izzou:
Theflint1

Please when you quote someone, respond under the quote, not above it.

You dey stress my brain cells. Abeg

DeadPresidents:
About projections, I can only talk about places I have ties with. For my background, I will give a brief intro.

I hail from Kogi state but I was born and lived in Kaduna for 17 years of my life. I schooled in Rivers state (University of Port-Harcourt) and lived there for a bit before moving down to Lagos to work and live. My next port of call is Berlin, Germany

Kaduna is a highly stratified state. The street where I lived had almost no Hausa people but there was a decent representation of all other ethnicities. The majority of my hood is voting Obi and the Yoruba block within my hood is aligning with City Boy with a minority voting Obi.

From interacting with the Malo guys, the consensus is virtually unilateral—Atiku gets most of the votes with Kwankwaso bagging a straggling proportion.

I'm projecting something like PDP 60%, LP 30%, APC 10%

Theflint1:
For Kaduna abi?

Theflint1:
Loll...noted!

Donjazet2:


Yo still come do am again.

Theflint1:
Loll...noted!

Theflint1:
Bro, even if APC gets every single vote from Edo North (the smallest senatorial district), Oshiomhole's stronghold, they still won't get 25% from Edo State. 2020 governorship elections, Obaseki got almost 40% of the votes from that same Edo North

Edo South (the largest senatorial district with over 50% of votes) is largely Obidient. Edo Central na normally PDP stronghold, they've won Edo Central consistently, any and every election...I dunno by how much they'd win Edo Central this time around but LP might make some inroads there. Forget Edo State for APC, they won't smell 25% in Edo State.

Okowa is not a popular candidate in Delta where he's from, and a state having a candidate on the ballot does not automatically translate to huge dominance...PDP with Atiku won Adamawa only marginally in 2019, so go figure. Okowa is not popular outside Asaba and environs, and Peter Obi being Igbo will count for something even in that zone. Other parts of Delta, dem don cook breakfast wait Okowa . APC won't get 25% in Delta obviously, and na the koko be that.

I expect Bayelsa to respond to APC for 2015 this time around...dunno how Jonathan will move, but expect he'd stay neutral. A popular candidate using the platform of a national party to contest elections does not translate to influence in said state.

I agree with you on those projections for North Central.

raumdeuter:


Ask Segedinho he will tell you how they run elections

The Capital is where eyes are, So you will all fight for it fairly but both parties will hold some interior 4 LGA where you will cook properly and release the results later often time last results to be released

Lets use Lagos as an example. In Eti Osa, Ikeja would will fight fairly, you will go tackle your opponent on their turf in Amuwo to reduce the number they are cooking.

Now you will go to Epe or Alimosho or Badagry places where your twitter no go reach that is where you bring the well cooked votes late into the night

In Osun last election for example PDP cooking was in Ede, APC was in Boripe. The cooking APC expected in Ife disappointed and wasn't enough to counter what PDP brought in Ede. That Ede is now looking like they overdid the cooking and might get them in INEC trouble

Donjazet2:
Projections here and there.

I'm still advising you guys to sheath these projections for now, the electorate is still being shaped, some parties are gaining momentum, some parties are losing momentum. Some are gaining votes, some are bleeding votes, many are switching sides.

There are still soo many neutrals and undecided.

For instance, it's logical to say Obi will win Anambra, but Anambra has 3 strong parties, APGA has the majority members in the state house of assembly, PDP has more representatives in the national assembly.

You go to Yorubaland, there are soo many christians in the mould of oyedepo and adeboye not moved by tribal sentiment and for whom the Muslim Muslim ticket is a big deal breaker for supporting Tinubu and who are leaning towards Obi. You also have the traditional PDP supporters, some who are now leaning towards Obi, defecting to tinubu or staying with PDPs atiku.

NB:
The most important point I keep making right from time is that this election is shaping up to be as drastically different from what we've ever seen in our 20 years of our young democracy.
Next year's election is not business as usual, and I keep telling people to stop using previous elections where just a fvcking TEN PERCENT of the population voted!

We might very well see an electorate of 40-50 percent participation because the nation is visibly charged for this election! People who used to be apathetic to voting are participating for the first time so ITS VERY FAIR TO SAY THAT THIS ELECTORATE IS VERY UNPREDICTABLE!

