To many Nigerians, both home and abroad, Dele Momodu is known as a Nigerian journalist, publisher, actor, motivational speaker and businessman who owns the renowned Ovation International, a magazine that has given publicity to people in Africa and all over the World.

What many people do not know about the 54-year-old publisher born in Ile-Ife, Osun State, western Nigeria on 16 May, 1960, is that he is also a political analyst.

To this end, Momodu, who graduated from the University of Ife, (now Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife) in 1982 with a degree in Yoruba and a Masters degree in English Literature in 1988, writes a weekly article called PENdulum on the back page of Thisday newspaper.
Gen. Buhar and President Jonathan.

Gen. Buhar and President Jonathan.

The articles are praised for highlighting issues in Nigeria, as well as discussing popular topics, current events and famous people.

In one of his latest articles, Momodu predicted how votes will be shared between a former Head of State, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, and the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan come 2015 presidential elections in Nigeria.

According to the Momodu, if Nigerians are asked to elect their president today, Buhari would defeat President Jonathan mercilessly.

Below is how Dele Momodu came to this conclusion:

“Fellow Nigerians, time changes everything indeed. In 2011, I would have said worse things about General Muhammadu Buhari. In truth, I actually wrote Buhari off completely, not without cogent reasons that I considered valid and relevant at that time. The first was that Buhari was too old to lead us.

I was biased by the Obama Presidency and the emergence of David Cameron in Britain. I felt Buhari as a former dictator should be totally expunged from the race. I was also brainwashed by the relentless propaganda that he was a religious fundamentalist of the worst kind. If I was good in Fine Arts, I would have painted him in the lurid and monstrous image of Lucifer. That was how bad it was.

Trust me, I’m supposed to be one of the most liberal and tolerant human beings but it was just difficult for me to accept Buhari as a Presidential candidate at this time and age. I nearly clashed with my dear friend and brother, Simon Kolawole, after reading an article he had penned on Buhari and practically endorsing him at that time. I was so livid that I did not wait for Simon to get out of church before I started bombarding his lines with frenetic calls. When he eventually got back to me, and in his usual humble manner said “Egbon, I missed your calls, hope all is well?” I responded that all was not well as he had spoilt my appetite and breakfast that morning with his effusive praise of someone I considered a red-faced tyrant.

Simon was as cool as cucumber. He was incredibly blunt as he instantly confessed his unrepentant love, admiration and support for Buhari…


So far, in all 2015 Opinion polls, Buhari is beating Jonathan mercilessly.

Without doubt, Buhari is a modern-day wonder. The story of his life is a stuff of thriller novels. In a country where money fixes most things and people, how did he manage to control the bodies and souls of his fanatical supporters? What is it that makes him such a dual personality that draws so many people to him while others withdraw as if to run away from a victim of Ebola? What can Buhari do or achieve at his age in this modern world where life itself has become computerised? I suffered from this interior monologue for a long time.

Some of my fears started evaporating one night in Abuja when I was invited over to meet him at the instance of Prince Lanrewaju Tejuoso, one of his godsons. I was dazed at the ease Prince Lanrewaju was able to get him to meet with me at such short notice. I was impressed that there were no intruders during our heart-to-heart talk. Perhaps, because he had no money to share, the usual parasites crawling all over the corridors of power were not in sight. He spoke calmly but firmly. He had this childlike innocence around him. It was difficult to imagine this man sitting across me could hurt a fly even as a soldier. There were no airs around him or chips on his shoulders. What you saw was what you got; take it or leave it. Many had confessed to similar reaction upon meeting him.

We took pictures together without much ado. And I actually found him more charismatic than my jaundiced eyes could have permitted. What I saw was that raw Fulani beauty and handsomeness. I and my aides left the place liking him a bit.

Of course the election came as usual and Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan trounced Buhari mercilessly. But most of us got so carried away that we failed to appreciate how well the man had performed against all odds. Here was a man without loads of cash. He didn’t have a preponderance of powerful Governors behind him. He could not mobilise so many billionaires to fund him. He lacked the power of incumbency. He could not secure the much needed coalition with ACN at the time. Many Christians saw him as Satan on earth. Many youths considered him too old. The super-rich saw him as the sword of Damocles dangling over them. All the odds were stacked up against him. Yet this poor man, as I like to describe him, recorded a whopping 12,214,853 votes while President Jonathan scored 22,495,187 votes.

