Ovo200:
These are the states Jonathan didn't win but won the election

Now tell me what will make obi not win the election.

Ovo200:
These are the states Jonathan didn't win but won the election

Now tell me what will make obi not win the election.

HarunaWest:
PDP had a structure. LP doesn't have that. Just face the reality on ground, when they say structure, it means party stalwarts at all levels of any state , local or ward. Imagine in Jigawa state for example,the whole exco and aspirants decamped to APC, in Ogun state, same thing. When rigging starts in these states, PO will have no one to fight for him. Even in the east, he will have a tough time because that is PDP stronghold. He will do well but the reality on ground is that he can't win this election. He can build on his profile, build a structure with the help of Nigerian youths and prepare in a merger sort of in 2027.

9jii:

He ll lose these states plus all of the south west too.

If you are to go by the 2011 result the obvious winner will be Tinubu.

oyin44:
Seeing this ..l believe obi cannot win..

Tinubu has every cause to be confident of winning this coming election

HarunaWest:
PDP had a structure. LP doesn't have that. Just face the reality on ground, when they say structure, it means party stalwarts at all levels of any state , local or ward. Imagine in Jigawa state for example,the whole exco and aspirants decamped to APC, in Ogun state, same thing. When rigging starts in these states, PO will have no one to fight for him. Even in the east, he will have a tough time because that is PDP stronghold. He will do well but the reality on ground is that he can't win this election. He can build on his profile, build a structure with the help of Nigerian youths and prepare in a merger sort of in 2027.

Polchiz:

Fool!
What is structure?
When people start voting for LP next month, you will understand the real meaning of structure.
Structure my foot!

HarunaWest:
just cos I differ from your own point of view. The best is to insult instead if countering my argument with facts. Well it's obvious that you know the reality that's why you are so pained buh I have got not much to say to you.

Polchiz:

I am waiting for APC structure to win any state in SW and SE.

HarunaWest:
PDP had a structure. LP doesn't have that. Just face the reality on ground, when they say structure, it means party stalwarts at all levels of any state , local or ward. Imagine in Jigawa state for example,the whole exco and aspirants decamped to APC, in Ogun state, same thing. When rigging starts in these states, PO will have no one to fight for him. Even in the east, he will have a tough time because that is PDP stronghold. He will do well but the reality on ground is that he can't win this election. He can build on his profile, build a structure with the help of Nigerian youths and prepare in a merger sort of in 2027.

AntonVince:


PDP “had a structure” yet Buhari and his structure-less CPC swept every state (including those with sitting PDP governors) in the 12 core Muslim-dominant northern states?

Did the CPC even have a single councillor anywhere in Nigeria before ammasing over 12 million votes?

The only impediment to Obi’s victory next month is the SS/SE. He’ll be home and dry for Aso Rock before 2pm on election day if he wins those 2 regions en-bloc.
25% in at least 24 states is certain.

HarunaWest:
Bihari had a structure with CPC. You forget that PMB was an ANPP member and he and his supporters decamped and formed the CPC. ANPP had structure already. You can't talk of block votes without the needed structure, this is a presidential election and not a loca government or assembly something. It's a whole different ball game.

Ovo200:



Answer this question

Between structure and people being tired of bad governance which is superior?

Did you expect the turn out for obi in any of his rallies since it began?
So shall his vote be bro
Nobody expected what happened in Kano today if you don't have a retentive memory to recall other

Ovo200:


How will he win when he doesn't have enough vote from SS and SE, plateau, Benue, Nassarawa, Niger, Abuja are for obi.

I hope you know all SE and SS states are in the bag for obi

Lagos Obi is winning over 40%

He will get more than 25% from all SW state(You can try this survey in any SW state ask 4 Yoruba people two are for obi two are for Tinubu). The yorubas always argue with each other over Peter Obi.

kcnwaigbo:

Only the LP has the BVAS and Irev structures.Sorry bros you can't rig anymore

HarunaWest:
Forget what happened in Kano today. Let's stake here that he will not score up to 100,000 votes there. Remember this day and let's chat again on 27th February Insha Allah. Na Kanawa go vote Obi?
Forget the rallies or the crowd. When we get to election proper, you will see the need for structure. He will wail of rigging, voter manipulation et al. buh that wouldn't change the outcome.

Ovo200:


How will he win when he doesn't have enough vote from SS and SE, plateau, Benue, Nassarawa, Niger, Abuja are for obi.

I hope you know all SE and SS states are in the bag for obi

Lagos Obi is winning over 40%

He will get more than 25% from all SW state(You can try this survey in any SW state ask 4 Yoruba people two are for obi two are for Tinubu). The yorubas always argue with each other over Peter Obi.

Zandena:
See how you murdered English with your daydreaming analysis "states Jonathan didn't not win "
Obi is nowhere near Jonathan politically even with his naivety. The two are not comparable at all as Jonathan benefited from incumbency factor and massive rigging that took place in the south.
Obi is only riding and banking on religious sentiment and nothing else!

HarunaWest:
Forget what happened in Kano today. Let's stake here that he will not score up to 100,000 votes there. Remember this day and let's chat again on 27th February Insha Allah. Na Kanawa go vote Obi?
Forget the rallies or the crowd. When we get to election proper, you will see the need for structure. He will wail of rigging, voter manipulation et al. buh that wouldn't change the outcome.

9jii:

Niger?Nasarawa ? I thought we are being realistic.

Winning SE n SS and getting 25% in the SW didn't stop GEJ from losing in 2015 and Atiku in 2019.

Obi can't get 25% from 15 states so also Atiku in almost all the states in South.
Only Tinubu can win or get 25% from more than 26 states across the country.

Obi can only become in third place in 2023.

SmartPolician:


You can rig if one party has no party agent in the polling unit. Labour Party needs to have party agents in all the PUs. Without it, APC and PDP may share their votes during vote counts

Bigfish121:
Voters in the polling unit will act as the party agent.

Ovo200:


How will he win when he doesn't have enough vote from SS and SE, plateau, Benue, Nassarawa, Niger, Abuja are for obi.

I hope you know all SE and SS states are in the bag for obi

Lagos Obi is winning over 40%

He will get more than 25% from all SW state(You can try this survey in any SW state ask 4 Yoruba people two are for obi two are for Tinubu). The yorubas always argue with each other over Peter Obi.

Zandena:
See how you murdered English with your daydreaming analysis "states Jonathan didn't not win "
Obi is nowhere near Jonathan politically even with his naivety. The two are not comparable at all as Jonathan benefited from incumbency factor and massive rigging that took place in the south.
Obi is only riding and banking on religious sentiment and nothing else!