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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Foreign Affairs / Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century (12080 Views)
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Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 1:18pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
Russia's population is rapidly dwindling, and unlike the West, which attracts immigrants, Russia is not an immigrant destination simply due to economics. The plunge in population figures and birth rates reverberates across all developed countries except Israel, but when a country cannot attract immigrants who pay into the pension system and replenish the workforce, it does more harm than good. Unlike China, Russia is not wealthy and cannot literally force citizens to copulate. The good thing, however, is that due to both countries' bromance due to geopolitical and historical reasons, they have what they need. Russia has an excess of women, while China has an excess of men. The question is: would Chinese men be willing to marry Russian women? China is a good place to live, so moving to China would not be a difficult decision for a Russian woman to make. But Chinese men, unlike Western men, marry more of their closest cousins than women from different races. Additionally, women are less likely to emigrate than men. So, Russia has to attract Chinese men to get married to its women. In all of this, let's remember that, humans are tribal. In my opinion, this means that Russia will get poorer than it is currently. After the war, some men might return, others, especially the men in Russia will flee. Since men die more than women (a global phenomenon) and actually die more in Russia, it means more Russian women will be without men to marry. Russia will depend more on China and the rest of Asia for economic growth and investments as Western markets are shut for good. Now to bants, for those who wish to marry/date/fvck white women, there is hope in Mother Russia. ![]() 1 Like
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Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by lastkingsman: 1:40pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
Gerrard59: Dem get popular dating app for Russia make I fish their following the footsteps of our mentor John Mikel Obi? ![]() 2 Likes |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 6:37pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
lastkingsman: You need to go there yourself. Na you go run for woman. You go see models for streets like it's nothing. My head just de turn like antenna when I visit Russia. See beauty. Damn. You go see some girls, you begin ask God, why? How can you create this kind of beauty in a person, meanwhile, back home, make I no talk ![]() 10 Likes |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 6:45pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
Gerrard59, Chinese men will rather marry other Southeastern ladies than Russians. The cultural, linguistical, and social gap is too wide. Also, like Japan, China is extremely paternalistic. Women over 25 years are considered old, or as they call it, "left over Christmas cake" in Japan. Russian women wont tolerate that. I just think China is now paying dearly for the one-child policy. Lucky for them, their population is huge, so there is hope. 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by DyingFetus: 7:11pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
lastkingsman: Try Mamba.ru and VK Go and learn Russian fess 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 7:51pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
Gerrard59: G, what do you think about Central Asia plugging the gap? Become what Latin America is to the US. I think the Russian elite will eventually have to treat the average Sergey like the rich Middle Eastern monarchies treat their citizens. Loads of freebies. Russians are practical people. The elite has to siphon less and disburse more. Do that and the problem will reverse in a decade. -Lord 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by stanluiz(m): 8:19pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
No LordAdam16:Those central Asian countries are Muslims and Russia is an Orthodox Christan country. Religion is will be a problem. The Russia elites ( Oligarchs) are more concerned in buying up houses and properties in the west. But I think, the western sanctions has taught them a bitter lesson. 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 8:33pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
pansophist: The thing is that all races have 10/10 damsels. But it is unreal how high the average is for Russians (+ Eastern Europeans). Latinas and Iranians are up there too. Like just go blindfolded, pick a chick at random, and a lot of times there'd be no buyer's regret. Can't try that over here, unless you only care about curves. pansophist: They introduced the policy when they weren't sure how they'd change the trajectory of the country. The détente with the US occurred after they launched the policy. The Asians will have to force compliance. Lean into their conformist cultures to resolve this bottleneck. Like if you don't have kids, you'd lose certain rights or privileges. Stuff like that. That said, globally, the incentives don't quite align. It should not be this expensive to raise NPCs. -Lord |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 8:50pm On Sep 16, 2023 |
stanluiz: I fear that may be a simplistic answer for a complex issue. Assimilation/acculturation in Asia is a massive phenomenon that can be hard to appreciate looking in from the outside. Read up on the topic of Sinicization and you'll understand why I framed that as a question. And want to hear what others think. -Lord |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 3:47am On Sep 17, 2023 |