Let’s break it down into simple Maths. Jonathan had a good spread scoring 25% or more in 31 States. Buhari managed to score 25% or more in 16 States and yet got a cumulative result of over 12 million votes. A good Mathematician should be able to help us here because I wish to show our President’s handlers that they will pay heavily for complacency if they assume and take it for granted that they can beat Buhari easily like PDP had always done in the past. Let me explain it further. A man who won the mandatory 25% in about half of the States secured by the President still went ahead to poll over half of what the President got. Now this is the trickery part.

Let me begin with the most obvious. Buhari had only 37.96% in Adamawa while Jonathan had 56%. The registered voters were 1,816,094 but the voter-turnout was a miserable 49.98%. With the way the country is right now, PDP would require a miracle to win Adamawa with a landslide. And in case the voters turn out much bigger, it means that State can wipe off some of the deficits Buhari suffered in 2011. The two leading parties can still jerk up about one million extras which won’t be a bad idea even if PDP still gets 25% or more.

Let’s walk across to another interesting State, Bauchi where Buhari recorded 1,315,209 against Jonathan’s 258,404 despite the avuncular presence of PDP Governor, Yisa Yuguda. The registered voters here were 2,523,614 but only 1,610,094 voters chose to vote with nearly 1,000,000 voters hibernating somewhere. I hope you’re patient enough to follow this Maths lesson.

Benue would certainly be a major battle ground this time for the candidates because the State has over 1.3 million voters (out of a total registration of 2,390,884) buried somewhere for the strongest candidate to resurrect. Here ethnicity and religion would play critical roles more than ever before. It is presently a virtual PDP State with Jonathan polling 694,776 against Buhari’s 109,680 and ACN (Nuhu Ribadu) 223,007. Benue had always been a State of enlightened voters and it may swing in favour of a serious candidate.

Let’s keep moving and find somewhere to land in the troubled spot of Borno State. This is a treasure ground with 2,380,957 out of which more than half of the voters have absconded and vanished into thin air. In 2011, Buhari 909,763 against the President’s humble 207,075 votes. Now this State is under fire but is NOW largely controlled by the new alliance known as APC.

Let’s saunter across to Gombe where Buhari scored 459,898 against Jonathan’s 290,347 votes out of a total registration of 1,318,377. All the parties combined recorded 770,019 voters. The implication of this is that if this State decides to be generous, it may dash out about 548,358 votes. We are still moving and scavenging for the votes wherever they are hiding.

Let’s say some quick Hello to our Brother, Governor of Jigawa State, Sule Lamido, who couldn’t hold Buhari down despite his equally tall physique. Here Buhari polled 663,994 against Jonathan’s 419,252. Total votes cast came to 1,140,766 out of 2,013,974 total registrations. Do not say I told you, this State has some 873,208 unseen registered voters probably perambulating as we write. This journey is still long and arduous.

Kaduna is a major war zone for the candidates because of its peculiar characteristics. Buhari’s supremacy was hotly challenged as Jonathan polled 1,190,179 against Buhari’s 1,334,244 votes . Total votes cast were 2,569,963 out of 3,905,387 total registered voters. Now wait for the good news of the kingdom; this beautiful State has 1,335,424 voters that it can conjure whenever needed or ready.

If you think Kaduna was super, please, wait for the almighty Kano where no serious candidate can play silly pranks with the energetic and fearless Governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso. In 2011, Buhari massacred Jonathan with 1,624,543 against 440,666. The then Governor and Presidential candidate, Ibrahim Shekarau even scored more than the President with his 526,310 votes. The total votes cast came to 2,673,228 out of 5,027,297. In case your Maths is poor like mine, let’s find a calculator before the brains explode. Kano alone can conveniently and benevolently donate 2,354,069 potential voters out of the skies.

We finally arrive in Buhari’s homestead of Katsina where he expectedly polled 1,163,919 against Jonathan’s 428,392. It is either many Katsina people didn’t dig their own son, since prophets hardly get honoured at home, or Buhari just didn’t employ artful dodgers to manipulate the votes in his favour. In all, 1,639,532 voters performed their civic duty out of 3,126,898 registered voters. By fire, by force, Katsina on a good day can still conjure some 1,487,366 votes.

Please, permit me to fast forward to the State of the Sokoto Caliphate where a floodgate can still be opened. Strangely, Buhari pulled merely 540,769 shots against Jonathan’s 309,057. A total of 909,808 voters came out of 2,267,509 registered voters. No one is able to explain this anomalous situation to us properly but some 1,357,701 unseen voters may decide to show up in 2015. Please, bear with me, you must be getting tired but we need to do this together because of my over-confident friends in Abuja who must have had F9 in Mathematics like me.

