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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. (1156 Views)
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2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 10:53am On Oct 11, 2022 |
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS. Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections. (Personal opinion) *zoning. South(north) : 1999-2007 North(south)(: 2007-2010 South(north):2011-2015 North(south):2015-2023 Next should be South(north) Tinubu 50% OBI 50% Atiku 0% Kwankwaso 0% *Ethnicity Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007 Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010 Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015 Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023 Peter 100% Tinubu 0% Atiku 0% Kwankwaso 0% *Religion Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007 Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010 Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015 Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023 Peter 33% Atiku 33% Tinubu 0% Kwankwaso 33% PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government) APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair) LP : 0 NNPP : 0 Peter OBI (LP new movement)25% Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0% Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50% Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0% How Nigerians are likely to vote: *North west Atiku 50% Tinubu 20% Kwankwaso 20% Obi 10% *North central Atiku 40% Obi 30% Tinubu 25% Kwankwaso 5% *North east Atiku 60% Tinubu 25% Obi 10% Kwankwaso 5% *South west Tinubu 70% Obi 20% Atiku 10% Kwankwaso 0% *South east Obi 80% Atiku 15% Tinubu 5% Kwankwaso 0% *South South Obi 70% Atiku 20% Tinubu 10% Kwankwaso 0% Totals= Peter Obi has 428% possibilities of winning Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning. What do you think guys?? 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 10:58am On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz: Tinubu lost it when he chose Muslim/Muslim OBIDATTI2023 God Bless Nigeria 2 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by another1: 11:15am On Oct 11, 2022 |
Ok |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by muykem: 11:46am On Oct 11, 2022 |
Continue to use Peter Obi to catch fun. If Peter Obi win two states outside South east, I will become his follower either he win president or not. 10 Likes 1 Share |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by BATified2023: 12:05pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz:from ipob bureau of statistics So u think all elected councillors to d level of president don’t have political party that they emerged under? So a new party will just come n rubbish all of them just like that? So u really don’t understand those people in elective positions have much to lose if a stranger takes their position? See i no get strength but everyone eye go clear later U think it’s by noise So tinubu will not win any region in d north but Peter obi who is seen as another nnamdi kanu will carry d day 8 Likes |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by obismobist: 12:13pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
See analysis 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by EHustleTv: 12:33pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
Let the best man win!! |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dereformer(m): 12:45pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
BATified2023: The new electoral law has already rubbished your plan of rigging. |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 12:51pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz:This is the part that made sense to me. However, I want to alter it a bit.. I agree with your SE analysis... SW. Tinibu 60% Obi 22% Atiku 13% Kwankwoso & others 5% SS Obi 50% Atiku 25% Tinibu 20% Kwankwoso & others 5% NC Tinibu 40% Obi 30% Atiku 25% Kwankwoso and others 5% NE Atiku 40% Tinibu 30% Obi 15% Kwankwoso 15% NW Atiku 35% Tinibu 30% Kwankwoso 25% Obi 10%... 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dereformer(m): 1:42pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE: Tinubu get 40% in North centrals with moslem moslem ticket? ok. Buy a big bucket of tears. Tinubu will not see up to 15% OF South South. take that to the bank. Not on moslem moslem ticket. North East and North west Christian will be their for Peter Obi. |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:03pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
Dereformer:I'm a die hard Obidient.. Tinubu winning Kogi and Kwara massively will make him win NC in total. I may agree with you on SS, but NE & NW Christians votes is divided between Obi and Atiku, Tinibu will still get its share from them, even if na 5% of their votes. |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by kcnwaigbo: 2:05pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
BATified2023:So the Governors and councillors will force people to vote for their party? 3 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by kcnwaigbo: 2:07pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
ImmaculateJOE:Tinubu can't win Kogi massively.It is only about 30% Yoruba. Finally NC has 6 states and only two states cannot decide for the region 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:16pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
kcnwaigbo:In a situation whereby Tinibu wins Kwara 70%, Kogi 50%, Niger 40%, Nasarawa 30%, Plateau 30%, Benue 20%.. He will definitely win NC.. I would have said Obi would win NC, but the Christians there are not all voting Obi.. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by goshikid: 2:20pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz: Zombiedient .. Who told you Obi is going to win atiku in South south? You must be high on cow sh1t. 1 Like |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Thinkfree(m): 2:21pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
Dereformer:north Central is for Tinubu maybe with a small margin. kwara 70% Kogi 40% Niger 35% Benue 35 -40% Nasarawa 35% Plateau 10% NB. The Christian population you are thinking will bring Tinubu down in state like benue will actually have no much effect because of the apc governorship candidate, Rev. Fr. Alia, george akume, formar Nans president, Dan onjeh, young alhaji etc will seriously work for Tinubu. |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Anugoson(m): 2:24pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
muykem:Saved! See ya next year ![]() |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dapson73(m): 2:25pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
The fact remains no political party can single handedly win the ruling party without a merger. Take it or not, if PDP is United with all the agrieved governors, without merger with other parties , they can't still win talkless of now that they are publicly divided. As for Labour Party supporters, you are at liberty to keep your dreams till Feb next year, when the boys will be separated from the men. Plus or minus, Asiwaju is winning the next election. 3 Likes |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 3:34pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
BATified2023:he will win few states and not a whole region |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 3:35pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
Dapson73:Till then, no be by mouth |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 3:46pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
muykem:Watch and see |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 3:56pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz:where did you get the obi 438% |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 4:26pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
asanausana91:428 |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 4:30pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
goshikid: |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 5:21pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz:where did you get that, pls go back and calculate your percentage. |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 5:34pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
asanausana91:It’s not my fault that you can’t see properly where the percentage started counting |
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 5:39pm On Oct 11, 2022 |
shegzbillionz:why not explain. I only ask for an explanation. |
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