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Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 - Business (3868) - Nairaland

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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
If you want to play over in basketball, go to Philippines.
Those guys can play over anything.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godmademan(m): 1:04pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:
THE CONCEPT OF BUILT IN OVER ROUND PROFIT IN ODDS

For some time now, I have been looking for a way to choose likely games that will end or over 1.5 and this method I am about to share is kinda making sense and looks promising (only if you choose fewer games ).

For every odd for a selection the bookie introduces an in built profit margin to cover against any loss. This profit margin known as overround is from say 3% to 7%. But surprisingly, you will see margins up to the tune of 10.sumthing%. We are interested only in games such as this. What this means that one, the original odd value has been slashed by 10% and two, the bookmaker stands to make 10% of any stake placed on the odds regardless of the final outcome (WON OR LOST). So how do we calculate the over round in the first place. Consider a game to end either or NG.

Odd for is A (A represnts whatever fvcking value given such as 1.5, 1.4....etc..the same for B too).
Odd for NG is B

To calculate the inbuilt overround margin the bookie introduced into this odds to his own advantage, we simply do this

(100/A) + (100/B). Add up what you get and substract 100 from the final result. Now if the final result is 3.4 for example, this means the original odds were slashed by 3.4% to produce final odds of A and B and that regardless of the outcome of the match (whether it is o or NG o), the bookie will make 3.4% on all stakes (for both and NG). That is their in house advantage.

Now imagine you calculated an over round of 10% for a particular game, what this is telling you is that the original odds set has been slashed by 10%, because the bookie perceives that the game will likely be a banker and if lots of bettors stake on this game with the original odds, then they should get ready for a massive payout to their loss. so they tweak it. Now i suggest picking lower odds in any two way markets (such as /NG, Over 1.5/Under 1.5. I will avoid a three way market like 1X2). the lower the odds the better only after you have calculated over round to be 10% or higher.

I tried doing this today and got this result mind you with no game analysis. strictly using the above method

B912SPAPTSASPP-4353704

If three games can be picked like this these, win rate will be huge. If you know, you know. GOODLUCK
I experimented with this..
B953SPAEREEARW-1570548

Please make corrections as applies
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:07pm On Jul 04, 2018
iRepMyCity:


fortunately it’s only the C part I can solve, remind me tomorrow evening to fund you something.

Yes sire! I'm never forgetting it. Lemme put alarm for it straight away sef.

Thank you lots!
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by einsteine(m): 1:15pm On Jul 04, 2018
Taidi:
South Korea - K-League 2
Match: Gwangju FC Vs Seoul E-Land FC
Time: 12:00
Tips: 0-0(Correct Scores)half-time
Odd: 4.00
Safe.......100%

Bet9ja removed the first half correct score

Village headmaster. First half nor even reach midway before this tip burst.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by einsteine(m): 1:20pm On Jul 04, 2018
Twisting:


It's not possible, if they keep on progressing they'll meet at the semifinals

Nope.

The winner of England vs Sweden will play the winner of croatia vs russia.

The winner of Brazil vs belgium will play the winner of France vs Uruguay.

So, they can meet in the final, although I expect England to bow out in the 1/4 finals.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Unclesamo(m): 1:23pm On Jul 04, 2018
can somebody explain wat is wrong with this Singapore league??
Chaii
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by fashrola(m): 1:24pm On Jul 04, 2018
No Tie-break

3 Games (Wimbledon)

2CA2K (1xbet)

28+ Odds

Picked based on instinct...

Stake low

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:26pm On Jul 04, 2018
promisious:


Finally a winner this week..

Settle the boyz nah cry

My worst week in betting..
hahahaa.settle the boys for how much win na? on top 5k wey no even reach me do anything?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 1:29pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:
Z7FZMKWB

1Xbet users sharp 5 odds.
Good luck to us.
that bet9ja code comprises of 15games how sure is it?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 1:31pm On Jul 04, 2018
Godmademan:
I experimented with this.. B953SPAEREEARW-1570548
Please make corrections as applies
casted
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by promisious: 1:31pm On Jul 04, 2018
AccessME:
hahahaa.settle the boys for how much win na? on top 5k wey no even reach me do anything?

You are just lucky I swear..

Chop ur cash ooo.

Let me die in peace.. grin
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by enjay1(m): 1:37pm On Jul 04, 2018
Godmademan:
I experimented with this..
B953SPAEREEARW-1570548

Please make corrections as applies
sorry, bet bursted by the first game.....there really is no hard and fast rule to betting success.....