LordAdam16: I had to check the birth rates of countries in the region and they are way above the standard replacement TFR of 2.1. One country had it at 3.0. So, there are opportunities for the bold to happen. However, economics supersede ethnic relationships. If the jobs are plentiful in South Korea and China, why move to Russia? South Korea plans to reduce the years towards the attainment of PR from five years down to three years. With a strong passport (South Korea allows dual nationality) and a growing economy which is highly diversified, it makes sense to migrate to South Korea instead of Russia. Stanluiz mentioned religion, which I thought of too. Thankfully, the issues of Islamic terrorism is less amongst them compared to Arabs or the brewing Islamic fundamentalism in sub-Saharan Africa. I see SSA as the next hotbed for Islamic terrorism, which will render many countries poorer and more dangerous than they are. Yes, a better situation is structuring the economy like the Gulf states. However, unlike the Gulf States, which have links with the West, Russia has lost that forever. Their fortunes are tied to China and maybe, just maybe, India. But I don't see Indian companies taking off from where Western companies left or investing in the Russian market. Individual Russians might still get opportunities and favouritism in white-dominated countries due to them being Whites, but Russia as a country has its future tied to Asia. How they use them is up to the elites. But anything West is gone for good. It didn't dey again 2 Likes |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 4:01am On Sep 17, 2023 |
pansophist: The population was bound to reduce, notwithstanding the policy. Japan and South Korea which are close cousins have low birth rates, without birth restrictions in the past. The problem was not reversing the policy during the early 2000s or, at most, by 2010. Reverse it entirely rather than revert it to two children, then later to three children. Thankfully, the numbers are still there, and infrastructural spending towards the country's west, where birth rates are high, is increasing. But it is Russia that would face growing population challenges because, due to economics, many Central Asians will migrate to China and South Korea. Chinese men would not lack wives, I very much believe so. They have options from Thailand to Vietnam to the Phillippines to Mongolia to Nepal, Chinese Indonesians, Chinese Malaysians, Laos, Cambodia etc. That is the good thing about being rich, one gets options. |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 4:16am On Sep 17, 2023 |
LordAdam16: That will likely come from China, not Japan or South Korea. In Japan, laws prohibit the government from forcing citizens to do what they (the government) want them (citizens) to do. This was seen during COVID-19 when the government pleaded with citizens to take precautions, but there was no lockdown, unlike other countries. Borders were shut indefinitely. So, the government threatening citizens with loss of privileges for not bearing children will not happen. The same applies to South Korea, where a majority can speak or quickly learn English. Any law forcing such will see many exits from both countries to neighbouring countries to live. The phenomenon of low birth rate cuts across all developed countries. East Asia is just ahead of everyone else. Governments should find ways to structure societies and policies around low birth rates. High birth rates are a thing of the past, except they want to revert to history when women lacked education. But women, having seen the power education and money give them, will never want to lose it. Feminism aside, the trend shows that birth or marriage rates plummet once women are educated and start working. East Asia is a conservative region but wealthy and does not practice the vapid Ndi feminism as the West, yet birth rates are low. 2 Likes |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 4:56am On Sep 17, 2023 |
LordAdam16: Due to the geographical location of CA (Central Asian) countries, their destiny is tied to the East, and that is where their bread will be buttered. The 2023 summit in Xian hosted by China, for the CA countries are testament to that fact. Also, their geopolitical alignment and culture make integration with the West difficult. For example, CA countries are all Muslims, and China has ethnic Muslim minorities, which are the Uighurs and the Hui people. Same with Russia, with the Tartastan, Barshkortostan, Chechens etc. Also, Central Asia is a landlocked place, while Uzbekistan is one of the world's two double-landlocked countries, (the other one being Liechtenstein). Kazakhstan, the most progressive Central Asian country shares one of the longest land borders on earth with both China and Russia. CA countries are sandwiched between two powers, and their fate is sealed in geopolitical alignment. They also have a sizable Russian minority, especially Kazakhstan. CSTO, EEA, SCO, and CIS, these organizations are under the control of Russia, which CA countries are members of. Turkmenistan chose a different path and decided to distance itself from its soviet past and under the Eastern sphere of influence. But its geographical location makes it very difficult for it to chart its own path, without taking into consideration the interest of its giant neighbors, and countries it shares borders with that are in bed with Russia/China. China is doing everything possible to integrate the region into the Eastern Hemisphere, and they are doing this by throwing cash and a promise of development. It is working, out, but it will take time. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 5:05am On Sep 17, 2023 |
