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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8383) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:08pm On Nov 01
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 7:09pm On Nov 01

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:11pm On Nov 01
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by designking: 7:14pm On Nov 01
Oando don finally arrive. It will be a weekend of thorough analysis.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 7:16pm On Nov 01
mails4funshi:
I was told categorically to move my account cos the value was less 5M. This happened post the 2008 market crash.




It wss a tme when some diasporians relocated and were offered management positions in some of the big stockbroking firms, it was also a time when mutual funds management was at infancy stage.

So these guys came up with some crazy policies.

N5 million of 2008 should be equivalent to N20 million of 2024.

I remember when I wanted to sign for a margin loan of N2 million from FBN Securities in 2004, my hand was shaking like person wey get epilepsy .


The loan was invested in the shares of Wema bank and it came out fine with a profit of about 120% after loan was repaid

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 7:17pm On Nov 01
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 7:23pm On Nov 01
BabsO2:
Make we wait for 2024 Q1, Q2 and Q3
N60bn Profit After Tax (Group)
Shareholding structure : 73.21% belongs to only 3 individual(s)/ entity(s)........as at 31st December, 2023, may have possibly increased by now

Over to the analysts..... grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Princkez: 7:27pm On Nov 01
Were are those that said OANDO result is not coming out today...oya show your face,OANDO we move
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 7:27pm On Nov 01
designking:


Yes. I initially wanted to invest ₦5million on Aradel but held back after it was listed on NGX. I planned entering from ₦500/share and I have been going in ₦500k+ every time it dips 10% till I exhaust the ₦5million.

If it dips 10% on Monday, I will go in again. It is a risk/gamble I am willing to take.

Love your sticking to your strategy... hard to do in such circumstances.. ultimately the patient will win

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by MARKETJJC: 7:30pm On Nov 01
megawealth01:
Wale don repent? grin

Yes, senior bros grin

OANDO 2024 results will be tsunami grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 7:31pm On Nov 01
Please read the auditors report on pages 10 to 19.

By the way why did they change auditor, the account used to be audited by one of the big 5

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 7:33pm On Nov 01
MARKETJJC:


Yes, senior bros grin

OANDO 2024 results will be tsunami grin

Is it coming out anytime soon?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 7:37pm On Nov 01
yMcy56:

N60bn Profit After Tax (Group)
Shareholding structure : 73.21% belongs to only 3 individual(s)/ entity(s)........as at 31st December, 2023, may have possibly increased by now

Over to the analysts..... grin


Madam try to read the auditors report on pages 10 to 19.

Comprehensive loss of about N200 billion

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jonnysessy(m): 7:38pm On Nov 01
Oando don give us assignment. Thank God it is Friday. The whole of the weekend will be enough for SA, TA, FA, charts, double - bottom and double- top. Before Monday, the whole thing will surely clear. This Wale man tried this time without giving excuse again. I hope with this NGX will lift the technical suspension immediately. Or will it still be suspended? I need to make some money here to compensate for Aradel grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 7:41pm On Nov 01
emmanuelewumi:
Madam try to read the auditors report on pages 10 to 19.

Comprehensive loss of about N200 billion
Boss, you were so fast to have read reach that page o. grin
Q1, Q2 and Q3 should shed more light to those concerns..
We'll wait for more breakdown analysis.....of the 2023 FYE reports first.

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by MARKETJJC: 7:42pm On Nov 01
emmanuelewumi:
Please read the auditors report on pages 17 to 19.

By the way why did they change auditor, the account used to be audited by one of the big 5

grin we are on course to sort that and head to promise land, Oando is the new future grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 7:46pm On Nov 01
mails4funshi:
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42575_OANDO_PLC-_QUARTER_5_-_[b][/b]FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2023_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_NOVEMBER_2024.pdf


Key takeaway: They are not delisting

Current Equity Talks and Debt Management:

Equity Raising: The company has indicated that it is in active discussions with potential equity investors. This step is part of its broader plan to bridge the funding shortfall that remains after debt refinancing. Management has noted that these equity injections are crucial for covering approximately 46.4% of the funding gap that will not be resolved through debt restructuring alone.
Debt Refinancing: While refinancing existing debt is a significant part of Oando’s strategy, this alone is expected to address only about 53.6% of the funding gap for the fiscal year ending December 2024. The success and timing of these equity talks are crucial, as delays or failures could significantly impact the company’s financial health and ability to continue as a going concern.

5 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 7:50pm On Nov 01

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 7:55pm On Nov 01
emmanuelewumi:



Madam try to read the auditors report on pages 10 to 19.

Comprehensive loss of about N200 billion

I am not sure of any particular thing you are trying to point out in those pages.

It is a matter of public knowledge that OANDo is n debt and this is well acknowledged in the report.
There is however, a clear path to addressing these challengies through instruments like debt refinancing and raising equities.
See screenshot below.

And by the way, we all have the whole of the weekend to do this. So, don't be too much in a hurry to direct anyone to any page. Give them time to read the document. It's 99 pages!