Let me now give you the shock treatment and take you straight to the biggest theatres of war. I must warn that this not for the faint-hearted. Welcome to the heartbeat of Nigeria known as Lagos State where Jonathan polled 1,281,688 against Buhari’s 189,983 and Nuhu Ribadu’s 427,203. Wait for this, only 1,945,044 voters turned up out of 6,108,069 voters. In effect, Lagos can, in its true majesty, produce additional 4,163,025 out of its bag of magic.

I wish there was space to display all the figures but it won’t be possible. But let me continue with the random sampling. Many of the States won by Jonathan or PDP or both, depending on why you voted in 2011, are not so easily available at this time. Take Oyo for example under the control of APC beyond the next Presidential election may prove too tough to handle. Only 863,544 out of 2,572,140 voters appeared in public but we don’t know the whereabouts of 1,708,596 potential voters.

Ogun State is another interesting territory where 543,715 people voted out of 1,941,170 who registered to vote.

Meanwhile, the largest turnout of voters was recorded in areas controlled by Jonathan but let’s examine the figures. Abia has used up 1,188,333 out of 1,524,484; Akwa Ibom 1,232,395 out of 1,616,873; Anambra 1,157,239 out of 2,011,746; BAYELSA 506,693 out of 591,870; Cross River 726,341 out of 1,148,486; Delta 1,398,579 out of 2,032,191; Edo 621 out of 1,655,776; Ebonyi 502,890 out of 1,050,534; Ekiti 261,858 out of 764,726; Enugu 814,009 out of 1,303155; Imo 1,409,850 out of 1,687,293; Kwara 414,754 out of 1,152,361; Ondo 486,837 out of 1,616,091; Osun (lost by Jonathan) 512,714 out of 1,293,967; Rivers (the largest State in South South) 1,854,116 out of 2,429,231 and so and so on.

This should give you a fair representation of what is at stake in the 2015 election. Politics is not exactly Maths but it is still a game of numbers. Those who think an incumbent President cannot be defeated should wake up from their self-induced coma. The mood of the Nigerian nation is very similar to that which swept Obama into power. Lagos and Kano combined account for 11,135,366 registered voters out of a grand total of 73,528,040. Only 38,199,219 people voted in all the States. There are 35,328,821 floating somewhere. Most of them are comfortably resident in APC States.

My free advice to the Jonathan campaigner is simple; stop projecting our President as a sectional leader whose only qualification is where he comes from. Stop raining insults on Northerners and avoid maligning innocent Muslims. The religious card you wish and hope to play will never play out in favour of President Jonathan. You should concentrate on projecting the positive work and his Transformation Agenda. A President is the father of the nation. A lot of damage has been done by portraying him as a victim who’s derided by everyone except his own.

The President’s handlers should worry more about how the goodwill of 2011 got frittered away in such a jiffy. Above all, they should urgently search for competent Maths teachers.
Believe me, the figures are no longer adding up.”

Let's imagine that the final face off in the race for the place at the Aso Rock is today. Who would be the winner, in your opinion?

Muhammadu Buhari, APC (79%, 4,118 Votes)
Goodluck Jonathan, PDP (21%, 1,084 Votes)


http://www.naij.com/313165-dele-momodu-predicts-2015-presidential-election.html?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral&utm_term=saharareporters-saharareporters

There is a wide gap betw mathematics and nigerian politics.

SAI BUHARI

Hahahahahahahaha!!!!!!
Somebody should help me laugh
Momodu should tell us what he has been smoking between 2011 and 2014 such that black has turned to white in his eyes
Some people are shameless.A grown man was biased and has now seen the light
He reminds me of FFK with this write up,as unstable as the waterproof bag on an expressway
Were they fathered from the same loins
From such turn away!

“Fellow Nigerians, time changes everything indeed. In 2011, I would have said worse things about General Muhammadu Buhari. In truth, I actually wrote Buhari off completely, not without cogent reasons that I considered valid and relevant at that time. The first was that Buhari was too old to lead us.

I was biased by the Obama Presidency and the emergence of David Cameron in Britain. I felt Buhari as a former dictator should be totally expunged from the race. I was also brainwashed by the relentless propaganda that he was a religious fundamentalist of the worst kind. If I was good in Fine Arts, I would have painted him in the lurid and monstrous image of Lucifer. That was how bad it was.

Trust me, I’m supposed to be one of the most liberal and tolerant human beings but it was just difficult for me to accept Buhari as a Presidential candidate at this time and age. I nearly clashed with my dear friend and brother, Simon Kolawole, after reading an article he had penned on Buhari and practically endorsing him at that time. I was so livid that I did not wait for Simon to get out of church before I started bombarding his lines with frenetic calls. When he eventually got back to me, and in his usual humble manner said “Egbon, I missed your calls, hope all is well?” I responded that all was not well as he had spoilt my appetite and breakfast that morning with his effusive praise of someone I considered a red-faced tyrant.

