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China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie - Politics (4) - Nairaland

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Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by jpphilips(m): 3:26pm On Apr 14, 2016
gbens2000:
see the bigger picture our future is about to be mortgaged,the US and China are strong secret allies.the Chinese will gives u services which u will pay with all ur strength,US will give u pleasure which u will pay with ur destiny.my guy there is no greater evil .evil is evil.

Village man, he just wants to talk because others are talking.

3 Likes

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by igwegeorgiano(m): 3:28pm On Apr 14, 2016
karimusa:



I don't know why some people like living in darkness. Open ur brains for once. A president is seeking a way to facilitate trade between the 2 countries and ease the pressure on dollar and some wet brains are still vomiting rubbish...
unfortunately u re sounding like a half baked economist. you just based ur assertion of a lay man's understanding of a serious economic issue which is far beyond ur understanding. i think u are the one with a blurred malfuntioning brain here. soonest u will understand better the negative implications of what ur dullard president has done.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by drss1(m): 3:28pm On Apr 14, 2016
enlightenedmind:


PDP members that cannot define "Foreign Exchange" do they even know what the real economic meaning of "Exchange Rate" is? or they just know what it does?
wetin dis one dey talk. sad

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by TheGoodJoe(m): 3:29pm On Apr 14, 2016
olaztek:

With the poor state of infrastructure and scare resources in nigeria, true federalism cannot work.

I wonder how true Federalism can turn around the economic challenges. I wish someone can break it down.

2 Likes

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by jpphilips(m): 3:29pm On Apr 14, 2016
maupe:

That is China's gameplan. They did same with Zimbabwe, and now Zimbabwe peddles various currencies on their streets, while the Zimbabwe dollar is as worthless as toilet paper. When they struck out Zimbabwe's $40 billion dollar debt, Mugabe was rejoicing, and he thought he was the smarter one Fastforward to present day, and see who is the smart one

Even those who are stuck with NTA are analyzing economy, subjects like this convince me better that either Nairaland is a beehive of kids or majority of Nigerians are M0r0ns

6 Likes

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by sinistermind(m): 3:30pm On Apr 14, 2016
How re you sure they understood the agreement, when the said agreement might have been written in Chinese.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Nobody: 3:31pm On Apr 14, 2016
ElCount:
I ve been asking the question "what will China be getting in return?"
Zombies hv failed to give an answer to this question, China is not running a charity organization and nigeria is not a country anyone can count on to manage that loan properly and China is smart enough to know this so its obvious that they have at least a backup plan which we don't know. China is trying to cement its place as a world power and tilt the balance to their favor if buhari has sold us out well... The consequences are better left imagined hopefully by then the country would hv divided and B14FR4 go dey their own away from this nonsense make una dey shout sai buhari una go follow am go 6 ft under if una no take time

Nigeria gets huge advantages from this deal which by the way is a done deal.
1. China gets to reflate her economy without increasing inflation ( loan in exchange for purchase of goods and services)
2. Nigeria get dollar ( forget those people trying to confuse themselves. China is giving Nigeria dollar, repayable in dollar. China dominates the U.S Treasuries market so dollar isn't an issue for china - they have loads of it
2. Nigeria pushes project risk unto China. Each project must meet specified performance milestones ( nothing like abandoned project)
3. This is the part confusing the writer - Nigeria has held even during GEJ time 7% o it's fx in Chinese Yuan. This has gone up to 10% and nigeria's CBN becomes the Yuan exchange/ access point for Africa. This is huge because 70% of our important are from China so instead of suffering exchange rate loss going from weak dollar to strong Yuan, traders can buy Yuan direct from CBN. In view of the extensive use of this currency in Africa today t provides excellent arbitrage/ commission income to nigeria's CBN
4 yes federalism and diversification are good concepts but Nigeria also needs to bridge it's massive infrastructural deficit and in China it has a good Partner.

All in all, this is a great deal for Nigeria and China and the beginning of an alternative world financial market not solely based on dollars.

Fear not. It's a done deal. Wait for the impact. Tops next 12-18 months.

Respects

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Larryfest(m): 3:32pm On Apr 14, 2016
Wen dem no scam us weytin we acheive?abeg leav mata as e dey joor.....we need serious assistance in dis country nt all dis ova analysis.

