DrAkpamudehe:


Obidiiots will start cursing you after reading this thread even when the truth is spelt out

But you are unarguably a cursed person, and you are cursing. Is that how others do political campaign?

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

PDP lost NW And NE region in 2003,2011,2015,2019.
But one drunkard thinks the traditional voting pattern will change when Atiku a politician that lost his own polling contest in 2023

It will be easier for APC to win SS region than pdp defeat Apc in core North.

PDP currently has only 4 govs in the entire 19 states Northern Nigeria, which miracle is featherweight atiku going to perform

Tinubu will receive the similar % of vote MKO recorded that propelled him to victory in the SW. I don't want to say figures because that is open to distortion but %. He will have it n he will win every SW state every single one.

MKO lost Kogi Tinubu will win it outrightly. He should go n deal with the Northerners any how he likes I don't know much about that.

ogatboy:


Tinubu cannot win the whole south. He cannot win in the SS and SE. He cannot get maximum vote in the SW but he has a better chance than Atiku if Buhari and APC are willing to work for him

Tinubu will not win, even with violence and rigging.

The race is between Obi and Atiku, and if you ask me, based on structure and a combination of other things, Atiku will win.

Obi has built a formidable third force and I think he stands a better chance in 2027.

garfield1:


The north is divided between kwankwaso and atiku.they can't love anybody like buhari.tinubu will win,leave atiku

Tinubu can never win in the north, apart from that ,many factors is against the APC, e.g kidnapping, banditry, hardship( cost of living is high now ) , unemployment, Muslim Muslim ticket, age/health will be used against TINUBU

Mention which state in SS PDP can win?

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

I do not agree with your analysis. Being a northerner doesn't specifically guarantee a candidate emergence tho, what does are mostly principles and survivability of a party in politics. APC has a major stand in the north and they are not about to let go of that. The victory of a PDP president means Buhari's legacy is dead and end of northern political dominance. I will bet you anything if an Hausa wins this presidency, the north will have to beg for power before they see it again. Tinubu will take over APC again, even if that's the last thing he does in politics, down rank major northerners and make the party a full southern party which will easily if not anything elect a southern president after 4 years. The only card Atiku's camp have against Tinubu is unless Buhari's camp backs out from Tinubu's campaign without that happening his victory is already guaranteed. The Yoruba people or tribe has a steady working relationship with the Hausa/Fulanis as a matter of fact of the 3 major tribes the two seems to have an understanding. Atiku is a powerhouse surely, but Tinubu also is. When Babangida comes on board for Tinubu, it will make for a smooth victory but as it is, its still 50-50 with the Maradona himself. Babangida is one the major last block in the north for Tinubu. He remains neutral.

This is ok as long as you know you are inconsequential. Peter Obi will not have 3% of the total vote cash in the SW.

And yes I said 3 not 30% should you think am mistaken.

Sholaadey:


Lol, you’re irrational to think the end sars protest was a trouble fomented on the society and was started by the igbos. By the way, I’m a yoruba guy and my support is for Obi.

As for me, regardless of any party,

Didi2d:


This one wey you talk strong o

I have witnessed it countless time. During second term election of former governor Ajimobi in Ibadan, I was at the polling center to catch fun that day as I was not eligible to vote in Ibadan, there was this tall guy shouting up and down warning people not to sell their votes.

I don't what happened, but baba first start complaining about slow process, follow by " we are hungry o, you can't keep delaying us here, let do this quick and go our homes" . To cut the story short, he eventually sold his vote for just 3k. We know all this because, agents with bag of cash sharing the money after the ones monitoring process must have approved the person were sitting close to us at one corner where we were observing everything.

Nigeria is gone, and the electorates too are too impoverish to reject the offer.

This is the best analysis and the best prediction for 2023

simongonner:
Tinubu can never win in the north, apart from that ,many factors is against the APC, e.g kidnapping, banditry, hardship( cost of living is high now ) , unemployment, Muslim Muslim ticket, age/health will be used against TINUBU

Not true.Muslim Muslim is attractive to them.atiku cannot solve banditry,hardship and other issues.atiku is not very popular up north plus northern xtisns prefer obi.so thats where apc structure will give tinubu victory

Few months to go
We will have the result soon

garfield1:


Not true.Muslim Muslim is attractive to them.atiku cannot solve banditry,hardship and other issues.atiku is not very popular up north plus northern xtisns prefer obi.so thats where apc structure will give tinubu victory

is ok..I will respect your opinion. But I will remind you of this God grace 2023.

jerseyboy:
You try wella. And na so Nigeria go take scatter under another Foolanii Ruler.

nothing will happen, I mean people like you will just waste their lifes if you try nonsense.

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

In all this your write up, you forgot Kwankwaso. He will definitely divide northern votes. Now does that make u start thinking, there maybe a rerun?

essentialone:


Northeast and Northwest voted massively for Obasanjo in 2003 and Jonathan in 2011. Go and verify. Don't even tell me the reason

Liar verify before you speak

FatherOfJesus:
If he can address the Wike camp, it will take God to stop him.

The truth is that, Tinubu cannot beat Atiku in northwest and northeast and Peter Obi will not do well there. Atiku is going to comfortably win these regions. Forget about the APC structure, A Yoruba man cannot beat a core northerner here, it’s not possible. These parts of the country has herd mentality, last figures proves that. It’s a winner takes all region and no splitting, especially in the northwest

Tinubu will not win much outside of southwest, kogi and Kwara. Tinubu will not win a single local government in southeast or south south. The southsouth has strong PDP structure and Its between Atiku and Peter obi.

In the Middle belt, Tinubu will perform well in kwara and kogi, Atiku will do well in Benue, nassarawa and Niger. Obi will do well in Abuja

In southeast, Obi will win while Atiku will be second. Tinubu May not win a polling unit here.

