Theflint1:
I have a feeling this is another myth that would get busted today 😁

BlueRayDick:


I think the way to go is as follows :

1. Select a particular election year ( probably 2019)

2. Get a list of registered voters in all the SE states and a list of actual voters in all the SE states.

3. Get a lot of registered voters in all the NC states and a list of actual voters in all the NC states .

4. Divide the number of actual voters by the number of accredited voters in each geopolitical zone and multiply it by 100 to get the percentage of actual voters to registered voters .

5. Compare and contrast the percentages to know who where the rate of voter apparat in each of the two zones.

Spy360:

What are you twisting?

You compared voter apathy in SE to NC, then you used SW to buttress your point. I have even lost the idea behind this discuss.

raumdeuter:


I hope you don't lose the idea or you have regained the idea cos when a lie goes for long and doesn't get challenged it becomes a fact.

And when you are about to burst a myth with facts, the myth peddler acts confused and resort to Let's just forget it or trust me bro I know what I am saying

GloriousGbola:


apparently these nots have traceable serial numbers.

if this is true, it is to ENHANCE the images and capture some serial numbers off the notes

thise who know know why i bolded enhance

raumdeuter:


Of course which is why I told him to bring his stats for any region and let's compare

Random pick which is not accurate. Anambra most populated SE state vs Oyo most populated SW state(minus Lagos)

2019
Anambra Atiku 524,734 Buhari 33,298 total 558,036
Anambra population per 2019 estimate 5,599,910
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nigerian_states_by_population

Total votes/Total population % = 558,036/5,599,910 = 9.96%

Oyo Atiku 366,690 Buhari 365,229 total 731,518
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Nigerian_general_election

Oyo population per 2019 estimate 7,512,855

Total votes/Total population % = 731,518/7,512,855 = 9.73%

I deliberately didn't choose Lagos before we hear that Lagos is a predominantly SE state

Now let's hear further victimhood of how calculator Maths and statistics deliberately marginalized some people

Also I used Buhari and Atiku alone. I know there are more contestants like Moughalu Durotoye etc who got negligible votes that's why I didn't add them to the voting totals

BlueRayDick:


I think the basis of this analysis is faulty for the following reasons :

1. You used total population of each states as denominator . The total population includes minors who are not eligible to vote , ex-convicts who cannot vote or be voted for under Nigerian law , elderly people/sick people who are incapacitated, eligible voters who weren’t able to register to vote due to one reason or the other , and finally those who actually registered to vote .

2 . The number of eligible registered voters would be a good metric since those are the people who actually are allowed to vote by law and took a step by getting registered to vote and their data is available in the public space .

3. Oyo is not the most populated SW State but Lagos , hence u used convenient sampling technique (which is a non-probability sampling method ) while picking Oyo state as a against stratified sampling technique( which is a probability sampling method ) u used for Anambra state .

BlueRayDick:


I think the basis of this analysis is faulty for the following reasons :

1. You used total population of each states as denominator . The total population includes minors who are not eligible to vote , ex-convicts who cannot vote or be voted for under Nigerian law , elderly people/sick people who are incapacitated, eligible voters who weren’t able to register to vote due to one reason or the other , and finally those who actually registered to vote .

2 . The number of eligible registered voters would be a good metric since those are the people who actually are allowed to vote by law and took a step by getting registered to vote and their data is available in the public space .

3. Oyo is not the most populated SW State but Lagos , hence u used convenient sampling technique (which is a non-probability sampling method ) while picking Oyo state as a against stratified sampling technique( which is a probability sampling method ) u used for Anambra state .

afrodoc2:
[/b]

Abeg Dayo use 2nd most populated state for each region.

raumdeuter:
Interesting thread on the homepage

https://www.nairaland.com/7552204/trenches-texas-story-courage-perseverance

iamoyindamola:

What an otemic piece

raumdeuter:


I hope you don't lose the idea or you have regained the idea cos when a lie goes for long and doesn't get challenged it becomes a fact.

And when you are about to burst a myth with facts, the myth peddler acts confused and resort to Let's just forget it or trust me bro I know what I am saying

raumdeuter:


Let's compare voter apathy in the SE to anywhere you want be it NC or SW

BlueRayDick:


Personally I think that Osun election should be cancelled outrightly by the courts and a fresh election ordered .

An election in which 185k votes was cancelled out of about 778k polled by both APC and PDP is definitely not a credible one. Both parties are beneficiaries of a fraudulent electoral process; just that one benefited more than the other .

OasisX:
..... yet there are still queues across the Country?

BlueRayDick:
I learnt this is 278m being hoarded by a commercial bank while their customers are being denied access to cash (I don’t know how accurate the figures are tho) .

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CoSXK48pabI/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

OasisX:
..... yet there are still queues across the Country?

Itsrm:


To be fair, queue no too dey my side again except you want to buy below 200.

You can drive in and buy at 400-450

GloriousGbola:


They are diverting pms to other countries. And I guarantee it is nnpc workers whose hand is principally in this.

Itsrm:


From the video, at most 50m for the new notes.

Spy360:

What are the metrics? Decide and I will follow up.

Spy360:

What's the lie?

That there's no voter apathy in SE or that SEs are not independent in their thoughts?

raumdeuter:


Number of voters in an election compared to total population in the state

Spy360:

There correct analytical methodology is a percentage of total voters to total eligible voters. Just as Flint suggested. The data should be available. I will be willing to concede if the results favour your opinion.

raumdeuter:


Like I said it's not accurate but used data that can easily be gotten from internet like wiki

1. The percentage of infants ex convicts and sick people is expected to be similar for most states unless there are some factors that skew e.g one state has more children or more ex convicts

3. Using Oyo instead of Lagos eliminate the excuse of Lagos is not representative of the SW cos there are many SE people who bring SE apathy to Lagos

Someone will even say Lagos is more of less a SE state

Lagos is also around 8% total votes in presidential election / Total estimated population

Like I said it won't be accurate

BlueRayDick:


The problem with total population as a metric is the fact that the 2006 census figures were obviously inaccurate . A census that claimed Kano has more population than Lagos state is totally unreliable for any analysis.

I remember one of the good things Tinubu government did which I will always credit him for was arranging for the state government’s survey side by side with NPC’s back then.

The NPC’s figures claimed Lagos state had a population of 9m but Lagos state population survey that same year put Lagos’ population at around 17m. Religious factors in places like Kano allowed them cook figures up north . If a northerner claims he has 4 wives all of which have their faces covered and u as an enumerator goes to his house for counting , u just have to take his word for it cos u wouldn’t insist u want to gaze at them eye ball to eyeball .

The population figures is neither here nor there