He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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In other words, Tinubu is the unspoken next president

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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. your analysis was good at his weak points in the middle belt ,as for south south, peter obi is taken them with minimum of 69%

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGpkS5T1iRo

Peter Obi will not win any state with 50% except Anambra. If he dare win any other state which I can concede just a single state more it won't be more than 40%.

Beside the two state above Peter Obi will not come 2 in any other state outside the S.East. Know this know peace.

kettykin:

. your analysis was good at his weak points in the middle belt ,as for south south, peter obi is taken them with minimum of 69%

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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This time around you craftily ommitted Satanically out of your post.
Lol! That guy has been your worst nightmare.

Dead on arrival the presidential ambition of Buhari Pro Max. Know this and know peace.

If Obi sweep the whole South East and South South.

And pick some major votes from Northern region. He can get a upper hand.

Sonyboom:
Peter Obi will not win any state with 50% except Anambra. If he dare win any other state which I can concede just a single state more it won't be more than 40%.

Beside the two state above Peter Obi will not come 2 in any other state outside the S.East. Know this know peace.

Undiluted and panoramic wisdom!
Sail on!

kettykin:

. your analysis was good at his weak points in the middle belt ,as for south south, peter obi is taken them with minimum of 69%

How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

Another Voyage into futility.

Felimax:


This time around you craftily ommitted Satanically out of your post.
Lol! That guy has been your worst nightmare.

Dead on arrival the presidential ambition of Buhari Pro Max. Know this and know peace.

I only quote satanically in defection threads.by the way,he is same as trinitycian.he isn't needed in these kinds of brainstorming,intellectual threads.he knows nothing beyond audio pdp defections.

slivertongue:
Another Voyage into futility.

For obi

garfield1:


How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

I am pressure Obi will get more than 60% in Rivers ,Cross rivers and Delta , more than 70% in Akwa ibom.

Those who know the east will attest to it , go and check 1979 election results and come back

garfield1:


For obi

For APC

garfield1:


I only quote satanically in defection threads.by the way,he is same as trinitycian.he isn't needed in these kinds of brainstorming,intellectual threads.he knows nothing beyond audio pdp defections.

I am now satanically? This emotional man sha. Hope you no dey see me for dream?

Let's take a look at people you've accused me to be and their religion.

1. Satanically. Obviously an atheist or a satanist (from his name.) Everyone knows I am a Christian.

2. ChangetheChange. I can't predict his religion or ethnicity from his moniker.

3. Sarki (of Twitter). Everyone knows this guy is a Muslim and Hausa by tribe. I don't even know how to speak Hausa well and I am a Christian.

Garfield1, rest. Politics no be do or die.

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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I don't understand this your Atiku won't get 25% in Borno. Borno has substantial concentration f enlighten people with divergent view, just like we have in Kano, Lagos, no matter the states political leaning, there would always be chunks of opposition.

That is too bogus and doesn't reflect the permutation of a realistic Tinubu fan.

Though am a Tinubu fan I disagree with you on this

I like how you omitted tinubu becos we all know the only region he would win narrowly is Sw

Ttalk:


I don't understand this your Atiku won't get 25% in Borno. Borno has substantial concentration f enlighten people with divergent view, just like we have in Kano, Lagos, no matter the states political leaning, there would always be chunks of opposition.

That is too bogus and doesn't reflect the permutation of a realistic Tinubu fan.

Though am a Tinubu fan I disagree with you on this

Bro, he's right. There's no way Atiku would get 25% in states like Borno, Yobe and Zamfara. They don't condone PDP in those areas. You can check 2015 and 2019 Presidential election results.

From 4 people twiting in a room to he can't win any local government and now he can't get the constitutional requirements.

Lol, reality will soon down on you guys completely. Peter Obi will get 25% in all 17 Southern states then add Benue, Taraba, Nassarawa, Plateau, Kaduna, Kogi, and Adamawa. That makes a total of 24 states.

Peter Obi will also win the most votes aggregate.

You should be more bothered about your Tinubu every Nigerian now knows is mentally and physically sick.

garfield1:


How? In se,he will get 95% in anambra,60% in ebonyi,50% in IMO,50% in Enugu and 40% in abia...

In ss,highest he will get is 40% thats 60% in edo,50% in rivers,30% in delta,25% in aks,30% In crs and 15% in bayelsa

. Mark it here ,Obi will get over 60% in bayelsa , the ijaw will give him massive votes, pay back time for Jonathan on Igbo support, 45% at least from Kaduna due to Datti and southern Kaduna votes, 45% in shetima back yard due to shetima altitude to Christian community during his term and case of chibok, Christians votes in all the middle belt States of plateau, nasarawa, Benue, taraba, gombe and even he will likely get more that 50% in kogi because of over 30% indigenous Igbo's in kogi plus the an infinity with anambra state, for core NE population of living gbos and Christians in kano sokoto , kebbi jigawa and Hausa votes will play part, in the NW his votes will be spontaneous due to Christians and southerners in that area, you can take this to the bank

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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No apologies, if you believe this rubbish you wrote, it means you're totally DUMB.

