for gej i think he is going to win the whole of south east and south south states in a landslide, in the south west he may lose only the state of ondo, in the north central, he is going to lose only niger state. and lastly, in the the north east and west, he will win kaduna, nassarawa, adamawa, taraba, and possibly jigawa state.
what's your take on that?

GEJ - Borno
Buhari - Bayelsa

anyone saying he will loss in the SW is going on a special list i'm keeping. I will be systematically laughing at each person on that list after the election one by one

Wait, let me ask my pastor.

naturally:
GEJ - Borno
Buhari - Bayelsa

there's possibility of gej winning in borno with power of christian indigenes and other non indigenes cos the radical indigenes will be scared of doing their things due to the presence of soldiers. again, not in all parts of borno that election will hold

kasiem:
for gej i think he is going to win the whole of south east and south south states in a landslide, in the south west he may lose only the state of ondo, in the north central, he is going to lose only niger state. and lastly, in the the north east and west, he will win kaduna, nassarawa, adamawa, taraba, and possibly jigawa state.
what's your take on that?

GEJ will win only the ND minus Rivers. He might win some middle belt states. He is sure to lose all the SW states including Ekiti. The entire North is for Buhari.

For GEJ : Rivers, Bayelsa, CrossRiver, Edo, Akwa Ibom, Delta, Anambra, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Abia, Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Oyo, Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue, FCT, Borno, Adamawa, Kaduna, Taraba.

For apc, the rest states

Every muslim dominated neighbourhood, even in some part of Ebonyi with the highest number of muslims in SE will vote him.

Gabbysky:
For GEJ : Rivers, Bayelsa, CrossRiver, Edo, Akwa Ibom, Delta, Anambra, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Abia, Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Oyo, Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue, FCT, Borno, Adamawa, Kaduna, Taraba.

For apc, the rest states

DELUSIONAL..... southwest Nigeria wanna know why our leaders are rascals... why gej was laughing sheepishly when Arthur Eze was scolding the Yoruba nation...we will also like to know why the only reason why project will be done in ekiti and osun is for them to vote a PDP governor.

Buhari : Kano, Kaduna (GEJ will get 25percent or more), Sokoto, Kastina, Kebbi, Gombe, Yobe, Zamfara, Niger, Nasarawa (GEJ may get 25percent or more), Kwara, Borno, Bauchi, Adamawa (GEJ will get 25percent or more), Lagos (GEJ will get 25percent or more), Osun, Ogun (25percent or more for GEJ), Oyo (25percent or more for GEJ), Jigawa

Goodluck: Bayelsa, Enugu, Anambra, Ebonyi, Abia, cross river, akwaibom, Benue (Buhari will make 25percent) Plateau, Imo (Buhari may get above 25percent), Delta, Ondo, Ekiti, Edo (Buhari will get morethan to 25percen), Rivers (Buhari will get above 25percent),

The following states are undecided: Kogi (50/50 chance but Buhari is favoured), Taraba (50/50 chance but GEJ is favoured), Abuja (50/50 chance but Buhari is favoured)

SE states: GEJ 99.9%, Buhari 0.01%
SS states: For C/River, Bayelsa,Delta, A/Ibom GEJ 99%, Buhari 1%, for Edo and Rivers: GEJ 70%Buhari 30%.
SW states: Lagos:GEJ 60 Buhari 40%, Other SW state 50:50.
NW states: GEJ 40% Buhari 60%
NC State: GEJ 55% Buhari 45%
NE State: GEJ 50% Buhari 50%

The election results will swing in favour of who d Igbos vote massively for.
The SE has a 99% Igbo Population.
Rivers is dominated by Igbos so expect a GEJ dominance, d 30% who'll vote for Buhari would b those manipulated by Amaechi.30% Vote for Buhari in Edo state represents d Muslim population in d state.
GEJ Can get up to 60% in Lagos cos 40% of Lagosians are of SE/SE + 50% of Yorubas in Lagos are xtians who would nt fansy a muslim-muslim APC ticket.
50:50 for d rest of SW bc of d 10-20% Igbo population and near 50:50 Xtian:Muslim ratio.
The NC has a 50:50 Xtian:Muslim population + a near 20% of igbo population and this gives GEJ d edge.
Good luck can score cheap points in d NE with d war against BH so its 50:50 for both candidates here.
NW belongs to Buhari and his CPC but with d high igbo population living in dat region GEJ can wrestle out 30-40%.

