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Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls - Politics (2) - Nairaland

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by DMerciful(m): 1:09am On Oct 10, 2023
You haven't said anything clear
garfield1:


Transmission of results is to be manual not results.obidients can't reason intelligently

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Spy360(m): 3:45am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Transmission of results is to be manual not results.obidients can't reason intelligently
There will be little voters in Orlu. That's Uzodinma LGA where he doesn't even have any support because of military invasion and burning of houses.

Okigwe will follow LP. Owerri PDP.

Depending on Supreme Court judgement on November 6th, on whether there will be electronic transmission or manual, the highest riggers in each zone will win.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 4:18am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


If yahaya bello could do it,why not ododo? Between ofu,dekina,olamaboro,bassa,ankpa,apc will take two
Guy, the situation then is quite different from the situation now. Then, yahaha Bello had many igalas with him with the hope that he will serve his second ternue and hand over to am igala. The election then was rigged by Edward and co in the East, but u see this time, hmmmm, most of us that are strong supporters of apc would vote SDP. Mistake bello did was to go and pick his cousin to take over from him in a state where his ebira tribe are not even majority and a state where he performed woefully. Even some top guys in the apc are supporting Muri who was the immediate past deputy publicity secretary knowly fully well he is coming back to apc wether win or lose. Winter is coming in Kogi!

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by IamANigerianMan: 7:02am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:
Bayelsa state: during the presidential polls,tinubu won bayelsa east district where sylva hails from and came close in southern ijaw lga the largest lga.his running mate MacIver is from here and will deliver by any means.tompolo is also supporting sylva..the governor diri is highly unpopular and performed averagely plus senator Dickson's men of the restoration movement are aggrieved.the governor has a slight advantage over timipre sylva.

Imo state: it is looking like a walkover for governor uzodinma.he will clear his orlu zone and win half of okigwe zone and also half of owerri zone.it looks like ihedioha is tactically supporting him ahead of 2027 and also it seems ohakim is backing him as well as uche nwosu.labour party and pdp cannot win beyond 10 lgas.

Kogi state: the apc candidate ododo will clear the 5 ebira lgas with a huge margin.the igala votes will be divided between ajaka,rtd marshall alfa and labour party but ajaka should win not more than 6 igala lgas.apc will take two,pdp one.in kogi west,apc will take the multicultural koton larfe and lokoga.pdp will take kabba bunuand ijumu while ADC takes yagba and apc sweeps mopamuro while getting large votes in yagba.



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Nonsense, Ajaka would win 9 local government in IGALA land, you don't know anything , see someone analyzing politics without knowing who is contesting , Isaac Alfa is not contesting , my friend Adejo Okeme is one contesting on the platform of LP not Isaac .... Adejo is not only my friend we are from the same place, his polinig unit is in front of Late EKULE's house , he would not get 2 votes there ,all his brothers Emma, Afraid even his father Okeme are SDP, don't deceive yourself he cannot win a polling unit talkless of dividing the vote, Jibrin a.k.a Akpabana retd is wasting his resources he cannot win half of a polling unit, you are funny when you said Dinno and Bello would win Entire local government , you must Joseph the dreamer.... Go and sleep .... The next election would be won by SDP.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by AcuraZDX: 8:06am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Transmission of results is to be manual not results.obidients can't reason intelligently

Read the trash you wrote again.

In a bid to insult your elder, you ender up writing trash.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by AcuraZDX: 8:06am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Transmission of results is to be manual not results.obidients can't reason intelligently

Read the trash you wrote again.

In a bid to insult your elder, you ended up writing trash.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by AcuraZDX: 8:09am On Oct 10, 2023
DMerciful:
You haven't said anything clear

No mind am.

He was rushing to insult his papa agemate

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by suleimanshehu: 8:46am On Oct 10, 2023
IamANigerianMan:

Nonsense, Ajaka would win 9 local government in IGALA land, you don't know anything , see someone analyzing politics without knowing who is contesting , Isaac Alfa is not contesting , my friend Adejo Okeme is one contesting on the platform of LP not Isaac .... Adejo is not only my friend we are from the same place, his polinig unit is in front of Late EKULE's house , he would not get 2 votes there ,all his brothers Emma, Afraid even his father Okeme are SDP, don't deceive yourself he cannot win a polling unit talkless of dividing the vote, Jibrin a.k.a Akpabana retd is wasting his resources he cannot win half of a polling unit, you are funny when you said Dinno and Bello would win Entire local government , you must Joseph the dreamer.... Go and sleep .... The next election would be won by SDP.
I agreed more with your analysis, it seems you are more on ground especially in Kogi East. For the record in Lokoja it will be very hard for APC to score 30% of vote cast, in Kogi Koton-Karfe, APC might win narrowly or loose narrowly. ADC's Hon. Leke Abejide is in the race as a spoiler to denied APC any meaningful vote in Yagba East & West, Mopa-Moro LGA, While Dino Malaye of PDP will deny APC significant votes in Kabba-Bunu & Ijumu LGA. Unfortunately for Yahaya Bello, his kogi Central has the least votes, in fact based on 2023 election results of total votes cast estimate. Kogi West (7 LGA, 32%) the zone of PDP, ADC candidates, Kogi Central (5 LGA, 21%) the zone of APC candidates, While Kogi East (9 LGA, 47%) the zone of SDP candidate. In kogi Governorship election, the only visible candidates are those of APC, PDP, ADC, SDP, while LP is worthless in Kogi State, AA has a popular candidate like ADC Leke Abejide he is from Kogi West where they are playing the spoilers.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by yussybenayu: 8:58am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


If yahaya bello could do it,why not ododo? Between ofu,dekina,olamaboro,bassa,ankpa,apc will take two
I am sure people from that place you mentioned will be laughing at you now.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 9:22am On Oct 10, 2023
MyMouth:

Guy, the situation then is quite different from the situation now. Then, yahaha Bello had many igalas with him with the hope that he will serve his second ternue and hand over to am igala. The election then was rigged by Edward and co in the East, but u see this time, hmmmm, most of us that are strong supporters of apc would vote SDP. Mistake bello did was to go and pick his cousin to take over from him in a state where his ebira tribe are not even majority and a state where he performed woefully. Even some top guys in the apc are supporting Muri who was the immediate past deputy publicity secretary knowly fully well he is coming back to apc wether win or lose. Winter is coming in Kogi!

Hmmm.i still wonder why bello behaved foolishly.he should have given sen echocho or prince shuaibu the ticket
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 9:29am On Oct 10, 2023
DMerciful:
You haven't said anything clear

How
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 9:30am On Oct 10, 2023
vicdom:

You have come again with this your Kogi postulation after I told you that SDP will win clearly? Don't worry, Nov 11 is just 4weeks from now, you will eat your own word.

I just think we are overrating sdp please.bello as usual will cause low voters turnout in east
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 9:36am On Oct 10, 2023
Spy360:

There will be little voters in Orlu. That's Uzodinma LGA where he doesn't even have any support because of military invasion and burning of houses.

Okigwe will follow LP. Owerri PDP.

Depending on Supreme Court judgement on November 6th, on whether there will be electronic transmission or manual, the highest riggers in each zone will win.

Orlu zone has 12 lgas.apart from nkwerre where onyereri is from and ideato north where ugochinyere hails from,he has no issue.funny enough,apc dominates okigwe zone.this same athan achonu lost woefully to the late sen uwajumogu.the strongman of okigwe is chief tony chukwu supporting hope.ohakim is also with hope.even strong araraume couldn't dislodge APC.

For owerri,anyanwu is only sure of his ikeduru lga and maybe owerri.ihedioha is tactically supporting hope so nothing from mbaise.hope has ngor okpala
In terms of rigging,no one is competing with hope.the rec Sylvia AGU is with him.you saw how he cleared the state during the nass and assembly polls.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 9:41am On Oct 10, 2023
suleimanshehu:
I agreed more with your analysis, it seems you are more on ground especially in Kogi East. For the record in Lokoja it will be very hard for APC to score 30% of vote cast, in Kogi Koton-Karfe, APC might win narrowly or loose narrowly. ADC's Hon. Leke Abejide is in the race as a spoiler to denied APC any meaningful vote in Yagba East & West, Mopa-Moro LGA, While Dino Malaye of PDP will deny APC significant votes in Kabba-Bunu & Ijumu LGA. Unfortunately for Yahaya Bello, his kogi Central has the least votes, in fact based on 2023 election results of total votes cast estimate. Kogi West (7 LGA, 32%) the zone of PDP, ADC candidates, Kogi Central (5 LGA, 21%) the zone of APC candidates, While Kogi East (9 LGA, 47%) the zone of SDP candidate. In kogi Governorship election, the only visible candidates are those of APC, PDP, ADC, SDP, while LP is worthless in Kogi State, AA has a popular candidate like ADC Leke Abejide he is from Kogi West where they are playing the spoilers.

All this changed in 2019.ebira 5 lgas will vote massively for ododo.abejide and dino are dividing each other's votes or let's say Leke is dividing pdp votes.apc has always won lokoja and kk lgas and it won't change.apc will get good votes from kogi east by any means
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Spy360(m): 10:18am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Orlu zone has 12 lgas.apart from nkwerre where onyereri is from and ideato north where ugochinyere hails from,he has no issue.funny enough,apc dominates okigwe zone.this same athan achonu lost woefully to the late sen uwajumogu.the strongman of okigwe is chief tony chukwu supporting hope.ohakim is also with hope.even strong araraume couldn't dislodge APC.

