INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV - Politics - Nairaland
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| INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Obinoscopy(m): 6:33pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
As a statistician, I've always believed in the powers of deductive inference based on sampling. INEC has uploaded over 94% of the Presidential Results on the IREV Portal. Now there are people who believe that the result announced by INEC is significantly different from the result uploaded on IREV. I decided to randomly select result sheets from IREV and collate. The sample size was 314 result sheets. That sample size was gotten from an online sample size calculator. Click on this link to see my research protocol: https://www.nairaland.com/7614305/statistical-analysis-inec-result-irev The result is very interesting. RESULT So after collating the result sheets from randomly selected 314 polling units, APC got a total of 15394 votes. LP got 10430 votes. NNPP got 2613 votes. And PDP got 11533 votes. So APC got the majority of votes followed by the PDP, then LP and finally NNPP. This means INEC declaration is in tune with what's uploaded on IREV. However I noticed that the result for Rivers State is very strange. My collated result shows LP has more than 4 times the votes gotten by either APC or PDP. So in conclusion, the IREV result is almost exactly what INEC declared. The only discrepancy is that of Rivers State. I might have to inspect that of Rivers State even further in my next analysis. But despite the Rivers State discrepancy, APC won fair and square based on the results on IREV Portal. I say this with 95% confidence. Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal. 173 Likes 35 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by muykem: 6:38pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Have you not seen that Peter Obi and Atiku are gradually moving away from allegation of rigging to other areas. 235 Likes 29 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by atikuacute: 6:39pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
So you believe 7 Likes |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Beremx(f): 6:41pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Peter Obi isn't challenging the results. He is challenging the process that made Tinubu president elect. That's a smart move. 384 Likes 31 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Obinoscopy(m): 6:44pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Beremx:True. Challenging the process ultimately challenges the outcome of the process. 124 Likes 9 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by EtinosaDLaw(m): 6:45pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Beremx: Yes, because the results were rigged from the state collation centers. That's where the real magic happened, and it's very hard to prove that in a court of law. INEC in conjunction with Wike and Tinubu's criminal enterprises nationwide helped him rig the elections. People like Tony Kabaka, Ayiri Emami, Asari Dokubo are all complicit in this. All Tinubu's friends and acquaintances are ex criminals. Look at Festus keyamo the ex-convict below. 171 Likes 17 Shares
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| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by DaddyFreeze2020(m): 6:49pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: You picked your sample from one or two geopolitical zones where some parties have the strongest support base. Next time, pick 10 samples from different wards of different LGAs across each state of all the geo-political zones in Nigeria. For now, your research is biased and intended to suit the researchers narrative. 378 Likes 27 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by omonnakoda: 6:49pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Beremx:He is challenging the results He is asking to be declared winner 35 Likes 5 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Obinoscopy(m): 6:52pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
DaddyFreeze2020:I picked my sample from ALL the States. 86 Likes 9 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Emmanuella00(f): 6:53pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
He's doing the right thing |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Obinoscopy(m): 6:54pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
omonnakoda:Based on the Process. He is asking to be declared winner based on the process. He believes if the process is done well and all the valid votes are counted, he will win. 19 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by omonnakoda: 6:58pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Obinoscopy:And if not based on the process what would challenge be on? The proposition is that he is not challenging the result that is false he is? So the linguistic gymnastics is puerile and unnecessary There is nothing "smart" or new or different in what he is doing compared to Atiku or other challenges in the past He was not declared winner and he is asking to be so declared Like Atiku,like Buhari in 2011 and 2007 Nothing different What was the Osun state challenge about? ALL ELECTION PETITIONS ARE ABOUT THE PROCESS ALL 54 Likes 8 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by KanwuliaExtra: 7:01pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Fake collated results. . . loading. BVAS will reveal if those actually match. 1 month later. . . . results are still uploading.  . . . . AND INEC DECLARED WINNERS?  