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 1:38pm On Jul 04, 2018
Unclesamo:


Chaiiii....Young man , young man...as in
just be careful oooo.
j just hope my Und 3.5 in d other slip just come tru ...
u better start to pray seriously o make them no score again

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:40pm On Jul 04, 2018
Godrocks:
that bet9ja code comprises of 15games how sure is it?

Everything look sure until it greens.

I just played mine with N100.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by iRepMyCity(m): 1:41pm On Jul 04, 2018
locust:


Yes sire! I'm never forgetting it. Lemme put alarm for it straight away sef.

Thank you lots!

you’re welcome.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Unclesamo(m): 1:43pm On Jul 04, 2018
Godrocks:
u better start to pray seriously o make them no score again

seriously broda...
Singapore just did d needful with ov o.5 & under in first half..
I hope it ends lik dis.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:46pm On Jul 04, 2018
I no play dem o....... I just book am for anybody wey wan try luck
6 odds
5 odds

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:47pm On Jul 04, 2018
See me see yesterday.......i no kuku still play am cry cry cry

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:54pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:
THE CONCEPT OF BUILT IN OVER ROUND PROFIT IN ODDS

For some time now, I have been looking for a way to choose likely games that will end or over 1.5 and this method I am about to share is kinda making sense and looks promising (only if you choose fewer games ).

For every odd for a selection the bookie introduces an in built profit margin to cover against any loss. This profit margin known as overround is from say 3% to 7%. But surprisingly, you will see margins up to the tune of 10.sumthing%. We are interested only in games such as this. What this means that one, the original odd value has been slashed by 10% and two, the bookmaker stands to make 10% of any stake placed on the odds regardless of the final outcome (WON OR LOST). So how do we calculate the over round in the first place. Consider a game to end either or NG.

Odd for is A (A represnts whatever fvcking value given such as 1.5, 1.4....etc..the same for B too).
Odd for NG is B

To calculate the inbuilt overround margin the bookie introduced into this odds to his own advantage, we simply do this

(100/A) + (100/B). Add up what you get and substract 100 from the final result. Now if the final result is 3.4 for example, this means the original odds were slashed by 3.4% to produce final odds of A and B and that regardless of the outcome of the match (whether it is o or NG o), the bookie will make 3.4% on all stakes (for both and NG). That is their in house advantage.

Now imagine you calculated an over round of 10% for a particular game, what this is telling you is that the original odds set has been slashed by 10%, because the bookie perceives that the game will likely be a banker and if lots of bettors stake on this game with the original odds, then they should get ready for a massive payout to their loss. so they tweak it. Now i suggest picking lower odds in any two way markets (such as /NG, Over 1.5/Under 1.5. I will avoid a three way market like 1X2). the lower the odds the better only after you have calculated over round to be 10% or higher.

I tried doing this today and got this result mind you with no game analysis. strictly using the above method

B912SPAPTSASPP-4353704

If three games can be picked like this these, win rate will be huge. If you know, you know. GOODLUCK
I am still trying to understand this, seriously!

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godmademan(m): 1:56pm On Jul 04, 2018
enjay1:

sorry, bet bursted by the first game.....there really is no hard and fast rule to betting success.....
yea I knew that before posting. Just need clarifications if I picked wrongly based on his principle
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 1:59pm On Jul 04, 2018
einsteine:


2.5 odds daily requires a 40% win rate to break even. So, you were on the right track with 4 wins in 7 days. If you could continue like that, in 70 days, you would win 40 times and lose 30 times. That is, a profit of 300,000 Naira after 70 bets, assuming you bet 10,000 per bet. Profit here is a function of the odds, win rate and the amount staked. Maybe it didn't amount to anything cos you staked small or you staked larger amounts for the lost bets. Stake the same amount per bet.
I think the best way is to try rollover.. Maybe 2.5odds per 2days rolling over.. The odds wld surge and viola, ur made.

Success in betting requires huge capital as I have come to notice..

Who has 1million they are not using again.. I promise to give u 2.5million after 2 months

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 2:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
Goldenval was the owner of this ponzi sha.. I lost 50k dia.. Dey created it June last year and it crashed 6days after or so...

How do yhey sleep at night sef?

Choi.. I pray karma visit u ppl and nt ur children instead cos.. Seems karma loves visiting generations instead
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 2:06pm On Jul 04, 2018
one of my neighbours started betting before the world cup and he usually staked big the man don lose tire I d one corner d laugh am alabi don deal with am

5 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 2:07pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:


Everything look sure until it greens.

