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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (1230) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 4:52pm On Dec 23, 2015
zendi:
Ah...when it comes to speculation, profit, or immediate profit is not everything o. When people made bastard money in ikejahotel, champion or even right now in unitybnk from which no dividend is expected, there were profit making and dividend paying coys like nem around. This biz is a forward looking affair. I wasnt so fascinated until Dangote came back on board. Or you think he's now JIJOing with dangflour?grin Well, he may have dumped it the first time. But I believe he came back, not to bury it but to wake it. Could be for reasons of pride, that his name is involved, or maybe out of sheer concern for the workers, who had been with him for long. The stock will go south, following this result, but when it bottoms you will see that many people have eye on it.

I bought based on this rough analysis:

Share outstanding is 5B

Tigerbrands transferred 3.285B (65.7%) to Aliko.

"Subject to regulatory approvals, DIL will provide TBCG with an immediate cash injection of N10 billion. In return, Tiger Brands will
divest its 65.7% shareholding in TBCG to DIL for a nominal consideration and write off its shareholder loans to TBCG. In addition,
Tiger Brands will assume and settle outstanding debt guaranteed on behalf of TBCG."

This roughly implies that Aliko paid ~N3.04/ share (10B/3.285B).

I bought at N1.16, which is about 62% discount to Aliko's price.

Precedents have shown that Aliko is a very shrewd business man, I am willing to hold with him ...

Not a buy or sell recommendation
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 4:55pm On Dec 23, 2015
bigjay01:


I bought based on this rough analysis:

Share outstanding is 5B

Tigerbrands transferred 3.285B (65.7%) to Aliko.

"Subject to regulatory approvals, DIL will provide TBCG with an immediate cash injection of N10 billion. In return, Tiger Brands will
divest its 65.7% shareholding in TBCG to DIL for a nominal consideration and write off its shareholder loans to TBCG. In addition,
Tiger Brands will assume and settle outstanding debt guaranteed on behalf of TBCG."

This roughly implies that Aliko paid ~N3.04/ share (10B/3.285B).

I bought at N1.16, which is about 62% discount to Aliko's price.

Precedents have shown that Aliko is a very shrewd business man, I am willing to hold with him ...

Not a buy or sell recommendation

Bros how much did aliko sell the shares to Tigerbrands? I assume they already made a kill by short-selling. So u may be buying at a premium to Aliko's purchase price
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by angelo82: 5:00pm On Dec 23, 2015
Agbalowomeri:


Bros how much did aliko sell the shares to Tigerbrands? I assume they already made a kill by short-selling. So u may be buying at a premium to Aliko's purchase price

Aliko;s calculation is far beyond that analysis above.............Analysis above is when you are dealing with a straight forward businessman................

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 5:01pm On Dec 23, 2015
Agbalowomeri:


Bros how much did aliko sell the shares to Tigerbrands? I assume they already made a kill by short-selling. So u may be buying at a premium to Aliko's purchase price

"On the effective date as set out in paragraph 7 below, Tiger Brands will
pay Dangote NGN9.50 per DFM Share
, implying an aggregate purchase price
of NGN30,093 million (equivalent to approximately ZAR1.5 billion)
(“Purchase Price”). Excluding the once-off impact of an amount of
NGN1,484 million relating to a provision for irrecoverable claims"

http://dangote.com/Investorrelations/dg-tb_Detailed%20terms-21-Sept.pdf

The bottom line is that he sees value at N3.04!

I also see value with him at 62% discount to his entry price.

I don't see how i am buying at a premium (to him) unless he is willing to sell at any price below N1.16. Will he?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 5:06pm On Dec 23, 2015
bigjay01:


he sold to tigerbrands at N9.5

The bottom line is that he sees value at N3.04!

I also see value with him at 62% discount to his entry price.

what of if they decide to reconstruct the shares later.............ahh! speed on my legs o.........
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 5:11pm On Dec 23, 2015
bigjay01:


"

[b]I don't see how i am buying at a premium (to him) unless he is willing to sell at any price below N1.16. Will he
?

People bought dangflour above 16, he sold at 9.5 grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 5:12pm On Dec 23, 2015
locodemy:


what of if they decide to reconstruct the shares later.............ahh! speed on my legs o.........

if you understand reconstruction, you'll understand that it makes no diff, because everything is adjusted proportionately.

Even if you do a 1:100, Aliko will still end up owning 65.7% and I'll still retain my tashere %age

BTW, it would appear that Aliko might be controlling over 75.% of this company
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Intendy: 5:15pm On Dec 23, 2015
ufotty2001:
see wapco.. wapco dey vex... north direction but I wont buy too late
spot on

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 5:51pm On Dec 23, 2015
bigjay01:


if you understand reconstruction, you'll understand that it makes no diff, because everything is adjusted proportionately.

