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Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 - Business (3870) - Nairaland

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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by arukwe123(m): 3:25pm On Jul 04, 2018
Fixed Match Finland League VPS - TPS Tip: 1-0 (Correct Score) Stake heavily Goodluck
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Unclesamo(m): 3:28pm On Jul 04, 2018
just need to call u here..can't reply on ur page..GOLDENVAL.

I've been light on this note from onset.
Observations...
1)U claim to know Industrialchemi very well ...I.e U are aware of d biz she runs.
2) There av been links abt who she is and who she's pretending to be ..even with nairaland proofs.
But U kept mute.. not helping frnds here to help us clear dat Identity.
3) More scam proofs came out abt her old monickers and her scam act.
Yet...U kept mute. U still even contact her to fund some persons..
4) She was called out to deny d full serial's abt her name..she just laff it off bliving no one can do anything.
u were aware f dis...

She claimed to be ur sister from anoda mama, U allowed it pass... still maintaining connection.

SHOW ME Ur FRIEND........

From d onset I perceive d love u had for dis Group... Can't U just tell Who industrialchemi really his.

All dis drama is just putting little stains on dat garment f Urs..

Think of it...

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:31pm On Jul 04, 2018
arukwe123:
Fixed Match Finland League VPS - TPS Tip: 1-0 (Correct Score) Stake heavily Goodluck
Come this boy.
You dey mad?
na you fix am?

11 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Chiefheywhy(m): 3:31pm On Jul 04, 2018
Unclesamo:
just need to call u here..can't reply on ur page..GOLDENVAL.

I've been light on this note from onset.
Observations...
1)U claim to know Industrialchemi very well ...I.e U are aware of d biz she runs.
2) There av been links abt who she is and who she's pretending to be ..even with nairaland proofs.
But U kept mute.. not helping frnds here to help us clear dat Identity.
3) More scam proofs came out abt her old monickers and her scam act.
Yet...U kept mute. U still even contact her to fund some persons..
4) She was called out to deny d full serial's abt her name..she just laff it off bliving no one can do anything.
u were aware f dis...

She claimed to be ur sister from anoda mama, U allowed it pass... still maintaining connection.

SHOW ME Ur FRIEND........

From d onset I perceive d love u had for dis Group... Can't U just tell Who industrialchemi really his.

All dis drama is just putting little stains on dat garment f Urs..

Think of it...

Oga keep shut and stop making noise.

If you don't have prove to nail goldenval, let us hear word.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:32pm On Jul 04, 2018
Unclesamo:
just need to call u here..can't reply on ur page..GOLDENVAL.

I've been light on this note from onset.
Observations...
1)U claim to know Industrialchemi very well ...I.e U are aware of d biz she runs.
2) There av been links abt who she is and who she's pretending to be ..even with nairaland proofs.
But U kept mute.. not helping frnds here to help us clear dat Identity.
3) More scam proofs came out abt her old monickers and her scam act.
Yet...U kept mute. U still even contact her to fund some persons..
4) She was called out to deny d full serial's abt her name..she just laff it off bliving no one can do anything.
u were aware f dis...

She claimed to be ur sister from anoda mama, U allowed it pass... still maintaining connection.

SHOW ME Ur FRIEND........

From d onset I perceive d love u had for dis Group... Can't U just tell Who industrialchemi really his.

All dis drama is just putting little stains on dat garment f Urs..

Think of it...


Some many sense here man.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:34pm On Jul 04, 2018
Chiefheywhy:


Oga keep shut and stop making noise.

If you don't have prove to nail goldenval, let us hear word.

Common keep quite too.

He made so much sense there.

19 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:34pm On Jul 04, 2018
austino677:
hehehe alabi go get money to pay us all that hustled for winning odds cheesy
Happy birthday dear
All d best wishes
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Chiefheywhy(m): 3:35pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:


Common keep quite too.

He made a opion there.
Baseless..
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Chiefheywhy(m): 3:41pm On Jul 04, 2018
If you want to accuse someone, open another thread for that thrash and stop derailing this thread. What rubbish is all this.

Everybody feels he/she can just come out to start ranting here, some gullible people will believe anything they read here. What sort of nonsense is this.

This thread is related to sport, if anybody scam you, bring your proof, efcc thread has been created, go and report the person there. Enough of all these bullshit.


