wont get up to them

The race becomes our son vs outsider

I try to avoid emotions and make analysis based on numbers

raumdeuter:


There are semi strong APC candidates in the South vying for governorship and will want to prove themselves to the center that they are not useless. Same way I will expect Ademola to rally votes for Atiku in Osun to prove to the center that they are relevant