Even if you do a 1:100, Aliko will still end up owning 65.7% and I'll still retain my tashere %age

BTW, it would appear that Aliko might be controlling over 75.% of this company

kai double speed on my legs
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 5:55pm On Dec 23, 2015
angelo82:
Portfolio rebalancing is going on by fund managers,don't sell your shares cheap to them....................

Except you are also rebalancing.....
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 6:02pm On Dec 23, 2015
myjoy084:


Sir, they see what WE don't see. I really miss FO at 245 grin

I dont think they see what we dont see. They simply DECIDE the outcome, because they control the end picture!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProf: 6:12pm On Dec 23, 2015
bigjay01:


I bought based on this rough analysis:

Share outstanding is 5B

Tigerbrands transferred 3.285B (65.7%) to Aliko.

"Subject to regulatory approvals, DIL will provide TBCG with an immediate cash injection of N10 billion. In return, Tiger Brands will
divest its 65.7% shareholding in TBCG to DIL for a nominal consideration and write off its shareholder loans to TBCG. In addition,
Tiger Brands will assume and settle outstanding debt guaranteed on behalf of TBCG."

This roughly implies that Aliko paid ~N3.04/ share (10B/3.285B).

I bought at N1.16, which is about 62% discount to Aliko's price.

Precedents have shown that Aliko is a very shrewd business man, I am willing to hold with him ...

Not a buy or sell recommendation


Atimes companies are just a front for sharing BIG LOOT.
Remember some people collecting over N2b from ONSA while the FRONTING COMPANiES continue to make shareholders cry day, afternoon and commit suicide at night....

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by EDUECO(m): 6:16pm On Dec 23, 2015
The Nigerian Stock Exchange > Media Center > News and Events > Holiday Notice
2
​​Public Holiday Notice
Wednesday, December 23, 2015

The Federal Government of Nigeria has declared 24th , 25th and 28th December 2015 as public holidays to mark this year’s Maolud Nabiy, Christmas Day and Boxing Day respectively. In light of this development, all Exchange facilities nationwide will be closed for business to observe the holidays.

​We will resume normal business operations on Tuesday, 29th December 2015

For further Information, please contact us on +234 700 225 5673 | contactcenter@nse.com.ng |@NSEContact | www.facebook.com/TheNigerianStockExchange
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 7:04pm On Dec 23, 2015
locodemy:


what of if they decide to reconstruct the shares later.............ahh! speed on my legs o.........
You're more at risk of reconstruction in that your oando that is about to suffer the father of equity dilution in the process of raising 80b for debt reduction. Dangflour has only 5b OS, and 5B it will remain because Dangote doesnt do rights issue or any of such schemes by which small investors are wiped out. He funds the expansions without creating new shares.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 8:45pm On Dec 23, 2015
zendi:
You're more at risk of reconstruction in that your oando that is about to suffer the father of equity dilution in the process of raising 80b for debt reduction. Dangflour has only 5b OS, and 5B it will remain because Dangote doesnt do rights issue or any of such schemes by which small investors are wiped out. He funds the expansions without creating new shares.

hmm! i put my last gear..........vuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuummmmm.............seee u post reconstruction of dangote flour or tigerhead or whatsever you call it vum vum vuuuuuuuuuuuuum
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 8:48pm On Dec 23, 2015
angelo82:



Why are you so fascinated to loss making companies?............There are several profit making cheap companies out there............Some billionaires are monkey hunters too.............. grin
Come to think of it, the mighty oando is a loss making company, and the chief of them. But 2 million units of it were sold today. How many units of of nem, cileasing, courteville, all profit making and cheap companies were sold? Likewise, even as they were dumping it, 2 million units of the tigerbrands were taken up by new buyers, and I was surprised it fell only 5%. I'm following it closely to re-enter at a lower roundaboutgrin. A loss making company can generate more market activity than a profit making one depending on the sentiment around the stock. But the golden key remains right entry and right exiting with good luck.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 9:00pm On Dec 23, 2015
zendi:
Come to think of it, the mighty oando is a loss making company, and the chief of them. But 2 million units of it were sold today. How many units of of nem, cileasing, courteville, all profit making and cheap companies were sold? Likewise, even as they were dumping it, 2 million units of the tigerbrands were taken up by new buyers, and I was surprised it fell only 5%. I'm following it closely to re-enter at a lower roundaboutgrin. A loss making company can generate more market activity than a profit making one depending on the sentiment around the stock. But the golden key remains right entry and right exiting with good luck.

you are very correct sir............but vuuuuuuuum is better than statement
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 9:01pm On Dec 23, 2015
locodemy:


hmm! i put my last gear..........vuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuummmmm.............seee u post reconstruction of dangote flour or tigerhead or whatsever you call it vum vum vuuuuuuuuuuuuum
drive with care and, enjoy!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Intendy: 9:03pm On Dec 23, 2015
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Intendy: 9:07pm On Dec 23, 2015
Minimum volume of 50,000 units
is now required to move the price of
all NASD Securities.
All deals on the OTC market will now be restricted to a daily price movement of 10% upward or downward .
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by angelo82: 9:07pm On Dec 23, 2015
zendi:
Come to think of it, the mighty oando is a loss making company, and the chief of them. But 2 million units of it were sold today. How many units of of nem, cileasing, courteville, all profit making and cheap companies were sold? Likewise, even as they were dumping it, 2 million units of the tigerbrands were taken up by new buyers, and I was surprised it fell only 5%. I'm following it closely to re-enter at a lower roundaboutgrin. A loss making company can generate more market activity than a profit making one depending on the sentiment around the stock. But the golden key remains right entry and right exiting with good luck.