Urchins will soon be cleared!

Sonyboom:
Peter Obi will not win any state with 50% except Anambra. If he dare win any other state which I can concede just a single state more it won't be more than 40%.

Beside the two state above Peter Obi will not come 2 in any other state outside the S.East. Know this know peace.

Another trash! Peter Obi is most likely to win all SE states by as much as 80%. In Cross River and Rivers states, those contesting under PDP are using his pictures to campaign. That's to show you how massively popular he is in the SS. Obi will win all SS states with nothing less than 65%.

Obi is also likely to win Abuja, Lagos, Taraba, Benue, Nassarawa and Plateau. But you're free to continue deceiving yourself!

donphilopus:


Bro, he's right. There's no way Atiku would get 25% in states like Borno, Yobe and Zamfara. They don't condone PDP in those areas. You can check 2015 and 2019 Presidential election results.

Regional factor will play in 2023. Past records can be a guide but it should not be used as ultimate measurement of 2023 election.

Atiku will get his highest vote in NE Tinubu will get highest vote in SW and Obi highest votes in SE.

Ability to galvanize votes in other regions determine who win.

Tinubu has better chance in NW than in NE

Thinking mode......

Vote4Obi:
From 4 people twiting in a room to he can't win any local government and now he can't get the constitutional requirements.

Lol, reality will soon down on you guys completely. Peter Obi will get 25% in all 17 Southern states then add Benue, Taraba, Nassarawa, Plateau, Kaduna, Kogi, and Adamawa. That makes a total of 24 states.

Peter Obi will also win the most votes aggregate.

You should be more bothered about your Tinubu every Nigerian now knows is mentally and physically sick.

Obi can't get 25% in 4states from SW just like Tinubu won't get 25 %/in 3SE states

Ttalk:


Obi can't get 25% in 4states from SW just like Tinubu won't get 25 %/in 3SE states

He may not even get 25% in Lagos and there is no other SW state where Obi can get 5% of the votes.

Ttalk:


Obi can't get 25% in 4states from SW just like Tinubu won't get 25 %/in 3SE states

Am in ibadan, and many residents here including my wife's parents are surprisingly voting obi.

An ibadan opinion poll below


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orlpj-ODAoc

OsunOriginal:


He may not even get 25% in Lagos and there is no other SW state where Obi can get 5% of the votes.

Jonathan had 600k in Lagos and 1m+ in 2011 election

garfield1:
He will of course win the 5 south east states.he will get 25% in edo,rivers,delta,cross river.he may not get it in akwa ibom but he won't get it in bayelsa.highest he will see in bayelsa is 15%.
Apart from lagos,he won't get it in any other south western state.he can try in ondo or Oyo but I dont see him exceeding 20% there.he won't see 10% in ekiti,Osun and Ogun.
In the north central, he will get in benue,plateau and fct and perhaps nasarawa but won't get it in kwara or niger.I dont see him getting above 20% in kogi..
He will get it narrowly in Kaduna thats if he wins Kaduna south.between Adamawa,taraba and gombe,he should get it in 2 states...
In summary,10 from ss/se,2 from sw,4 from nc,2 from ne,one in nw which is less than 20 states.
Atiku won't get 25% in borno,yobe,zamfara,kano and Kaduna if obi gets 25%. He won't get it in lagos,ekiti,Ogun.he won't make it in anambra,Enugu,ebonyi and IMO.he will fail the test in rivers and edo and maybe crs...

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I stopped reading immediately, I saw 'Obi may not get 25% in Akwa Ibom'.

Obi will likely win Akwa Ibom and Cross River where both APC and PDP candidates are campaigning with his pictures. His wife is even from there. You are a joke!

DearDealz:


Jonathan had 600k in Lagos and 1m+ in 2011 election

Obi is not Jonathan, Obidients have rubbish the remaining sympathy Yoruba may have for Igbo candidates. They are only waiting for Election Day to vent their anger.

SS will henceforth have more votes in SW than what SE candidate would get.

Note; Dont view this post as one of those tribal post. This is pure reality on ground

Idiotseverywher:
. Mark it here ,Obi will get over 60% in bayelsa , the ijaw will give him massive votes, pay back time for Jonathan on Igbo support, 45% at least from Kaduna due to Datti and southern Kaduna votes, 45% in shetima back yard due to shetima altitude to Christian community during his term and case of chibok, Christians votes in all the middle belt States of plateau, nasarawa, Benue, taraba, gombe and even he will likely get more that 50% in kogi because of over 30% indigenous Igbo's in kogi plus the an infinity with anambra state, for core NE population of living gbos and Christians in kano sokoto , kebbi jigawa and Hausa votes will play part, in the NW his votes will be spontaneous due to Christians and southerners in that area, you can take this to the bank

Oh chin,delusion every where

DadaHammed:


I stopped reading immediately, I saw 'Obi may not get 25% in Akwa Ibom'.

Obi will likely win Akwa Ibom where both APC and PDP candidates are campaigning with his pictures. His wife is even from there. You are a joke!

Post one of those pix