Simon was as cool as cucumber. He was incredibly blunt as he instantly confessed his unrepentant love, admiration and support for Buhari…


So far, in all 2015 Opinion polls, Buhari is beating Jonathan mercilessly.

Photographer turn politician now prophet.

Useless Janjawiids.

Between Buhari and his daft autistic follow follow fans I no know who go cry pass.


Sai NO to Buhari.

We are ready for them...

As an ''expert'' in politics, it won't be bad for Dele Momodu to tell Nigerians how many votes he got when he contested presidential election in 2011. I heard he got only one vote in his ward.

I'm yet to see an escape route for GEJ come next year. The guy has a lot of work to do to remain in power which of course is getting late already.

Dele momodu is one of apc stooges, so I dnt need to read whatever he says. GEJ till 2019!!!

Dele captured it so well that every truth and well meaning Nigerian will agree with this. Like I always say, even one week is a lot of time in politics. Who knows the magic wand GEJ is cooking to clean up his messed up stinking air before 2015. PDP and GEJ knows it is game over heading into the polls without some act of 'hand of God'. I expect them to fight back with all they've got. An attempted attempt on the Life of GMB will be met with cosmic resistance.

He thinks nigerian politics is all about mathematics,fame,money,entertainment!!! If you think our politics is all about money,please go and ask amaechi what's up! If you think our politics is all about entertainment,please go and ask 9ice! If you think our politics is all about fame,please go and ask alao akala! If you think our politics is all about internet mathematics(1+1=2,please go and ask fayemi!!! Buhari 'll be agonizingly close in defeating jonathan,BUT HE 'LL LOSE AGAIN.

temitemi1:
Dele momodu is one of apc stooges, so I dnt need to read whatever he says. GEJ till 2019!!!

Professor Wole Soyinka
has said, "Only four sets
of people can vote and
support Goodluck Jonathan 2015: (1)
those who are
intellectually blind. (2)
those who are blinded
by ethnicity. (3) those
who are blinded by corruption and
therefore afraid of the
unknown, should power
change hands. (4) those
who are suffering from
a combination of all the above terminal
sicknesses. Are you one
of these?


OYA PDP NAIRALAND THUGS REPLY THE PROF

Any Supporter of President Jonathan and PDP
here? Pls say amen to this prayers
A PRAYER FOR G.E.J. and PDP SUPPORTERS
1.) May God run your Life the way GEJ is running
this country.
2.) May God give u and your family the kind of
peace GEJ gives to this country.
3.) May God subsidize your blessings the way
Jonathan subsidized the Nigerian Oil.
4.) May God secure u and your entire family the
way GEJ secures this country.
As a Good supporter of GEJ and PDP all u have
to do is to Quote this and reply "Amen" and
disgrace the ‘Misinformed’ General public that he
is God Sent.
Be brave to type Amen b4 you start d insult.

What can i say?




The General all the way

Hit like if you didn't read the post to the end

Dele Momodu bleeps up in 2011 now he's back to his senses. Guess he has been smoking Otuoke's dry cheap weed the same type the clueless shoe less brainless baboon smokes in the villa.

Sai Buhari jor!

It is 25 States Buhari and 11 States Jonathan.

No cause for alarm. 2015 is only a stone throw away. Nigerians! Your future is in your votes

Like seriously I think all this politicians have really gone crazy

y free advice to the Jonathan campaigner is simple; stop projecting our President as a sectional leader whose only qualification is where he comes from. Stop raining insults on Northerners and avoid maligning innocent Muslims. The religious card you wish and hope to play will never play out in favour of President Jonathan. You should concentrate on projecting the positive work and his Transformation Agenda. A President is the father of the nation. A lot of damage has been done by portraying him as

The daft foools should listen to the above advice, u don't insult people and expect them to clap for u and vote for u. But alas a fool is born every minute.

