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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis (1480 Views)
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2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:19pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
For a candidate that shocked the World with "Emilokan" phrase to defeat the veiled interest of a sitting President, his Vice, the Senate President, and the Party Chairman to clinch his party ticket. He won't be coming to play ahead of the 2023 Presidential Election. If Tinubu will get votes in Atiku's domain. Will Atiku get same in Tinubu's domain as he needs. Judging that Obi has shut Atiku from South -East. Atiku won't meet up with the statutory 25% in 2/3 of states. PDP is in disarray, their strong man just withdrew charges against an APC man and stalwart. Probably being enticed by Emilokan crooner. Mr. Emilokan will give offers most people can't refuse. He will make these juicy offers nationwide to win allegiance and win the election. Atiku is shut out of West and East. And dimly in SS. Atiku married our daughter but the stakes are higher beyond that. Tinubu only has SE to worry about. His wife is SS and Remi has some jobs to do even as an experienced senator could get 25% in Delta given all resources. You see Obi, he is a regional giant. Other aspirants should struggle if they can get 25% there. That's Obi's turf. Outside of SE, obi starts to get hundreds of votes while the main gladiators get their millions. The main battle is the delicious and sumptuous Northern votes. Obi won't partake in this largesse. The votes here are for Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso. For Tinubu, a leading figure in a ruling party and the time for intra-party compensation is here. The hegemonic North will pay back his support for Buhari. The North and West Alliance will come to play here. The voting bloc and hegemonic North knows who they can trust as they cede power to the South. Definitely not the Obi that attacked the North on CNN. The albatross for Obi is the January 15, 1966. And the current IPOB agitations and killings in the East. Burning of INEC infrastructure and killings of security personnel. The best influence obi can have is to push the election to a run-off between Tinubu and Atiku. Obi still have Kwankwaso to beat for the 3rd position. Obi's reliance on the middle-class is useless. Middle-class don't sway elections but efficient in opposition. I have worked on local and foreign elections live analysis and calculations. Including Obama elections and primary. And declared the winner of 2015 Presidential Election before Jega's INEC. I predicted the winner of 2019 Presidential Election convincingly. If you have an Obidient friend. Prepare a shoulder and tissue rolls for them. Next February will be pepperish. 4 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:20pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
My brother, you cannot be more wrong than this. The fact that you have worked in the past corrupt ridden elections doesn't give you any inkling of what is about to happen in 2023, Buharri has changed every parameters and those traditional block voters are now unsettled due to recent security reasons. Peter Obi stands a much better chance than any other candidates in this election and that's why everyone is jittery. The coordinated attacks online and offline against Peter Obi indicates fear of a leading contestant, not because he did anything wrong. I will return with my own regional analysis. 7 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by JaneGray(f): 8:23pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
But Obi will still win it. 4 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:24pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
JaneGray:Do you need a set of eyeglasses? 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by JaneGray(f): 8:26pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
nigeriancritic1:No, I'm not you . 3 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:26pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Peter Obi won the south east and south South for PDP in 2019. There is no miracle that will stop him from repeating that feat in 2023 given the volume of water that has flown under the bridge since 2019. Tinubu wife is from the south south, so frigging what!, Where is Peter Obi wife from? The south west will be more favourable to Peter Obi in 2023, forget the online hate attacks by propagandists trying to incite hate across the Niger, many moderate thinking yorubas will vote for equity, they all know that at some point, they will sow in another region for the sake of posterity. Afenifere are already leading this thought process. The south west is where most educated professionals live in Nigeria. These guys knows what is good for them and they can influence millions with their opinions, even if they will campaign secretly. The North have a lot of voters, and also a lot of hurt population which have borne the brunt of terrorist attacks. These Middle belt voters will vote for a change from their current situation. They will vote for Peter Obi. The core North may not vote significantly for Peter Obi, but he can get his required 25% votes from Liberal states like Kaduna, Bauchi and Niger. Abuja is a walkover in favour of Peter Obi. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:27pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
nigeriancritic1:This must have been written out emotions. I'm here in Lagos and all I hear is Peter Obi. Forget what urchins are saying . February is the judgement day. Obi will win the entire south east and south east. You dodged plateau and benue. Kaduna won't make a mistake of voting apc or pdp. It's Datti-Baba Ahmed's state. Taraba will declare for obi. Go to oyo and see makinde's body language. I see him defecting to Labour after declaring oyo for Obi. Obi will win abuja. Pdp and apc can share the rest. 4 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Obi is just a spectator . Obi has no electoral value. His total electoral value in Anambra to become a Gov years ago was less than 90k 7 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Omesbrit(m): 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
You will still do another analysis after February, when Obi have won the election. Rubbish. 4 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Timatayo1: 8:28pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Different different types of wrong analysis 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by MadeInTokyo: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Another confused myopic Tinubu zombie with another janja-weed illiterate analysis that only his fellow Tinubu zombies will believe and digest 2 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Eriokanmi: All you hear from the 20m population in lagos is Obi? This IpOBh jokes too much 7 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by nigeriancritic1(m): 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
This analysis pain people o. It's all over Facebook and tested. I am afraid for Obi 2 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Nijablast: 8:30pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Eriokanmi:Which Lagos are u? E go soon clear for ur eyes 2 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by kcnwaigbo: 8:31pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
I stopped reading when I read Remi could secure 25% in Delta 7 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by basybasy: 8:33pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
nigeriancritic1:Obituaries will not be happy with this ooo. They will start crying now. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:36pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Nijablast:That's why I said February is the judgement day. No need to argue. Apc bragged more than this in Tinubu's home state. They even dared Aregbe. We saw what happened in the end. Osun's experience would be a tip on the iceberg 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Eriokanmi: 8:38pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed:When you wake up tomorrow. Do this....just ask people around you politely whom they'd vote and hear what they'd say. |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:40pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Eriokanmi: You joke too much 5 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Abdu81: 8:41pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
nigeriancritic1: |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:41pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed: That was then. Peter Obi was written off before he won Anambra. Watch as he creeps into every one's consciousness as he always does. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:43pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed: It's no longer a joke. Peter Obi has been growing in the hearts of those who had lost hope in Nigeria. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:44pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
successmatters: He won Anambra Govship election with less than 90k, with the aids of Ojokwu. How is that a new news? 5 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:46pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
successmatters: The same hope he put in those who elected him as a Gov years ago in Anambra state. 4 Likes
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Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:47pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed: He will win Nigeria votes with a thin margin with the help of masses that loves Nigeria, not killers who have looted Nigeria. Same scenario. |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by tuniski: 8:48pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
successmatters:PDP had their worst voters return in 2019 when obi was on the card In the SS/SE. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:48pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed: How is this Peter obi fault? |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:50pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
tuniski: Imagine how bad it would have been if Peter Obi wasn't on the ballot with Atiku. |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:50pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
successmatters: Unfortunately Govship election is not same as Presidential election . Go and ask Atiku Abubakar, he will educate you 4 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by successmatters(m): 8:51pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed: Or Goodluck Jonathan, he was also a governor. |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by Afamed: 8:52pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
successmatters: Do you understand grammar at all, or you are being clever by half? 4 Likes |
Re: 2023 Nigeria's Presidential Election: See An Informed Analysis by kcnwaigbo: 8:53pm On Oct 09, 2022 |
Afamed:Has Tinubu ever contested and won elections as president before? There are all former Governors 6 Likes |
The Moment Atiku Arrived Washington DC / Yorubas & Igbos Don't Hate each other / Govenor Wike & Seyi Makinde Visited President Elect Tinubu At Defence House(pic)
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