TheBureau:
These eight states, Bauchi, Gombe, Jigawa, Kano, Katsina, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara have consistently back President Buhari in all the presidential elections, with the exception of the that conducted in 2007 which many considered to be highly flawed.

Together, the number of PVC accredited voted in those states alone amount to nearly 8 million, a third of the nation’s total, handing the President an advantage going in the 2019 elections, if the trend should continue.

8 million is also equivalent to the total number of PVCs issued out in all the South East, South South and South West, as well as half of that given out in the North Central, North East and North West.

WisdomFlakes:
Surely 2019 won't be as easy as 2015 was for Buhari. He will most likely lose a few states he won the last time around, especially in the NC. If things continue at the rate they are going, he may just lose reelection because he keeps losing followers and supporters by the day, or so it seems. The NC and SW will be very critical to his reelection ambition because his traditional Northern base seems somewhat in tact. It's going to be tough for him. But I think he is beatable.

CilicMarin:


It will be landslide for Buhari in 2019, trust me. The Governors in the South South/South East, with exception of Wike, (that supposed to be working against Buhari) are all working for the reelection of President Buhari, because of their own reelection survivals.

Presidential elections are always predictable in Nigeria. There is no surprises here. Just wait till PDP announces their candidate, then you will surely know, Buhari is still very popular.

The real politicking is in 2023, when the power rotation shifts to the South.

WisdomFlakes:


I don't think he will win by a landslide, if at all he ends up winning (which is a likely scenario). GEJ's electoral defeat should be a fitting case-study, considering how the combination of his power of incumbency, federal might, and unprecedented financial war-chest still failed him in the end. 2019 is still very pregnant my friend. A lot can still happen. The ruling party faces a potential and likely implostion which may result as a fallout of their upcoming convention, irrespective of which camp emerges from the power struggle. I don't see the likes of Saraki and Kwankwaso remaining in the APC by early next year, let alone support Buhari's reelection. More political realignments and reapproachments are still coming. As for the SE/SS (with the exception of maybe Edo) I think you overestimate the influence of their governors in swaying votes in Buhari's favour because the two zones dislike for Buhari is just too deepseated and entrenched especially in the grassroots. For me, even without a PDP candidate, the outcome of the 2019 presidential election is still 'too close to call' even at this point.

enlady:
I also believe the journey to 2019 is loaded with suprises

WisdomFlakes:


I don't think he will win by a landslide, if at all he ends up winning (which is a likely scenario). GEJ's electoral defeat should be a fitting case-study, considering how the combination of his power of incumbency, federal might, and unprecedented financial war-chest still failed him in the end. 2019 is still very pregnant my friend. A lot can still happen. The ruling party faces a potential and likely implostion which may result as a fallout of their upcoming convention, irrespective of which camp emerges from the power struggle. I don't see the likes of Saraki and Kwankwaso remaining in the APC by early next year, let alone support Buhari's reelection. More political realignments and reapproachments are still coming. As for the SE/SS (with the exception of maybe Edo) I think you overestimate the influence of their governors in swaying votes in Buhari's favour because the two zones dislike for Buhari is just too deepseated amd entrenched especially in the grassroots. For me, even without a PDP candidate, the outcome of the 2019 presidential election is still 'too close to call' even at this point.