1 Like

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by jpphilips(m): 3:33pm On Apr 14, 2016
manny4life:
The proposal does look good on paper, but my question is, if this move is to open trade doors (imports) between both countries, what plans does Nigeria have in place to secure against China's influx of cheap commodity?


China's cheap commodities are already dominating the Nigerian market long before the dollar crunch, turn the back of your TV set and tell me where it was made with proof.

4 Likes

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by TheGoodJoe(m): 3:34pm On Apr 14, 2016
igwegeorgiano:
unfortunately u re sounding like a half baked economist. you just based ur assertion of a lay man's understanding of a serious economic issue which is far beyond ur understanding. i think u are the one with a blurred malfuntioning brain here. soonest u will understand better the negative implications of what ur dullard president has done.

Please, as a full baked economist, tell us how we should relieve the pressure on the dollars in our reserves, apart from doing these deals.

How are we going to develop our infrastructure? How would we boost job creation and diversify our economy?

These deals kills all these birds with one stone.

So, proffer your alternative.

2 Likes

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Chukzyfcb(m): 3:35pm On Apr 14, 2016
Everyrone keeps talking about how this move will reduce pressure on dollars. Even the report says 90% of Int'l trade in Nigeria is done in dollars, but nobody is asking
Why then has pounds and euro risen this high?
Coz despite the fact we'v been dealing with dollars, the exchange rate of Euro"s and Pounds has also gone wayyyy High. How does this move help euros and pounds? Coz everybody is just mentioning dollars! Dollars!! Dollars!!!
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by jpphilips(m): 3:36pm On Apr 14, 2016
TheGoodJoe:


Two billion can not even do it. That is why you guys miss it. The Railway Project runs into Billions of dollars. What about the Plants and refineries?

How much do you think it will cost to build a standard refinery?

When the Refineries are completed, it will also take a chunk from our labor market.

Is there any other way out? Remember, the America you want us to continue dealing with owes China.

The U.S. debt to China is $1.238 trillion, as of January 2016.

$16T if you add bonds
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by manny4life(m): 3:36pm On Apr 14, 2016
TheGoodJoe:


The Yuan swap deal is a major win. It is worth every good deal we get out of them. It gives their currency massive strength and circulation. Especially, Nigeria being an economic hub for many African countries.

Their construction companies get to expand and have strong bases with Nigeria and get consistent supply of construction work.

Their exportation increases because most of the materials will come from there. Note, without the deal, most of the products will still come from China.

It gives their currency massive strength, how about the Nigeria currency? Please explain how this deal strengthen Nigerian currency or yet, be beneficial to our currency considering that Nigeria's "import" doors would be wide open.

I don't have a problem with the construction benefits but I believe that any successful nation can get any of this which makes be believe that this is NOT about benefits, rather an internal problem.

Even without this deal, Nigerians have always imported from China, I fail to see what difference this is gonna make. I mean ask yourself, why would I import raw materials whereas it's cheaper to import it "by pennies" from China? Exactly, even without this deal, most of our products will come from China, the only difference is that (1) It's official and (2) products will no longer be bought using $$$$ but rather, in Yuan. Anyone can now import from China because even our banks will now be trading in Yuan. Heck, Yuan is about to be the second currency after $$$. I'm yet to be convinced this is good for Nigeria.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by gbens2000(m): 3:38pm On Apr 14, 2016
TheGoodJoe:


Two billion can not even do it. That is why you guys miss it. The Railway Project runs into Billions of dollars. What about the Plants and refineries?

How much do you think it will cost to build a standard refinery?

When the Refineries are completed, it will also take a chunk from our labor market.

Is there any other way out? Remember, the America you want us to continue dealing with owes China.

The U.S. debt to China is $1.238 trillion, as of January 2016.
brotherly I can bet you China will Neva build a refinery in nigeria.china had been doing projects in this country before u and I were born.i AV worked with the Chinese many honestly those guys are worst than us they see us as slaves am never shy or afraid to air my views against them and NOTE.the US AND CHINA ARE STRONG ALIES.gbam I rest my case here.

1 Like

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by jpphilips(m): 3:38pm On Apr 14, 2016
igwegeorgiano:
unfortunately u re sounding like a half baked economist. you just based ur assertion of a lay man's understanding of a serious economic issue which is far beyond ur understanding. i think u are the one with a blurred malfuntioning brain here. soonest u will understand better the negative implications of what ur dullard president has done.

