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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 12:09pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri: Value traded so far today is about 700m. This one worse pass Mushin people. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:10pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Champion Brew - not d best in terms of liquidity for me - SP back at a long term support / demand area within a range mkt - wt some +ve rsi & macd div sig bearish fatigue - cud form a triple bottom in wks to come .. who knows any thots ? https://invst.ly/7qeb5 #JustObserving |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:13pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Wapco - analyst says sell , chart didn't get d memo #RandomJives |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by fxuser: 12:15pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Access - breaking below last weak close ! - d 3 of dem can't hold above n11 #movingOn |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Ekpoma25: 12:50pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
5 Ways a Fed Rate Hike Could Impact Emerging Markets BY JUSTIN KUEPPER The Federal Reserve has a tremendous impact on the U.S. stock market through its various monetary policy tools. But few investors realize its impact on the global financial markets through the valuation of the U.S. dollar. Since the dollar is a global reserve currency, changes in its valuation can have a tremendous impact on everything from foreign reserves at global central banks to corporate balance sheets containing dollar-denominated debt. Here are five ways the Federal Reserve could impact emerging markets and what it means for investors in these markets. 1. Rise in Corporate Defaults Many emerging market companies have benefited from low U.S. interest rates by borrowing in dollars and repaying debt with stronger local currencies. According to the Bank for International Settlements, there was about $1.1 trillion in dollar-denominated bonds issued by non-bank emerging market companies outstanding in Q3 2015 compared to just $509 billion at the end of 2008 – a significant increase during a period of low-interest rates. Higher U.S. interest rates could make these debts more difficult to service. For example, Brazil’s currency fell to record lows against the dollar in 2015, which made it difficult for companies generating revenue to repay debt in U.S. dollars. These increased costs could lead to a wave of corporate defaults that could hurt the emerging market corporate bond market and ETFs like the iShares Emerging Markets Corporate Bond ETF (CEMB). 2. Lower Foreign Investment Many emerging markets have seen significant foreign direct investment since the 2008 global financial crisis. With U.S. and European bond yields at record lows, investors flocked into higher yielding emerging market stocks and bonds to bolster their portfolios yields. These emerging market economies became reliant on this steady increase in foreign investment to drive economic growth and witnessed significant expansion over the past several years. Higher interest rates could draw more investors back to the U.S. and spark an outflow of capital from emerging markets. This lower foreign investment could put the brakes on economic growth in many economies that rely on such investments. The so-called Fragile Five economies have been deemed the most vulnerable to this kind of downturn – Turkey, Brazil, India, South Africa, and Indonesia – and warrant particularly close attention. 3. Falling Currency Values Many emerging markets have experienced a significant appreciation in their currencies. For example, the USD/ZAR currency pair rose from less than 10.00 in 2012 to a high of 17.00 in January 2016 as the U.S. dollar depreciated against the South African rand. South Africa was able to leverage this increase in its currency valuation to borrow more U.S. dollars to finance various growth initiatives and increase government spending. The bad news is that the rand – and other emerging market currencies – have already started to fall amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates. These dynamics could make it more difficult for countries like South Africa to repay their dollar-denominated debts – the same issue faced by many private companies. The only solution may be to let its currency fall in value, which could help exports but hurt investment. 4. Sovereign Rating Pressure Many emerging market governments took advantage of low U.S. interest rates to borrow in U.S. dollars. For example, South Africa borrowed heavily when the dollar was low and used the proceeds to help finance its growth and budgetary needs. These dynamics helped many emerging markets outperform over the past several years, but the strategy could come back to haunt them when the dollar rises in value and these debts become more expensive. South Africa has one of the largest external financing requirements in the world, which means that its currency reserves are smaller than the amount needed to service its foreign debt and pay for imports. These dynamics could lead to a lower credit rating and higher borrowing cost moving forward if the U.S. dollar appreciates in value. A higher borrowing cost could make it more difficult to obtain the funding needed to invest in growth. 5. Lower Dollar Commodities Many emerging market economies are reliant on commodities to drive their economic growth. For instance, Brazil and Russia depend heavily on crude oil and natural gas prices, while Chile and Peru rely extensively on copper and other hard commodities. Commodity prices have risen over the past several years since they are priced in U.S. dollars and more dollars were required to purchase the same ‘value’ of commodities, putting a higher dollar value on them. If the dollar rises in value, these dynamics could reverse and commodities could see further downward pressure. This is bad news for emerging markets because most commodities are sold in U.S. dollars, which means that they will generate less revenue in real terms. Less revenue could translate to slower growth and lower valuations for commodity-focused companies operating in these key emerging market economies. The Bottom Line The Federal Reserve has a significant impact on domestic markets, but many investors fail to realize it's equally important impact on foreign markets. Emerging markets are particularly vulnerable to these changes in interest rates and the dollar’s valuation relative to local currencies. The upshot is that the Federal Reserve has acknowledged this and does incorporate global concerns into its monetary policy decisions – but that doesn’t mean it won’t have an impact. 3 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yom2(m): 1:26pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
