IfnobeGod20:

You people still like singing the old story of religion is not an issue in South West but MURIC is singing another song in the same South West. As a Yoruba man I grew up not differentiating any known religion. You will never knew who is a traditionalist, a christain or muslim as we were growing up. We go same schools, our uniforms no segregation, everyone does what pleases them but today the case is the reverse. Muslim now counting the number of people in government in each state. The number of commissioners and advisers that are muslims and those that are christains are now the concern of MURIC but that was not so in the past. With MURIC in the show in south west, the golf of religion differences will continue to get wider and wider in south west.
Forget this old lyrics of south west doesn't have problem of religion differences. They have now.

I'm ijebu I don't know who is muric. Ijebus are native to Ogun state and Lagos.

Whatever muric says doesn't concern ijebus in general since it's not even from awujale.
Osun people should deal with their muric.

Donsheddy:


Till February
Magnus is with sdp....
Asari ke...

We both know the region with the highest voting strength infact the account for 75% of rivers state voting strength...
The ikwerrers...
Where obio/akpor and portharcourt are more populated....
So I'm thinking where the 200k vote is coming from.....

Bayelsa will vote tinubu that plotted the removal of there son why....

P.o is winning bayelsa for sure...
I have friends in b.y keeping me updated.....

S.E election highly rigged...
Tell me something else....

With P.O on the ballot...
He's getting nothing less than 80% of votes cast in the east and expect high level of turn out of voters in the south south and southeast

You are not being realistic.whether you like it or not,elections in se/ss are prone to rigging.if a whole ojukwu could lose in the east,who is obi? Am not saying obi will lose but in a threw horse race,highest he can get is 65%.he will get 90% in anambra anywhere...
Tinubu was instrumental to magnus joining sdp.he is working for tinubu.he dominates ogoni and ogoni gives bloc votes.tinubu can get 100k here.asari declared for tinubu since last year, he is popular and dominant in kalabari .the apc candidate tonye cole is also from here.they can bring 100k votes.another place is abolga where hon UDI odum dominates for apc.buhari got 40k votes here,tinubu can get 50k.but overall,obi will win rivers while tinubu gets 25%.atiku takes last...
Do not be deceived.bayelsa is obi weakest point in se/ss.dont be deceived by people at the urban areas,at the rural areas it is apc or pdp...
Again,many labour party agents can easily compromise or intimidated on election day and they will allow apc and pdp to manipulate results.
Like I earlier said,se and ss turnout will be high but while obi will win se,ss will be shared.by the way,I am from ss.

buhariguy:
in 2019, atiku won buhari in edo with 5000 vote. even as people were complaining of the economy.
This time, nobody wants to vote for another fulani man for another 8yrs.
Obaseki can not influence anything as he could not influence for buhari in 2019. Obaseki won in 2020 with 10% of total vote. 55% to 45%.
That trends still continue.
Obi and atiku will still share the 55%
Apc still maintain that 45% since 2015.
We that has be voting for oshomole since 2007 will still continue.
While pdp will share their vote btw obi and atiku

Anyway, if Tinubu wins, it's not going to be up to 45% bro. It maybe 40 highest. That is if he wins.

garfield1:


Se and ss turnout will be high for obvious reasons...

For se,4 mil.obi 2.7 mil,atiku 700k,tinubu 600k..
For ss,5 mil turnout.atiku 1.9 mil,obi 1.8 mil,tinubu 1.3 mil

600k votes in the SE & 1.3 Mill votes in SS who be your drug dealer abeg Buhari did not get up to 609k votes in SS in 2019 talkless of tifnubu.Tribal politics is what is in play here thanks to tifnubu. Igbos, niger-deltans no matter the party they are will no vote APC. Ask any strong politician you know in SE & SS they will tell you party structure is in place for gubernatorial not presidential(these people are not stupid, they know its supposed to be their turn so if tinubu get 2k votes in SS & SE thank God.

pinacole1:




U said lagos katsina jigawa osun na tcc. It is clear u re drunk and blindfolded. I bet u even sokoto getting batified slowly. Osun can never be tcc likewise lagos. Delta south is batified. Bayelsa is partly batified. Edo north is highly batified. These re d states already batified... zamfara yobe borno kwara kogi osun oyo ondo lagos ogun niger kebbi katsina nasarawa. Kano tcc depending on kwankwaso decision.