CC : Puskin, mynd44, Dominique.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by arukwe123(m): 3:42pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:


Come this boy.

You dey mad?

na you fix am?

E be like swear dey follow you and

I call your name before i post am abi Na wetin konsign you. In fact Thunder fire you.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Unclesamo(m): 3:45pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:

Common keep quite too.
He made so much sense there.
I can't go so low to reply dat KID.
I just hope GOLDENVAL help to clear all this if he's FULLY clean. more answers are in his hands...I hope he ponders on it.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by 1realBobby(m): 3:47pm On Jul 04, 2018
justwiseass:


Except you don add juju join am. No be so all of us here dey talk bout World Cup? How many of us have won millions now?
baba make season reach first, you go see me in action. from the onset, i already knew world cup would be bloody.. i didn't see any sense in anybody expecting to win millions in a tournament where most of the teams have good players, but have not been playing in synergy. the league is more predictable if we can put our head down and reflect on where we got it wrong before...

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:50pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:


All i have been saying will illustrate with this game to be played today

FK Radnik Surdulica - OFK Backa Palanka

for this game is 1.48

NG for this game is 2.35 (NB both odds and game are of bet9ja. odds arent the same on other bet exchanges and therefore over round differs)

ok so we want to calculate what percentage bet9ja will make on all stakes on this game regardless the outcome. i.e whether it is or NG
this profit is their in-house edge or advantage which is commonly referred to as OVER ROUND or VIG. ok lets go:

(100/1.48) + (100/2.35)...whatever you get subsstract 100 from it. Now after doing that your overround should be 10.1207 or thereabout.

What this means is that one, the original odd for was reduced by 10.12% to arrive at 1.48 and the original odd for NG was reduced by 10.12% to arrive at 2.35. Second it means whatever option people will stake their money on, bet9ja will make 10.12% off the stakes as their commission. Now the original odd for and NG before it was reduced (i.e the odds reflecting the expected outcome of the match) was 1.64 and 2.61 respectively. this means that without adding their own commisssion, the chances this game will end is about 61% and to end NG is about 38%.

so I will choose to bet on the game ending because the margin by which the original odds were slashed is 10% (very higher than normal margins used)
I think with this analogy, your method still utilizes the bookie's probability on the expected outcomes despite the fact that you have been able to subtract the bookie's margin from it.
If you are able to generate your own probability independent of the bookie's probability, and calculate the expected value based on the odds given, I think you can have a positive EV (expected value) for such odds making it more profitable than following the bookie's probability.
What do you think?

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by pu7pl3(m): 3:54pm On Jul 04, 2018
All this una scam talk no dey ever end?

Nobody is even punting here mtchew

Please if someone scammed you carry your L and go sucker...stop coming here ranting

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 3:59pm On Jul 04, 2018
4odds

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by justwiseass: 4:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
1realBobby:
baba make season reach first, you go see me in action. from the onset, i already knew world cup would be bloody.. i didn't see any sense in anybody expecting to win millions in a tournament where most of the teams have good players, but have not been playing in synergy. the league is more predictable if we can put our head down and reflect on where we got it wrong before...

Well said!
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Addme: 4:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
chewbacca:


remaining Kiki Berten’s to green wink
That girl na confirm babe,she gave a scare in the first set losing 3 straight games.See how she is disgracing her opponent now.

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Godrocks: 4:05pm On Jul 04, 2018
Addme:
That girl na confirm babe,she gave a scare in the first set losing 3 straight games.See how she is disgracing her opponent now.
money in the bank
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 4:15pm On Jul 04, 2018
Chiefheywhy:
If you want to accuse someone, open another thread for that thrash and stop derailing this thread. What rubbish is all this.

Everybody feels he/she can just come out to start ranting here, some gullible people will believe anything they read here. What sort of nonsense is this.

This thread is related to sport, if anybody scam you, bring your proof, efcc thread has been created, go and report the person there. Enough of all these bullshit.


CC : Puskin, mynd44, Dominique.

As simple as that.