After typing 3 lines you still have no clue what the phantom implication is, damn you guys!
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by heo88(m): 3:39pm On Apr 14, 2016
ticker:



https://mobile.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1052689368126246&substory_index=0&id=378378918890631&refid=7&_ft_=qid.6273342050025209960%3Amf_story_key.9015994599598537311&__tn__=%2As

With much respect to Max Amuchie, he said it himself, he is no financial expert and his contribution should be taken with a pinch of salt.

Unfortunately the full terms of the loan aren't revealed which naturally will give rise to plenty of speculation. Consequently, I will try to keep my own assessment as brief as possible (please be patient, it is a worthwhile read).

China and the US have a rather interesting relationship in the sense that China's growth in the past 30 or so years and their population size, poses a threat to the US' erstwhile hegemony in global politics. Part of this can be seen by China wanting the dollar as the World reserve currency to be substituted with a basket of different reserve currencies i.e. the dollar, yuan, euro, dirham etc.

For a truncated history on why the dollar is the reserve currency globally, this happened courtesy of a conference at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, yankee, between the 1st and 20th July 1944. At the time the likes of France, UK, US, Germany etc were recovering from the Great depression of the 1930s and as a result had resorted to playing games with each other to have stronger economies, such as repeatedly devaluing their currencies to make their exports cheaper (otherwise known as a race to the bottom).

For any of you that know a bit about modern history (i.e. past 300-600 years), Nigeria, Ghana, Sierra Leone, Gambia etc, were part of Britain and so their agric output and other commodities counted as part of Britain's collective output. The US was the strongest economy globally at the time and this meant they exported more than they imported, also known as a trade account surplus. Through Henry Morgenthau (US Secretary of the Treasury/modern day equivalent of Kemi Adeosun), they forced through the dollar as the world reserve currency, fixed the exchange rate of all the western countries and pegged to them to the dollar then this was pegged to the price of gold (until the oil crisis of 1973), meaning that if any country had problems funding their budgets and/or were importing much more than they were exporting, then the IMF (International Monetary Fund), would bail them out with certain conditions, using the dollar.

The reason I typed the above was to state that much of the actions of 1944, still hold until today. China's arrival as a global power challenges this, and by providing funding to Nigeria using Yuan as the method of repayment, they're using this to gradually increase the circulation/dependency of the yuan globally in the hope that a reliance on the dollar will reduce at the same time.

Time will tell if this strategy will work, but yes the demand for the dollar is still relatively constant because ALL countries around the world are invariably dependent on it as part of the management of their imports/exports and/or receiving bail out funds/loans, but this doesn't mean that the status quo will remain going forward. On the contrary, if this works, Nigeria's dependence on the dollar will contract and China, I believe will be offering Nigeria more favourable terms that the US wouldn't or couldn't (to maintain their global power). Honestly, I am awaiting developments with baited breath but if this works, it may well be a good thing for Nigeria and an economic recovery can happen quicker.

For the avoidance of doubt, I am politically non-partisan and only offering a balanced Economist's view.

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Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by TheGoodJoe(m): 3:40pm On Apr 14, 2016
jpphilips:


$16T if you add bonds

I did not know that. That is crazy.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Austin234(m): 3:40pm On Apr 14, 2016
The positive side is only for d time being. I see doom on d long run


Oma307:
U are on point but we have to look at the positive side also
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Godmann(m): 3:40pm On Apr 14, 2016
ElCount:
I ve been asking the question "what will China be getting in return?"
Zombies hv failed to give an answer to this question, China is not running a charity organization and nigeria is not a country anyone can count on to manage that loan properly and China is smart enough to know this so its obvious that they have at least a backup plan which we don't know. China is trying to cement its place as a world power and tilt the balance to their favor if buhari has sold us out well... The consequences are better left imagined hopefully by then the country would hv divided and B14FR4 go dey their own away from this nonsense make una dey shout sai buhari una go follow am go 6 ft under if una no take time

China benefits by pushing their currency to the world. China and Russia want to stop Dollar from being the world major currency reserve. They also Benefits by displacing the West from the Businesses in Nigeria. They are in competition with Europe and America. That is why they are coming with better offers.

