samorobo:


So basically I won, flawlessly.

no you just took so fvcking long to formulate a reply

Shma2022:
Ladies and gentlemen. The mighty champ of ugliness. Slim swollen box face... A true reflection of abortion rescued weeny... Created in the midst of darkness; when the wh0ring mom was busy giving Mouth Gig and getting strokes on her loose borehole sewagery p*ssy from strangers. This face can scare human with the state of it's malnourishment.

Samorobo... While you're busy posting random downloaded campaign pictures. I'm hereby posting the real YOU.

So after all that hacking you’ve been yapping about this is the best you could come up with.

Lol stupid ass that nigga aint me, let just assume he was me for a seconds ,I will rather look like that gut than look like the vomit you are.

Anyway fool ,I posted my pictures here last year with your stupid name and that of saddam as proof. I just thought I should refresh your poverty memory just incase you’ve forgotten dumbass.


Surely you were cursed with ugliness. You look like a big headed vulture ready to prey on it catch.

jl115:
no you just took so fvcking long to formulate a reply

It’s called being busy,I reply on my terms. You lost,accept and move on

The polls will open in few hours - and results should be ready by 9 pm tomorrow.

Like I have done in every Kenya election and referenda since 2005 - I calling this for Ruto at 55.5% against Raila's 43.5% - Waja & Mwaura combined will get 1 percent.

Ruto likely to score 57% as attempt to manipulate and rig election has so far failed - the use of crossing of names in manual register that aided topping up voting has also been declared illegal last minut.

PREDICTED PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 9 AUGUST 2022
===================================================================
Source: MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEET


NATIONAL SUMMARY
===================================================================
Registered voters: 22,199,312

Votes Expected To Be Cast: 16,072,665 72% - weighted historical average without cleaning register will see 5% drop of turnout.

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidate Party Votes %
-------------------------------------------------------------------
William Ruto UDA 8,772,405 55%
Raila Odinga AZIMIO 7,058,158 44%
Others OTHERS 242,100 2% - Wajackoyah will score 1.7% - Mwaura 0.3%.

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 16,072,665
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Lowest Ruto will do is 54% of 8.5M; Lowest Raila will do is 6.7M of 42% - factoring all plausible Shenagians.
Highest Ruto will do is 57% of 9.2M; Highest Raila will do is 7.2M of 45% - if election is free & fair

The numbers settles at 55% of 8.7M for Ruto and 44% of 7M for RAILA

rvp20182:
The polls will open in few hours - and results should be ready by 9 pm tomorrow.

Like I have done in every Kenya election and referenda since 2005 - I calling this for Ruto at 55.5% against Raila's 43.5% - Waja & Mwaura combined will get 1 percent.

Ruto likely to score 57% as attempt to manipulate and rig election has so far failed - the use of crossing of names in manual register that aided topping up voting has also been declared illegal last minut.

PREDICTED PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 9 AUGUST 2022
===================================================================
Source: MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEET


NATIONAL SUMMARY
===================================================================
Registered voters: 22,199,312

Votes Expected To Be Cast: 16,072,665 72% - weighted historical average without cleaning register will see 5% drop of turnout.

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Candidate Party Votes %
-------------------------------------------------------------------
William Ruto UDA 8,772,405 55%
Raila Odinga AZIMIO 7,058,158 44%
Others OTHERS 242,100 2% - Wajackoyah will score 1.7% - Mwaura 0.3%.

-------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 16,072,665
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Lowest Ruto will do is 54% of 8.5M; Lowest Raila will do is 6.9M of 43% - factoring all plausible Shenagians.
Highest Ruto will do is 56% of 9M; Highest Raila will do is 7.2M of 45% - if election is free & fair

The numbers settles at 55% of 8.7M for Ruto and 44% of 7M for RAILA

This are the last hours. Tommorow we will hear the result and then the dust can finally settle on this thread.

Recap of Last Kenya election - 2017 General Election.

Presidential - I predicted 53-54 versus 44-45% - the final tally was 54.4% versus 44.4%. Raila rushed to the court but the numbers were never impugned.

