Glink2018:



Perhaps you don't know the mindset of an average Naija person....those politicians know.... including Obi...and they play their politics by it.
If you want to sell a presidential candidate in the north ....., let the person be Muslim and have Fulani coloration because those are the ruling class in the north...
If I want to sell presidential candidates in the southeast and south-south, I will play politics of tribal and ethnic games. but for the southwest ....you have to be able to play the politics of both ethnic, tribal, and religious politics...you will go to the winner's chapel and iroko and RCCG Hq and also come through some respected and notable elders in Yoruba land...
And this is the reason why Tinubu is winning the entire southwest...Obi will win the entire southeast and south-south but the determinant factor will be who has the highest votes ... because the entire votes in the south-south and southeast cannot make Obi president...The entire southwest and some part of the north can closely make Tinubu the president and the entire votes in the north and some votes in around the southeast can make Atiku the president
Surprisingly, supposing Constitution permit Buhari to contest another presidential election in 2023, he will clear all the northern state...

. I have been reading must of the diatribe you people have writing , I am so amused that most of you are either lying to yourselfers or being ignorant of the realities on the ground while some are mischievous with lies,
Let me tell you, no Christian in the north will vite for either Atiku or Tinubu, no northern minority will vote for Atiku or Tinubu, you can take this to the bank , Christians in southern borni, will never forget or forgive shettima for dealing with Christians community which comprises of 40% of borno indigenous population, an average Christian of chibok and other Christian villages in yobe are accusing shettima of collaborating boko haram and other terrorist to attack and to kidnap and kil Christians and to massively kidnapping Christian ladies in borno, shettima was accused stopping the teaching of Christian religious studies borno, and even refused to pay salaries of teachers in all the 9 Christian local government areas in the state,for Atiku, all the Christians both in southern Adamawa, nasarawa, gombe, taraba, bauchi, and all other parts of the north will never vote for Atiku or even APC, all the minority tribes even Hausa communities are seeing Fulani as the killers and are out for conquest to kill all indigenous tribe in the north, what most of you don't know now is that the major tribes, minority tribes and the Christians communities in the north have taken decisions not to allow Fulani rule them again, go to the north and see what is happening not being on nairaland to give uncured analysis, and finally the use of BVAS will finally bury the votes since no incident for anymore, not like before where you see katsina with 1.9m PVCs collected and with 1.9m votes and kano 2m PVCs collected and with 2m votes without mistake or void votes, north central is a no go area for both Atiku or Tinubu, so you can use your tongue to count your teeth

PDAPC = Peter & Datti Are Perfect Combinations

Reinaldo:
He's pulling his weight

I have not seen it.

BanyXchi:
there are more fulani foot soldiers kidnapping, raping and murdering your people in your landlocked region.

Yes IPOB is out to serve them correctly,

But is IPOB operating in your region?

We always wonder why Una dey take panadol for IPOB MATTER, when Fulani herdsmen are ravaging the south west like a dangerous virus.

Only God knows why you people are always envious of the said LANDLOCKED South East.

It's mind blowing o!

Glink2018:



...and do all the four strong contenders has the same political cloud?

Politics is a game of numbers....what will help some of these contenders is the region they have control of...

There are 6 states with the largest number of voters

1. lagos, Kano, Port Harcourt, Oyo, Kaduna, and either Kaduna or Kastina...
Out of all these 6 states, Obi can only win one...

Obi will do well in Port Harcourt, Lagos and Oyo.
If Kwankwaso remains without stepping down he knocks off Kano. Them Atiku and Tinubu have the rest to battle it out. Bros Nigerians have aside the old religious and ethnic divide used in subjugating everyone. Obi is a tool for revolution. Take the power from the feudal and give it to the people. Let them know power belóngs to the people.

KingKO22:
Baba Hammed knw that there is life after the election
He knws his people are disdainful toward Ndi Nyamirin

If Liar Obituary see 500k votes from North he should do thanks giving

mumu to Hell with your one north syndrome we in benue plateau will line up for Obi one north Kee una Dia

Nyamuri:
Lol you can't give what u don't have! Datti is not known in the north and he knows PO is just wasting his time

See this one, na you Dem know pass.

My friend, if you understand Hausa language go and be listening to radio Hausa. You will know that the man is doing his home work.

Nyamuri:
Lol you can't give what u don't have! Datti is not known in the north and he knows PO is just wasting his time

And he wouldn't be staking his credibility by going all out for Obi.
If he offends northern interests during the campaign he'll never be forgiven and that would be the end of his political career

thelegend1:
This may seem as an unpopular opinion.

Shettima is quite visible and active for Tinubu and APC campaigns.

Okowa is a bit mute; the North know the South is divided amongst itself (SE especially, yes our tribalism goes all the way down to L.G.A), hence the house cannot stand and votes will be shared between PDP, APC and LP by narrow margins.