For owerri,anyanwu is only sure of his ikeduru lga and maybe owerri.ihedioha is tactically supporting hope so nothing from mbaise.hope has ngor okpala
In terms of rigging,no one is competing with hope.the rec Sylvia AGU is with him.you saw how he cleared the state during the nass and assembly polls.
Ask those on ground as you will see. Hope is not even campaigning.

The only fact you have stated here is the bolded. This will work if SC makes BVAS upload and IREV not mandatory.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 10:28am On Oct 10, 2023
Spy360:

Ask those on ground as you will see. Hope is not even campaigning.

The only fact you have stated here is the bolded. This will work if SC makes BVAS upload and IREV not mandatory.

Everything I've said is the truth.besides most voters won't come out.lp and pdp are even divided.voters don't like hope but the few that will come out will vote him.hope during voters registration imported voters and conditioned the bvas to work in his favour.
The appeal court has already made bvas upload and irev non mandatory and it has not been appealed. The electoral act clearly gave inec powers to choose how to transmit and they have picked manual for the upcoming polls.moreover you should know that the sc won't rule upturn pept.i don't even see them ruling before nov 11.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 10:33am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Hmmm.i still wonder why bello behaved foolishly.he should have given sen echocho or prince shuaibu the ticket
Honestly, it would have been a walk over for APC. Anyways don't blame him, massive rigging worked for him for his reelection, he still feels it will work for him this time around, unfortunately the dynamics have changed. I can tell you authoritatively that many of the politicians with him would do anti party at the last minute. Muri the SDP candidate is still being seen as an Apc member who would decamp immediately he wins, so it's would be easy for anti party to take place. Am a card carrying member of the apc but I won't support apc in the election, and there are thousands like me.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 10:38am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


I just think we are overrating sdp please.bello as usual will cause low voters turnout in east
Not with what is going on underground. Bello showed his hand during his reelection. His strategies are well know now and counter measures are being taken. Further more, those that did the needful for him in the East then are no longer with him or pretending to be with him. Ask Edward Onoja

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 10:39am On Oct 10, 2023
MyMouth:

Not with what is going on underground. Bello showed his hand during his reelection. His strategies are well know now and those that did the needful for him then are no longer with him or pretending to be with him. Ask Edward Onoja

He only showed his hand during the presidential polls.you can't stop him.if pdp can't,sdp wont
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 10:45am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


He only showed his hand during the presidential polls.you can't stop him.if pdp can't,sdp wont
He showed his hand during his reelection with the ta ta ta strategy. Moreover many igala sons and daughters were with him then with the hope that power would return to the east.
Watch and see what happens this time around bros. Bello sef knows, why did u think he refused Muri and co to participate in the APC primaries grin

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 10:47am On Oct 10, 2023
MyMouth:

Honestly, it would have been a walk over for APC. Anyways don't blame him, massive rigging worked for him for his reelection, he still feels it will work for him this time around, unfortunately the dynamics have changed. I can tell you authoritatively that many of the politicians with him would do anti party at the last minute. Muri the SDP candidate is still being seen as an Apc member who would decamp immediately he wins, so it's would be easy for anti party to take place. Am a card carrying member of the apc but I won't support apc in the election, and there are thousands like me.

I know what bello is doing.if he gives back power to igala,it might never return to ebira again.so now that he has the opportunity,let ebiras rule for 16 years and equal the igalas so that eveb if you people monopolize it,ebiras already did 16 years.if he gives okun,no bloc votes and only his ebira can give bloc votes.you igalas have dominated too much,why not allow others

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by garfield1: 10:49am On Oct 10, 2023
MyMouth:

He showed his hand during his reelection with the ta ta ta strategy. Moreover many igala sons and daughters were with him then with the hope that power would return to the east.
Watch and see what happens this time around bros. Bello sef knows, why did u think he refused Muri and co to participate in the APC primaries grin

That ta ta has weakened voters.people won't come out
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 10:53am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


I know what bello is doing.if he gives back power to igala,it might never return to ebira again.so now that he has the opportunity,let ebiras rule for 16 years and equal the igalas so that eveb if you people monopolize it,ebiras already did 16 years.if he gives okun,no bloc votes and only his ebira can give bloc votes.you igalas have dominated too much,why not allow others
It's not about igala now, it's about Bello going to pick his cousin to succeed him. We would have supported APC if he had supported an Okun. I agree with you that if the power level ebira hand, they would never smell it again.