Gerrard59: The idea of Russia's dwindling population is always blown out of proportion. 140M people is a lot, if we put it in the context of the world's most populous countries. In fact, Russia is among the top ten. Also after the 2014 annexation of Crimea, millions of new citizens joined Russia and increased its population. And since the war last year, another million from the annexed region of Donbas, and the other four regions (Kherson, Zaporizhia, Luhansk, Donetsk, as well joined Russia. And though this might not be aired in the media, Russia is the largest recipient of Ukrainians fleeing from the war, not even the Western world. I am not referring to the people in the annexed regions, but people who left Ukraine for Russia to start life. So I don't think Russia is going down populational-wise in the foreseeable future. If China is always jabbed about population crisis, even though there are 1.4B people, what more Russia? Russia is just too big, that is why. It is sparsely populated in proportion to its landmass, but its population is not small. 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 5:08am On Sep 17, 2023 |
I am seeing some news online that during Kim's visit to Russia a few days ago, Kim agreed to send 500k North Korean soldiers to help in the Russian war effort. Has anyone heard about it? How true is it? |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by KingClown(m): 9:43am On Sep 17, 2023 |
pansophist: I use to laugh when people no rate android. Thank God for other Chinese companies that scattered monopoly Samsung wanted to build. Wetin Samsung for carry una eyes see ehn, Samsung's were crazy expensive. Boom out of nowhere companies like techno developed quality phones for as low as 12k the same thing a 70k Samsung would do. Imagine those companies never produced those phones, Samsung for show una shege. 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by stanluiz(m): 11:02pm On Sep 17, 2023 |
KingClown:Thank God for China for breaking western monopolies. 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by HRtechnique: 1:44am On Sep 18, 2023 |
pansophist: They don’t have 50% of that number as soldiers. |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 10:40am On Sep 18, 2023 |
pansophist: I just dey wonder whether black people dey those countries and if dem dey, how dem dey cope and do things? I had to check the term "double landlocked", and learnt something new today. If Nigeria divides, we go increase the numbers cos countries coming from the likes of Kogi, Benue, Kwara etc would be triple landlocked. ![]() That said, yes, no means to align with the West. It is just like Mongolia. No country aside from Russia and China can attack her. It rests on China to ensure those places develop economically as they provide consumers and a labour pool to tap from. It is not as bad as peddled o considering their high birth rates. Interesting stuff... |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 10:55am On Sep 18, 2023 |
KingClown: Which got blessings from the US. If you noticed, the companies that dominated were Apple (US), Samsung (South Korea), LG, (South Korea), Sony (Japan), HTC (Taiwan), Blackberry (Canada), Microsoft/Nokia (US/Finland). The US is satisfied when she and her Alternatively, Chinese EVs should target the developing world. Flood Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, Mexico, UAE, Kenya and even Eastern Europe with EVs. That way, a significant proportion of the world's population will drive EVs, but won't be by Western automakers. They fought Huawei. Fortunately, it survived and even got stronger. That is the stuff I have noticed about sanctions - it forces one to research ways out and come out stronger. But this only happens when the sanctioned people are united by religion, ideology, ethnicity or race. 8 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 7:26pm On Sep 18, 2023 |
Gerrard59: I don't know about the other four central Asian countries, but for Kazakhstan, I was there last month, and know a bit about the place. There are black people there, but mostly African black, and also almost no black women. I spent two weeks there and never saw a black girl, except one mix Afro-Kazakh girl. Many (if not most) of the Nigerians I saw there are illegal, with the exception of a few whom are married and have kids, and on that basis, they could get residence permit. The country is very beautiful and the people are exceptionally hospitable. Random people, both young and old, girls and boys approach me for selfies, and want to be friends on social media. The country is really huge, like x3 Nigeria but with the population of Lagos. The ethnic population are mostly Russian and Kazakh. Russian is also an official language there. The stare there is so much, you just get used to it. I'm even surprised to see many Nigerians there, since the country don't even have any embassy in West Africa, or even Africa as whole. The country is very good. I can see myself living there for few months, if I have a reason to. But generally, it's just too far geographicly. It's borders Xinjiang, China. Many of the Nigerians I saw there want to leave. It was like a stepping stone, and they got stucked. They mostly all teach English. Your English can be wack and you'll be employed. They desperately need English teachers. I was jogging one night and a car stopped by, honking at me. My survival instinct kicks in, as I assumed it's some racist attack. Then a Chinese lady bent her head through the car window so I can see her. My mind calm down. Then she asked me if I just moved to the city, and that she needs an English teacher for her school. I told her I'm just a tourist, unfortunately. Then I recommended her to a Nigerian that teaches English. When she saw his number, she said she knows him and they have some bit of problem. So apparently, she didn't pay him a month salary and he quitted, and he couldn't report her to the authorities since he is working illegally. 8 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by tensazangetsu20(m): 2:01am On Sep 19, 2023 |