This one is depending on votes of Muslims for Tinubu.
But it's only extremist Muslims from the north who will vote for Shettima the true presidential candidate of APC via Tinubu. True northern Muslims are tired of Islamic insurgency with its banditry offshoot in the north. Shettima is a known Boko Haram accomplice.

43Ronin:

600k votes in the SE & 1.3 Mill votes in SS who be your drug dealer abeg Buhari did not get up to 609k votes in SS in 2019 talkless of tifnubu.Tribal politics is what is in play here thanks to tifnubu. Igbos, niger-deltans no matter the party they are will no vote APC. Ask any strong politician you know in SE & SS they will tell you party structure is in place for gubernatorial not presidential(these people are not stupid, they know its supposed to be their turn so if tinubu get 2k votes in SS & SE thank God.

Buhari got 1.5 mil in se/ss,tinubu will get similar thing

garfield1:


Buhari got 1.5 mil in se/ss,tinubu will get similar thing

ASHIWAJU BOLA TINUBU: HE WHO PAYS THE PIPER.

BY JAIYEOLA AJASA.

The problem of corruption in our society is not with those who know they are corrupt, but with all who belong to it but believe they are not.

Jounalists are the worst Nigerians. The genius of Ashiwaju Bola Tinubu was that he found that out even before he returned from his USA sojourn. He knew the baggage he was coming home with. He had a name that was really not his name. He was in the drug business. And he had political aspiration. So, he did what all other politicians with shoddy and murky past in Nigeria have done. Befriend journalists. Make them feel they are so important. When you embrace a leper. He reciprocates the gesture with undying loyalty. Tinubu knew that the fourth estate was the worst estate in the country. Journalists have all the name but are broke and find it difficult to make ends meet. Give them a whiff of money and there is nothing they would not do. Sell their mother as a matter of fact. Corruption in the media is often times a taboo subject. But it is real. Even though it is unethical. Tinubu understood immediately what he was going to do. He looked for the best of the best. Like Dele Alake, Tunji Bello and Bayo Onanuga. Over the years he cultivated their friendship. Bribed them with posts. Important positions, by the way. Even extended the gesture to their family. The evil genius in him got them so entangled in corruption. Because he knew there will be days like these. Who better to have in your camp than good and vibrant minds? Who do you want to speak for you? "Respected journalists, of course." When you intend to break into a house and steal. The gate keeper is the best person to befriend. Genius.

Influencing news coverage in the country has been the norm.......for a long time. When you have politicians owning over 97% of the media outlet in the country. It is the cliche of who pays the piper dictating the tune. The rest are government owned. So, it becomes even worse. Where do you then draw the line between doing your job and corruption? To whom lies your loyalty? Your boss or your country? We see negative news about these politicians been suppressed and given a positive spin. Hence the culture of justifiable corruption. When the terrible sin is not a crime. It is actually a vocation. You are putting food on the table for your family. Trying to live. Make ends meet. Where is the corruption when you are only trying to do a job? By protecting your employer. Who pays the piper.

Are you going to tell me that experienced and brilliant minds like Dele Alake, Bayo Onanuga and Tunji Bello are stupid and do not know about Yekini Amuda Ogunlere? They have even before you, known about his drug past. But the subtle truth is when you are befriended by the Devil, you are expected to fulfill the unmentioned favor of keeping terrible news about Hell a secret. Consequently, you truly cannot blame these men. What is wrong in putting your employer over country? Heaven can wait when you have to defend and protect the Devil.

adee17:
APC or Tinubu guys still dont get it: We owe Tinubu nothing although he is Yoruba.
The highest he will get in any yourba state is like 50% of the total votes. No block votes for him in yoruba. He worships the North, let them give him block votes. Yourba doesn't give block votes to any politician except Abiola and Awolowo both of blessed memories.

