Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by MOYORCASH: 3:44pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Fut9ure: We now see exactly where the problem is in Nigeria North is really not the problem of Nigeria
But the South west
They are taking advantage of the fact that north and south east are not in good terms due to the war fought in the past to continue romancing the north
That devilish mentality and snake like nature will stop one day Look at adeboye that led a protest during Jonathan era kept mute South west got no reason to claim anymore that they are the most educated...this election open their yansh well.
The four major contestants were from the three major tribe So it means we the South South are the one to choose the most suitable for Nigeria without biased because they are not our brothers And we chose choose obi but due to tribalism the South west refused and supported a man who is sick mentally and physically...national anthem was going on he wasn't Aware
If you can't handover your daughter or sister for Marriage to a sick old man with dementia not physically and mentally fit. Some one not aware of his environment but still you want to support same man to head 220 million Nigeria at this point of our critical situation then may you and your family know no peace
If you are emotionally attached to your tribe, religion and political leaning to the point that the truth and justice becomes secondary consideration then your education is useless, your exposure is useless. If you cannot reason beyond petty sentiments. You are liability to man kind
Everyone should retweet and save this so that our future kids will know that at some point in the history of Nigeria we were caught in between the Devil( tinubu, atiku) and redemption( obi) But the South west spoilt dragged us back because of tribalism
Every sane Nigeria should look at this and read a meaning to it 1) Tinubu political party and administration is ruling but he was unable to win Abuja where them sit down put 2) his own state of origin osun. Even a twelve year old will win thier own state yet he was unable to win
3) all development in lagos is attributed to Tinubu and he is regarded as the father of lagos yet he was unable to win
Nigerians should put on thier conscience and see that tinubu was rejected completely by Nigerians
I'm from the South South( Edo to be precise) Your analysis is wrong, iam Obidient to the bone marrow, I am Yoruba by tribe, I voted for the first time in my life because of PO and I know too many people like me, stop attributing everything to tribal issue, we are all pained with the outcome of the useless election, we know they own the judiciary but it's not over yet, our principal is a fighter, he has done it b4, he can do it again. Stop calling out yorubas everytime, it's wrong, we are not tribalistic as u said. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Gaabasky: 3:46pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
I like the superb way u narrated the story. U nailed it. U forgot the game he played to make Ahmed Lawal the Senate President. 5 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by blabulu2000: 3:46pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
the hatred and intolerance of these brothers from poto-poto region haven't left them. in fact, it is their regional identity...
Now, some Unscrupulous and disgruntled Igbo- headed are looking for a genuine and peaceful group they will masquerade to perpetrate their heinous crime as they did in #EndSARs.wherby some among them carried out a thought-out plan to burn the whole 32-seater buses locked up at Oyinbo BRT Garage. 5 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by blowjohn(m): 3:46pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
All the parties rigged and tinubu won.
So why the tears? Blame the south south governors.
By the way, who we should be attacking right now is Emefiele.
We need cash!!! 3 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by IreneJane: 3:47pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
lovere:
Simple. Lets face the truth. His ascension to presidency is not legitimate. The will of the majority of Nigerians were stolen. Are you saying people that voted Apc and Nnpp aint majority or even Nigerians? |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by daygee12: 3:47pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
lovere:
Simple. Lets face the truth. His ascension to presidency is not legitimate. The will of the majority of Nigerians were stolen. U can jump into the Lagoon then 3 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by UncommonLogic: 3:48pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power AC grew into 4 states. Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men, He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South. He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise
Brilliant piece. Nice read. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Proffdada: 3:48pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power AC grew into 4 states. Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men, He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South. He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise
You didn't add ballot box snatching, deny presiding officers password to upload, manipulation of mastersheet of inec and buying inec chairman it's a fair game in the eyes of the corrupt. A nation built on corruption will never prosper. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by pho: 3:49pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Rubbish
An election that was rigged and so obvious for all to see. I have been in Nigeria election since 1993 i saw the jubilation we all heard when MKO Abiola won the 1993 presidential election the Joy was massive across all the country's. Same when OBJ won the first election that usher us into democracy. But today we woke up to Tinubu winner and the whole country was silent that speaks alot about the election that it was not the people's mandate that INEC announce.
We should stop glorying evil so that we can begin to have strong government institution that will move this country forward. What is evil is evil |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by atobs4real(m): 3:49pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Omihanifa: There nothing like master strategist anywhere, this election was rigged and tinibu knows it.
You guys should stop hyping never do wells. In a sane society can an electorial umpire go against it own rules?
