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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! (5929 Views)
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Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:12am On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Lol. Wishful thinking. Possible in the NW/sw/ne not obtainable in se/SS probably some parts of north central 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 11:16am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Self deception |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Shikini: 11:19am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Great |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:22am On Feb 01, 2023 |
babyfaceafrica: You don't need to believe me, just enter bus and go to any inec office at the LGA in Ebonyi. That's enough proof to convince you. No need of sampling opinion 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by babyfaceafrica: 11:24am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Wait till Feb 25.. No be online mouth or anything. The votes will decide |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:25am On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: I am currently carrying out census training in the said LGA. Please since you're in Cross river come over to any LGA in Ebonyi and see for yourself, the journey isn't far, you can also try ikwo LGA or even Afikpo |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:25am On Feb 01, 2023 |
babyfaceafrica: I am grateful you want the votes to decide not garfield1 that wants ballot snatching to decide |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 11:26am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Send tp |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by babyfaceafrica: 11:30am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Either he wants it or not, ballot snatching and vote buying is an unfortunate norm in Our election. There is nothing anybody can do about it. There is too much poverty in the land. People will be used! |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:41am On Feb 01, 2023 |
babyfaceafrica: Vote buying in the ne/NW/NC but not se/SS/sw the people are literate enough. Bring money they'll chop it and vote their candidate. Case study of osun 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Paulheyman: 11:42am On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Lol. Cheers brother |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by babyfaceafrica: 11:48am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Lmao.. Who told you there was no vote buying in Osun?.. Don't worry 25 is around the corner |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by ojoadeola: 11:49am On Feb 01, 2023 |
This Poll is commendable Peter Obi's chances are bright in this election Taking into consideration the results of the polls conducted. I can infer the following: I. Labour Party will do well but will come second or third II. PDP stronghold is in the NW and NC at the moment and that is a challenge III. APC has a chance to nip it if they put in more effort, as they showed presence in almost all the Zones. SE is giving better returns than expected. My Verdict (if this poll is correct and used) 1. APC 2. PDP 3. LP 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 11:55am On Feb 01, 2023 |
Paulheyman: Sam egwu will lose his senate seat to nwaebonyi |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Shikini: 12:02pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
Obi will win |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by wegevv: 12:04pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
It is egregious that these guys seem to have excluded results from Rivers state. In the SS picture posted by OP they said they only polled the other 5 SS states Top 5 states by registered voters: 5. Katsina 3,516,719 4. Rivers 3,537,190 3. Kaduna 4,335,208 2. Kano 5,921,370 1. Lagos 7,060,195 Note that most pollsters expect all these states to be bitterly contested by at least two candidates except one; Rivers state is Obident
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Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by wegevv: 12:08pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: If they didn't poll Rivers state or include the result like the SS image suggests then the poll is useless
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Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 12:15pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
wegevv: Rivers won't change much.obi will win followed by jagaban |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by wegevv: 12:22pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: lol that is just dishonest. Read the poll again carefully and consider the states excluded. This poll doesn't support your estimates at all. It almost entirely contradicts it 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 12:22pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
wegevv: It does.almost all ss states were includes except rivers |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by wegevv: 12:31pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Okay let's check shall we. You have LP and APC level in 2 of the 5 states polled. You have APC destroying LP in Bayelsa. You have LP with marginal leads over APC in the remaining 2 states. Quoted below for clarity as you seem confused today lol This survey by bantupage polls the same 5 states and has LP crushing APC by a bigger margin than in any of the states you gave to LP. Even your estimate in Rivers lol You're entitled to your estimate sir but trying to claim that this poll aligns with yours is beyond dishonest lol garfield1: 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 12:48pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
