Liebermantic:
SE,SS, and NC are under the control of PDP..

NE where Atiku comes from should also vote for their own..

Lagos, Ekiti, Kaduna and Jigawa's votes will be shared between PDP and APC..

Atiku should just concentrate his campaign on NW and NE..If he can get 40% votes there, he has already won!

OfficialAwol:
Lamido/Obi ticket will send him back faster

OfficialAwol:
Lamido/Obi ticket will send him back faster

Liebermantic:
SE,SS, and NC are under the control of PDP..

NE where Atiku comes from should also vote for their own..

Lagos, Ekiti, Kaduna and Jigawa's votes will be shared between PDP and APC..

Atiku should just concentrate his campaign on NW and NE..If he can get 40% votes there, he has already won!

cstr1000:

That is the real thing. Atiku needs to focus on the north. That is where all the work is.

A PDP candidate will win the south hands down any-day. The north is another matter.

Mynd44:

1. SS/SE: Buhari will get more votes than he did in 2015 from these zones. It is the Nigerian way. Politiciand will decamp, money to throw around, logistics bla bla bla. Think Edo, Bayelsa, Cross Rivers and Anambra(the deal with Obiano)

2. NC: Buhari will win Nassarawa, FCT, Niger and Kwara. It is not a matter of sentiments but only Saraki can swing Kwara and even at that it is limited. As for Nassarawa, FCT and Niger states……you need to go there to understand.

Kogi, Benue and Plateau. If the APC can separate Yahaya Bello from Buhari (it is not the same election season) the stand a chance
Benue, he will get 40% which will be nunber from those who are not farmers and the likes.
Plateau, he will lose but he still wins the NC

3. Core North: Apart from Taraba and Gombe, I dont see Atiku putting up a fight in the core North. You have states where this guy is worshipped (even if he fails). The NE will vote him due to the progress against boko Haram, you have Kebbi and Sokoto not to mention the 3 Ks

4. SW: APC Can't get 70% from the SW for now but if Wike keeps running his mouth, there wont be anyone to lead them to the SW. Note that the APC is also scheming.
Fayose wont be a governor anymore too

LasGidiOwner:
Buhari start writing your handover note.


SE & SS already in the bag for PDP

NC has always been PDP. The Fulani massacre of these people will push them to vote PDP massively. IBB and Abdusalami are the strongest forces in the NC.

Core North shall be divided between PDP and APC on 50/50 basis.

SW will go to APC 70% and PDP 30%.

Generally Nigerians are dissatisfied with the poor performance of this administration and wish that they return them to the pre-2015 politico-economic situation.


#PDP is declared the winner.

IamPatriotic:
God keep us all alive till, 2019 presidential election will be the most one sided election in the history of presidential elections in Nigeria, whoever PDP field can only get 25% of the total valid votes cast, provided Buhari and Osibanjo faces and party logo are on the ballot papers.

Mynd44:

1. SS/SE: Buhari will get more votes than he did in 2015 from these zones. It is the Nigerian way. Politiciand will decamp, money to throw around, logistics bla bla bla. Think Edo, Bayelsa, Cross Rivers and Anambra(the deal with Obiano)

2. NC: Buhari will win Nassarawa, FCT, Niger and Kwara. It is not a matter of sentiments but only Saraki can swing Kwara and even at that it is limited. As for Nassarawa, FCT and Niger states……you need to go there to understand.

Kogi, Benue and Plateau. If the APC can separate Yahaya Bello from Buhari (it is not the same election season) the stand a chance
Benue, he will get 40% which will be nunber from those who are not farmers and the likes.
Plateau, he will lose but he still wins the NC

3. Core North: Apart from Taraba and Gombe, I dont see Atiku putting up a fight in the core North. You have states where this guy is worshipped (even if he fails). The NE will vote him due to the progress against boko Haram, you have Kebbi and Sokoto not to mention the 3 Ks

4. SW: APC Can't get 70% from the SW for now but if Wike keeps running his mouth, there wont be anyone to lead them to the SW. Note that the APC is also scheming.
Fayose wont be a governor anymore too

Mynd44:



I hope you will be the one to thumb print

LasGidiOwner:



Do you doubt the fact that Atiku and Buhari shall share the northern votes 50/50?

toniok:
OP has forgotten that pmb will never allow the massive rigging that happen in Rivers state, Delta state and all SE in 2015. Then he had no base in these areas . It was incidence form everywhere . In 2019 the game will be different , such huge figures from SS and SE will not be again. Remember our people hardly see any need to come out and vote.

globemoney:

You think wike is concerned about Presidential election?

Liebermantic:
SE,SS, and NC are under the control of PDP..

NE where Atiku comes from should also vote for their own..

Lagos, Ekiti, Kaduna and Jigawa's votes will be shared between PDP and APC..

Atiku should just concentrate his campaign on NW and NE..If he can get 40% votes there, he has already won!

Mynd44:
Kindergarten analysis but then again……

Tonyebarcanista did the same in 2015

LasGidiOwner:



Nwanne you cancelled my comment? I dey fear oo.

globemoney:
LasGidiOwner, I didnt know it was your post. Sorry..(post deleted) I was in a hurry to comment.. But from the look of things, do you think wike cares about PDP winning presidency because I think Wike is all about securing his second term. WHat do you think

globemoney:

I didn't see the name.. hehehe.. soryy, was in a hurry

LasGidiOwner:



No wahala nwanne..I no say you didn't see it.

As for Wike, he is serious about PDP returning to Aso Rock besides him securing his grounds in Rivers State.

Mynd44:

The only person that can share Kano votes (not the North Oyo) is Kwankwaso.

Did y'all learn from 2015?

LasGidiOwner:


Please query each of the points with facts based on present realities.

LasGidiOwner:



Atiku shall take 50% of votes in Kano.

docadams:


Time has shown that they never learnt and will likely never will. And by the way why dissuade them from what gives them orgasm.

Mynd44:

The only person that can share Kano votes (not the North Oyo) is Kwankwaso.

Did y'all learn from 2015?

samstradam:


Great analysis, but let me add my tuppence:

1.SE/SS : 100% correct. Buhari will definitely get more votes in every state in that region compared to 2015 but don't expect him to win any state there except maybe Edo.

2. NC: Atiku could probably win the 3 "Christian" states like GEJ but not much else. I also agree that if Yahaya Bello keeps performing poorly PDP could do well in Kogi.

3.Core North: Atiku will lose every state in the C

globemoney post=63156701:
I'm afraid, PDP has lost 2019!

ore North including his own, Adamawa. I have already given him a chance in Taraba in point 2.

4. SW: Unless Atiku chooses a Yoruba VP he will lose every state including Ekiti that GEJ won. But like Mynd rightly put APC will get less than 70% of the total votes.

Summary, Buhari will at least equal 2015 but more likely do better than it against a PDP Atiku.