When your forefathers were ringing,where were you guys? 2 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Officialmrt: 3:49pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Sacrednes: from the threads making FP, nairaland don kpai No meaningful thing to move to FP Mods just roaming about moving nonsense and irrelevant threads to fp What's the relevance of this thread now? Dark day in your father's house not Nigeria 3 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by UncommonLogic: 3:50pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Draslo: 💯
Best article I've read in a while Dame here. 2 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Bluntemperor: 3:51pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power AC grew into 4 states. Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men, He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South. He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise
My respect,dear! Your Political history is without biases! Please, keep it up! 4 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by blabulu2000: 3:51pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
MOYORCASH:
Your analysis is wrong, iam Obidient to the bone marrow, I am Yoruba by tribe, I voted for the first time in my life because of PO and I know too many people like me, stop attributing everything to tribal issue, we are all pained with the outcome of the useless election, we know they own the judiciary but it's not over yet, our principal is a fighter, he has done it b4, he can do it again. Stop calling out yorubas every time, it's wrong, we are not tribalistic as u said. my brother ... now. from this Igbo guy's comments ... you have started realizing that the hatred is not for Tnubu alone.. it is for the entire Yoruba people...and.....either you like it or not, when the whole Nyamiri Agenda will be unleashed on the Yoruba people.. you will not be exempted because you voted for Obi. De Jevu... 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Queendera(f): 3:51pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Omihanifa: There nothing like master strategist anywhere, this election was rigged and tinibu knows it.
You guys should stop hyping never do wells. In a sane society can an electorial umpire go against it own rules?
never seen people praise wrong as we do in Nigeria. A leader that trample on the rights of other people is cheered as a strong, no nonsense leader. One that steals is called a wise leader. It's our mentality. Suffering is seen and glorified as strength. We are doomed in this country. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by kokomilala(m): 3:52pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Nigeria's Nicholo Machiavelli
He weaved and pulled all the strings of these political intrigues, horse trading and everything in between until he found the loose ends and tied them with a win at the polls. He sure knows how to play politics. 3 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Solohmony: 3:52pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Op, you don't have sense. That your head na sawdust fill am. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by joyd200: 3:53pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Your analysis is incorrect. Both South East and South South vote are incapable to guarantee Obi's victory? The Truth is Obi is an impatient political. Again he lacks understanding of Nigerian politics and democracy: Nigerian democracy is a game of number form through parties merger and alliance in all geopolitical space of the country. APC for instance is a party formed by ACN (SW), CPC (NW), ANPP(NE), APGA(AP)+New PDP + PDP Spoilers (e.g., the G5 and faceless spoilers). If the SE understand enough politics, Obi should have been patience to work with Atiku/Obi Ticket. He would hv finish tenure as VP and become president after Atiku. Atiku will never forgive Obi, mark my words. As an opportunist, Obi joined LP without structure (at least for rigging), adequate finance, experience and even presence in core rural areas, where the major votes come from. Now, he has not only personally lost but wasted the Igbo chance of presidency in 4/8 years time after BAT. SE can still control the damage by merging PDP with APGA, and other small 13 political parties. Then project Soludo/a strong Northern Muslim to contest against Tinubu in 4 years time. Otherwise, SE would have to wait till 16 years when the North do 8 years after BAT. What a penalty to pay for Obi's impatience, Wike's greed (wanting to be president, when SS, i.e. Jonathan, already did recently, and lastly, Atiku's pride and dependency on using religion and tribalism to ascent to power. Tinubu used them and beat them all. Fut9ure: We now see exactly where the problem is in Nigeria North is really not the problem of Nigeria
But the South west
They are taking advantage of the fact that north and south east are not in good terms due to the war fought in the past to continue romancing the north
That devilish mentality and snake like nature will stop one day Look at adeboye that led a protest during Jonathan era kept mute South west got no reason to claim anymore that they are the most educated...this election open their yansh well.