Don't mind him, he is now bringing sentiment, shouting emilokan up n dan.

What is his benefit in yoruba land.

tollyboy5:

I'm ijebu I don't know who is muric. Ijebus are native to Ogun state and Lagos.

Whatever muric says doesn't concern ijebus in general since it's not even from awujale.
Osun people should deal with their muric.

I was in Ogun state partly last year. You need not tell me the story I know and you need not hide behind one finger. If you claimed, you don't know who MURIC is, then, you're just untruthful and not current with your environment or you're just trying to play save.
No enlightened person will come to social media and say he doesn't know MURIC and their activities on religion issue for some years now.
Every activities of MURIC are projected towards religion inclination and rooting of Islamic faith and doctrine in south west and Nigeria as a whole.
If you don't know, same MURIC has taken a case to supreme court that Sharia court should be establish in south west. All their activities are on how to partition and create religion divisions in south west. All these are not obtainable in the past.

Eriokanmi:
All am seeing is a kangaroo prediction, which doesn't reflect the realities in ground. See the states won by the pdp in 2019 being allocated to tinubu lol. I laugh the swahili way. See as they allocated FCT to Atiku,even Rivers, akwa ibom, Bayelsa, delta...same delta i visited recently where people carry peter obi for head like an idol, lmao.

Any doubting Thomas should mark today's date. Obi will clear all the south east and south south, win at least, one south west state, Abuja, Plateau, Kaduna and benue states. Other states can be shared by atiku and tinubu. Please don't attack yet, until after the elections in February. Except ghosts would vote would the apc win next year's election.

mum can you mention the south west state where Peter obi will win?

Peacecore:
As far as Kwankwaso is on the ballot, he should win Kano easily while APC will come second. As for Osun, it's for Tinubu, and somehow Kwara. Atiku winning Rivers is possible if Wike decides to stay aloof. Obi may likely win Edo since there is crisis in Edo PDP buh d margin will be very small among the 3 candidates. I doubt if Atiku can win Gombe state. Nasarawa tilts towards Tinubu though, buh anything can happen.

stop acting like u smoke weed.. it's Party we are talking about here and as far as we know APC PDP ll dominate... NNPP won't see APC back in Kano... PDP is winning Edo state hands down... The only place labour ll win well is on social media... Enough of this fantasy... Labour and nnpp ll come distant fourth and third next year...

DMerciful:
Seems your problem is with Obi and not necessarily the analyst. You're pained he gave Obi those states!

Obi would win based on margins and not necessarily number of states!

the analyst is a big fool... He knows pple like u ll believe any rubbish concoted... Next year we ll Al rest from this online stupidity and fantasy.. even APC a big party can't boast of winning Edo it's unkwown labour party... Nonsense

Nwaetche:
My friend is not by mouth. Go and do survey in South East and South South and get the shock of your life.

comot for road... Like Ojukwu didn't lose 2003 with APGA is obi more revered like Ojukwu... U think elections is by online noise... Nonsense

buhariguy:
when you loose guide. your opponent will do

So PDP rigged a ruling party out of power?

Do you have working brain cells?

Many of you does not even understand National politics.
If anyone here is sure of this let's drop 50k for the moderator of this forum. Atiku will win 80% of the northern states, NC, NW and NE.
Atiku performance in S/S, SE and S/W will shock many of you when results start coming in by February. Tinubu will win Atiku in northern state, I dey laugh, very funny

Mordecai:


These four persons tweeting in a room have really gone far...

As it stands today, below is the most realistic position of things. Unless anything changes, this is how it stands...