Datti on the other hand isn't doing visibly much to secure support for Peter Obi in the North. I can't begin to count the number of places PO travels to weekly to gather support, but he can't do it all alone.

All the same, 2023 elections is going to be quite interesting.

What what does he and his boss Obi has in the first place? I got to hear his name for the first in political atmosphere when Obi made him his running mate. He has nothing to add to the bottom line votes.

Nyamuri:
Lol you can't give what u don't have! Datti is not known in the north and he knows PO is just wasting his time

Funny you.
A former House of Representatives member and a former Senator is not known in the north.
And he achieved all these before he was 40 years.
Think again.

North is not noisy like we in the south.
They are strategists than we in the south.

Roboto11:


He's Mauritaninan from Nouakchott.

This isn’t important at all.

Nyamuri:
Lol you can't give what u don't have! Datti is not known in the north and he knows PO is just wasting his time

If you are not a fool you will know that all the presidential candidates are wasting their time except one person. Why call PO out? Will Atiku and tinubu be president at the same time? Why not go further and tell is the other time wasters ?

Glink2018:
Op you are funny....how would Datti want to sell Nyamiri president before Hausa -Fulani people...
The major things that make presidential candidates sell faster in the north are the Islamic religion and the Jihadis t or Fulani agenda...
obi knows that his votes are limited in the north ...so, he is capitalizing his energy on his major stronghold which is SE and SS...
Let him forget any part of SW, NE, NW ....it will be shared between Atiku and Tinubu, then north central is a battlefield.. for the three candidates.

At least Obi has two zones, where is Tinubu's stronghold outside SW?

Afamed:
You can only put weight if you have one. Datti himself can not deliver his polling unit to LP in Zaria talkless of bringing any votes to Obi in the North.

I have told you on several occasions, Obi is never in the race

Las las na one person go win the race and others will join obi gladly. That's the beauty of the while thing.

chrisxxx:

Obi will do well in Port Harcourt, Lagos, and Oyo.
If Kwankwaso remains without stepping down he knocks off Kano. The Atiku and Tinubu have the rest to battle it out. Bros Nigerians have aside the old religious and ethnic divide used in subjugating everyone. Obi is a tool for revolution. Take the power from the feudal and give it to the people. Let them know power belóngs to the people.

Is obi not part of the Feudal system? ... Be deceiving yourself. what is the difference between half a dozen and six? Birds of the same feather flock together...from Apga to PDP and to the Labour party.
Is it Because of his pretentious attitude...
Nigerians are between the option of choosing between death and the blue sea....whichever the option you choose has its bad consequences for the people...it may sound cynical but wait for the experiences after May 2023...

searchlight:
At least Obi has two zones, where is Tinubu's stronghold outside SW?

Aside from SW, Tinubu will confidently take Kwara, Kogi, Nigeria, Nassaawa, and some parts of Northeast where Shetima came from .....and Northwest with the power of Incumbency and rigging...

If the election is on this tied-neck....someone can easily use the power of incumbency to round off the figure....and Obi doesn't have any power of incumbency

assuming Obi support was massive throughout the whole federation like Buhari support from north west, north east and south west....he might have his headway but in Obi case...it will be to tight that someone somewhere can either use the federal might or INEC Abracadabra.....


The chances of him winning is 30-45 percent it will be in the history book that he pulls the weight through religions and ethnic sentiment but might not win.

chrisxxx:

Obi will do well in Port Harcourt, Lagos, and Oyo.
If Kwankwaso remains without stepping down he knocks off Kano. The Atiku and Tinubu have the rest to battle it out. Bros Nigerians have aside the old religious and ethnic divide used in subjugating everyone. Obi is a tool for revolution. Take the power from the feudal and give it to the people. Let them know power belóngs to the people.

Which you ...daydreamer....when even the incumbent PDP governor is supporting Jagaban...

Lagos where Obasanjo, Jonathan the Incumbent president spent lots of money to rescue from Tinubu but both failed...as it is in Lagos state ....100 of Obi Peter can not win Lagos state...

So, see the election as a try and loss for Obi...except someone else happen in the Camp of Atiku or Tinubu....but if nothing happen....


I wait to congratulate either Atiku or Tinubu using the power of Incumbency and Federal might to close the gap. Because the votes will be too closed like The Buhari second term and Atiku but Buahri uses the power of Incumbency to finish up....

Supposing Obi can confidently have massive votes in the southwest, southeast, south south....it could have been good for him....but as Is it, he will only have south east, south-south....plateau, and Benue will be a Battlefield for three of them....and the rest to Tinubu and Atiku

. Datti is unpopular in his own state. He is an elite in the north and so will find it hard to relate with the impoverished majority

thelegend1:
This may seem as an unpopular opinion.

Shettima is quite visible and active for Tinubu and APC campaigns.