The four major contestants were from the three major tribe So it means we the South South are the one to choose the most suitable for Nigeria without biased because they are not our brothers And we chose choose obi but due to tribalism the South west refused and supported a man who is sick mentally and physically...national anthem was going on he wasn't Aware
If you can't handover your daughter or sister for Marriage to a sick old man with dementia not physically and mentally fit. Some one not aware of his environment but still you want to support same man to head 220 million Nigeria at this point of our critical situation then may you and your family know no peace
If you are emotionally attached to your tribe, religion and political leaning to the point that the truth and justice becomes secondary consideration then your education is useless, your exposure is useless. If you cannot reason beyond petty sentiments. You are liability to man kind
Everyone should retweet and save this so that our future kids will know that at some point in the history of Nigeria we were caught in between the Devil( tinubu, atiku) and redemption( obi) But the South west spoilt dragged us back because of tribalism
Every sane Nigeria should look at this and read a meaning to it 1) Tinubu political party and administration is ruling but he was unable to win Abuja where them sit down put 2) his own state of origin osun. Even a twelve year old will win thier own state yet he was unable to win
3) all development in lagos is attributed to Tinubu and he is regarded as the father of lagos yet he was unable to win
Nigerians should put on thier conscience and see that tinubu was rejected completely by Nigerians
I'm from the South South( Edo to be precise) 7 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Drsnives(m): 3:54pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
leogho: Good one! This was exactly what I analysed for some of these political neophyte but they refused to understand nor accord appropriate respect to Jagaban.
The truth is that his 'Emilokan' slogan was not a fuse but a well thought out representation of his political chronicles for the presidency.
He earned my respect the day I realized that he was far ahead of his detractors.
He was humble, strategic, ready to lose today for the greater good of tomorrow (did you remember how Oshiomhole was treated as national chairman after delivering Buhari?) and in all, he had his eyes on the goal(to become a president).
I think rather than this backlash and hatred from some youth, they should start learning some of his steps as guide to rise politically.
Asiwaju as governor of Lagos gave every tribe in Lagos a level playing field irrespective of your religious and tribal leaning.
Congratulations, His Excellency, President-Elect Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (Nigeria's latest GCFR) - May your tenure bring peace, prosperity and progress to Nigeria and Nigerians notwithstanding their political affiliation, Religion or Region of Origin/Resident.
Emilokan, Awa lokan,... Without rigging and intimidating voters in some states would he have been declared winner..be honest with yourself |
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Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by patrickmuf(m): 3:55pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Raumdeuter you just had to bring it here...
As a chess player, I appreciate the write up... 1 Like |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Gabriel1992: 3:57pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Fut9ure: We now see exactly where the problem is in Nigeria North is really not the problem of Nigeria
But the South west
They are taking advantage of the fact that north and south east are not in good terms due to the war fought in the past to continue romancing the north
That devilish mentality and snake like nature will stop one day Look at adeboye that led a protest during Jonathan era kept mute South west got no reason to claim anymore that they are the most educated...this election open their yansh well.
The four major contestants were from the three major tribe So it means we the South South are the one to choose the most suitable for Nigeria without biased because they are not our brothers And we chose choose obi but due to tribalism the South west refused and supported a man who is sick mentally and physically...national anthem was going on he wasn't Aware
If you can't handover your daughter or sister for Marriage to a sick old man with dementia not physically and mentally fit. Some one not aware of his environment but still you want to support same man to head 220 million Nigeria at this point of our critical situation then may you and your family know no peace
If you are emotionally attached to your tribe, religion and political leaning to the point that the truth and justice becomes secondary consideration then your education is useless, your exposure is useless. If you cannot reason beyond petty sentiments. You are liability to man kind
Everyone should retweet and save this so that our future kids will know that at some point in the history of Nigeria we were caught in between the Devil( tinubu, atiku) and redemption( obi) But the South west spoilt dragged us back because of tribalism
Every sane Nigeria should look at this and read a meaning to it 1) Tinubu political party and administration is ruling but he was unable to win Abuja where them sit down put 2) his own state of origin osun. Even a twelve year old will win thier own state yet he was unable to win
3) all development in lagos is attributed to Tinubu and he is regarded as the father of lagos yet he was unable to win
Nigerians should put on thier conscience and see that tinubu was rejected completely by Nigerians
I'm from the South South( Edo to be precise) This Mumu is just posting this Rubbish in every thread Hatred of success, that hatred go kill you Mumu. 6 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by viodemus: 3:58pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
I will keep saying it, I don't support his rise to power. I wish Obi and Atiku played last minute ball like they were advised to, but Obi choose to let it go. There is nothing strategic about Tinubu. But I wish him well for the sake of Nigeria. Eventhough, I know he will fail even more than Buhari. The north will remind him who is boss.
This is also a lesson to the igbos, internal stupidity, not strategic at all, the rest of Nigeria is busy strangulating any igbo will to equalize and help grow the nation. It will get worse and even worst. Remember, for the tribalist yoruba muslim and core north to unite, the focus has to be igbos. The minorities can be easily swayed through intimidation and/or some favors.
