Iamgrey5:
Ok bruv,

Half of your population can't even live within your region but prefer to be treated as second class citizen in other people's region or state.

Nonetheless, you are more concerned about the welfare of others, you know they Charity begins at home.

My brothers will survive they are hardcore hustlers we go survive we no dey fear work unlike your tax collecting lazy brothers,every major markets in Nigeria is dominated by us,una go come buy our market and we go chop..

Felimax:


Ok, a lot is still going to happen before the election.

Too late.we have 3 weeks from today.the die is cast,Tinubu has the advantage

Iamgrey5:
Ok bruv,

You see this Naira redesign thing is Even Making people want to vote Tinubu more as a protest vote to Buhari and his cabal within the South West.

True esp as Tinubu was the first to attack the naira design...

Again,it will make vote buying easier

garfield1:


No,el rufai was in CPC as of when apc was formed...

Deputy speaker wase,apc guber candidate in niger bago,sen al makura,bayo shittu,gov masari are CPC...
Wamakko,bagudu, doguwa,amechi, lalong etc are npdp

All those you mentioned came from PDP or ANPP

Elrufai was originally PDP under the Obasanjo presidency.

Where is Kwara state?

Iamgrey5:
Ok bruv,

You see this Naira redesign thing is Even Making people want to vote Tinubu more as a protest vote to Buhari and his cabal within the South West.

Still within the Yoruba environment.
This way we see a very corrupt personality in Tinubu who is screaming as a result of his perceived inability to bribe his way through. The Landlord of the nation's currency is out to deal with Tinubu and I think it's a personal beef.

Look at it well, Tinubu is in a big mess right now. I know you won't see it Sha but soon

Obi can't get 20k votes in South west, even PDP second position will be shameful

Penguin2:

Ha!

I’m shocked 🤔.

What’s going on?

Na una come dey educate the guy on Labour Party chances abi na joke una dey joke ni🤔?

Sarcasm...my Vila people are meeting today to decide who to meet.they will meet with calabar and other branches to finalize next week.that is how every community in crs do

JohnnA1:
Where is Kwara state?

Is it sw?

Goodmarlian:


My brothers will survive they are hardcore hustlers we go survive we no dey fear work unlike your tax collecting lazy brothers,every major markets in Nigeria is dominated by us,una go come buy our market and we go chop..

My tax collector brothers are doing their work too.

They will equally survive, I don't think they have ever sneaked into your region at night in luxurious buses to beg before, so they will be fine.

You work on improving your region first, so you guys won't have to become refugees in your own country.

garfield1:


Lp might get 25% in ondo and Oyo wit extra efforts but never in ekiti,osun

A week is a long time in politics

As it stands today, Lp can only get 25 percent in Ondo and Lagos in the south west.

PDP is no pushover as well, they have party loyalist all over

Iamgrey5:
All those you mentioned came from PDP or ANPP

Elrufai was originally PDP under the Obasanjo presidency.

No.el rufai was originally pdp but as at the time of the merger,he was in CPC.he was even instrumental to buhari changing his mind to recon test one last time.forget about where they were,we are talking about their last parties before apc.... Except you want to say buhari was anpp too..
Umahi was in anpp once just like magnus abe

Felimax:


Still within the Yoruba environment.
This way we see a very corrupt personality in Tinubu who is screaming as a result of his perceived inability to bribe his way through. The Landlord of the nation's currency is out to deal with Tinubu and I think it's a personal beef.

Look at it well, Tinubu is in a big mess right now. I know you won't see it Sha but soon

The thing is people have started to see the naira redesign as a conspiracy against Yorubas.

Especially since Osibanjo also voiced out against it since yesterday.

This is the mood of our people I am currently gauging.

Fawazzz:


A week is a long time in politics

As it stands today, Lp can only get 25 percent in Ondo and Lagos in the south west.

PDP is no pushover as well, they have party loyalist all over

True.pdp is very strong esp in Oyo,ondo,osun but many have joined lp.this thing is beyond party loyalists.a lot of pdp loyalists will vote apc or labour.it is now about candidacy, religion or ethnicity

Moh247:


Wake up bro... PDP are the second in SouthWest

Each Federal Rep had come to our neighborhood and landlord tenant association accepted them... And I can tell you each meeting APC and PDP are miles ahead, followed by Accord Party

Please ask around, forget about internet

This is Oyo State

I can accept Accord’s popularity in Oyo because of Penkelemesi but those are traditional APC supporters.

And in the end, Accord supporters in Oyo will vote Tinubu for presidency and Accord candidates for senate and HOR and then in state elections. It doesn’t help Atiku in anyway.

Iamgrey5:
The thing is people have started to see the naira redesign as a conspiracy against Yorubas.

Especially since Osibanjo also voiced out against it since yesterday.

This is the mood of our people I am currently gauging.

Gauge whatever you like but the conspiracy is not adding up, I mean you guys should grow up.

The thing is affecting everybody regardless so the more you try to make it seem as if it's a plot against the Yorubas the more we see the stupidity of the west.

Penguin2:


I can accept Accord’s popularity in Oyo because of Penkelemesi but those are traditional APC supporters.

And in the end, Accord supporters in Oyo will vote Tinubu for presidency and Accord candidates for senate and HOR and then in state elections. It doesn’t help Atiku in anyway.

You seem not to know that man Atiku .. I am die hard APC and for Tinubu but what I have seen Atiku deployed through Jumoke Akinjide... Cars, Buses, posters this guys are not playing..

How people recieve them is another Issue I don't know since Makinde is against Atiku

Moh247:


You seem not to know that man Atiku .. I am die hard APC and for Tinubu but what I have seen Atiku deployed through Jumoke Akinjide... Cars, Buses, posters this guys are not playing..

