INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

were aticulating 14m +10m+18m+7m.......buhari and others can keep the change

With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

It is not the same as number of eligible voters by ethnicity. We all know a sizeable number of voters in some regions belong to non-indigenes

As if that will stop election rigging

I

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

Now can you remind me what percentage of the votes Buhari and GEJ got in Lagos in 2015?

SE people are mostly outside their territories, no city in Nigeria except borno state without a considerable % of S. east people.

For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

[s]

biafranation:
For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

[/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw how it ended for you.

It's not the number of registered voters that matters as much as number of collected PVCs.

How anyone still nurse the feelings that Atiku will win president buhari still remain a mystery to me.

With the above, there is no way atiku will win that man.

PassingShot:
[s][/s]
Sorry for canceling you out but it's annoying repeating this nonsense which has not translated to any electoral victory for you guys.

You said this in 2015 and we saw hot it ended for you.

I hope you realized that Atiku is also a northerner and a Muslim? 2015 was the only Presidential election Buhari won and not the only one he contested

ashacot:
How anyone still nurse the feelings that Atiku will win president buhari still remain a mystery to me.

With the above, there is no way atiku will win that man.

So what is your point exactly? Atiku will not get votes from the north because he is Igbo?

Atiku needs to sell himself to the South West to win the election.

biafranation:
For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

mycar:
SE people are mostly outside their territories, no city in Nigeria except borno state without a considerable % of S. east people.

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?

nice

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

PaChukwudi44:

I hope you realized that Atiku is also a northerner and a Muslim? 2015 was the only Presidential election Buhari won and not the only one he contested

Buhari has always scored beyond what Atiku has ever scored in his outing in 2007.

In 2007, PMB got 6,605,299 votes to Atiku's 2,637,848 votes.

In 2011, PMB got 12,214,853 votes.

In 2015, PMB defeated Atiku, Kwankwaso and others in the primaries despite their dollars. He later went on to win with over 15 million votes and that figure is sure to climb in 2019.

The most Atiku will get in 2019 will be 8 million votes and he will be permanently retired from politics.

Mark this post, the North will use the opportunity to tell Atiku that he's not liked and not wanted.

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

over 50% of Igbos live outside their zone, they know and have confirmed but don't want to believe. Forget all those threats, we all know people are not and cannot be compelled anywhere to vote for a person they dont want .

Ozibe:

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

well said

alexvatt:
Atiku needs to sell himself to the South West to win the election.

I totally agree because these westerners are in a trance. They follow like sheep. because obj had issues with atiku theyre all suddenly gaga. Forgetting atiku is a biz man and only a biz man can fix nigeria.... we need a trump to get us out of this quagmire the dullard put us into.

PassingShot:

Buhari has always scored beyond what Atiku has ever scored in his outing in 2007.

In 2007, PMB got 6,605,299 votes to Atiku's 2,637,848 votes.

In 2011, PMB got 12,214,853 votes.

In 2015, PMB defeated Atiku, Kwankwaso and others in the primaries despite their dollars. He later went on to win with over 15 million votes and that figure is sure to climb in 2019.

The most Atiku will get in 2019 will be 8 million votes and he will be permanently retired from politics.

Mark this post, the North will use the opportunity to tell Atiku that he's not liked and not wanted.

dont know what rock you're living under but buhari had a myth surrounding him as the saviour .....his winning the election was an eye opener. There is hunger in the land and this could have been avoided if the senile old man listened to calls from technocrats not to hastily implement some stupid policies. He was more interested in hurting southern interests and everybody got burned. Even mallams on bikes do not want a buhari. Atiku isnt the best option in Nigeria bit compared with the dullardeen .... hea our Donald trump.

Ozibe:

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

Igbos this, Igbos that. If you guys make this elections about Buhari vs An Igbo candidate ( Atiku) . Be rest assured that Atiku will lose that elections before noon.

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

Lol, your analysis is based on emotions and is absolutely naive!! There are as many Igbos in Lagos as there are Yorubas and that is the singular reason why Jimi Agbaje almost won and that is also the reason why Lagos votes is always divided almost in half during elections!! Igbos are completely homogeneous religious and ethnic wise, and are a close-nit group. There is also what is called meeting of umunna, market unions, religious and socio-cultural groups etc and other pressure groups, these are the places where Igbos outside the SE/SS always listen to. There is little or no difference between the Igbos in their home soil in SE/SS and others all-over Nigeria. Go to the Facebook page where Igbos congregate or even here in Nairaland then come back and tell me if there is any difference in the thinking of the Igbo man in Enugu, Onitsha, Aba, Asaba, P.H etc with that of the Igbo man in Lagos, Abuja, Kano, Kaduna etc. All these Igbos who number in their millions outside the SE/SS will all align with those in SE/SS to give a block vote and that's a fact!!! Igbos have more electoral value than the Yorubas and that's a fact. SW is the least significant of all the region's because their votes will be divided so they have little or no difference to make. Atiku needs Igbos while also looking for ways to break into the NW and try a to get at least 40%. You guys should stop attaching too much importance to your selves because political analysts already knows what is obtainable on ground.

The belief that all Igbos will vote against Buhari
The belief that Igbo votes determine who becomes President. No. It is NW votes
The belief that C.Rivers, Rivers and Akwa Ibom are not cooling for Buhari already
The belief that up to 28 governors not already for Buhari
The belief that Imo State, Ebonyi State and one of either Anambra or Enugu won't swing for Buhari. Buhari will win 3 states in SE
The belief that the federal govt does not have "tools" to increase their favourabikity before elections including SIP, minimum wage et.c
The belief that the close margin in Osun is a referendum on Buhari. It is not. It was ANGER against salary issues and sentiment for Adeleke family
The belief that Wike will be compelled to work for Atiku by force. WRONG. Rivers State and Delta State are already swinging APC.

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

Mr man, I and my family live in Ondo state and I'm an Igbo man.


A lot of South Easterners don't stay in SE. Our collective vote here is going to PDP IF Atiku picks an Igbo VP. Chikena

Ozibe:

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

You do realise Buhari’s base/region has about 18M+ registered voters right?
Atiku will get his share of the votes but the margin won’t compensate for the possible support he will muster from the SE.

Some heavyweight politicians from the SS have also defected to Buhari’s side and that will surely translate to suppression of votes for PDP and reduction is margin

The 18M plus votes from the NW region is the main problem!!!!

jaybee3:


You do realise Buhari’s base/region has about 18M+ registered voters right?
Atiku will get his share of the votes but the margin won’t compensate for the possible support he will muster from the SE.

Some heavyweight politicians from the SS have also defected to Buhari’s side and that will surely translate to suppression of votes for PDP and reduction is margin

The 18M plus votes from the NW region is the main problem!!!!

The same way the NE and MB combine vote is 17M plus.. Then add SE and SS 15M plus. Then add a divided SW of just 40% which is around 6M

17 + 15 + 6 = 38M roughly

Buharis only base is NW 18M and 40% SW

18 + 6 = 24M roughly



The SE and SS for atiku is nothing less than 90% if PDP takes SE for VP and also are able to convince and mobilize them to Vote.

MB and NE will stand for PDP 70 - 80% because of Fulani herdsmen and bokoharam. And again atiku is from the NE


So tell me,what are buharis's chances?