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by yehmy(m): 4:16pm On Jul 04, 2018
Na only me they see what is abt happening in this club friendly today



Rain of goals is coming, starting 5pm

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by chidiezeh(m): 4:21pm On Jul 04, 2018
yehmy:
Na only me they see what is abt happening in this club friendly today

Goals scarce

30mins they still day play eye glasses after playing over 2.5
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by yehmy(m): 4:23pm On Jul 04, 2018
chidiezeh:

Goals scarce
Wait till the nxt set of games will be starting grin
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 4:24pm On Jul 04, 2018
5odds
Be grateful grin

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 4:28pm On Jul 04, 2018
FRoosevelt:
I think with this analogy, your method still utilizes the bookie's probability on the expected outcomes despite the fact that you have been able to subtract the bookie's margin from it.
If you are able to generate your own probability independent of the bookie's probability, and calculate the expected value based on the odds given, I think you can have a positive EV (expected value) for such odds making it more profitable than following the bookie's probability.
What do you think?
Just lookat dis wan ehnn.. wat is diswan saying
Broda y nw
Wat happened to your martingale rules habi na method??
Goan use yur own probability oya go

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by yehmy(m): 4:32pm On Jul 04, 2018
Free 4odds


Club friendly

Wehen vs Worms - over3.5 @1.95


Union berlin vs Chemnitizer - over3.5 @2.05



total odds 4.00

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by vampire2020: 4:35pm On Jul 04, 2018
chiefheywhy please do check your mail, just had access to the mail, that's why it took me time to reply,my sincere apology
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by industrialchemi: 4:39pm On Jul 04, 2018
cheesy cheesy cheesy
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by TissuePaper: 4:40pm On Jul 04, 2018
Sugaarh:

Just lookat dis wan ehnn.. wat is diswan saying
Broda y nw
Wat happened to your martingale rules habi na method??
Goan use yur own probability oya go
I think he's trying to juxtapose the expected outcome with the probable result but then again we should take into cognisance the fact that the bookmakers usually employ the reverse psychology technique to rip bettors of their stakes

It's a good one nevertheless smiley
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by kaso0(m): 4:43pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:
THE CONCEPT OF BUILT IN OVER ROUND PROFIT IN ODDS

For some time now, I have been looking for a way to choose likely games that will end or over 1.5 and this method I am about to share is kinda making sense and looks promising (only if you choose fewer games ).

For every odd for a selection the bookie introduces an in built profit margin to cover against any loss. This profit margin known as overround is from say 3% to 7%. But surprisingly, you will see margins up to the tune of 10.sumthing%. We are interested only in games such as this. What this means that one, the original odd value has been slashed by 10% and two, the bookmaker stands to make 10% of any stake placed on the odds regardless of the final outcome (WON OR LOST). So how do we calculate the over round in the first place. Consider a game to end either or NG.

Odd for is A (A represnts whatever fvcking value given such as 1.5, 1.4....etc..the same for B too).
Odd for NG is B

To calculate the inbuilt overround margin the bookie introduced into this odds to his own advantage, we simply do this

(100/A) + (100/B). Add up what you get and substract 100 from the final result. Now if the final result is 3.4 for example, this means the original odds were slashed by 3.4% to produce final odds of A and B and that regardless of the outcome of the match (whether it is o or NG o), the bookie will make 3.4% on all stakes (for both and NG). That is their in house advantage.

Now imagine you calculated an over round of 10% for a particular game, what this is telling you is that the original odds set has been slashed by 10%, because the bookie perceives that the game will likely be a banker and if lots of bettors stake on this game with the original odds, then they should get ready for a massive payout to their loss. so they tweak it. Now i suggest picking lower odds in any two way markets (such as /NG, Over 1.5/Under 1.5. I will avoid a three way market like 1X2). the lower the odds the better only after you have calculated over round to be 10% or higher.

I tried doing this today and got this result mind you with no game analysis. strictly using the above method

B912SPAPTSASPP-4353704

If three games can be picked like this these, win rate will be huge. If you know, you know. GOODLUCK
.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by BUGOFF(m): 4:44pm On Jul 04, 2018
BUGOFF:
Here We Go, Again.
Finland. Rops ~ Ilves = HT X @1.90
Vps Vs. Tps = HT X/ Und1.5
*
Sjk Vs. Lahti = HT X. Safe = . Risky = 1-1 Cs FT. Crazy = & X.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 4:46pm On Jul 04, 2018
Sugaarh:
Just lookat dis wan ehnn.. wat is diswan saying Broda y nw Wat happened to your martingale rules habi na method?? Goan use yur own probability oya go
wink

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