They is nothing strategic about this win. Watch when his true colors will start coming out. A section of the country cannot win elections unless they maybe convert to Islam and swear an oath of allegiance to destroy the igbos, even if you are igbos. The fassad of yorubas are 50/50 muslim and Christians is and has always been a joke, the real percentage is 80/20, in favor of the muslims, and yeah their muslims can go to any church if dem hear say food go dey. The only people and region these tribalist people fear and respect is the north. And as long as the north say we will back you, they have chanced out the Christians in the south west and now looking on how to totally control all of the south to strategically finish the igbos. They have reasoned that if they can contain the igbos well and reduce their numbers, the other small tribes around are easy to manage at will.
I pray for peace, but I am not hopeful. And the igbos will have to face the wrath to adjust, but it will be a painful wrath. No matter how much the igbos try, they will not win any region that will work with them.
The north feels comfortable with yoruba muslims, because they know they can control them at will; Yoruba muslims feel comfortable with many tribes around the igbos because they know they can be controlled by them; The only tribe that cannot be always controlled by any are the igbos, so they will find a way to do more than the horrors of the biafran war. You say 3 mil, how about 10 mill.
I pray for Nigeria, and I wish Tinubu well, I hope am wrong about my assertions, but i know that the separation and the divide and conquer tactics, will lead to years of war. Igbos will get the early brunt of it.
Now, it is a forced thing to be in Nigeria. The north are the real winners here, the yoruba muslims lead by Tinubu and olomo, will soon begin their quest. It is easy tactics, bring down the igbos, other non core north tribes, will see this, and understand why they should be in line. Have just a little say, but have much to say if you are against the igbos. Atleast, the yoruba Christians see igbos and other tribes in a fair way most times, but the people of reason are not running the show.
The chaos ahead might be inevitable. I hope not. To igbos now, we are slaves. The election is strategic to be always against them, regardless of how much their love of Nigeria is. Instead of igbo, they don't even mind a controllable minority tribe to make it look like everything is fair.
Oh well, I just enter Brazil this morning.
Be aware. Onye nuru, ya gwa kwa ibe ya. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Wickedfacts: 3:59pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Fourtygees: I will never vote in Nigeria again.... I just wasted my time... Go vote in Biafra Next person pls. 2 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Gaabasky: 3:59pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
[b]The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power[/[/b]b] AC grew into 4 states. [b]Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men[/i], He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted T[b]inubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South.[/b][i] He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics[/font]. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise[font=Lucida Sans Unicode]
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Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by seguno2: 3:59pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
NSNA: Really well written, watch out for rapid development of Nigeria by the genius Tinubu. How much rapid development has he done in Lagos and the other states, except for thugs and uneducated jobless youths like almajiris hence his easy access to northern voters |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Themanleshey: 3:59pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Hopeba: You claimed you won an election but 90% of Nigerians aren't happy with you.. Oga more than 80 % of us are happy with him , I Don’t know where you are getting your false figure from ! 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Hopium: 4:00pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
NL should have a way to bookmark or save post.
This is the best post I've ever read on NL.
#hopiumBookmark 3 Likes |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Wisfem: 4:02pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
tempest01: Theft and criminality is no masterclass. It is the degradation of society, anarchy, backwardness and dearth. What all these dunce fail to understand is that: This is total destruction of Democratic institutions no more pillars of democracy in Nigeria any more, worst Still to come this will result to Absolute Enslavement as Youths across the country will never come to vote again leading to Total political apathy, This is victory to Tinubu and Every other rogues in power and behind, but it's a total defeat to democracy, Total defeat to Electoral process and Total Condemnation to the living and unborn Nigerians.. The hope of posterity has been shattered.. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by SuperOnyi: 4:02pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Wow. |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by eddyj36(m): 4:05pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
raumdeuter: POL 501 Tinubu masterclass (Sparsky vs Fisher 1972) To followers of Chess, The game between Sparsky and Fisher in 1972 was dubbed the game of the century
I will use some Chess analogies to describe this historic victory of Asiwaju Tinubu
The Tinubu masterclass
Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor
In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived
Queens gambit declined
He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising Short side castling
He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation Knight advance
Below is the critical part of the game which would have effect in the future
The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power AC grew into 4 states. Open file Bishop
Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN
By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011
Mid game starts with slight positional disadvantage
Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu. Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms. GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride. Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to. Knight fork