All the predictive analysis points to Atiku emerging victorious without any sentiments here.

This analysis is far better than the Tinubu Urchins analysis

ForumNL:

You mean Yoruba Man with muslim-muslim ticket won't win north west

Keep deceiving yourself

hahahahaaa. If you are banking on northern Muslim votes then you are fooling yourself. Do you think the northern Muslims see Yoruba Muslim as a true Muslim?

FatherOfJesus

Very good analysis.

My posture as always been not to underestimate the power of that Buhari's endorsement will have on Tinubu. Some of that dwindling goodwill in the North will boost Tinubu's fortune.

Also, he also has the popularity of his running mate. He and the present governor of Bornu state can help turn the tide in the Northwest in Tinubu's favor

Anyways, Atiku seems likely to win. He doesn't come across as a typical Northerner but as a "suit". He can bridge both divides.

However, his presidency will be a tumultuous one if riddled with corruption and cronyism, it will make it hard for him to push through with the much needed reforms he has in store.

I foresee either him or Tinubu owning an oil well each were either to win the elections. You can't push through economic shock therapy which will involve some initial pain for the masses while while you add new data to the pandora files.

Oyindola:




But like seriously I still can't phantom what you people mean by POLITICAL STRUCTURE SYSTEM?. Does LP has a structure before they pull out that massive crowd last weekend.. see let's be realistic here Nigerians has fully waken up from their slumber, majority of Nigerian will not vote a party just because the party is the rulling party of his/her state but they will vote base on compency, integrity, and accountability of a candidate. Nigerians are tired of these suffering... #ISTAND4OBI/DATTI

Structure isnt about crowds, its about people with a level of influence in their various spheres. These spheres are not idenrical and vary in level of spread.

You cant dismiss a party like the pdp or the apc easily because they've built loyalty over the years because of power and money.

A typical eg is the redeemed church. A church like chosen can't outfox redeemed in population, spread and wealth, because of obvious reasons

This is exactly what lp lacks.

If Peter Obi get 50K votes in any SW n NC states plus Kaduna n Kano I owe you 50,000 naira in cash

cooooooks:
You underestimate Obi's pull in the SW & NC.
You also underestimate the anti Muslim Muslim ticket in the North and SW.

You assume that northern Christians won't vote as a bloc.
Finally, you underestimate Obi and Datti's pull in Kaduna, Kano; as well as Kwankwaso's pull in Kano and Sokoto.

Southern president turn is now

tiger28:
I dont understand how many ppl like the OP think that Northerners cannot vote for a Southern President..........

If that is the case, then can someone explain

HOW OBJ won TWO terms?

HOW Jonathan won as well?

Strong Party structure and a viable Candidate that is NOT Just a regional Candidate are all it takes pls!

Jonathan won because of power of incumbency, Obasanjo was the northern candidate in 1999.
Ask yourself how many how many states in the north did Jonathan win in 2011.

Workch:
i am obidient, I am just being realistic

If he will hear you and learn to always respect himself. See the person saying that Obidients will start cursing you, has started cursing himself. How can you be calling people Obiidiots, not knowing that you are cursing yourself.

Sonyboom765:
If Peter Obi get 50K votes in any SW n NC states plus Kaduna n Kano I owe you 50,000 naira in cash

He will easily achieve those votes. He ust can't win the elections

The killings, insecurity, hardship and suffering inflicted on Nigerians by APC has reset everybody's brain no matter where you come from. Even businesses are suffering tremendously because of terrible government policies. So, no one is spared in the evil government.
2023 elections will show that Nigerians are tired of bad leadership. The North suffered under Buharii, so its not going to be by ethnicity or religion. Its Competence, character and capacity to deliver good governance to Nigerians.
Peter Obi and Datti Yususf of Labour Party are coming to reset Nigeria. Let no one deceive you to vote incompetence, it will place the last nail on Nigeria's coffin if wrong leadership is elected.

The 1993 election was not help in Nigeria, it was held in Rwanda ba. Can Obi get 5% from any of the NW NC NE that you are hoping he gets 49%. Mr go sidown inside gutter abeg.

JoeNL22:

This 1993. I said 1999!
Obi just need to get 49% from the north. That's all. The northerns are loyal and loyal to their own and own only.

doggedfighter:
Keep thinkin
.

O P,so na you be Atiku's spokesperson now,abi!
Which one be your own,since you de cruise with Nigerian Politicians!
Leave Govnr Wike alone,he has moved-on and cross over to a new level.
O P, please,where is Ayu and the NBillion with him alone! These are people already SHARING POSITIONS,SHARING MONEY,when de never win election,biko
Weting come remained for the Nigerian Masses now,mba no!

Burruchaga71:
It only an animal would believe that minority fulanis will take over from anoda minority fulanis and expect to have peace.

hell is waiting for you. Do you think Atiku is like Buhari that allows you guys to do anyhow?

kcnwaigbo:

Oga the era of anyone "delivering" is over!! If Tinubu is not popular there,DSP will not be able to help him

he will help him sir.what’s popularity?is Peter obis vp popular?popular ppl don’t win elections bro.The game is deep u may not understand.

Bergavis:


You need to be arrested as soon as possible. Why are taking advantages of the poor ppl around you?

come arrest me bros,how is helping ppl around me taking advantage?if I no stl help na problem,world ppl.

Hydroxide:
Lol. DSP will do what? Tinubu face no show for ughelli. I'm presently in ughelli and 80% of the people here are obident. Atiku will come 2nd with few votes. You think say ughelli dey play partisan politics? When governorship election comes, a lot will vote for Omo Agege including myself but for presidency? Omo, make APC comot mind.

i won’t argue with u sir.I’m not der.i was only expressing my opinions.