when did aiico left first registrars to united securities? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lafencer: 1:57pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
As regards the TOE companies, there have been huge volumes of late. First, it was UBA, then AFRIPUD, now its UCAP. TRANSCORP seems to be TOEing in that direction too. . Any thoughts please? 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 2:10pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
lafencer: Baba T wan retire lol |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yom2(m): 2:14pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Ekpoma25:did they raise it by what percentage? is it up to 10%? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 2:20pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
lafencer:UBA just like zenith and gtb will most likely pay an interim dividend of 25k which gives a better return when compared to zenith and gtb. In the case of transcorp, it appears to be grossly underpriced when you consider q1 result. UCAP just got a new CEO who happens to be the resigning managing director of Afriprud. On afriprud, my ogas at the top should just got ell us |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by cdieli(m): 2:35pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Old wines have taken cover. I just love the NSE it humbles |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 2:38pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Mpeace: That Peter Ashade na correct guy, very pro-shareholders Ucap on my rather for December 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by musty00: 2:42pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Hmm.....Dangote Cement performed a last minute James Bond recovery magic today. If not.... |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 3:18pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Breakout alert.........Honeywell Disclosure; heavy here |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 3:30pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
cdieli:You this newbie self, you go chop fine o. The old wines are very much with us, only that some dont see any value in investing in the market for now. 'Caution' is their watch word and as some of us dey prove stubborn and we tanda for market, na so dem siddon for their mattresses dey look us. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 3:31pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri:Agba yarn us better info na. Wetin dey happen or better still, wetin dey break there? |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 3:37pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri: Last second deal. That's not a breakout to me shaaa. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by musty00: 3:42pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri: So na individual BULL dey reign now |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 3:44pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Mcy56: Maybe na virginity Consult mendes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 3:47pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
mendes911:You this guy self. Wouldnt you allow that old wine transmit faith in peace? As per say na only him defy the meeting resolution and entered the market with his mattress, oh sorry pillowcase. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by musty00: 3:48pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
This week traded sideways as expected. We're still here. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 3:50pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Mcy56: Don't be deceived ooo. Agba is not with you. He's only trapped and looking for a way out. LOL. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 3:51pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri: When virginity break, na blood go full the street. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 3:53pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Two largest crude oil producers face each other now in World cup Hope crude price will not crash |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 4:02pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
mendes911:*Cover my eyes* I refused to be corrupted by Mendes. ..but abeg no dey mention that b word again. E no good for our market biko. Na bull with horn we dey expect. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mendes911: 4:15pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
I hope Sir Loco got more than enough Zenith Bank shares today. |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 4:35pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
cdieli: seems you don’t know them.. go and read from 2016 to 2017 you’ll see the most of the “old wines” have been quiet since the start of bear this year not because they were humbled but because they made hell of money and could not talk again Now wey the money don dey reduce you’ll be seeing their post.. if not for the same people that have been posting since February this place would have been so boring. And you are lucky to not have witnessed the “old wines” caught in the bear bear saga you for no dey open this site again. Only 2 were caught in the mess and these were their language “ Thunder fire you” “F***k you” 1 Like |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by musty00: 4:39pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 4:39pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
Agbalowomeri: Wehdone sir.. I don turn my portfolio to long term.. I can not come and go and die because of one bull wey no gree come 2 Likes |
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 4:42pm On Jun 14, 2018 |
I just need zenith not to go below 25 till next year |
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