Parliament

The summary
FINAL RESULTS :
NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
1.JUBILEE MPS--------------163 ( MOASS Predicted 159)
2. NASA MPS---------------114 (MOASS predicted 108)
3.INDEPENDENTS-----------13 (MOASS predicted 23)
TOTAL==========290
WOMEN REPS :
1.JUBILEE WOMEN REPS-----------31 (MOASS predicted 25)
2. NASA WOMEN REPS---------------16 (MOASS predicted 21)
TOTAL========47

Senate - I think 40 against 47.
Governorship -- I got 39 right against 47

Half the Kenyan guys here - young guns like Shma and Tayser - will disappear for a few weeks in great shame - and in depression - then will crawl back in new handles - and they will learn to respect their elders.

samorobo:


This are the last hours. Tommorow we will hear the result and then the dust can finally settle on this thread.

samorobo:


It’s called being busy,I reply on my terms. You lost,accept and move on

yes I lost... I lost interest...

samorobo:



So after all that hacking you’ve been yapping about this is the best you could come up with.

Lol stupid ass that nigga aint me, let just assume he was me for a seconds ,I will rather look like that gut than look like the vomit you are.

Anyway fool ,I posted my pictures here last year with your stupid name and that of saddam as proof. I just thought I should refresh your poverty memory just incase you’ve forgotten dumbass.


Surely you were cursed with ugliness. You look like a big headed vulture ready to prey on it catches.

I haven't given any attempt to hack you. Just stay vigilant, BOK0HARAM - puke-inducing facial impaired m0ron. Anytime soon, your details Might be all over Nairaland.

For starters, we will use the pic in your google profile(The looks-devoid malnourished scarecrow box head.) Trust the process and stay woke... Don't be bamboozled in the few days for what I've done to you.

This is the last time I'm telling you_ The pic you're posting is not anywhere close to how I look. The moment you keep on posting that pic, the more you display your cognitive impairment. Stay away for your future sanity.

I'm done with you for a moment. Lemme focus on big AGENDA - the election debate. Spare this childish show for later days.

Cheers, Ugly B0koharam!

Uhuru thought he could rig in NEP. Gunshot fired. Ruto has counter-intelligence - this looking like 57-58 game now. Mt kenya has failed. Now to remote areas
https://twitter.com/InsecurityKE/status/1556700633515925505

Charles Horsnby is pretty good...but it been difficult year for him. Ruto cannot lose this election even if he wanted.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog
Final predictions. I still predict William Ruto will win the presidential election narrowly – by 51% or 52% to 48 or 49% for Raila. 8.3 m for Ruto to 8.1 m votes for Raila with negligible votes to the other two minor candidates (<1% combined), based on a mid-range runout of 74-75%. This is a tiny majority, but over 50% and meets all other requirements. But it is far from certain. Small changes to my estimates (much lower turnout in Mount Kenya, a complete ANC/FORD-K collapse in Western) could flip this the other way, rising to a 51%-49% Raila win. But still, I predict a small Ruto win, to be followed by aggressive attempts in the courts to invalidate it.

Hornsby - absolutely!! I also called 2007 for Raila and he was brazenly rigged out - the rest not even a percentage point off.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog/eve-of-poll-prediction#comments
should know when to quit and I've called them roughly correctly since 1992 (apart from 2007, which I missed, but which I would have called for Raila). Still, let us see what the next four days hold ! Every Kenyan election holds something new.

Shma2022:
Ladies and gentlemen. The mighty champ of ugliness. Slim swollen box face... A true reflection of abortion rescued weeny... Created in the midst of darkness; when the wh0ring mom was busy giving Mouth Gig and getting strokes on her loose borehole sewagery p*ssy from strangers. This face can scare human with the state of it's malnourishment.

Samorobo... While you're busy posting random downloaded campaign pictures. I'm hereby posting the real YOU.

Shma2022:
Samboro... Why do you look like BOKOHARAM. I can also see bones from the glance of my sharp lens.