8 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 7:55pm On Nov 01
This is massive grin

10% on Monday?

BabsO2:


Make we wait for 2024 Q1, Q2 and Q3
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Bagwa: 7:57pm On Nov 01
GeeKudi:


I am not sure of any particular thing you are trying to point out in those pages.

It is a matter of public knowledge that OANDo is n debt and this is well acknowledged in the report.
There is however, a clear path to addressing these challengies through instruments like debt refinancing and raising equities.
See screenshot below.

And by the way, we all have the whole of the weekend to do this. So, don't be too much in a hurry to direct anyone to any page. Give them time to read the document. It's 99 pages!

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 7:58pm On Nov 01
yMcy56:
OANDO PRESS RELEASE
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42576_OANDO_PLC-OANDO_PRESS_RELEASE__CORPORATE_ACTIONS_NOVEMBER_2024.pdf
. This weekend go sweet walahiii. Gbas gbos go plenty. I don order popcorn
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 7:59pm On Nov 01
KarlTom:
This is massive grin

10% on Monday?


MH.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bovali(f): 8:00pm On Nov 01
bovali:


Key takeaway: They are not delisting

Current Equity Talks and Debt Management:

Equity Raising: The company has indicated that it is in active discussions with potential equity investors. This step is part of its broader plan to bridge the funding shortfall that remains after debt refinancing. Management has noted that these equity injections are crucial for covering approximately 46.4% of the funding gap that will not be resolved through debt restructuring alone.
Debt Refinancing: While refinancing existing debt is a significant part of Oando’s strategy, this alone is expected to address only about 53.6% of the funding gap for the fiscal year ending December 2024. The success and timing of these equity talks are crucial, as delays or failures could significantly impact the company’s financial health and ability to continue as a going concern.

My Opinion o. High Level Summary:
Active Engagement With Equity Investors
- [ ] Equity Injection Plan: The company has plans for equity raising through strategic investors to provide a much-needed boost to its capital base. Management has indicated that agreements with potential equity partners are under negotiation, but they remain cautiously optimistic about the timeline and outcomes of these talks. They plan to leverage these potential capital injections to maintain liquidity and avoid disruptions to operations

Debt and Liability Management:

- [ ] Medium-Term Loan (MTL) Renegotiation: Oando successfully renegotiated its MTL to include an 18-month moratorium and a revised four-year repayment schedule. This restructuring was aimed at easing immediate repayment pressures and stabilizing the company’s cash flow. The settlement of outstanding interest and fees by October 27, 2024, is a key condition to avoiding default.
- [ ] Debt Structuring and Pledges: Oando has pledged various security interests as part of its debt agreements, including a fixed and floating charge on assets. This move reinforces lender confidence and aligns with the company’s strategy to secure refinancing
- [ ] High Finance Costs: Finance costs remain a significant burden, contributing to a net finance cost of N116.5 billion in 2023. This increase from N81.6 billion in 2022 underscores the impact of high-interest borrowings

Strategic Acquisitions and Investments:

- [ ] Acquisition of NAOC Working Interest: Oando completed the acquisition of Nigerian Agip Oil Company’s (NAOC) working interest in OML 60 – 63. This acquisition is part of its upstream growth strategy and has implications for increased revenue and asset base
- [ ] Deferred Payment Structure: The company also secured a share purchase agreement for a 55% equity stake in Lakel Afrik Petroleum Limited, featuring a deferred payment model. This strategic investment aims to support future growth while managing current cash outflows

Going Concern and Financial Sustainability:

- [ ] Material Uncertainty: The financial statement highlights significant doubt regarding Oando’s ability to continue as a going concern due to its negative equity, consistent net losses, and a working capital deficit projected to reach N3 trillion by year-end 2024
- [ ] Planned Funding Solutions: To address these challenges, management plans to complete an equity raise and issue bonds totaling N1.5 trillion. This funding is crucial to bridging the projected funding gap and supporting ongoing operations

Observed Financial and Operational Performance:

- [ ] Revenue Growth: Revenue has shown a substantial increase to N2.85 trillion in 2023 from N1.99 trillion in 2022, attributed to improved trading and upstream operations
- [ ] Operating Profit: The operating profit rose sharply to N218.3 billion in 2023, signaling better operational efficiencies compared to N20.6 billion in 2022
- [ ] Net Loss Position: Despite increased revenues and operating profits, net losses widened to N216.2 billion in 2023 from N41.7 billion in 2022, largely due to rising finance costs and accrued liabilities

Improvement Areas:

- [ ] Debt Management: Continued focus on restructuring and reducing finance costs is essential to ensure sustainable profitability and financial health.
- [ ] Equity Strategy Execution: The successful conclusion of equity discussions and securing investor commitments will be pivotal in restoring financial stability.
- [ ] Cost Optimization: Enhanced cost management, particularly related to interest-bearing debt, will aid in reducing financial strain

My 2 cents (On the issue of going concern, if they were going to fail, lenders would not be approving new loans or agree to restructure . See the bigger picture ❤️&💡

10 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by naturalflow: 8:01pm On Nov 01
Oya let's go there!even if it is 1 naira increase in PAT,these people I know will use it as justification to send oando to 150.#cowboys

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jonnysessy(m): 8:04pm On Nov 01
KarlTom:
This is massive grin

10% on Monday?