2 Likes

Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by MyMouth(m): 10:54am On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


That ta ta has weakened voters.people won't come out
That's what am trying to tell you. The east is aware of the ta ta ta strategy, it won't work now with what is going on underground. I want you to also remember that for ta ta ta to work, he must have solid federal might. Trust me, he doesn't have that now. Tinubu no be Buhari

2 Likes

Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by vicdom(m): 12:13pm On Oct 10, 2023
IamANigerianMan:

Nonsense, Ajaka would win 9 local government in IGALA land, you don't know anything , see someone analyzing politics without knowing who is contesting , Isaac Alfa is not contesting , my friend Adejo Okeme is one contesting on the platform of LP not Isaac .... Adejo is not only my friend we are from the same place, his polinig unit is in front of Late EKULE's house , he would not get 2 votes there ,all his brothers Emma, Afraid even his father Okeme are SDP, don't deceive yourself he cannot win a polling unit talkless of dividing the vote, Jibrin a.k.a Akpabana retd is wasting his resources he cannot win half of a polling unit, you are funny when you said Dinno and Bello would win Entire local government , you must Joseph the dreamer.... Go and sleep .... The next election would be won by SDP.
Leave Garfield1 nah, e go boom am for eyes come Nov 11. Imagine him saying Igala will still vote Ebira man again, after Bello brazenly refused power shift. If Muri no get over 80% of Igala votes, then it would be a really big shame on Igala community.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by vicdom(m): 12:32pm On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


All this changed in 2019.ebira 5 lgas will vote massively for ododo.abejide and dino are dividing each other's votes or let's say Leke is dividing pdp votes.apc has always won lokoja and kk lgas and it won't change.apc will get good votes from kogi east by any means
How can APC win Lokoja? APC has never won Lokoja sef, only in 2019 when bello had the federal might to suppress voters and rigged massively. Even in the just concluded presidential election, APC came 3rd behind PDP, while labour cleared Lokoja. So how can APC now win when Muri deputy is from Lokoja? And this is the first time a Lokoja man will be deputy gov, and they will leave him and vote APC? The Non indigenes like me don't like bello at all because of his maladministration, and Non indigenes populated Lokoja. So how can he win? Let me even busrt your bubble, Tinubu is not even supporting Bello, so no federal might this time around. Let me see how he will win. If it were during buhari regime, I would have agreed that he would win with massive rigging, but now Tinubu is supporting Muri because they are old time friends since the days of ACN.

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Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Kyase(m): 12:32pm On Oct 10, 2023
vicdom:

Leave Garfield1 nah, e go boom am for eyes come Nov 11. Imagine him saying Igala will still vote Ebira man again, after Bello brazenly refused power shift. If Muri no get over 80% of Igala votes, then it would be a really big shame on Igala community.

Be calming down ooo
Incumbents power and federal might, just watch
But Dino will come third
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Isobug: 12:33pm On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Transmission of results is to be manual not results.obidients can't reason intelligently
Which Obidient are you more intelligent than? I mean with your input here on Nairaland on a daily, one can infer that you are not even close to average in terms of being intelligent.
Oponu claiming intelligent
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Kyase(m): 12:34pm On Oct 10, 2023
garfield1:


Don't mind the hypocrites

Lol wait oo, na me be the hypocrite?
Wetin I do now
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by vicdom(m): 12:36pm On Oct 10, 2023
Kyase:


Be calming down ooo
Incumbents power and federal might, just watch
But Dino will come third
There's no federal might. If you understand Kogi politics, you would know that Tinubu is even supporting Ajaka, in the hope that he will cross over to APC as soon as he wins. All the SPD campaign offices have Tinubu pics boldly scattered everywhere. Even Muri is boldly campaigning with Tinubu pics.
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by Kyase(m): 12:52pm On Oct 10, 2023
vicdom:

There's no federal might. If you understand Kogi politics, you would know that Tinubu is even supporting Ajaka, in the hope that he will cross over to APC as soon as he wins. All the SPD campaign offices have Tinubu pics boldly scattered everywhere. Even Muri is boldly campaigning with Tinubu pics.

Yeah.
We all know Tinubu is the one sponsoring SDP as a party but, are you sure ?
Re: Predictions For Bayelsa,imo And Kogi Guber Polls by vicdom(m): 12:57pm On Oct 10, 2023
Kyase:


Yeah.
We all know Tinubu is the one sponsoring SDP as a party but, are you sure ?
I'm hundred percent sure! Just watch out. Muri has been a close ally of Tinubu since the days of ACN, so no be today. Even before Muri decamped to SDP, Tinubu had hosted him in a closed door session. All the Igala APC stakeholders I know are supporting Muri. Igala people are out to make a bold statement this time around that they are the majority.

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