NW

Sokoto AA
Zamfara BAT
Katsina TCC
Kebbi TCC
Kano TCC
Kaduna TCC
Jigawa AA

NE

Borno BAT
Yobe BAT
Gombe TCC
Bauchi AA
Adamawa AA
Taraba AA

NC

Kogi BAT
Nasarawa TCC
Plateau PO
Niger BAT
Kwara TCC
Benue PO
FCT PO

SW

Lagos TCC
Osun TCC
Oyo BAT
Ogun BAT
Ondo BAT
Ekiti BAT

SS

Rivers PO
Bayelsa PO
Delta PO
Cross River PO
Edo PO
Akwa Ibom PO

SE

Anambra PO
Enugu PO
Ebonyi PO
Imo PO
Abia PO

Ayosman1:
Many of you does not even understand National politics.
If anyone here is sure of this let's drop 50k for the moderator of this forum. Atiku will win 80% of the northern states, NC, NW and NE.
Atiku performance in S/S, SE and S/W will shock many of you when results start coming in by February. Tinubu will win Atiku in northern state, I dey laugh, very funny

Sometimes, when I see comments from people on this forum, I begin to wonder - this elections, isn't it humans that'll vote, or will a computer allocate votes randomly?

Interact with people, get round the country and you would not "get shocked" when election results start coming in.

You are educated sir. Your type are the people I want to engage on this forum, for a political discuss. Most of this traditional and religious institutions in the North are led by Fulanis oligarchy, even areas that are dominated by Christians in the North, their Emirs are instored by Fulanis. This election, Atiku will beat Tinubu with a wide margin in the three Northern regions



quote author=sangresan post=119198784]

Reread all the comments from the beginning. Nobody needs your lecture on how Boko Haram was founded and who is sympathizing with it.

The person assumed that Shettima was the first choice of the Fulani establishment followed by Atiku. Then, I asked him why Fulani would support Shettima (Kanuri) ahead of Atiku (Fulani).

Even a kindergarten student of Nigerian history knows that the Fulani and Kanuri are historical foes. El-Kanemi and Dan Fodio fought several wars. Borno never voted for NPN/NRC/PDP, except on few occasions. Also, Boko Haram is more of Kanuri/Shuwa Arab initiative, while herdsmen/bandits are mostly Fulani. [/quote]

garfield1:


You are not being realistic.whether you like it or not,elections in se/ss are prone to rigging.if a whole ojukwu could lose in the east,who is obi? Am not saying obi will lose but in a threw horse race,highest he can get is 65%.he will get 90% in anambra anywhere...
Tinubu was instrumental to magnus joining sdp.he is working for tinubu.he dominates ogoni and ogoni gives bloc votes.tinubu can get 100k here.asari declared for tinubu since last year, he is popular and dominant in kalabari .the apc candidate tonye cole is also from here.they can bring 100k votes.another place is abolga where hon UDI odum dominates for apc.buhari got 40k votes here,tinubu can get 50k.but overall,obi will win rivers while tinubu gets 25%.atiku takes last...
Do not be deceived.bayelsa is obi weakest point in se/ss.dont be deceived by people at the urban areas,at the rural areas it is apc or pdp...
Again,many labour party agents can easily compromise or intimidated on election day and they will allow apc and pdp to manipulate results.
Like I earlier said,se and ss turnout will be high but while obi will win se,ss will be shared.by the way,I am from ss.

Lol, are you sure you have been to the south south recently?

As powerful as Wike is, he is being careful not to drum support for BAT, and here you are mentioning Asari Dokubo, Tonye Cole etc as if they can command people on who to vote. That happens only in the north, my friend. Even Amaechi couldn't pull that off.
BAT will get nothing from Rivers. Take that to the bank. It's between AA and PO.

Now, while BAT was comfortable with people in the SS voting PO rather than giving their votes to AA, he is becoming scared now. PO is a real challenger now, and has gained enough clout to force a runoff. In any runoff, BAT loses, head or tails.

nlfpmod:


https://twitter.com/sbmintelligence/status/1603367064273670146?t=L2v1MQn-RHzRJAL8FupqAg&s=08

Where is Kwankwaso in this projection?.

Mordecai:


Lol, are you sure you have been to the south south recently?