AGBEKPOOO INEC with the CRIMINAL CALLED MAHMOOD and his 'Katangora Professorship'! Na dem first use BVAS technology? After spending billions, can't certify results in less than 1 week. IJJJIOTS!!! Out of 22 million registered voters in Kenya. . .30% voted by 12PM. Out of 912 million eligible voters in India. . .with a 67.4% turn out = 613,656,298 votes cast. THEY VOTE FOR 5 WEEKS, SO EVERYONE GETS A CHANCE. . . .Then all votes are counted IN ONE DAY!!! Out of registered 94.5 million voters in SHYTEHOLE Nigeria, 2/3rds DISENFRANCHISED. . . .ONLY 25 MILLION VOTERS. . .and we are using 1 MONTH to upload results. Awon OLODOS! CRIMINAL-GWORO INEC! 121 Likes 9 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Throwback: 7:05pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Obi should move on with his failure. He is a mandate thief with his useless running mate that did not bring in any tangible Northern Muslim votes for which he was selected. Even if Peter Obi's wife is appointed the INEC Chair, he will still come 3rd, and his late candidacy with Labour Party would still disqualify him. Shame on the loser. 50 Likes 3 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by GENES11S: 7:05pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Y does this your moniker resemble one of the contestant? Obi-noscopy The election is over bro. Everybody should save their energy for self development...e get y. Nigeria election has always been rigged. It's just a matter of who rigg pass. I don't know why this one shock many people. 23 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Throwback: 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Beremx: See them. Shameless zombies. They finally agree that Peter Obi is drunk to be claiming he had more votes or scored 10m national votes, or over 1m votes in Plateau, or over 900k votes in Lagos. Obi has always been a mandate thief. Obi is a mandate thief, who even emerged a party candidate by despicable ticket hunting. The process that produced Peter Obi as LP candidate will be equally challenged. 47 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by obi4eze(m): 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
I still dey laugh una... 2 Likes |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Domipraiz: 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Op ur sample shows were u belong Don't you no ur sample will favour one candidate than the others? Because number of accredited people in polling units differs so one party might have large number in one polling unit u picked than the others. The total vote across the nation can only do justice to this not picking samples. I will advice u chill and wait for the outcome of the court. I strongly believe the STOLEN mandate will surely be returned. 20 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by chiboysic: 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Hmmmmmmm Nigeria problem is their hand |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by theduke2233: 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Omoawoke(m): 7:06pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
People crying for stolen mandate that was never stolen. Thief wan steal from original owner by claiming the owner is the thief. A typical Yoruba proverbs says: if you don’t catch a thief on time, the thief will catch the farm owner and call him thief End of case 43 Likes 2 Shares
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| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by StreetFight: 7:07pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Obinoscopy: Some truths are too bitter to accept. Anyone that does not get significant votes from the North West and the North East cannot win the national election. That was why Tinubu really concentrated on the NW an NE. If you notice his campaign in the South East and South South, you will see from his body language that he was just forced to go there by his assistants, if not for them, Tinubu would not have gone to the SE and SS to campaign at all. But Tinubu also knew that the Kardashian States will be the most focus in the core North, and you can see what happened there, despite APC losing the Kardashian States, Labour Party still didn't get up 15% in the states. Tinubu didn't just concerntrate on the Kardashian States, he captured some other core North states. Even at the Middle Belt which Labourers Party thought belongs to them, APC got 4 of the 6 Middle Belt states. So, how could Peter Obituary have won. It's practically impossible. 45 Likes 5 Shares
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| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by MichaelSokoto(m): 7:07pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Obinoscopy:urchinobis! Oga 1st of all correct ya spelling... Which one be, "won > fare < & square?" Mtchew!  5 Likes 2 Shares
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| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by EKONGKING: 7:08pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Any Adults with normal brain knows Tinubu has won convincingly . PDP supporters know it, that why they are doing touch me touch me not protest with no seriousness . Obi the piped piper and associated media are just milking Zoombidients ,by saying outlandish tales . Tomorrow they will say Aliens have send a message that Obi has won elections .36 Likes 3 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by IpobAntidote: 7:08pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
k 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by GoodCane: 7:08pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Beer parlour analysis. Obi is not only challenging the results, he is also challenging the process that declare Tinubu INEC elect. 3 Likes 3 Shares |
| Re: INEC Result Analysis Based On Samples From IREV by Quest7777: 7:08pm On Mar 24, 2023 |
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.Fact that results were not immediately uploaded from Political Units after completion of voting process contrary to INEC Electoral guidelines, made the entire process subject to all manner of manipulations & rigging. 7 Likes 1 Share |
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