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5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Joel3(m): 9:23pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
Friends: I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.” Never in my life have I wanted to be proven wrong more than I do right now. I can see what you’re doing right now. You’re shaking your head wildly - “No, Mike, this won’t happen!” Unfortunately, you are living in a bubble that comes with an adjoining echo chamber where you and your friends are convinced the American people are not going to elect an idiot for president. You alternate between being appalled at him and laughing at him because of his latest crazy comment or his embarrassingly narcissistic stance on everything because everything is about him. And then you listen to Hillary and you behold our very first female president, someone the world respects, someone who is whip-smart and cares about kids, who will continue the Obama legacy because that is what the American people clearly want! Yes! Four more years of this! You need to exit that bubble right now. You need to stop living in denial and face the truth which you know deep down is very, very real. Trying to soothe yourself with the facts - “ 77% of the electorate are women, people of color, young adults under 35 and Trump cant win a majority of any of them! “ - or logic - “ people aren’t going to vote for a buffoon or against their own best interests! “ - is your brain’s way of trying to protect you from trauma. Like when you hear a loud noise on the street and you think, “oh, a tire just blew out,” or, “wow, who’s playing with firecrackers?” because you don’t want to think you just heard someone being shot with a gun. It’s the same reason why all the initial news and eyewitness reports on 9/11 said “a small plane accidentally flew into the World Trade Center.” We want to - we need to - hope for the best because, frankly, life is already a shit show and it’s hard enough struggling to get by from paycheck to paycheck. We can’t handle much more bad news. So our mental state goes to default when something scary is actually, truly happening. The first people plowed down by the truck in Nice spent their final moments on earth waving at the driver whom they thought had simply lost control of his truck, trying to tell him that he jumped the curb: “Watch out!,” they shouted. “There are people on the sidewalk!” Well, folks, this isn’t an accident. It is happening. And if you believe Hillary Clinton is going to beat Trump with facts and smarts and logic, then you obviously missed the past year of 56 primaries and caucuses where 16 Republican candidates tried that and every kitchen sink they could throw at Trump and nothing could stop his juggernaut. As of today, as things stand now, I believe this is going to happen - and in order to deal with it, I need you first to acknowledge it, and then maybe, just maybe, we can find a way out of the mess we’re in. Don’t get me wrong. I have great hope for the country I live in. Things are better. The left has won the cultural wars. Gays and lesbians can get married. A majority of Americans now take the liberal position on just about every polling question posed to them: Equal pay for women - check. Abortion should be legal - check. Stronger environmental laws - check. More gun control - check. Legalize marijuana - check. A huge shift has taken place - just ask the socialist who won 22 states this year. And there is no doubt in my mind that if people could vote from their couch at home on their X-box or PlayStation, Hillary would win in a landslide. But that is not how it works in America. People have to leave the house and get in line to vote. And if they live in poor, Black or Hispanic neighborhoods, they not only have a longer line to wait in, everything is being done to literally stop them from casting a ballot. So in most elections it’s hard to get even 50% to turn out to vote. And therein lies the problem for November - who is going to have the most motivated, most inspired voters show up to vote? You know the answer to this question. Who’s the candidate with the most rabid supporters? Whose crazed fans are going to be up at 5 AM on Election Day, kicking ass all day long, all the way until the last polling place has closed, making sure every Tom, Dick and Harry (and Bob and Joe and Billy Bob and Billy Joe and Billy Bob Joe) has cast his ballot? That’s right. That’s the high level of danger we’re in. And don’t fool yourself — no amount of compelling Hillary TV ads, or outfacting him in the debates or Libertarians siphoning votes away from Trump is going to stop his mojo 1. Midwest Math, or Welcome to Our Rust Belt Brexit. I believe Trump is going to focus much of his attention on the four blue states in the rustbelt of the upper Great Lakes - Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Four traditionally Democratic states - but each of them have elected a Republican governor since 2010 (only Pennsylvania has now finally elected a Democrat). In the Michigan primary in March, more Michiganders came out to vote for the Republicans (1.32 million) that the Democrats (1.19 million). Trump is ahead of Hillary in the latest polls in Pennsylvania and tied with her in Ohio. Tied? How can the race be this close after everything Trump has said and done? Well maybe it’s because he’s said (correctly) that the Clintons’ support of NAFTA helped to destroy the industrial states of the Upper Midwest. Trump is going to hammer Clinton on this and her support of TPP and other trade policies that have royally screwed the people of these four states. When Trump stood in the shadow of a Ford Motor factory during the Michigan primary, he threatened the corporation that if they did indeed go ahead with their planned closure of that factory and move it to Mexico, he would slap a 35% tariff on any Mexican-built cars shipped back to the United States. It was sweet, sweet music to the ears of the working class of Michigan, and when he tossed in his threat to Apple that he would force them to stop making their iPhones in China and build them here in America, well, hearts swooned and Trump walked away with a big victory that should have gone to the governor next- door, John Kasich. From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my friends, is the middle of England - broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class. Angry, embittered working (and nonworking) people who were lied to by the trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by Democrats who still try to talk a good line but are really just looking forward to rub one out with a lobbyist from Goldman Sachs who’ll write them nice big check before leaving the room. What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here. Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER! And this is where the math comes in. In 2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. Add up the electoral votes cast by Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It’s 64. All Trump needs to do to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do, the swath of traditional red states from Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And that will put him over the top. This is how it will happen in November. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Joel3(m): 9:24pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
