garfield1:
Exactly, if obi wins,lp will have at least 5 govs but I know lp will win some senate seats like in owerri,Enugu,ebonyi central,anambra central,plateau north,edo south

Yes, they will win Assembly seats, esp those ones that will hold same day as the Presidential election.

President....nah! It's an Atiku/Tinubu show.

fergie001:

Many people didn't like the way he left APGA.
After PDP, APGA is the Party close to the hearts of people there, until the APC invasion. Otti is very very competent and a good person but politics no be anybody mate.

For Lagos, Jide is already in his second tenure. Even some PDP members will vote APC for Guber and vote Atiku for President. Sanwo-Olu lekan si....... He has not done that well but there is a way Lagos just happens. The opposition is flat, weak, vacuous and come to think of it, GRV was until a few months ago in PDP so they will help cancel themselves out for Sanwo-Olu.

For the Presidential, Tinubu will win Lagos - I believe it is the marginal difference in your strongholds that decides how well you win.

Obi will get 25% in lagos.I don't know for the Adamawa man.those areas pdp usually win are dominated by obi people

fergie001:

Yes, they will win Assembly seats, esp those ones that will hold same day as the Presidential election.

President....nah! It's an Atiku/Tinubu show.

Yes.go to YouTube,even in Kaduna and Adamawa,people prefer obi

fergie001:

Many people didn't like the way he left APGA.
After PDP, APGA is the Party close to the hearts of people there, until the APC invasion. Otti is very very competent and a good person but politics no be anybody mate.

For Lagos, Jide is already in his second tenure. Even some PDP members will vote APC for Guber and vote Atiku for President. Sanwo-Olu lekan si....... He has not done that well but there is a way Lagos just happens. The opposition is flat, weak, vacuous and come to think of it, GRV was until a few months ago in PDP so they will help cancel themselves out for Sanwo-Olu.

For the Presidential, Tinubu will win Lagos - I believe it is the marginal difference in your strongholds that decides how well you win.

You have a point.

Sanwolu’s second term is all but done and dusted.

But there’s this boldness that might come with Obi’s victory at National level.

The youths might just want to end the Tinubu dynasty once and for all. And if they decide to do that, votes won’t be shared between GRV and the PDP candidate. It will just be a one way traffic for GRV and you never can tell what that would bring.

kapelvej:
what is this . No Edo

Edo guber is 2024

Kyase:

Reason well na
All these people you mentioned had an existing structures before forming new parties
All they did was to collapse it to the new party

Bigwigs are joining lp

Okoroawusa:

See as you talk am e sweet for your mouth.... continue

I made practical and verifiable submissions.

Why not counter me with counter submission if you disagree?

garfield1:
Obi will get 25% in Lagos. I don't know for the Adamawa man.those areas pdp usually win are dominated by obi people

Obi will likely get more than that.
Atiku will appreciate whatever he gets in Lagos.

garfield1:
Yes. Go to YouTube,even in Kaduna and Adamawa,people prefer obi

So you think he will win any of the two you mentioned?
Even in Adamawa, you think he'll get 25%, with the presence of PDP & APC stalwarts there?

Is it that people are afraid of saying some of these things I am saying or .....?

garfield1:


Fintiri is not her brother.she personally sponsored binani

No Fulani will be governor of adamawa again
You think say dem forget wetin Nyaku do

fergie001:

So you think he will win any of the two you mentioned?
Even in Adamawa, you think he'll get 25%, with the presence of PDP & APC stalwarts there?

Is it that people are afraid of saying some of the things I am saying or .....?

Atiku is likely to have more than 1 million votes in adamawa
Some Christians will vote obi
The only set of people that will vote tinubu is the Fulani and they are the minority in adamawa

fergie001:

This one.you dey para for Garfield

E never know wetin go happen to tinubu
I just Dey laugh am
Atiku is having 60% chance to win the next election

garfield1:
Apc
Zamfara,kebbi,sokoto,katsina,Kaduna,jigawa,borno,yobe,gombe,Niger,nasarawa,kwara,Benue, Ogun,lagos,cross river,IMO,ebonyi

Pdp
Taraba,kogi,Oyo,rivers,akwa ibom,Enugu,abia

Lp
Maybe plateau or Enugu
Nnpp
Kano,maybe bauchi,

Battlegrounds
Adamawa,bauchi,plateau,delta,cross river partially, bayelsa.




Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Passing shot
Oghenaogie
Helinues
Majamatic
Dannycypher
Kingyakos
Aiel
Noethnicity
Cajal
Quotasystem
Majole
Seanfer
Chrixxx
Penguin2

With BVAS this election is going to be interesting
APC: ZAMFARA, YOBE, BORNO, NIGER, GOMBE
PDP: ENUGU,
NNPP: KANO
REST OF GOVERNORSHIP: BATTLEGROUNDS, ANY GUBERNATORIAL THAT I EXPECT THE MAJOR OPPONENT TO LOSS BY LESS THAN 12 POINTS EG DELTA FAVORS PDP BUT ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN AND APC WOULD SURELY GET 44% ATLEAST TO EVEN WINNING IT SAME WITH RIVERS

Kyase:
Atiku is likely to have more than 1 million votes in Adamawa. Some Christians will vote obi
The only set of people that will vote Tinubu is the Fulani and they are the minority in Adamawa.

Abeg, has INEC sent you anything?

Kyase:

E never know wetin go happen to tinubu
I just Dey laugh am
Atiku is having 60% chance to win the next election

2023 will be interesting..... By October, everywhere don dey soft.

Dsalvo:


Lol. How many region does Obi and Atiku have on "lockdown"? I swear you lot and delusional emotions are 5 and 6 or white on Rice.

Who will win Southeast and Southsouth?

Penguin2:


You have a point.

Sanwolu’s second term is all but done and dusted.

But there’s this boldness that might come with Obi’s victory at National level.

The youths might just want to end the Tinubu dynasty once and for all. And if they decide to do that, votes won’t be shared between GRV and the PDP candidate. It will just be a one way traffic for GRV and you never can tell what that would bring.

This is a myth you Igbos alway propose every Lagos election cycle. I.e Lagosians are tired of Tinubu dynasty.

Lagos politics is very deeply entrenched and controlled by many powerful bloc loyal to Tinubu because, centrally, they know the reality of what matters most.

That reality is that, for all the noise you "Tinubu has enslaved Lagos" advocates make, Lagos continues to work, improve and move forward, without competition , from what Tinubu originally inherited in 1999.

Tinubu will only lose Lagos if any APC Governor fcks up very badly. Sanwo Olu's satisfaction rating is high across the board.

Try again in 8 years because the next four of Sanwo Olu will usher in the 'see and feel' delivery of so many pivotal and blockbuster projects (Eko Atlantic, Lekki coastal road, Lagos Metro rail, Dangote refinery, LFTZ, possibly Lekki international Airport and fourth mainland Bridge etal) to the extent the Lagos electorate will be dizzy with love for APC.

Forget Lagos bro. No miracles possible there next year even if Obi emerges President with a landslide victory.

garfield1:


You are right.I just gave kogi to pdp as jara.let's just concede kano to Abba Yusuf.Patrick dakum in plateau is strong and if dariye supports him,he wins plus berom bloc votes that senator gyang might bring

Who is senator Gyang on the plateau? Guy stop those your jokes

garfield1:


Uzodinma is good in winning elections. Since he came,apc has not lost any election even in the dreaded owerri zone.he is even better than yahaya.as rochas got bloc votes from ideato,hope will get from oru.he has orlu and okigwe under wraps

Garfield1 forget about ability to rig. You can't rig easily now so put that in your analysis. I don't see how Uzodinma wins reelection in Imo.

garfield1:


Uzodinma is good in winning elections. Since he came,apc has not lost any election even in the dreaded owerri zone.he is even better than yahaya.as rochas got bloc votes from ideato,hope will get from oru.he has orlu and okigwe under wraps

You're right. Even my friend from Orlu told me that that man is very fearful that he has never lose election. Whether it by rigging or what, I don't know. Though it's going to be a bit harder for him this time buh he may scare through especially if he can sponsor a strong candidate from Mbaise zone to divide their block votes. As for Ebonyi, I don't think if APC candidate really have an opponent. PDP is in disarray waiting for court to tell them the authentic candidate which either party mayn't accept at the end plus Dave's ruthless approach to elections. Enugu is naturally PDP. It will a miracle like court case to oust PDP in Enugu buh I can still see Obi doing very well here in presidential election especially in the metropolitan areas like Enugu East, Nsukka Central etc. In Anambra, Obi will get at least 80% of the votes cast.

Penguin2:


Who will win Southeast and Southsouth?

Bro, Tinubu just needs to do okay in the SE and SS comparative to how how Obi and Atiku would do in regions Tinubu would be superior and very strong in. That is the point.

Minus SE and SS, Obi is a motionless bus everywhere else in Nigeria.

Atiku, if the treacherous and cowardly Obi does not forge a last minute alliance with PDP, will be damaged badly by LP votes in those two regions.