wegevv: We have a best case scenario.Bantu is a worst worst case scenario |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Deprofessional(m): 12:56pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: If you know what is coming on 25th February 2023, then you will know that Tinubu has no chance. I wont say more than this. 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Deprofessional(m): 1:01pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
ojoadeola: If your verdict makes you sleep well fine. You will be roundly disappointed this month. 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by Mikeman123(m): 1:05pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
[quote author=N3TRAL post=120538527][b] The best position Pandora can come out of the polls with is second runner up. Go to Anambra and tell them that Obeer will win, they'll be singing it like a song for you that he won't win. LP= PDP pro max NNPP = PDP lite Atiku Alootakar will be cursing Pandora Obeer wherever he is this evening I live in Anambra.And I know that Obi will win with a very wide margin |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by nameo: 1:19pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
BluntTheApostle: You are just speaking too much grammar but not fooling anyone. And you also do not have any idea about whom you are reaponding to here. Random Sampling is at the heart of scientific pooling, and it is good that you mentioned it. That is the most important factor that reduces any statistical bias in any polling. And it was used in this particular polling. But further, if you took a look at the methodology of the polling here, other factors like weighted sampling was also used. It is as scientific as it goes. Moreover, the results here generally aligns with the results of other scientific polls done by other bodies, including trends seen over time. There is no reason to doubt the results except a stronger statistical reason is given. And the reason cannot be the "feeling" of a random chap on Nairaland. |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by nameo: 1:26pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: You are right that Obi's lead is reducing and we are seeing that from some other polls too. But that is to be expected as poll numbers usually close up towards the elections. But my point here is that Obi, who should clearly be the underdog in the race, have been consistently leading the pack since the beginning of the polling. That is absolutely incredible and something that should tell the legacy parties a good lesson if they are smart. Moreover, whilst we may not know how the "undecides" will eventually vote or even if they will vote at all, most "undecides" if they vote usually do not vote for the party in power (which is why they may not have made up their minds or refusing to say who they will vote yet). But like i said previously, they may determine the outcome of the elections if they vote cos their numbers are significant. We will just wait and see |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 1:35pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
nameo: Do not deceive yourself.most undecided outside se/ss will not vote obi afterall Lp is not the only opposition party.the only thing that can help obi is if he can ramp up campaigning in ne/nw, try to increase his chances in ss and nc.he needs to spend more,sponsor more independent mobilizers to penetrate the hinterland...if se ss had the voting strength of the north,we would then conclude that obi is the likely winner.. Unfortunately, tinubu is increasing campaign tempo and mobilization in nc,ss |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by nameo: 1:36pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: Yea, but you guys forget something very important: there are actually more SE voters outside the zone than there are voters from other zones outside their zones. If Igbos choose to vote in this elections, a lot of you will understand why they are not just one of the 3 major ethnic groups in Nigeria but are arguably the most dispersed ethnic group in Nigeria. Once Igbos come out to vote, some of you will realise how very powerful they are in Nigeria 1 Like |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by wegevv: 1:37pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: lol sure sir Here's is their Rivers state "worst case" poll which they decided to exclude from both polls for some reason. Maybe to keep it competitive for you lol https://twitter.com/BantuPage/status/1615375891655450624 Personally I think Bantupage were so shocked by the poll they decided to leave it out 1 Like
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Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by garfield1: 1:40pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
nameo: Please,let's leave irrelevant talks.obi's highest votes will come from se and their turnout is always low even when mighty ojukwu contested.other tribes too have thousands of voters outside their region so it even itself out.that cliché is stale |
Re: Obi Of Labour Party Storms The Bloc Into Pole Position Poll Show; Yet Again! by nameo: 1:40pm On Feb 01, 2023 |
garfield1: But LP is actually the opposition party in this election. Do you know how effective the APCPDP narrative have been in this campaign. People dont see PDP as the alternative to APC or vice versa, the narrative is that you should vote LP if you dont want to vote APCPDP. And you are right, just like i said previously, most "undecides" and "undisclosed" usually vote for the OPPOSITION in elections. 1 Like |
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