The following factors shaped the outcome of this projection:
1. Past election results (2011, 2015 and 2019)
2. Ethnicity, Regionalism and Religion
3. Party structure and PU agents distributions
4. APC government performance and criticism
5. Emergence of third force: Obi and Kwankwaso
6. G5 governors
7. Insecurity in some states

What do you think?

Kudos Op

Your election results projection is plausible and looks more empirical even though I still confidently believe that Jagaban would win more than 22 states!

Asiwaju Jagaban Tinubu is the most qualified of all the presidential candidates!

PDP ti lule

LP/obifooolish ti lule

Renewed Hope 2023!

BATified 2023!

Near accurate prediction

You gave my state, Delta to Atiku. You must be high on some cheap stuff. Delta is fully Obidient. Obi is winning Delta with over 65% of the votes. You gave Anambra to APGA. This projection is highly flawed. This "buga" projection was drawn to favour the senile,druglord.

Aurelius1:
You gave my state, Delta to Atiku. You must be high on some cheap stuff. Delta is fully Obidient. Obi is winning Delta with over 65% of the votes. You gave Anambra to APGA. This projection is highly flawed. This "buga" projection was drawn to favour the senile,druglord.

Mr Aurelius1, let's be realistic about the analysis:
1. Governor is PDP and running mate to presidential candidate
2. Delta has 25 local govts chairmen all PDP
3. Delta has 5863 polling units controlled by PDP (PDP has 5864 PU agents in Delta and LP has 4888, meaning LP will not be represented in almost 1000PU)
I'm guessing you live in Warri, but election results are not only from big cities.
LP can't win Delta, politically impossible!

Correct

Is it ewa u are sharing , look at the very very daft analysis

amuwo1980:
Is it ewa u are sharing , look at the very very daft analysis

amuwo1980 it's not ewa and I love criticism but it must be factual.
Please, tell me exactly what you think is wrong with the analysis!

Almost perfect but the winner is Atiku Abubbakar.