Tinubu is a master strategists. He will not be worried by Obi and will focus on vote-winning strategies, anchored on strong grassroots mobilization, to defeat the PDP outright with no option of a rerun.

garfield1:


If Leicester could,hmmm

where is leceister today?... They won cos Arsenal and spurs weren't serious that season Arsenal beat leceister home and away that season Spurs second lost some matches shamefully... So let's be realistic

garfield1:


Tinubu might win cross river

PDP ll win cross River

Dsalvo:


Lol. Good example sha. But as your fellow Arsenal fan, I must confess that four wins out of four has got me dreaming sha.

Meanwhile Liverpool 9-0 thrashing of Bornemouth, and Man City coming back to beat Crystal Palace 4-2 from 2 nil down, don reset my optimism small.

when jungle mature u go see how Liverpool City go separate from the rest na wetin APC PDP go do next year

fergie001:

So you think he will win any of the two you mentioned?
Even in Adamawa, you think he'll get 25%, with the presence of PDP & APC stalwarts there?

Is it that people are afraid of saying some of these things I am saying or .....?

People are not scared to say what you are saying…

The thing is that you are so fixated on structure which is useless in our present political space especially with Electronic Transmission of results.

I expected you to be more mentally aware than what you are doing.

Look at a whole Omisore was booed at his polling unit in Osun. He had to leave in shame. Is he not the kind of structure you talk about?

Electorates have realized the power they posses and no politician will lead the people by the nose and tell them where to thumbprint again; except the politician’s choice aligns with the choice of the people.

Or are you telling me that because APC has structure in Abia, somebody will go to Aba on Election Day and tell them to vote for Tinubu in the name of Structure?

fergie001:

Abeg, has INEC sent you anything?

Nothing yet ooo

fergie001:

2023 will be interesting..... By October, everywhere don dey soft.

October everybody go know where e belong

OGHENAOGIE:
where is leceister today?... They won cos Arsenal and spurs weren't serious that season Arsenal beat leceister home and away that season Spurs second lost some matches shamefully... So let's be realistic

Where is Leicester today you ask?

But if you were told that they’d win EPL in 2015, would you believe?

But they won and were English Champions for one year.

Same way Peter Obi will win against all odds and against OGs in the game and rule over you and your likes for four years.

You don’t believe it now but you will see it happen.

Dsalvo:


Bro, Tinubu just needs to do okay in the SE and SS comparative to how how Obi and Atiku would do in regions Tinubu would be superior and very strong in. That is the point.

Minus SE and SS, Obi is a motionless bus everywhere else in Nigeria.

Atiku, if the treacherous and cowardly Obi does not forge a last minute alliance with PDP, will be damaged badly by LP votes in those two regions.

Tinubu is a master strategists. He will not be worried by Obi and will focus on vote-winning strategies, anchored on strong grassroots mobilization, to defeat the PDP outright with no option of a rerun.

Do you strongly think that Tinubu will see up to 10% of votes in both Southeast and Southsouth compared to Obi who is certain of about 30% of votes in Southwest?

Dsalvo:


This is a myth you Igbos alway propose every Lagos election cycle. I.e Lagosians are tired of Tinubu dynasty.

Lagos politics is very deeply entrenched and controlled by many powerful bloc loyal to Tinubu because, centrally, they know the reality of what matters most.

That reality is that, for all the noise you "Tinubu has enslaved Lagos" advocates make, Lagos continues to work, improve and move forward, without competition , from what Tinubu originally inherited in 1999.

Tinubu will only lose Lagos if any APC Governor fcks up very badly. Sanwo Olu's satisfaction rating is high across the board.

Try again in 8 years because the next four of Sanwo Olu will usher in the 'see and feel' delivery of so many pivotal and blockbuster projects (Eko Atlantic, Lekki coastal road, Lagos Metro rail, Dangote refinery, LFTZ, possibly Lekki international Airport and fourth mainland Bridge etal) to the extent the Lagos electorate will be dizzy with love for APC.

Forget Lagos bro. No miracles possible there next year even if Obi emerges President with a landslide victory.

You have a huge point.

Can’t you see how you backed your position up with facts?

If I now ask you to justify your claim that Tinubu will win like you justified Sanwolu’s victory now, you will resort to structure.

Why did you not talk about structure in Lagos as regards Sanwolu? Because you know it’s not structure that has been helping APC in Lagos, it is because the party has been delivering, considerably, since Fashola period.

Now, can you say that of APC at National level or even of Tinubu as a person?

OGHENAOGIE:

PDP ll win cross River

No Sir.prince otu is too popular plus the governor is with him

majole:



Garfield1 forget about ability to rig. You can't rig easily now so put that in your analysis. I don't see how Uzodinma wins reelection in Imo.

Forget social media noise apc dominates IMO.those people will vote hope...ihedioha is only popular in mbaise