2. The Last Stand of the Angry White Man .
Our male-dominated, 240-year run of the
USA is coming to an end. A woman is
about to take over! How did this happen?!
On our watch! There were warning signs, but
we ignored them. Nixon, the gender traitor,
imposing Title IX on us, the rule that said
girls in school should get an equal chance
at playing sports. Then they let them fly
commercial jets. Before we knew it,
Beyoncé stormed on the field at this year’s
Super Bowl (our game!) with an army of
Black Women, fists raised, declaring that
our domination was hereby terminated! Oh,
the humanity!
That’s a small peek into the mind of the
Endangered White Male. There is a sense
that the power has slipped out of their
hands, that their way of doing things is no
longer how things are done. This monster,
the “Feminazi,”the thing that as Trump
says, “bleeds through her eyes or wherever
she bleeds,” has conquered us — and now,
after having had to endure eight years of a
black man telling us what to do, we’re
supposed to just sit back and take eight
years of a woman bossing us around? After
that it’ll be eight years of the gays in the
White House! Then the transgenders! You
can see where this is going. By then
animals will have been granted human
rights and a fuckin’ hamster is going to be
running the country. This has to stop! 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Joel3(m): 9:30pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
3. The Hillary Problem. Can we speak
honestly, just among ourselves? And before
we do, let me state, I actually like Hillary -
a lot - and I think she has been given a bad
rap she doesn’t deserve. But her vote for
the Iraq War made me promise her that I
would never vote for her again. To date, I
haven’t broken that promise. For the sake
of preventing a proto-fascist from becoming
our commander-in-chief, I’m breaking that
promise. I sadly believe Clinton will find a
way to get us in some kind of military
action. She’s a hawk, to the right of
Obama. But Trump’s psycho finger will be
on The Button, and that is that. Done and
done.
Let’s face it: Our biggest problem here isn’t
Trump - it’s Hillary. She is hugely
unpopular — nearly 70% of all voters think
she is untrustworthy and dishonest. She
represents the old way of politics, not really
believing in anything other than what can
get you elected. That’s why she fights
against gays getting married one moment,
and the next she’s officiating a gay
marriage. Young women are among her
biggest detractors, which has to hurt
considering it’s the sacrifices and the
battles that Hillary and other women of her
generation endured so that this younger
generation would never have to be told by
the Barbara Bushes of the world that they
should just shut up and go bake some
cookies. But the kids don’t like her, and not
a day goes by that a millennial doesn’t tell
me they aren’t voting for her. No Democrat,
and certainly no independent, is waking up
on November 8th excited to run out and
vote for Hillary the way they did the day
Obama became president or when Bernie
was on the primary ballot. The enthusiasm
just isn’t there. And because this election
is going to come down to just one thing —
who drags the most people out of the
house and gets them to the polls — Trump
right now is in the catbird seat. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Joel3(m): 9:31pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
4. The Depressed Sanders Vote . Stop fretting about Bernie’s supporters not voting for Clinton - we’re voting for Clinton! The polls already show that more Sanders voters will vote for Hillary this year than the number of Hillary primary voters in ‘08 who then voted for Obama. This is not the problem. The fire alarm that should be going off is that while the average Bernie backer will drag him/herself to the polls that day to somewhat reluctantly vote for Hillary, it will be what’s called a “depressed vote” - meaning the voter doesn’t bring five people to vote with her. He doesn’t volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up to the election. She never talks in an excited voice when asked why she’s voting for Hillary. A depressed voter. Because, when you’re young, you have zero tolerance for phonies and BS. Returning to the Clinton/Bush era for them is like suddenly having to pay for music, or using MySpace or carrying around one of those big-ass portable phones. They’re not going to vote for Trump; some will vote third party, but many will just stay home. Hillary Clinton is going to have to do something to give them a reason to support her — and picking a moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old white guy as her running mate is not the kind of edgy move that tells millenials that their vote is important to Hillary. Having two women on the ticket - that was an exciting idea. But then Hillary got scared and has decided to play it safe. This is just one example of how she is killing the youth vote. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Joel3(m): 9:33pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
5. The Jesse Ventura Effect. Finally, do not
discount the electorate’s ability to be
mischievous or underestimate how any
millions fancy themselves as closet
anarchists once they draw the curtain and
are all alone in the voting booth. It’s one of
the few places left in society where there
are no security cameras, no listening
devices, no spouses, no kids, no boss, no
cops, there’s not even a friggin’ time limit.