I REPEAT, THIS ELECTORATE IS VERY UNPREDICTABLE!

So chill with the projections, the election is still too far! 3 days in politics is sooo fvcking big. I may learn tomorrow that Peter Obi was a money launderer and a drug baron in Chicago and might also have murdered his political opponent Williams in Anambra and that will sure as hell make him lose my support instantly, my conscience can't be that dead.

Donjazet2:
Projections here and there.

I'm still advising you guys to sheath these projections for now, the electorate is still being shaped, some parties are gaining momentum, some parties are losing momentum. Some are gaining votes, some are bleeding votes, many are switching sides.

There are still soo many neutrals and undecided.

For instance, it's logical to say Obi will win Anambra, but Anambra has 3 strong parties, APGA has the majority members in the state house of assembly, PDP has more representatives in the national assembly.

You go to Yorubaland, there are soo many christians in the mould of oyedepo and adeboye not moved by tribal sentiment and for whom the Muslim Muslim ticket is a big deal breaker for supporting Tinubu and who are leaning towards Obi. You also have the traditional PDP supporters, some who are now leaning towards Obi, defecting to tinubu or staying with PDPs atiku.

NB:
The most important point I keep making right from time is that this election is shaping up to be as drastically different from what we've ever seen in our 20 years of our young democracy.
Next year's election is not business as usual, and I keep telling people to stop using previous elections where just a fvcking TEN PERCENT of the population voted!

We might very well see an electorate of 40-50 percent participation because the nation is visibly charged for this election! People who used to be apathetic to voting are participating for the first time so ITS VERY FAIR TO SAY THAT THIS ELECTORATE IS VERY UNPREDICTABLE!

I REPEAT, THIS ELECTORATE IS VERY UNPREDICTABLE!

So chill with the projections, the election is still too far! 3 days in politics is sooo fvcking big. I may learn tomorrow that Peter Obi was a money launderer and a drug baron in Chicago and might also have murdered his political opponent Williams in Anambra and that will sure as hell make him lose my support instantly, my conscience can't be that dead.

Theflint1:
The problem is you think a party having candidates in a particular state means they have influence in said state. Ben Ayade is more or less a pariah in C/Rivers but you think him contesting for senate will somehow translate to Tinubu getting votes in Cross Rivers. The prince Otu you mentioned, from what I hear is not popular outside of Calabar and will lose to Sandy Onor (PDPs candidate) in North and Central.

PDP had HOR/Senate and governorship candidates in states up North in 2015 during Jonathan's era, but that didn't stop them from getting under 20% in lots of NW/NE states.

So by you reasoning Donald Duke not backing Atiku means the votes automatically will go to Tinubu

APC having candidates in C/Rivers will not influence anything come presidential elections. Most PDP members/average Cross River indege are Obidients or indifferent for federal, dem no send Atiku and certainly, no send Tinubu/APC.

Emmynator:
I wonder how to react to the report that FG is in the process of registering a new university association (CONUA).

Amoto94:
Breaking News: NNPC Limited recorded N674bn in profit last year from the N287bn profit in 2020. First profit in 40years was 2017.

2015: N770.18bn Loss
2016: N N119.03bn Loss
2017: N111.59bn Profit
2018: N N803.14bn Loss
2019: N1.7bn Loss
2020: N287bn Profit
2021: N674bn Profit.

Gboy1026:
That Delta own self is just a dream. The only area u hear anything about lp is Asaba which is due to the closeness to Onitsha, here in Gbamaturu and other creek areas that usually delivery the kkk kind of votes na PDP Dem know. With okowa now contesting how will Delta north vote lp and leave okowa

OasisX:




Just watch out bruh..... he's a political Ally of BAT. Recently he visited both Ganduje and Masari, guess you know?!

Jubrin, his Spokesman, has never attacked BAT while responding to Media Chats. He always speaks good BAT as a good man fits for the job... LOL!

Emmynator:
I wonder how to react to the report that FG is in the process of registering a new university association (CONUA).

OasisX:



Ibadan ni won pe bi...!

......Inorganic, paid, tribalistic urchins, BATstard.

- Don J

Emmynator:


Why are they not smiling

liveLongNprospa:


..

LP nor dey warri nau Or Udu or Jeddo or DSC