Okowa is a bit mute; the North know the South is divided amongst itself (SE especially, yes our tribalism goes all the way down to L.G.A), hence the house cannot stand and votes will be shared between PDP, APC and LP by narrow margins.

Datti on the other hand isn't doing visibly much to secure support for Peter Obi in the North. I can't begin to count the number of places PO travels to weekly to gather support, but he can't do it all alone.

All the same, 2023 elections is going to be quite interesting.

Glink2018:


Which you ...daydreamer....when even the incumbent PDP governor is supporting Jagaban...

Lagos where Obasanjo, Jonathan the Incumbent president spent lots of money to rescue from Tinubu but both failed...as it is in Lagos state ....100 of Obi Peter can not win Lagos state...

So, see the election as a try and loss for Obi...except someone else happen in the Camp of Atiku or Tinubu....but if nothing happen....


I wait to congratulate either Atiku or Tinubu using the power of Incumbency and Federal might to close the gap. Because the votes will be too closed like The Buhari second term and Atiku but Buahri uses the power of Incumbency to finish up....

Supposing Obi can confidently have massive votes in the southwest, southeast, south south....it could have been good for him....but as Is it, he will only have south east, south-south....plateau, and Benue will be a Battlefield for three of them....and the rest to Tinubu and Atiku

How u people analyse this is what surprises me. Out of 36 states you have conceded 11 to Obi leaving 25 to be shared between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso and u still think Obi has no chance. Na waooo

..... but he's looking handsome in the poster na !

chrisxxx:

How u people analyse this is what surprises me. Out of 36 states you have conceded 11 to Obi leaving 25 to be shared between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso and u still think Obi has no chance. Na waooo

....11 states with how.many voters ....

Check the number of eligible voters in the 11 states and compare it with the 25 states that is left for both Tinubu and Atiku....dont forget politics is a game of number.....

MelesZanawi:


Yorubas envy igbos but after the foolish war your fathers fought, Yorubas were the only ones who returned abandoned properties to igbos. No other tribe did that.


.

Not even the SS that they always attach themselves to...smh

Glink2018:


....11 states with how.many voters ....

Check the number of eligible voters in the 11 states and compare it with the 25 states that is left for both Tinubu and Atiku....dont forget politics is a game of number.....

Nigerian presidency is not only won based on simple majority it is also based on number of states minimum constitutional requirements were met

chrisxxx:

Nigerian presidency is not only won based on a simple majority it is also based on the number of states minimum constitutional requirements were met

Yes...11 states if all things being equal

25 divided by 2


This is 13 and 12 compared to 11...

When the election is so close like this... One can use the power of incumbency against the other...or do you think Buhari won the 2015 election it was because it was so close to Atiku's vote count so it is easy to manipulate. Unlike Buhari's election against GEJ ...

In every close election like this, one will always have an edge against other

Glink2018:


Yes...11 states if all things being equal

25 divided by 2


This is 13 and 12 compared to 11...

When the election is so close like this... One can use the power of incumbency against the other...or do you think Buhari won the 2015 election it was because it was so close to Atiku's vote count so it is easy to manipulate. Unlike Buhari's election against GEJ ...

In every close election like this, one will always have an edge against other

Let thé people's will count.

chrisxxx:

Let the people will count.

Have you seen any free and fair elections in Nigeria or Africa before?


Castle in the sky ...waiting for a heavenly answer...

babyfaceafrica:


He can't win his ward sef in KD

But he was elected a senator.

MelesZanawi:


That is why Obi is a big fool. Obi should have asked Kwankwaso for a Deputy from the Kwankwasiyya movement. That would have wrecked Atiku in the North.
Obi doesn't know how to make deals, just thinking like a petty trader.

Good, so that means Atiku wins right?

Kelechi009:

Good, so that means Atiku wins right?

Atiku is useless without federal might. He can't win anything. Wike is currently wrecking him and the younger Northern politicians are ready to finish him off. Look at how ordinary Bala Mohammed was talking to Atiku 2 weeks ago.
When Atiku was VP, Bala Mohammed was planting sugarcane.

He is not ready to labour in Vain and not ready to waste his energy and resource on virtual presidential ambitions. Where is love without Gifts ?? Obi no dey give chichi

MelesZanawi:


Atiku is useless without federal might. He can't win anything. Wike is currently wrecking him and the younger Northern politicians are ready to finish him off. Look at how ordinary Bala Mohammed was talking to Atiku 2 weeks ago.
When Atiku was VP, Bala Mohammed was planting sugarcane.

So therefore we should now allow BAT to win? That man is not even coherent, he is sick & old. I hope you people are prepared for the suffering about to come on Nigerians?

Kelechi009:


So therefore we should now allow BAT to win? That man is not even coherent, he is sick & old. I hope you people are prepared for the suffering about to come on Nigerians?

I'd rather a Kwankwaso wins than BAT. The blunders and visible health issues is a NO NO...