Also China don't have no colonial or Neo-colonial goals like Europe and America. China don't interfere in other countries political affairs like teh West who go about killing other people's leaders and manipulating elections in order to be incharge.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by BrainnewsNg(f): 3:41pm On Apr 14, 2016
sammyj:
According to one of my colleagues words let them deliver first. Imagine how far we would have developed if the past administrations has taken advantage of this opportunity!!! cool wink

imagine. Thank you
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by manny4life(m): 3:41pm On Apr 14, 2016
jpphilips:



China's cheap commodities are already dominating the Nigerian market long before the dollar crunch, turn the back of your TV set and tell me where it was made with proof.

It has, and I am not disputing that... My argument is weighing the pros and cons. Yes we have seen the pros, are you saying there are no cons?
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by adeade2016: 3:41pm On Apr 14, 2016
Kylekent59:
Na customize scam b dis. I also knw what dey are planning. Cus at first Nigerians will be rejoicing but it has an effect also. Pdp members just dey laugh on dis one.

PDP are laughing they meet $1@#20 left it @ #200 this are the people who manage Nigeria when we earn the highest revenue in our history still no major infrastructure built for 16years,but average pdp member becomes millionnaira yet the people are suffering.however not that l agree with every action of the present govt but at least we are making a paradigm shift from where we to try something else,like the popular saying does thing the same way and expected different report is stupidity so let try another way,if the result is worst then we can revert ,but don't condemn what you have not tried let the result speak
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by george4CHRIST(m): 3:42pm On Apr 14, 2016
SamuelAnyawu:
We Igbos are okay with Buhari on this positive move
which we igbos my friend speak for yourself, the igbos are not interested in buhari issues.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Barcholder: 3:43pm On Apr 14, 2016
jpphilips:


Even those who are stuck with NTA are analyzing economy, subjects like this convince me better that either Nairaland is a beehive of kids or majority of Nigerians are M0r0ns

You should be careful about insulting others and their understanding of economic matters, because, I can tell you that his post is absolutely on point. That's exactly what's happening here. This is a terrible move on the part of our Government, and I'm very happy to debate this point with anyone. This is a field of expertise for me, and I dare say that I understand far more about it than post.

There, so challenge my assertions and lets have an open debate.

1 Like

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by DedeNkem: 3:44pm On Apr 14, 2016
That was my point earlier! China is digging Nigeria into a big hole because we've id*iots in leadership positions.

China is gradually taking over Nigeria.

Where is Nigerian Jerry Rawlings when we need him. Things are getting worse by the day!
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by george4CHRIST(m): 3:46pm On Apr 14, 2016
SamuelAnyawu:
We Igbos are okay with Buhari on this positive move
which we igbos, my friend speak for yourself igbos are not interested in any buhari issue.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Guyman02: 3:46pm On Apr 14, 2016
worksmart:
Scam us ?
Has the west not been scamming us for decades?
How have we progressed with western partnership and loans?

China even if they scam us could be no worst than what we are already experiencing through our decades of partnership with the West.

You make sense. The West has actually scammed us for years, my suggestion should be for us to really shine our eyes and not TRUST China fully on this loan. The devil is always in the details.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by Nobody: 3:49pm On Apr 14, 2016
TheGoodJoe:



Till now, I can not see the logic in what you are saying. Dealing with the Chinese government means more infrastructure for us,using there professional Construction companies.

Dealing with the US means lack of infrastructural development like we have had for ages.

Please how is lacking infrastructure a better deal
.

1. You can not see logic, because there is no logic is applying for a loan, that you can not diversify the expense. The chinese government, will present list of chinese companies to handle the construction jobs in Nigeria and Chinese Citizens will handle the field jobs except labourers. The materials for the construction will be shipped from China, shipping paid to China and money remains in China. Lets say, Chinese company buy steel 5 Yuan and chose to capture 10 Yuan in the quotation, is there an independent auditor ? Must be chinese. So your $2b might actually mean $1b in real cost. So, China takes the away $1b in profit, plus interest, plus added employment to her citizens. What does Nigeria get ? Chinese infrastructure that is worst than Julius Berger can construct.

That is logic, I hope you see it.

2. Do I need to explain further that Chinese government consistently devalue their currency, manipulates it in such a way that it favors them, so your 30 Naira to Yuan today, might become 300 Yuan tomorrow, the sharp increase in value will attributed to high demand in Yuan even though no physical money moves in this trade deal.