Be cautious and I wish you the best of luck........................... grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by myjoy084: 9:20pm On Dec 23, 2015
angelo82:


Be cautious and I wish you the best of luck........................... grin

Sir, wish me luck too as I enter the train on Tuesday (December 29th, 2015) by God's grace grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 9:26pm On Dec 23, 2015
angelo82:


Be cautious and I wish you the best of luck........................... grin
Enjoy! grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 9:28pm On Dec 23, 2015
myjoy084:


Sir, wish me luck too as I enter the train on Tuesday (December 29th, 2015) by God's grace grin grin

train? why enter train when i already dey for my car dey look for who to carry do vuuuuuuum.see tigerhead has a hidden agenda for dangote.fear south Africans when they loose in biz with nigerians.vuuuuuuum.i will buy mine at 0.75k
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by myjoy084: 9:31pm On Dec 23, 2015
locodemy:


train? why enter train when i already dey for my car dey look for who to carry do vuuuuuuum.see tigerhead has a hidden agenda for dangote.fear south Africans when do loose in biz with nigerians.vuuuuuuum.i will buy mine at 0.75k

That is very good of you sir. Don't worry we will see who will come last between oxygen and Dangote (Tigerbrand...)! You are shewing what you can't swallow with oxygen lol
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ihedioramma: 9:36pm On Dec 23, 2015
myjoy084:


Sir, restructuring doesn't mean reverse stock-split grin. Merry Christmas and enjoy your bullish New Year!
i no am only asking if they will play game like unity bank .
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by angelo82: 11:15pm On Dec 23, 2015
myjoy084:


Sir, wish me luck too as I enter the train on Tuesday (December 29th, 2015) by God's grace grin grin

Good luck to you too.............Dont think too much on Skye before entering as am already counting some gains on it.......................Skye always respond at the end of every quarter and I read an article sponsored by their management promising rewards at the end of the year...............Goodluck to everyone in all your endeavors................ grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ibe9ja: 11:20pm On Dec 23, 2015
locodemy:


bros no stock with good fundamental can go below 0.50k even if that rule is applied.i can mention stock like courteville selling at 0.50k but pays dividend regularly and good balance sheets.when i am talking of 50 kobo stocks,i mean stocks with good prospects.just mention some of them you know and leave the due diligence work for me.i am also an expert in this field.

You sound naive in stock market biz

"no stock with good fundamental can go below 0.50k even if that rule is applied"

Re-read and listen to yourself. Do u really know the meaning of good fundamentals? What is a stock with good fundamentals doing at car park in the first place? And if the stock could get to 50kobo and park there permanently with so may offers, why do u think it cannot go below 50kobo if the new rule sets in? Don't be too certain in the stock market.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by myjoy084: 11:47pm On Dec 23, 2015
angelo82:


Good luck to you too.............Dont think too much on Skye before entering as am already counting some gains on it.......................Skye always respond at the end of every quarter and I read an article sponsored by their management promising rewards at the end of the year...............Goodluck to everyone in all your endeavors................ grin

Thank you sir. I got some today towards the end of the market but the volume is not enough though...lol. The stocks has some upsides after my consultation lol. I will try to get some next week for end of the year rally by God's grace or look other way round grin. 2016 looks very promising and rewarding for us all!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by myjoy084: 1:07am On Dec 24, 2015
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Intendy: 7:11am On Dec 24, 2015
ibe9ja:


You sound naive in stock market biz

"no stock with good fundamental can go below 0.50k even if that rule is applied"

Re-read and listen to yourself. Do u really know the meaning of good fundamentals? What is a stock with good fundamentals doing at car park in the first place? And if the stock could get to 50kobo and park there permanently with so may offers, why do u think it cannot go below 50kobo if the new rule sets in? Don't be too certain in the stock market.
don't talk 2 much
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mfunkynation(m): 7:26am On Dec 24, 2015
locodemy:


train? why enter train when i already dey for my car dey look for who to carry do vuuuuuuum.see tigerhead has a hidden agenda for dangote.fear south Africans when they loose in biz with nigerians.vuuuuuuum.i will buy mine at 0.75k
abeg no vex.... stop n carry me along ooo.... someone told that tigerband is not liquid...

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