Theflint1:
Of course, mobilization money was released, but possible it wasn't from Tinubu directly, could have been one or a couple of his goons coming together to organize this. This is at least a 3K march, 10K per head will get you that number and even more sef. The market women that came out for Tinubu, all they need do is close the market for the day, promise each person 10K, free shirt and transport to and fro covered and you have them available. Also, there are APC women members in Lagos as part of those numbers, and mobilization is also done from out of state. At least 50m go don drop for this movement you dey see, even one of Tinubu guys go chest am, that's the structure, that's what structure does.

izzou:


Did you even stop to think how they can share 10k each for 3,000 persons?

How long and hectic the process would be

I like your imaginations sha

Theflint1:
Lol, na person wey neva dey involved in these kin things go dey question how 10K can be shared for 3K persons. Maybe you reason 3K persons go line up in front of one person dey collect 10K each abi?

There's probably like up to 30-50 persons in charge of mobilization, and these are the persons that will be in charge of paying the money. This is some pretty organized stuff, my guy dey run this mobilization parole for university then, and there have been times we went out of state unto mobilization so I kinda have an idea or two on this.

raumdeuter:


The concoction no complete, He didnt use his blockus to do jazz segedinho ebukacute

izzou:


So where did you see APC Leadership involved in this?

There is nothing wrong with mobilization. They organized a rally and they attended it.

izzou:


Did you even stop to think how they can share 10k each for 3,000 persons?

How long and hectic the process would be

I like your imaginations sha

izzou:


So where did you see APC Leadership involved in this?

See how you took your time to explain the same MOBILIZATION you are accusing another person of.

There is nothing wrong with mobilization. They organized a rally and they attended it.

wman:


Hectic?

Hectic ke?

What's hectic in sharing money to 3000 people?

How did NYSC share bicycle and transport allowance in NYSC camp?

How do they share state bursary cash to university students?

Donjazet2:



A rally that had the aspirants daughter in it?? A rally that had celebrities sponsored by the party and you're still asking me about the leadership of APC in today's rally?

And secondly, yes both are mobilization, but we're pointing to the difference in both movements.

In the establishment rallies, you have people who are paid to come or induced by monetary or material gains, or in some cases as we can see, mentally coerced to come, and then our looted state funds is used to sponsor these rallies, while in the other, you have ordinary people coming together to use their own resources to "mobilize" themselves and show support for their candidate, even without the candidates knowledge or party knowledge.

I'm simply highlighting how this is totally a people oriented movement.

Theflint1:
Lol, na person wey neva dey involved in these kin things go dey question how 10K can be shared for 3K persons. Maybe you reason 3K persons go line up in front of one person dey collect 10K each abi?

There's probably like up to 30-50 persons in charge of mobilization, and these are the persons that will be in charge of paying the money. This is some pretty organized stuff, my guy dey run this mobilization parole for university then, and there have been times we went out of state unto mobilization so I kinda have an idea or two on this.

izzou:


If you were privileged to see a video of the rally, you'll definitely see the video of the sharing session.

Stop assuming what is not there

izzou:


Did you even stop to think how they can share 10k each for 3,000 persons?

How long and hectic the process would be

I like your imaginations sha

raumdeuter:


The concoction no complete, He didnt use his blockus to do jazz segedinho ebukacute

izzou:


Were you 3,000 in your NYSC camp?

3,000 people

wman:


10 platoons.

About 200 people per platoon.

That's 2000 people.

OasisX:
REALITY

OasisX:
REALITY

Theflint1:
Lol...so for entire North na only 3 states Atiku get inside pocket?
The analysis is fair in some states but that projection up North is unrealistic.

OasisX:
REALITY

raumdeuter:


Kebbi Niger Bauchi Jigawa are still swing states

And I think LP might snatch 2 SS states in addition to 5SE especially if Wike remains stubborn and unyielding

Theflint1:
Lagos - APC 58%, LP 30%, PDP 12%
Edo - APC 15%, LP 60%, PDP 25%
Bayelsa - APC 10%, LP 30%, PDP 60%
Rivers - APC 12%, LP 60%, PDP 28%
Delta - APC 9%, LP 40%, PDP 41%
C/Rivers- APC 8%, LP 58%, PDP 34%
A/Ibom - APC 13%, LP 33%, PDP 54%
S/East - APC 9%, LP 71%, PDP 20%
Abuja - APC 25%, LP 35%, PDP 40%

Other North Central States, can't say precisely, but expect LP to get 25% in most, APC will win some, PDP will win some, don't see LP winning any.

I can't speak much on N/E and N/W states, but I expect Atiku to make a good showing in most. APC will do well too, but vote sharing go plenty. Other than Kano, don't see NNPP winning any other state, and it won't be by much. NNPP would get votes in other Northern states sha.

South West states other than Lagos, APC will get up to 60% on average, LP and PDP go get like 15% and 25% on average, respectively.

PDP will easily get 24/36.

Theflint1:
Lagos - APC 58%, LP 30%, PDP 12%
Edo - APC 15%, LP 60%, PDP 25%
Bayelsa - APC 10%, LP 30%, PDP 60%
Rivers - APC 12%, LP 60%, PDP 28%
Delta - APC 9%, LP 40%, PDP 41%
C/Rivers- APC 8%, LP 58%, PDP 34%
A/Ibom - APC 13%, LP 33%, PDP 54%
S/East - APC 9%, LP 71%, PDP 20%
Abuja - APC 25%, LP 35%, PDP 40%

Other North Central States, can't say precisely, but expect LP to get 25% in most, APC will win some, PDP will win some, don't see LP winning any.

I can't speak much on N/E and N/W states, but I expect Atiku to make a good showing in most. APC will do well too, but vote sharing go plenty. Other than Kano, don't see NNPP winning any other state, and it won't be by much. NNPP would get votes in other Northern states sha.

South West states other than Lagos, APC will get up to 60% on average, LP and PDP go get like 15% and 25% on average, respectively.

PDP will easily get 24/36.