pansophist: Kazahkstan visa is easy to get. https://www.vmp.gov.kz/en/services/visa-service. 48 countries are exempt from applying for a visa so far as they only stay within 30 days. Nigerians need a visa and it can be gotten immediately without going to an embassy but then its a tourist visa. You cant work or do anything with it. I am sure some baboons paid agents millions of naira for what can be done for free ![]() ![]() ![]() I wonder why people go to these countries. Economy zero, passport strength is useless. You cant even be a citizen and even if you manage to become one through marriage the passport cant take you anywhere. 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by lastkingsman: 5:00am On Sep 19, 2023 |
tensazangetsu20: Tensa Tensa on the beats ![]() |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by OkpaNsukkaisBae(m): 5:08am On Sep 19, 2023 |
US finally realising that no powerful nation is afraid of Western engineered sanctions anymore. Kudoz to IRAN. They will probably go hunting for more Americans to kidnap. 5 Likes |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Ajibade123(m): 12:06am On Sep 20, 2023 |
Gerrard59:Is there a single product that the whole world uses and depends solely on US for it production aside USD? |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 11:34am On Sep 20, 2023 |
Ajibade123: No. China is the world's largest manufacturing nation. 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by budaatum: 6:30pm On Sep 20, 2023 |
If I were going to add a warning to this I'd say, watch out for the snake oil. He sells gold, though through education you'd find if you watch the entire series, which I suggest should be watched. Also, "should". 'Like, the value of money should be as stable as 12 inches equal a foot'. But for that I must confess my aversion to the 'should world'. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OuOcnGAv4oo?si=8CTl_IJgZqGy_6q5 |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Kelechi009: 1:29pm On Sep 21, 2023 |
pansophist: You this man, wetin you find for Kazakhstan again? You get mind oh, see country wey you dey enter. You no go stay one place! Make dem no go kidnap you one day during this your wakadugbo oh 1 Like |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 3:17pm On Sep 21, 2023 |
Kelechi009: If you like, restrict yourself from enjoying the beauty of human diversity because of your prejudice, na you sabi. As for me, even Afghanistan, and North Korea, I'll like visit am, as far my safety is guaranteed. Having said that, let me enjoy my life mr man. And more on Kazakhstan, it's very welcoming. I felt like a superstar, all my time there. Girls are rushing you since you're a novelty there, boys wants to be your friend. I went to a liveband where a Nigerian guy that speaks perfect Kazakh performs with his Kazakh band. He is so forking wealthy, as evidenced by the car he came with. He plays for the higher echelon on the Kazakh society, and he feels at home there. So you'll expect him to return back to Nigeria abi, make naija deal with him wotowoto ![]() Twenty years ago for example, people warn others from going to places like Poland, Slovakia, Ukraine etc, that they are skin heads and so on. But I can start listing Nigerian men that went there during those times. Many are politicians, business men, and are well established there. The West is too saturated, you can be successful anywhere if you're useful. I could have start naming some companies in places like Poland, where I met many successful Nigerians that have lived there for decades. I did my intenship in an insurance firm owned by a calabar man in Katowice, Poland. His son also owned an English school there. It's not difficult to meet them. Go to these countries and try to locate a rccg church there, meet the pastors, and he will connect you with the Nigerian/African community there. So bro, don't restrict yourself. This life is wide and bigger than the West. The world is a beautiful places. Have an open mind, and you'll enjoy it. I pride myself from having friends in almost any corner on earth. That's an asset. 21 Likes 6 Shares |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by pansophist(m): 3:21pm On Sep 21, 2023 |
Ajibade123: Apart from arms production, I can't think of any. The US economy is heavily financialised. Their manufacturing is almost gone, all they do it print out money, import stuff, and use their huge military to keep the scam going. 12 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 3:25pm On Sep 21, 2023 |
So, India's External Affairs Minister said the West is not the bad guy as portrayed by most people. The West is not the one flooding Africa and Asia with goods on a massive scale. The world is more complex than just the West being the bad guys, and the developing world, obviously being the good guys. https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/in-veiled-dig-at-china-s-jaishankar-says-west-not-the-bad-guy-because-2437001-2023-09-18 The phrase flooding Africa and Asia with goods on a massive scale hints it is China. Within the past few months, the West has been engaged in a bromance with Modi and India as a country. Notwithstanding that the US sanctioned the same Modi until he became president, and Obama rescinded the sanctions. In a bid to "contain" China, the West has entered into many alliances with countries surrounding China. Whether India will succumb to this newfound friendship is yet to be seen. I recall this same external minister was one of the major voices opposing the belief that everyone should stand with Europe because of Ukraine's rancour, saying, "Europe has to grow out of mindset that Europe's problems are world's problems". I wonder what necessitated the change in tune. LordAdam did say the Indians wish to benefit from the West just as China did, which I perfectly agree with and understand. But it would be stoopid of them (India's elites) to think they would not experience the same animosity China is facing if/when she (India) grows as big and influential as China. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by DyingFetus: 3:32pm On Sep 21, 2023 |
Ajibade123: Oil |
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