Are you starving?

Lmao!

Kazikazi:
Tanzania
Africa's longest electrified speedy rail

Where is the train?

Deepstate is really overworking.

rvp20182:
Uhuru thought he could rig in NEP. Gunshot fired. Ruto has counter-intelligence - this looking like 57-58 game now. Mt kenya has failed. Now to remote areas
https://twitter.com/InsecurityKE/status/1556700633515925505

that's why you'll never catch South Africa.... Kenya,typical African sh1thole

rvp20182:
Charles Horsnby is pretty good...but it been difficult year for him. Ruto cannot lose this election even if he wanted.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog
Final predictions. I still predict William Ruto will win the presidential election narrowly – by 51% or 52% to 48 or 49% for Raila. 8.3 m for Ruto to 8.1 m votes for Raila with negligible votes to the other two minor candidates (<1% combined), based on a mid-range runout of 74-75%. This is a tiny majority, but over 50% and meets all other requirements. But it is far from certain. Small changes to my estimates (much lower turnout in Mount Kenya, a complete ANC/FORD-K collapse in Western) could flip this the other way, rising to a 51%-49% Raila win. But still, I predict a small Ruto win, to be followed by aggressive attempts in the courts to invalidate it.

this is how Rvp predictes every election..... He just states every possible scenario and afterwards he says "look I predicted it" we went all they way from 56% Ruto win to 51% Raila win

rvp20182:
Uhuru thought he could rig in NEP. Gunshot fired. Ruto has counter-intelligence - this looking like 57-58 game now. Mt kenya has failed. Now to remote areas
https://twitter.com/InsecurityKE/status/1556700633515925505

#PRAYFORKENYAHARDER

AskiaHarem:


#PRAYFORKENYAHARDER

Prayer may not be enough an Archangel might have to descend to save Kenya.

jl115:
this is how Rvp predictes every election..... He just states every possible scenario and afterwards he says "look I predicted it" we went all they way from 56% Ruto win to 51% Raila win

Hunter,few hours...mine is 55.5..Charles is 52 percent

jl115:
that's why you'll never catch South Africa.... Kenya,typical African sh1thole

if we elect Ruto youre done

Shma2022:


My final prediction.

AZIMIO - 52%
KENYA KWISHA - 45%
THE ROOTS. - 2%
MWAURE. - 1%

This is so sure.

You are very modest man but we agree on the undisputed winner and loser

rvp20182:
Charles Horsnby is pretty good...but it been difficult year for him. Ruto cannot lose this election even if he wanted.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog
Final predictions. I still predict William Ruto will win the presidential election narrowly – by 51% or 52% to 48 or 49% for Raila. 8.3 m for Ruto to 8.1 m votes for Raila with negligible votes to the other two minor candidates (<1% combined), based on a mid-range runout of 74-75%. This is a tiny majority, but over 50% and meets all other requirements. But it is far from certain. Small changes to my estimates (much lower turnout in Mount Kenya, a complete ANC/FORD-K collapse in Western) could flip this the other way, rising to a 51%-49% Raila win. But still, I predict a small Ruto win, to be followed by aggressive attempts in the courts to invalidate it.

Regarding the bolded, you guessed right. Let me remind you that its no longer a wager if you only win and cannot lose. If both Ruto and Raila are winning from your calculations then we have a major problem. Remember we had a our own small club of Poll Rules where I had to defend my unbeaten streak? Yea, today is that day.

Voting to open in five minutes in all 46k polling station and in 12 diaspora Countries.There at least 97 observer missions.So far attempt to rollback democratic gains by scared president had been defeated by vigilant public.Voting closes at 5 pm and by 9 we will have good idea who will become the next president. The preliminary results will be transmitted electronically if gov doesn't try monkey games and being randomize by 7ish it will be clear who will win.

Tayser:


Regarding the bolded, you guessed right. Let me remind you that its no longer a wager if you only win and cannot lose. If both Ruto and Raila are winning from your calculations then we have a major problem. Remember we had a our own small club of Poll Rules where I had to defend my unbeaten streak? Yea, today is that day.