How people recieve them is another Issue I don't know since Makinde is against Atiku

Atiku will get 25% easily in Oyo state...I can bet anything on it!!

Olaoluwa122:
Atiku will get 25% easily in Oyo state...I can bet anything on it!!

Honestly right now I don't doubt that

I like all these analysis, we will see enough facts and evidence to troll you.
We are screenshooting everything

Thinkam:
Obi can't get 20k votes in South west, even PDP second position will be shameful

I don screenshot this one too.

Figment of imagination. Continue in your usury of illusions.

garfield1:


Those people won't vote obi

Even here in Kwara, LP has zero chance, talk less of the core SW states.

In Kwara:

APC: 65%
PDP: 25%
LP: 10%

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 50%
Pdp 15%
Lp 35%

Ogun
Apc 70%
Pdp 20%
Lp 10%

Ondo
Apc 55%
Pdp 25%
Lp 20%

Ekiti
Apc 75%
Pdp 20%
Lp 5%

Osun
Apc 55%
Pdp 35%
Lp 10%

Oyo
Apc 60%
Pdp 25%
Lp 15%

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergieboy
Seun
Nplfmod
Seunsmg
Legendhero
Cutieking
Spatial king
Moh247
Donphilopus
Kyase
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Yarimo
Osunoriginal
Majole
Penguin2
Mrvitalis
Immaculatejoe

Very close prediction.
But I think you should add 5% to PDP in Lagos and reduce LP by 5%

Also 70% APC for Ogun, reduce it by 3% and LP reduce it by 4% and add it to PDP votes. How can LP have 10% of what PDP has? Not possible here.

Ondo 20% LP is too much. Should be reduced by 11%. Add 4% to APC and 7% to PDP

Ekiti is fair

Osun, reduce LP by 6% add 2% to APC and 4% to PDP

Oyo, reduce LP by 8%, add 4% each to APC & PDP

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 50%
Pdp 15%
Lp 35%

Ogun
Apc 70%
Pdp 20%
Lp 10%

Ondo
Apc 55%
Pdp 25%
Lp 20%

Ekiti
Apc 75%
Pdp 20%
Lp 5%

Osun
Apc 55%
Pdp 35%
Lp 10%

Oyo
Apc 60%
Pdp 25%
Lp 15%

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergieboy
Seun
Nplfmod
Seunmsg
Legendhero
Cutieking
Spatial king
Moh247
Donphilopus
Kyase
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Yarimo
Osunoriginal
Majole
Penguin2
Mrvitalis
Immaculatejoe

Mumu man again

Sammy07:


Very close prediction.
But I think you should add 5% to PDP in Lagos and reduce LP by 5%

Also 70% APC for Ogun, reduce it by 3% and LP reduce it by 4% and add it to PDP votes. How can LP have 10% of what PDP has? Not possible here.

Ondo 20% LP is too much. Should be reduced by 11%. Add 4% to APC and 7% to PDP

Ekiti is fair

Osun, reduce LP by 6% add 2% to APC and 4% to PDP

Oyo, reduce LP by 8%, add 4% each to APC & PDP

Great adjustments. Makes even more sense than the OP's brilliant and objective analysis.

And then, i think garfield1 should work on his percentages to tune in reality.

For example if in Ondo, total vote cast is 800,000

APC has 500,000 means 62.5%
PDP has 250,000 means 31.25%
LP has 50,000 means 6.25%

And you are here giving some party ambiguous amount of %, see what 50k votes translates to in percentage.

legendHero
Batified2023
Pakut
seunsmg
Omenka
Leodeking
Throwback
Freestuffng
Islandlady
Elsudani
Obembet
Madridguy
Osunoriginal
Iamgrey5
Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergie001
Seun
Nplfmod
Cutieking
Spatial king
Moh247
Donphilopus
Kyase
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Yarimo
Majole
Penguin2
Mrvitalis
Immaculatejoe

Hopium:


Even here in Kwara, LP has zero chance, talk less of the core SW states.

In Kwara:

APC: 65%
PDP: 25%
LP: 10%

I don't think pdp will get 25% here

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 50%
Pdp 15%
Lp 35%

Ogun
Apc 70%
Pdp 20%
Lp 10%

Ondo
Apc 55%
Pdp 25%
Lp 20%

Ekiti
Apc 75%
Pdp 20%
Lp 5%

Osun
Apc 55%
Pdp 35%
Lp 10%

Oyo
Apc 60%
Pdp 25%
Lp 15%

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergieboy
Seun
Nplfmod
Seunmsg
Legendhero
Cutieking
Spatial king
Moh247
Donphilopus
Kyase
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Yarimo
Osunoriginal
Majole
Penguin2
Mrvitalis
Immaculatejoe

LP 10% in Osun... How? Who dashes monkey banana? Obi can't get 3k votes in Osun which will be less than 1%... write it down. ADC will get more votes in Osun and Oyo than LP.

Sammy07:
And then, i think garfield1 should work on his percentages to tune in reality.

For example if in Ondo, total vote cast is 800,000

APC has 500,000 means 62.5%
PDP has 250,000 means 31.25%
LP has 50,000 means 6.25%

And you are here giving some party ambiguous amount of %, see what 50k votes translates to in percentage.

Imagine your prediction for Ondo is this

APC 55
PDP 25
Lp 20

Meaning if total vote cast is 800,000
APC will have 440,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 160,000


😂😂😂
Where LP wan see am? Are you counting trees join?

Goodmarlian:


My brothers will survive they are hardcore hustlers we go survive we no dey fear work unlike your tax collecting lazy brothers,every major markets in Nigeria is dominated by us,una go come buy our market and we go chop..

Markets that will soon disappear.

madridguy:
LP will shock you. I see LP getting 45% in Oyo

LP will get 70% in Lagos