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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (7993) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 7:35am On Aug 14
At N590 Dangote cement EPS of N11.00 for H1

At N109 BUA cement EPS of N1. 01 for H1

At N37 Lafarge cement EPS of N1.80 for H1

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:00am On Aug 14
By the way Julius Berger is getting more jobs, we have infrastructural deficit in Nigeria.

So therefore cement manufacturers will continue to make money, that does not mean their shareholders will make money if you don't buy right at a cheap price

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 8:03am On Aug 14
ositadima1:


Most of these companies run on debt, which has been a source of funding for a long time and did not start today. The question is whether these long-term debts will be subject to the new interest rates. I think we should focus more on what they pay as interest and what is left for shareholders afterward. In Nigeria, it seems debt is not a huge problem as long as there are positive cash flows and also positive FCF.

In layman's language can't we just compare the companies' Debt-to-Revenue ratios rather than the absolute debt values?

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by martosi: 8:07am On Aug 14
Bua cement has a P/E ratio of 107.9.
Lafarge has the lowest P/E ratio 20.5.
Dangote’s P/E ratio 53. 6.
emmanuelewumi:
At N590 Dangote cement EPS of N11.00 for H1

At N109 BUA cement EPS of N1. 01 for H1

At N37 Lafarge cement EPS of N1.80 for H1
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:11am On Aug 14
Raider76:


In layman's language can't we just compare the companies' Debt-to-Revenue ratios rather than the absolute debt values?


Debt to NOPAT of 2 or Debt to FCF of 3 or less is ideal.

Debt to NOPAT of Dangote is less than 2, Debt to NOPAT of over 4 for BUA
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mfunkynation(m): 8:16am On Aug 14
Uncle Emma has been firing on since yesterday evening and this morning .... We are all learning! please keep it up 😘

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:19am On Aug 14
martosi:
Bua cement has a P/E ratio of 107.9.
Lafarge has the lowest P/E ratio 20.5.
Dangote’s P/E ratio 53. 6.

It it for 6 months, you calculate for 12 months and make adjustments for increase in earnings based on the liquidation of debt. These are money going to the banks that will now come to shareholders.

I think if there is a repeat of what happened in Hi for the remaining part of 2024.

Dangote should have a full year EPS of N22,00 BUA will have a full year EPS of N2.00 and Lafarge will have a full year EPS of N5.60k

Dangote PE of 26

BUA PE of 54

Lafarge PE of 6.6

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:20am On Aug 14
martosi:
Bua cement has a P/E ratio of 107.9.
Lafarge has the lowest P/E ratio 20.5.
Dangote’s P/E ratio 53. 6.

Ok
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:20am On Aug 14
Mfunkynation:
Uncle Emma has been firing on since yesterday evening and this morning ....
We are all learning!
please keep it up 😘


Please do your due diligence.

After your DD, if it cast the better
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 8:23am On Aug 14
emmanuelewumi:



Debt to NOPAT of 2 or Debt to FCF of 3 or less is ideal.

Debt to NOPAT of Dangote is less than 2, Debt to NOPAT of over 4 for BUA

Thanks. So Dangote is ok BUA is not. What of WAPCO?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:25am On Aug 14
I always pray to get LAFARGE at my entry which hasn't gotten to for years now...

Hopefully it will maybe not NOW
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:28am On Aug 14
Streetinvestor2:
Lol.You saw sell for presco just like I did. Would you now expect me to go sell presco I bought @442 yesterday because someone just said sell.This is the big question after I did DD and have a target of 1k for the stock.Dont forget I have anticipated #40 for dividend

I don't expect you to do anything.. just letting you know i have no interest in presco like you thought
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:32am On Aug 14
Streetinvestor2:
Nice one,lol
I guess the alternative is now gari no wonder it is now expensive .He was only interested in buy hold and sell
He does not know that even consistant 20% is big to imagine forward looking of 65%. Is that not blood money
There you go again.. just pointing out to mr Emmanuel that the broker's recommendations were a bit surprising with regard to presco.. you too talk.. abi you be woman? Chochochochocho

9 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:34am On Aug 14
Raider76:


Thanks. So Dangote is ok BUA is not. What of WAPCO?


You can crunch the figures based on what I have been sharing since yesterday
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 8:34am On Aug 14
edwardaigb:
Good Morning brothers and sisters in the Lord.

Good day, brother in The Lord.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:35am On Aug 14
grin
zendi:

Good day, brother in The Lord.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by martosi: 8:38am On Aug 14
Okay. For full year how did you get to N5.60k for Lafarge EPS when the H1 is N1.80k.

As for the H1 P/E calculation, I did it based on the current share price and if it is right to invest with the current share price based on it current earnings.

I know before the end of a full year, share prices of the 3 cement companies will fluctuate and change, hence we can do a full year calculation of P/E. I understand we can calculate forward P/E, but I just felt like if I want to invest currently, I should do that based on current price and earnings.

I may be wrong though..
emmanuelewumi:


It it for 6 months, you calculate for 12 months and make adjustments for increase in earnings based on the liquidation of debt. These are money going to the banks that will now come to shareholders.

I think if there is a repeat of what happened in Hi for the remaining part of 2024.

Dangote should have a full year EPS of N22,00 BUA will have a full year EPS of N2.00 and Lafarge will have a full year EPS of N5.60k

Dangote PE of 26

BUA PE of 54

Lafarge PE of 6.6
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:41am On Aug 14
martosi:
Okay. For full year how did you get to N5.60k for Lafarge EPS when the H1 is N1.80k.