You're a joke.You just guess numbers. To imagine we can go toe to toe on number is crazy. I respect Charles Horsnby - he is deeply studied kenya politics and understand it' -

rvp20182:
You're a joke.You just guess numbers

We will see who is the joke tonight.

If you're asked to derive your numbers what will you say - you're an abuse of our education system. Numbers should never be thrown carelessly. I for example I have spend a lot of time - watching opinion polls/rallies/studying the dynamics/ethnicity/tapestry of every region - so many indicators - every number I put down is meticulously researched. I am the Nate Silver of Kenya election - and I cannot compete with an idiot like you. Yes Charles Horsnby - yes I respect such a person - he put in great deal of effort into his work - although he isnt a kenya.

Nate Silver is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC New

Tayser:

We will see who is the joke tonight.

Voting has started. William Ruto votes in his polling station in rural Eldoret

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-jQPznvkrY

rvp20182:
If you're asked to derive your numbers what will you say - you're an abuse of our education system. Numbers should never be thrown carelessly. I for example I have spend a lot of time - watching opinion polls/rallies/studying the dynamics/ethnicity/tapestry of every region - so many indicators - every number I put down is meticulously researched. I am the Nate Silver of Kenya election - and I cannot compete with an idiot like you. Yes Charles Horsnby - yes I respect such a person - he put in great deal of effort into his work - although he isnt a kenya.

Nate Silver is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight and a Special Correspondent for ABC New

Thats why im happy for you because you finally have a golden chance to prove your credentials. One of the things I hate in life is arguing over things that cannot be falsified, like what you've been doing. Thats why I kept ignoring your incessant arguments till now. Now finally, your figures are falsifiable within the next few hours. All you need to do is calm your statistical tiddies and wait.

I have done this since 2005. And I have been absolutely right except in presidential election of 2007 (Charles Horsnby was also wrong as election was brazenly rigged) - I nailed the parliamentary numbers though. To imagine I can get it wrong by more than 1 percent is crazy.

2010 - opinion polls were saying 20:70 - I predicted 33 versus 67 - final score was 32 versus 68.
2013 - all opinion polls were predicting no one would win in 1st round and most were for Raila win - final score 51 versus 45 - I had predicted 51 versus 46.
In 2017 - I predicted 54 versus 44 - it was bullseyes.
In 2017 repeat - I predicted Raila would beat the Turkana to score 2% with Uhuru scoring 98% - it was bull eyes.

And not only that I predict mps/senators/governors seat.

Tayser:


Thats why im happy for you because you finally have a golden chance to prove your credentials. One of the things I hate in life is arguing over things that cannot be falsified, like what you've been doing. Thats why I kept ignoring your incessant arguments till now. Now finally, your figures are falsifiable within the next few hours. All you need to do is calm your statistical tiddies and wait.

This was my 2017 re-run. I predicted Uhuru would get 97, Raila who had boycotted 2%, and Turkana boy 1%. The turnout was off because NASA unleashed violence on the election day.

rvp20182:
I have done this since 2005. And I have been absolutely right except in presidential election of 2007 (Charles Horsnby was also wrong as election was brazenly rigged) - I nailed the parliamentary numbers though. To imagine I can get it wrong by more than 1 percent is crazy.

2010 - opinion polls were saying 20:70 - I predicted 33 versus 67 - final score was 32 versus 68.
2013 - all opinion polls were predicting no one would win in 1st round and most were for Raila win - final score 51 versus 45 - I had predicted 51 versus 46.
In 2017 - I predicted 54 versus 44 - it was bullseyes.
In 2017 repeat - I predicted Raila would beat the Turkana to score 2% with Uhuru scoring 98% - it was bull eyes.

And not only that I predict mps/senators/governors seat.

We didn't see your predictions in 2017 though you were on these threads then(at least the other thread).

But this time around by the end of today we'll know if you are really good at this. Your numbers are right now in public domain. I hope this is part of what you do for a living and not just as a dilettante.