I just played mine with N100.
do u really understand those teams and that sport
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Ganjafama(m): 2:08pm On Jul 04, 2018
Who send me go add old mama Venus Williams to my games? I even thought it was Serena. She has lost the first set.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nini1: 2:10pm On Jul 04, 2018
Jay95:

Please I lost my phone n ur contact.
I need to chat you up on WhatsApp

OK bro.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by EmekaBlue(m): 2:10pm On Jul 04, 2018
B941SPASPWAWWE-1305002

grin




I don resume. Even to find money outside bet na war.

Something must kill a man.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by BUGOFF(m): 2:15pm On Jul 04, 2018
Here We Go, Again.
Finland. Rops ~ Ilves = HT X @1.90
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 2:20pm On Jul 04, 2018
Godrocks:
do u really understand those teams and that sport

I test run them yesterday.

That's snooker, Pesapallo and cricket.

I noticed snooker hardly play draw.
The odd works there too.

Pesapallo too.

Cricket is all about history and form.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 2:20pm On Jul 04, 2018
EmekaBlue:
B941SPASPWAWWE-1305002
grin



I don resume. Even to find money outside bet na war.
Something must kill a man.
Green grin ;C

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by BUGOFF(m): 2:21pm On Jul 04, 2018
Lhimeet Bobo. Welkom Back.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Bigmex: 2:23pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:
THE CONCEPT OF BUILT IN OVER ROUND PROFIT IN ODDS

For some time now, I have been looking for a way to choose likely games that will end or over 1.5 and this method I am about to share is kinda making sense and looks promising (only if you choose fewer games ).

For every odd for a selection the bookie introduces an in built profit margin to cover against any loss. This profit margin known as overround is from say 3% to 7%. But surprisingly, you will see margins up to the tune of 10.sumthing%. We are interested only in games such as this. What this means that one, the original odd value has been slashed by 10% and two, the bookmaker stands to make 10% of any stake placed on the odds regardless of the final outcome (WON OR LOST). So how do we calculate the over round in the first place. Consider a game to end either or NG.

Odd for is A (A represnts whatever fvcking value given such as 1.5, 1.4....etc..the same for B too).

Odd for NG is B

To calculate the inbuilt overround margin the bookie introduced into this odds to his own advantage, we simply do this

(100/A) + (100/B). Add up what you get and substract 100 from the final result. Now if the final result is 3.4 for example, this means the original odds were slashed by 3.4% to produce final odds of A and B and that regardless of the outcome of the match (whether it is o or NG o), the bookie will make 3.4% on all stakes (for both and NG). That is their in house advantage.

Now imagine you calculated an over round of 10% for a particular game, what this is telling you is that the original odds set has been slashed by 10%, because the bookie perceives that the game will likely be a banker and if lots of bettors stake on this game with the original odds, then they should get ready for a massive payout to their loss. so they tweak it. Now i suggest picking lower odds in any two way markets (such as /NG, Over 1.5/Under 1.5. I will avoid a three way market like 1X2). the lower the odds the better only after you have calculated over round to be 10% or higher.

I tried doing this today and got this result mind you with no game analysis. strictly using the above method

B912SPAPTSASPP-4353704

If three games can be picked like this these, win rate will be huge. If you know, you know. GOODLUCK

All i have been saying will illustrate with this game to be played today

FK Radnik Surdulica - OFK Backa Palanka

for this game is 1.48

NG for this game is 2.35 (NB both odds and game are of bet9ja. odds arent the same on other bet exchanges and therefore over round differs)

ok so we want to calculate what percentage bet9ja will make on all stakes on this game regardless the outcome. i.e whether it is or NG
this profit is their in-house edge or advantage which is commonly referred to as OVER ROUND or VIG. ok lets go:

(100/1.48) + (100/2.35)...whatever you get subsstract 100 from it. Now after doing that your overround should be 10.1207 or thereabout.

What this means is that one, the original odd for was reduced by 10.12% to arrive at 1.48 and the original odd for NG was reduced by 10.12% to arrive at 2.35. Second it means whatever option people will stake their money on, bet9ja will make 10.12% off the stakes as their commission. Now the original odd for and NG before it was reduced (i.e the odds reflecting the expected outcome of the match) was 1.64 and 2.61 respectively. this means that without adding their own commisssion, the chances this game will end is about 61% and to end NG is about 38%.

so I will choose to bet on the game ending because the margin by which the original odds were slashed is 10% (very higher than normal margins used)

8 Likes 2 Shares

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