When next they tell you Buhari will Islamise Nigeria if he becomes the president, tell them they are senseless; that no democratically elected president can Islamise Nigeria.
When next they tell you Buhari is too old, tell them you prefer an old man with a purpose than a youth without a focus. You may even ask them that what benefit did the youthfulness of Dimeji Bankole who became the number 3 man )Speaker of House of Representatives( at the age of 37; James Ibori who became a governor at the age of 41 and Lucky Igbinedion who also became a governor at the age of 42 bring into the system.
When next they tell you Buhari is the sponsor of Boko-Haram, tell them they have gone nuts. That they used the same propaganda to campaign against the man in 2011, so why is he still walking the streets while the menace Boko- Haram is burgeoning and the president has not ordered his arrest?
When next they tell you APC is more corrupt than PDP, tell them “no matter how good they are in mathematics, they'd never be able to add up the sins of APC and arrive at the report card of PDP since 1999. Logic and common sense will always be their undoing in such a mathematical venture”. )Credits to Pius Adesanmi(
When next they tell you about Buhari’s human right records during his 18 months sojourn as a military head of state, tell them he is not coming back as a military head of state but a democratically elected president and that does not erase his sterling anti-corruptioncredentials which is what Nigeria badly needs at the moment.
When next they tell you that it is wrong for Buhari to be hobnobbing with the likes of Tinubu, Atiku and co, given his toga anti-corruption; ask them if they voted for him when he
decided to do it alone.......Credit to SaintRob for this piece

Most people here are boko haram in disguise,no wonder they are supporting their masters in the same field of profession.

Statistics do not lie.Gej handlers should keep deceiving themselves that Gej can win election without the support of the north.for those that claimed Northerners did not vote for Gej in 2011 should do small maths on the above numbers and tell me the result.I know some of you would say Igbo people are even more than the natives but the fact is that the Northern governors worked for Gej seriously in 2011 and help him inflate figures where necessary.The 2015 election will be very interesting.

xule20:
Hit like if you didn't read the post to the end

you GTF outta here... This thread is for matured minds

tola9ja:
Any Supporter of President Jonathan and PDP
here? Pls say amen to this prayers
A PRAYER FOR G.E.J. and PDP SUPPORTERS
1.) May God run your Life the way GEJ is running
this country.
2.) May God give u and your family the kind of
peace GEJ gives to this country.
3.) May God subsidize your blessings the way
Jonathan subsidized the Nigerian Oil.
4.) May God secure u and your entire family the
way GEJ secures this country.
As a Good supporter of GEJ and PDP all u have
to do is to Quote this and reply "Amen" and
disgrace the ‘Misinformed’ General public that he
is God Sent.
Be brave to type Amen b4 you start d insult.

I won't say AMEN but can u say AMEN
May ur life be ruled exactly the same way buahri will rule Nigeria if he clinch the Aso Rock job

hizroyalflynes:

I won't say AMEN but can u say AMEN
May ur life be ruled exactly the same way buahri will rule Nigeria if he clinch the Aso Rock job

AMEN

The bulk of his article is about those who didn't vote in the different states during the last election but how does that translate to Buhari winning the next election?

Jona as incumbent shouldn't be having it this tough but sometimes I wonder if members of Jona's cabinet actually live in Nigeria.
Even the election campaign machinery and other state apparatus at Jona's disposal had been turn into cock and bull, rooster wrestling, and dumb men outfits like that Okuigbe tweeting hash tag bring back Good luck Jonathan.
As it is now Jona should recruit good publicity managers if he really want to have a good outing in 2015 because right now Jona's image is battered.

Is Dele Momodu still living in Ghana? This man only comes on the scene to get attention. I used to buy his magazine, until I saw him on a UK program seriously badmouthing Nigeria and telling people to forget Nigeria. Yet he is always there when there is a photo opportunity. First as presidential candidate, then with 'enough is enough' campaign.

He also wrote an article not too long ago, complaining about his trip to Abuja, where he was made to wait for important men. He's on the outside in Nigeria, and he knows it. He obviously does not like it.

It is amazing how some people are fair weather friends. He thinks praising Buhari will get him some crumbs from the table of power. Shameless really.

Nice

babyosisi:
Hahahahahahahaha!!!!!!
Somebody should help me laugh
Momodu should tell us what he has been smoking between 2011 and 2014 such that black has turned to white in his eyes
Some people are shameless.A grown man was biased and has now seen the light
He reminds me of FFK with this write up,as unstable as the waterproof bag on an expressway
Were they fathered from the same loins
From such turn away!

Midget Rufai said same, even Buhari said ACN was corrupt, but today they are all in the same company Asiwaju Private Company Ltd

There is NO way Goodluck Jonathan can defeat General Buhari in any free and fair election conducted in Nigeria today. That is a fact.
Mr Jonathan's supporters are just decieving him and are pushing him to the precipice of a crushing and humiliating defeat.
Buhari will win in 99% of the states any time the election is conducted,because the people are fed up with corruption,mismanagement and the clueless government of Mr Jonathan. 2015,is just a few months away and Jonathan in his mind knows it is the end of the road for him in Aso Rock.