As for the H1 P/E calculation, I did it based on the current share price and if it is right to invest with the current share price based on it current earnings.

I know before the end of a full year, share prices of the 3 cement companies will fluctuate and change, hence we can do a full year calculation of P/E. I understand we can calculate forward P/E, but I just felt like if I want to invest currently, I should do that based on current price and earnings.

I may be wrong though..


N33 billion or EPS of N2.00 was paid to the bank in H1 for the liquidation of debt.

This won't happen in H2. The N33 billion will come to shareholders

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:44am On Aug 14
Annual report is a goldmine of information for discerning investors.

Read it , study it and don't wait to be spoon fed.

If not you will become emotional when people like street investor cast your beloved stock. Monkey hunters will also prey on you


Invest with knowledge, figure, facts and information

9 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sboga: 8:50am On Aug 14
omo make i post 1 message dem don send dia errand boy come mastaba8 long messages come hide the message of d real g's

Na real g's wey dey push u 2 buy d dodo under 10

u suppose to b ballin like d real gs right now..heni bottles empty...

but u dey sitdown dey mastaba8 since u dey follow ultimate losers wey dey own dis space...dem dey comot make u enter swim iside ellah lake wid no lifevest
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sboga: 8:52am On Aug 14
stop all dis mastabation
wats wrong wid u


emmanuelewumi:
Annual report is a goldmine of information for discerning investors.

Read it , study it and don't wait to be spoon fed.

If not you will become emotional when people like street investor cast your beloved stock. Monkey hunters will also prey on you


Invest with knowledge, figure, facts and information
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 8:55am On Aug 14
Drama


[center][/center]
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 9:00am On Aug 14
emmanuelewumi:
At N590 Dangote cement EPS of N11.00 for H1

At N109 BUA cement EPS of N1. 01 for H1

At N37 Lafarge cement EPS of N1.80 for H1


Big brother’s Hmmmmmm

Okayoooo!!!



Common Sense Strategy.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:00am On Aug 14
emmanuelewumi:



Interest rates have been reviewed.

I just did an analysis of the expected interest expenses based on the NOPAT for the year. Most times NOPAT is usually higher than FCF.


Based on the H1 result you can calculate the Return on Invested Capital and Cash Return On Invested Capital. You will divide the FCF by the invested capital to get CROIC



But my FGSUK2027S3 still pays me about 11% despite the 20% rates we see these days. Some of the long-term debts are locked in until maturity. I understand your point, though: less debt equates to more shareholder value.

BUA Cement, with their highest dividend of 2.8 naira, is placed below 80(my estimate with Monte Carlo), but you know how some favored stocks move. Based on the favorites anomaly and sentiments, it is approaching the value zone. I may buy it at below 100. I did so last year, and it gave me a small 1 million on the 1.5 million I invested when it started rising, I think one or two months after. grin grin grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 9:06am On Aug 14
ositadima1:



But my FGSUK2027S3 still pays me about 11% despite the 20% rates we see these days. Some of the long-term debts are locked in until maturity. I understand your point, though: less debt equates to more shareholder value. BUA Cement, with their highest dividend of 2.8 naira, is placed below 80, but you know how some favored stocks move. Based on the favorites anomaly and sentiments, it is approaching the value zone. I may buy it at below 100. I did so last year, and it gave me a small 1 million on the 1.5 million I invested when it started rising, I think one or two months after. grin grin grin



Apart from corporate bonds, bank loans are reviewed based on the prevailing interest rates.

Dangotes debt are commercial papers which are cheaper than bank loans.

It is almost impossible to get bank loans at 25%
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 9:08am On Aug 14
Wiseoldman:
Random question here. What determines who is placed as a chairman of a listed company e.g. Lafrage, Presco, MTN, e.t.c. would this be the largest shareholder, or maybe 'one' of the largest shareholders who gets voted up? Thanks!

This's also a random answer, based solely on reasoning and commonsense, and I could be wrong. I've never read any investment book in my life.

I think it's as you're probably thinking, the largest shareholder OR anybody chosen, hand-picked, nominated, backed, recommended by him/her, even if the candidate has not a single share of his or her own.

If I'm right, then the chairman must be the largest shareholder or his/it's boy/gal/represetative.

Sorry, the use of words that mean the same is just for play, as I'm not writing any Jamb exam.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by kolaish(m): 9:10am On Aug 14
SonofElElyonRet:

There you go again.. just pointing out to mr Emmanuel that the broker's recommendations were a bit surprising with regard to presco.. you too talk.. abi you be woman? Chochochochocho
You dey mind am? I think the guy is a juvenile, mamaa na boy type grin that mistakenly finds himself in the midst of elders with wisdom. I've resolved not to read his post again, I think he has the same xteristics with @sboga
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by kolaish(m): 9:14am On Aug 14
@emmanuelewumi, you are good. Old man with wisdom and knowledge. When will you open your stockbroking firm grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by olig(m): 9:26am On Aug 14
There is still time claim your Access Holding right; it has been extended to 23.08.24 🏃‍♂️ 🏃‍♂️ 🏃‍♂️ grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojesymsym: 9:27am On Aug 14
I think the better question should be when will you write a book @emmanuelewumi? All these wisdom and investment philosophy should not be allowed to waste ooh.
kolaish:
@emmanuelewumi, you are good. Old man with wisdom and knowledge. When will you open your stockbroking firm grin

6 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:28am On Aug 14
lipsrsealed
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:31am On Aug 14
It's near impossible to do multinational based businesses without huge loans...

Just learn the books properly in any company you intend to hold for a long time

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