You can take as long as you need in there
and no one can make you do anything. You
can push the button and vote a straight
party line, or you can write in Mickey Mouse
and Donald Duck. There are no rules. And
because of that, and the anger that so
many have toward a broken political
system, millions are going to vote for
Trump not because they agree with him, not
because they like his bigotry or ego, but
just because they can. Just because it will
upset the apple cart and make mommy and
daddy mad. And in the same way like when
you’re standing on the edge of Niagara
Falls and your mind wonders for a moment
what would that feel like to go over that
thing, a lot of people are going to love
being in the position of puppetmaster and
plunking down for Trump just to see what
that might look like. Remember back in the
‘90s when the people of Minnesota elected
a professional wrestler as their governor?
They didn’t do this because they’re stupid
or thought that Jesse Ventura was some
sort of statesman or political intellectual.
They did so just because they could.
Minnesota is one of the smartest states in
the country. It is also filled with people who
have a dark sense of humor — and voting
for Ventura was their version of a good
practical joke on a sick political system.
This is going to happen again with Trump.
Coming back to the hotel after appearing
on Bill Maher’s Republican Convention
special this week on HBO, a man stopped
me. “Mike,” he said, “we have to vote for
Trump. We HAVE to shake things up.” That
was it. That was enough for him. To “shake
things up.” President Trump would indeed
do just that, and a good chunk of the
electorate would like to sit in the bleachers
and watch that reality show.
(Next week I will post my thoughts on
Trump’s Achilles Heel and how I think he
can be beat.)
ALSO: http://www.alternet.org/
election-2016/michael-moores-5-reasons-
why-trump-will-win
Yours,
Michael Moore http://www.huffpost.com/us/entry/11156794 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Nobody: 10:51pm On Aug 27, 2016 |
Where's my money-doubling priend - Lucasbalo & that Hezbollah's most wanted Jewish clown - ValerianSteel ? 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by ValerianSteel(m): 12:36am On Aug 28, 2016 |
Zoharariel:We don't do stupid in America I'll LOL at this post.Dream on. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Lucasbalo(m): 12:42am On Aug 28, 2016 |
ValerianSteel:You are absolutely right. No need answering fools that don't know diddly square about America . 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by ValerianSteel(m): 5:57am On Aug 28, 2016 |
Lucasbalo:If these morons know history well,they'll understand Trump is a reincarnation of the likes of Goldwater who lost badly on a landslide victory for Johnson(Zohri,you might wanna Google that).Goes to show there was no room for people like that 50years ago,there's absolutely none for them this year.We will prove at the polls that Love trumps Hate. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by Lucasbalo(m): 8:17am On Aug 28, 2016 |
ValerianSteel:The Trampy one is even worse than Barry Goldwater in the sense that Goldwater was a believer in conservatism unlike the bigoted demagogue. The Bozo clowns supporting Mr Racist don't know how things work in US. We will put them out of their miseries on November 8 when tens of millions of Americans will vote to make Hillary Clinton the President Elect. 1 Like |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by fineboynl(m): 10:22am On Nov 10, 2016 |
the prediction was accurate. |
Re: 5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Will Win by fineboynl(m): 10:22am On Nov 10, 2016 |
Joel3 have been vindicated... |
(1) (Reply)
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