Have you lifted the technical suspension @ NGX ?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Yemy3m: 8:06pm On Nov 01
. i mention this rating issue .the eni deal has been sealed .now it will be sorted
oando need plenty money just like nnpc limited
Bagwa:
.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Harvestock01(m): 8:06pm On Nov 01
This Oando 2023 financial results will either stem the tide for Aradel SP or accelerate the bleeding. There's a massive opportunity for bagging big profits in between the two, only for the discerning.

There's also a big opportunity for unending analyses and bickering 😉

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Utalinmou: 8:09pm On Nov 01
Locotrader:
Cardinalstone APP is the best among all the brokers app I have navigated.

The App alone puts them ahead of other brokers.Seamless and user friendly.

When they bring their brokers fees to 0.5%,they will control 20% of the entire market by volume/value

Please is this cardinal stone app?

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:10pm On Nov 01
I'm still doing press up.
The lifting will be massive... grin
jonnysessy:


Have you lifted the technical suspension @ NGX ?

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:12pm On Nov 01
Let me dissect this report. brb wink
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:14pm On Nov 01
bovali:


My Opinion o. High Level Summary:
Active Engagement With Equity Investors
- [ ] Equity Injection Plan: The company has plans for equity raising through strategic investors to provide a much-needed boost to its capital base. Management has indicated that agreements with potential equity partners are under negotiation, but they remain cautiously optimistic about the timeline and outcomes of these talks. They plan to leverage these potential capital injections to maintain liquidity and avoid disruptions to operations

Debt and Liability Management:

- [ ] Medium-Term Loan (MTL) Renegotiation: Oando successfully renegotiated its MTL to include an 18-month moratorium and a revised four-year repayment schedule. This restructuring was aimed at easing immediate repayment pressures and stabilizing the company’s cash flow. The settlement of outstanding interest and fees by October 27, 2024, is a key condition to avoiding default.
- [ ] Debt Structuring and Pledges: Oando has pledged various security interests as part of its debt agreements, including a fixed and floating charge on assets. This move reinforces lender confidence and aligns with the company’s strategy to secure refinancing
- [ ] High Finance Costs: Finance costs remain a significant burden, contributing to a net finance cost of N116.5 billion in 2023. This increase from N81.6 billion in 2022 underscores the impact of high-interest borrowings

Strategic Acquisitions and Investments:

- [ ] Acquisition of NAOC Working Interest: Oando completed the acquisition of Nigerian Agip Oil Company’s (NAOC) working interest in OML 60 – 63. This acquisition is part of its upstream growth strategy and has implications for increased revenue and asset base
- [ ] Deferred Payment Structure: The company also secured a share purchase agreement for a 55% equity stake in Lakel Afrik Petroleum Limited, featuring a deferred payment model. This strategic investment aims to support future growth while managing current cash outflows

Going Concern and Financial Sustainability:

- [ ] Material Uncertainty: The financial statement highlights significant doubt regarding Oando’s ability to continue as a going concern due to its negative equity, consistent net losses, and a working capital deficit projected to reach N3 trillion by year-end 2024
- [ ] Planned Funding Solutions: To address these challenges, management plans to complete an equity raise and issue bonds totaling N1.5 trillion. This funding is crucial to bridging the projected funding gap and supporting ongoing operations

Observed Financial and Operational Performance:

- [ ] Revenue Growth: Revenue has shown a substantial increase to N2.85 trillion in 2023 from N1.99 trillion in 2022, attributed to improved trading and upstream operations
- [ ] Operating Profit: The operating profit rose sharply to N218.3 billion in 2023, signaling better operational efficiencies compared to N20.6 billion in 2022
- [ ] Net Loss Position: Despite increased revenues and operating profits, net losses widened to N216.2 billion in 2023 from N41.7 billion in 2022, largely due to rising finance costs and accrued liabilities

Improvement Areas:

- [ ] Debt Management: Continued focus on restructuring and reducing finance costs is essential to ensure sustainable profitability and financial health.
- [ ] Equity Strategy Execution: The successful conclusion of equity discussions and securing investor commitments will be pivotal in restoring financial stability.
- [ ] Cost Optimization: Enhanced cost management, particularly related to interest-bearing debt, will aid in reducing financial strain

My 2 cents (On the issue of going concern, if they were going to fail, lenders would not be approving new loans or agree to restructure . See the bigger picture ❤️&💡
. Nice breakdown and thank you for it. We should expect release of all results (Q1, Q2 and Q3) up to date by Monday (or during the week a most). WT/OJT sure knows how to mess with people mind. My advice to both protagonist and antagonist is to never be too serious with the results. Me na fun i just fey catch by the sideline

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