Icon4s:
SE states: GEJ 99.9%, Buhari 0.01%
SS states: For C/River, Bayelsa,Delta, A/Ibom GEJ 99%, Buhari 1%, for Edo and Rivers: GEJ 70%Buhari 30%.
SW states: Lagos:GEJ 60 Buhari 40%, Other SW state 50:50.
NW states: GEJ 40% Buhari 60%
NC State: GEJ 55% Buhari 45%
NE State: GEJ 50% Buhari 50%

The election results will swing in favour of who d Igbos vote massively for.
The SE has a 99% Igbo Population.
Rivers is dominated by Igbos so expect a GEJ dominance, d 30% who'll vote for Buhari would b those manipulated by Amaechi.30% Vote for Buhari in Edo state represents d Muslim population in d state.
GEJ Can get up to 60% in Lagos cos 40% of Lagosians are of SE/SE + 50% of Yorubas in Lagos are xtians who would nt fansy a muslim-muslim APC ticket.
50:50 for d rest of SW bc of d 10-20% Igbo population and near 50:50 Xtian:Muslim ratio.
The NC has a 50:50 Xtian:Muslim population + a near 20% of igbo population and this gives GEJ d edge.
Good luck can score cheap points in d NE with d war against BH so its 50:50 for both candidates here.
NW belongs to Buhari and his CPC but with d high igbo population living in dat region GEJ can wrestle out 30-40%.

This is so wrong.
Most Christians in the SW are against GEJ because of corruption and insecurity. NE, NC and NW are for Buhari traditionally, Christian and Muslim, there is the religion issue but there is also tribalism, please be realistic. Igbos have never determined the course of any elections. Go and check your history. Igbos in the SW and the North mostly don't have voters cards and the few that have will go home to vote because of the likelihood of election violence with the possible exception of Lagos. GEJ may never poll up to 25% in Ekiti in spite of Fayose, but will win about 34% of Lagos because the Yoruba middle class has some admiration for some of his economic reforms. Rivers is not dominated by Ibos politically - Ogonis, Kalabari and lately Ikwerres are now anti GEJ, forward thinking people are also asking themselves what happens after 2019, that is why you see the Amaechis building a national profile for themselves instead of dying in the same party with a president who has only four years in office (maybe). Go and do your research on ground. Buhari has majority following in Kano and has always carried the two most populous States in Nigeria.
I am still counting 21 States Buhari, 15 States Jonathan.

kasiem:
there's possibility of gej winning in borno with power of christian indigenes and other non indigenes cos the radical indigenes will be scared of doing their things due to the presence of soldiers. again, not in all parts of borno that election will hold

The idea that Christian northerners are for GEJ is very WRONG. Who has been lying to you?. This people are asking themselves even now what did Jonathan do for them when their Churches were being bombed. What about the deep tribal linkages that transcend religion?. What about the Catholic Church that is already blaming GEJ for mis managing security? What about CAN that is already divided? Most xtian northerners have relatives and friends who are Muslims and have co existed for centuries so you think all that will just disappear because GEJ wants just four more years?. Please get real. Don't look at the world from SE Nigerian eyes. Nigerian politics os complicated and we love it so.

Adminisher:


This is so wrong.
Most Christians in the SW are against GEJ because of corruption and insecurity. NE, NC and NW are for Buhari traditionally, Christian and Muslim, there is the religion issue but there is also tribalism, please be realistic. Igbos have never determined the course of any elections. Go and check your history. Igbos in the SW and the North mostly don't have voters cards and the few that have will go home to vote because of the likelihood of election violence with the possible exception of Lagos. GEJ may never poll up to 25% in Ekiti in spite of Fayose, but will win about 34% of Lagos because the Yoruba middle class has some admiration for some of his economic reforms. Rivers is not dominated by Ibos politically - Ogonis, Kalabari and lately Ikwerres are now anti GEJ, forward thinking people are also asking themselves what happens after 2019, that is why you see the Amaechis building a national profile for themselves instead of dying in the same party with a president who has only four years in office (maybe). Go and do your research on ground. Buhari has majority following in Kano and has always carried the two most populous States in Nigeria.
I am still counting 21 States Buhari, 15 States Jonathan.

you are the person making wrong claims here

Gabbysky:
For GEJ : Rivers, Bayelsa, CrossRiver, Edo, Akwa Ibom, Delta, Anambra, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Abia, Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Oyo, Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Nassarawa, Kogi, Benue, FCT, Borno, Adamawa, Kaduna, Taraba.

For apc, the rest states

with this your calculation no need for Buhari to even contest

mainheart:
with this your calculation no need for Buhari to even contest

based on the last election the poster stated the fact

kasiem:
based on the last election the poster stated the fact

OK oooo

Ikengawo:
anyone saying he will loss in the SW is going on a special list i'm keeping. I will be systematically laughing at each person on that list after the election one by one

And I will laugh at u in return. He can only have a close call in Ekiti and Lagos. I can assure u of that.

His having relatively heavy votes in Ekiti compared to other SW states is just becos of the love the Ekiti people has for Fayose which may swing to President Jonathan's advantage if Fayose actively campaigns for him.