After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu. Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal, Counterplay sacrificed pawn to gain positional advantage
Buhari lost 2011 again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable point, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing Tinubu started the cleanup of Buhari's image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP indiscipline This chess player goes into deep analysis and thinking
Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buhari's popularity with Tinubu's money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buhari's vice. APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground, Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket Middle game management used knight to fend off offensive
This is where the game starts getting interesting.. Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari This was Tinubu's biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat Queen advance
Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationally acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies The Queen beat a tactical retreat
Throughout Buharis regime, many party internal issues came up, Buhari stayed aloof, Osinbajo stayed on the fence but Tinubu dove head on into the murky waters, aggressively supporting his men, He got bruised in many places like Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Kano, Oyo but he stuck to his men and was even rumored to be schemed out Officer exchange, Sac Bishop for Knight
Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South. He won the primary Rook to center, End game starts with significant positional advantage
Opposition started panicking, the were split into multiple factions Obi, Kwankwanso G5 and Atiku. Tinubu though weakened by many of the policies under Buhari including Cash swap, fuel scarcity, general insecurity, failing health, etc. His generals stood behind him like Allied forces stood behind General Eisenhower in the battle of Normandy in the final offensive against Nazi Germany. When the boats were rocking his Northern governors came out forcefully, He then found an invaluable ally in the G5 and Wike who was aggrieved from PDP and swore to neutralize Atiku everywhere. Late hour Wike declared for Tinubu, neutralizing an important state for Obi and Atiku Rook moves to the 7th rank
Elections are conducted Tinubu leading and appears ready to make his checkmate move on May 29 when he is expected to be sworn in as Commander in Chief
You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming which he lost some but won many This man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone dirty thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money
Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise
Your analysis is spot on. Except you omitted the part where he bought Inec and rigged the election in the most unfashionable manner. Yes obasanjo did same in 2003 and 2007, but then it was easier with analog and manual approach of then inec. This time the reverse is the case, he has indeed achieved the first step to be declared winner but its left to be seen if he will be able to defend a mandate which he clearly stole. The next weeks leading to May 29th will be rough indeed. I however feel even though his huge stach of money may have gotten him this far I doubt his money will be able to serve same purpose again. Some will say this is just the calm before the storm. The game is not over yet! |
Re: POL 501 The Tinubu Masterclass (sparsky Vs Fisher 1972) by Gabriel1992: 4:05pm On Mar 01, 2023 |
Tunedey0001: Most of you against Lagos are non yorubas I don't know why you all are not concerned about your state Lagos is your problem. And it's doing better than your state by far not even your governor can match anybody that have govern Lagos in terms of development and economy,
I will advice you all to put effort in your state it will help everyone in the long run. Lagos na just one state in Nigeria focus on your state simple.
The yorubas you all have right to support who ever you like but I will advice you nobody likes Lagos development than their state, Don't support what will cost you your pride.
ADVANTAGE OF LAGOS/FG BEEN RUN BY SAME PARTY.
Buhari government show us sege but Lagos was able to achieve/approval what they beg the FG for under another party. Examples are the approval for the right of way for the red line railway in Lagos which start from Marina to alagbado. (2) the approval for Lekki sea port. (3) the approval for Lekki airport. (4) the construction of apapa oworoshoki expressway by FG. (4) the construction of Lagos Ibadan expressway. (5) construction of Lagos Ibadan railway. Etc Lagos just develop another 30 years plan Most of it can only be accomplished by getting approval from FG because the constitution rest the power on FG. if you allow this non yorubas to mislead you na you lose because they will go back to their region and they will be happy that you fail. No body can love you more than they love themselves and you can't give what you don't have. On a normal day na Yoruba suppose they tell other region how to govern not them telling you because all your state is far better than their region. Tell them to face their region. SW is far organize than any region in Nigeria. I will give you examples. (1) in SW you have DAWN( Development agenda of western Nigeria) own by all state in SW. They plan the development of the region. (2) ODUDUWA INVESTMENT: this is also own by all SW state to have investment in different sectors. (3) AMOTEKUN: this is also SW regional police department to checkmate insecurity in the region.
Now think which region has any of this or United about development as the SW, you are far better/superior to them in every aspect. Vote for the person that will move development in SW state don't ever vote who they choose to govern your state for you. If they're so good in choosing leader let them start with their state and region first. I don't know when Nigeria will be telling American how to govern, is it possible never
Used your brain YORUBA RONU.
you all can attack me ooo I don't care I only care for my tribe do same for your tribe. Am Yoruba first before Nigeria. Thanks Nice one, you are doing well. |