I love the fact that USD to Naira rate will fall due to less demand, but then, that is a mirage if the value of Yuan will go up. Except value of Yuan stays low, then the purpose is defeated, cos importers wouldnt be needing dollars.

This is logic, see it.

3. The Chinese are at trade war with America, Yes. And we have become another pawn in the games of Chess, I hope we survive.

1 Like

Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by manny4life(m): 3:52pm On Apr 14, 2016
If Nigerians cannot see beyond the pro, then we have a serious problem ahead. Yall should brace up, in the next three years, the Yuan will be Nigeria's official currency.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by TheGoodJoe(m): 3:52pm On Apr 14, 2016
manny4life:


It gives their currency massive strength, how about the Nigeria currency? Please explain how this deal strengthen Nigerian currency or yet, be beneficial to our currency considering that Nigeria's "import" doors would be wide open.

I don't have a problem with the construction benefits but I believe that any successful nation can get any of this which makes be believe that this is NOT about benefits, rather an internal problem.

Even without this deal, Nigerians have always imported from China, I fail to see what difference this is gonna make. I mean ask yourself, why would I import raw materials whereas it's cheaper to import it "by pennies" from China? Exactly, even without this deal, most of our products will come from China, the only difference is that (1) It's official and (2) products will no longer be bought using $$$$ but rather, in Yuan. Anyone can now import from China because even our banks will now be trading in Yuan. Heck, Yuan is about to be the second currency after $$$. I'm yet to be convinced this is good for Nigeria.


The question is, how does this deal diversifies our economy.

Without much made public about the deals, the most important thing is the development of our Refineries. Some people will not notice that if we produce refined products in large capacity, we can become a Petroleum products exporting country.

We also have a large demand for Petrol in our country and when the refineries are functioning, our dependence on Petrol importation will reduce.

We are also going to have partnership deals that will boost our exportation of solid raw materials.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by peacecoy: 3:52pm On Apr 14, 2016
BiafranNigerian:
Chinese are smarter than the jews these days. The Chinese prints their fake Yuan and searches for countries for so called trade deals, and signs agreements to change Yuan to dollars. From fake manipulated money to dollars.

Chinese give loan, but only chinese company must be awarded contract for the construction, and you must buy from only china. But if America gives u loan, you can buy from any country and you can open the bid for any country's company to bid.If Chinese 'fake' their currency and your point of contact with them is payment for goods and services tell how you are adversely affected? Chinese manipulate yuan ,come off it is IMF, WTO not actually western manipulations. The $ all mighty is highest form of manipulation of which we remain helpless Boy wake up western loans,aids are always tied to debilitating conditionalities ,go and
read the book How eurupe underdevelop Africa.
Re: China Plans To Scam Nigeria - Max Amuchie by TheGoodJoe(m): 3:55pm On Apr 14, 2016
BiafranNigerian:


1. You can not see logic, because there is no logic is applying for a loan, that you can not diversify the expense. The chinese government, will present list of chinese companies to handle the construction jobs in Nigeria and Chinese Citizens will handle the field jobs except labourers. The materials for the construction will be shipped from China, shipping paid to China and money remains in China. Lets say, Chinese company buy steal 5 Yuan and chose to capture 10 Yuan in the quotation, is there an independent auditor ? Must be chinese. So your $2b might actually mean $1b in real cost. So, China takes the away $1b in profit, plus interest, plus added employment to her citizens. What does Nigeria get ? Chinese infrastructure that is worst than Julius Berger can construct.

That is logic, I hope you see it.

2. Do I need to explain further that Chinese government consistently devalue their currency, manipulates it in such a way that it favors them, so your 30 Naira to Yuan today, might become 300 Yuan tomorrow, the sharp increase in value will attributed to high demand in Yuan even though no physical money moves in this trade deal.

I love the fact that USD to Naira rate will fall due to less demand, but then, that is a mirage if the value of Yuan will go up. Except value of Yuan stays low, then the purpose is defeated, cos importers wouldnt be needing dollars.

This is logic, see it.

3. The Chinese are at trade war with America, Yes. And we have become another pawn in the games of Chess, I hope we survive.

From which report did you derive that Julius Berger have produced better infrastructure than Chinese Construction companies?

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