As powerful as Wike is, he is being careful not to drum support for BAT, and here you are mentioning Asari Dokubo, Tonye Cole etc as if they can command people on who to vote. That happens only in the north, my friend. Even Amaechi couldn't pull that off.
BAT will get nothing from Rivers. Take that to the bank. It's between AA and PO.

Now, while BAT was comfortable with people in the SS voting PO rather than giving their votes to AA, he is becoming scared now. PO is a real challenger now, and has gained enough clout to force a runoff. In any runoff, BAT loses, head or tails.

You dont get it.rivers votes are determined by rigging not voters and bat has the people tp rig for him.lp agents on election day will be overwhelmed at the rural areas

nlfpmod:


https://twitter.com/sbmintelligence/status/1603367064273670146?t=L2v1MQn-RHzRJAL8FupqAg&s=08

I agree with all except Osun state. That PDP won Osun doesn't mean Osun people will sheepishly vote for Atiku like they did for Adeleke.
Also, the APC faction that supported Adeleke and tilted the result won't do the same in the presidential election, and Adeleke's brother won't open his vault this time around to secure a victory for Atiku.

If there one state Obi would win outside SE, its Edo state. It'd be a landslide victory in Edo! APC will come a distant 3rd

OGHENAOGIE:
the analyst is a big fool... He knows pple like u ll believe any rubbish concoted... Next year we ll Al rest from this online stupidity and fantasy.. even APC a big party can't boast of winning Edo it's unkwown labour party... Nonsense

Just remove tinubu from that list, he's not in the race...

DMerciful:
If there one state Obi would win outside SE, its Edo state. It'd be a landslide victory in Edo! APC will come a distant 3rd

Its pdp that will come a distant third

keep deceiving people

Eriokanmi:

Any doubting Thomas should mark today's date. Obi will clear all the south east and south south, win at least, one south west state, Abuja, Plateau, Kaduna and benue states. Other states can be shared by atiku and tinubu. Please don't attack yet, until after the elections in February. Except ghosts would vote would the apc win next year's election.

Obi will not get up to 10% in any south west state.
He won't come second in any state outside SE and SS. APC will shock you in Abuja.
I see you're banking on religion in your analysis? That'll be your greatest undoing next election.

Foolish writer

Rivers and Delta is PO, TCC yenagoa

Strikethem:
I am from ondo, I know what I am saying.

Okay let's wait till den

[color=#000099][/color]

donphilopus:
Even though Tinubu was cheated in this projection, he still got the highest states. That shows no matter what happens during the election, Tinubu would win.

They claimed Kwara is too close to call whereas Tinubu would win there effortlessly without any other candidate coming close. If Aliero isn't on the senatorial ballot, Tinubu should win Kebbi. As for Kano, if Kwankwaso is on the ballot, Tinubu should come second but if he should collapse his structure for Tinubu, APC should clear there.

There are at least 6 states given to Atiku that he wouldn't win. Atiku can't win Bayelsa state, Rivers would be very difficult. He's finding it hard in Gombe. Kaduna South which should ordinarily give him votes would be divided. They're stuck between Obi and Atiku. Tinubu would have the advantage here. How on earth would he win FCT and Osun? Tinubu should win three to four of these states plus Kwara and Kebbi (in the absence of Aliero on the ballot) and maybe Kano. Who's still doubting Tinubu's Presidency?

You are just living in fool's paradise!

OGHENAOGIE:
stop acting like u smoke weed.. it's Party we are talking about here and as far as we know APC PDP ll dominate... NNPP won't see APC back in Kano... PDP is winning Edo state hands down... The only place labour ll win well is on social media... Enough of this fantasy... Labour and nnpp ll come distant fourth and third next year...

Point of correction; I didn't smoke b4 commenting and we r not talking about party only but candidate inclusive. If it party alone, LP won't win Anambra let alone oda SErn states. Atiku can't win Edo as easy as you think. After all Edo has never been massively won by either PDP or APC before. If Kwankwaso sticks with his ambition till election day, he'll win Kano easily. Bookmark this.