BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

Yimu.

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

Tbh I don't even see how Buhari will win this. Atiku will flaw him in the North East coz that's his Strong hold same with SS and SE too. the North Central will be divided but a lot has happened Benue State is now PDP and Taraba(Mama Taraba), Nasarrawa all PDP strong hold. The South west vote will be divided and atiku will draw small vote in the North West too

2015 election

Buhari had 15M votes
Gej 12M votes.

Apc primary 2018 buhari had 14m votes.

Buhari has won before election even start.

Ozibe:


The same way the NE and MB combine vote is 17M plus.. Then add SE and SS 15M plus. Then add a divided SW of just 40% which is around 6M

17 + 15 + 6 = 38M roughly

Buharis only base is NW 18M and 40% SW

18 + 6 = 24M roughly



The SE and SS for atiku is nothing less than 90% if PDP takes SE for VP and also are able to convince and mobilize them to Vote.

MB and NE will stand for PDP 70 - 80% because of Fulani herdsmen and bokoharam. And again atiku is from the NE


So tell me,what are buharis's chances?

You are very naive Sir

Here are the factors that you ought to consider when doing your analysis:

1) Historical voter turnout ~65%-70%

2) PVC collection rate (NW region’s collection rate will always rank higher than the other regions)

3) All SW states have sitting APC Governors

4) South South won’t be able to inflate votes and the votes from Akwa Ibom, Delta & Rivers will probably be in 70:30 margin to PDP

5) SE votes WON’T be 95% skewed towards PDP. Atiku won’t outperform GEJ so it’s common sense to expect him to make slight inroad

jaybee3:

You are very naive Sir

Here are the factors that you ought to consider when doing your analysis:

1) Historical voter turnout ~65%-70%

2) PVC collection rate (NW region’s collection rate will always rank higher than the other regions)

3) All SW states have sitting APC Governors

4) South South won’t be able to inflate votes and the votes from Akwa Ibom, Delta & Rivers will probably be in 70:30 margin to PDP

5) SE votes WON’T be 95% skewed towards PDP. Atiku won’t outperform GEJ so it’s common sense to expect him to make slight inroad

Man wake up.

Turn out 65 to 70 in which region?

Yes PVC collection in the NW is 18m as stated b4. And a combined Pvc from SE, SS and MB will do the magic. The add NE which is Atiku's base and 40% of Sw.

All SW sitting governors are APC but needed a battalion to rig and win election in Osun, APC:s strongest hold outside Lagos.

Awka ibom, rivers and delta are pdp's strongest base. U must be dreaming.. APC will not even see 5%

I trust the south east we are waiting for APC. Those who died under the watch and machination of this evil government, will not forgive us if we give them 1%

A President shall win in 24 States plus a win of FCT.

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

.


A President shall win in 24 States plus a win of FCT.

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

story

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

And the rest goes to Atiku/pdp

It's going to be so interesting.

SS + SE is still lesser than the SW. Indeed empty barrels made loudest noise

Take me as an example. I'm Igbo but my polling unit is in Nasarawa.

Zones for Atiku

NORTH EAST - his home zone
NORTH CENTRAL - Saraki, herdsmen and northern Christian factor
SOUTH SOUTH - Buhari called them 5% and removed their son from power
SOUTH EAST - Buhari sent Python to dance in this zone

OmoManU:
SS + SE is still lesser than the SW. Indeed empty barrels made loudest noise

Lmfao. Remove Lagos. Even Ebonyi has more registered voters than Ekiti

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

Keep deceiving yourself, 14 million that was concocted and produced from Mars. I pity you

Hahaha..5%ters spotted.

alexvatt:
Atiku needs to sell himself to the South West to win the election.

Afenifere are already selling themselves to him

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

What matters more is the number of PVC collected NOT numbers of registered voters

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

Noise

Okeytus:

over 50% of Igbos live outside their zone, they know and have confirmed but don't want to believe. Forget all those threats, we all know people are not and cannot be compelled anywhere to vote for a person they dont want .

Nairaland statistician I hail thee. Or is it National Bureau of Statistics chairman?

Ozibe:


The same way the NE and MB combine vote is 17M plus.. Then add SE and SS 15M plus. Then add a divided SW of just 40% which is around 6M

17 + 15 + 6 = 38M roughly

Buharis only base is NW 18M and 40% SW

18 + 6 = 24M roughly



The SE and SS for atiku is nothing less than 90% if PDP takes SE for VP and also are able to convince and mobilize them to Vote.

MB and NE will stand for PDP 70 - 80% because of Fulani herdsmen and bokoharam. And again atiku is from the NE


So tell me,what are buharis's chances?

honestly you are dreaming

you want to know the password of next years election.


undervoting

If you still doubt that Buhari will lose the election you are on a long thing. Look at the population of state under the control of APC. Wailers una go cry.

Less than 50% of the over 60million would be voting next year.

Atiku will make more penetration in NW and NE than Goodluck in 2015.

NC is a goal for Atiku,SS n SE is banger for Atiku.

The fight will be SW and Atiku will gain more ground than Goodluck.

Let's see how the cows from Niger will give Buhari more than the necessary votes in Katsina and Kano.

Buhari's vote since 2003 in those region has always been the same until Kwankawso assisted him to rig Kano massively,now that rigging machine is in the hands of Atiku.

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

Sorry bro, Lagos has high population of Non indigenes..

There are over 2 million igbos outside the east..

Atiku will match Buhari bro.. Atiku has strong northerners backing him..

PaChukwudi44:
It is not the same as number of eligible voters by ethnicity. We all know a sizeable number of voters in some regions belong to non-indigenes

How far about Ambode? You seems to have stopped fighting for him? Where is the rescheduled Lagos Apc primary?

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

Note that Igbos make up 25 - 30% of the eligible voters in Southwest, mostly in Lagos, Ogun and Ondo States.

Don't be unwise my dear people.Atiku has as much chance as Buhari, If he picks a strong Igbo running mate. He'll get more than half of the votes from the north east as well as the North central. He will secure at least 85% of the votes in the South east and South south. He will split votes in Lagos state; that's very certain (No be only Yoruba people dey Lagos). The North west might not be his stronghold, but if Kwankwaso and other North westerners stands by him, he could pull there as well.

[s][[i]quote author=BabaRamota1980 post=71883362]

So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again. [/quote][/[/s]i]





Miiitttcchhheeeewwwww as if you know where you belong

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

I don't think so.

Consider the following article:
MY VIEW ON THE 'ONLY ASPIRANT' THAT I THINK IS THE BEST FOR ATIKU ABUBAKAR (PDP PRESIDENTIAL FLAG BEARER) TO HAVE AS A VICE PRESIDENT (RUNNING MATE) COME 2019 GENERAL ELECTIONS and an OPEN LETTER to the PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC PARTY (PDP) by OKESOLA OLUWASEGUN TIWALADE (SETIOK):

Dear PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC PARTY,

INTRODUCTION:
ATIKU ABUBAKAR (ADAMAWA STATE-NORTH EAST) has emerged as the PDP PRESIDENTIAL FLAG BEARER come 2019 GENERAL ELECTIONS and he has been emphasising on RESTRUCTURING which has widely been the main theme of his campaign so far and if that is the case, in my humble view, I think PDP should ZONE their VICE PRESIDENTIAL SEAT to the SOUTH EAST.

Sequel to this, SOUTH EAST States consist of:
(1)ABIA
(2)ANAMBRA
(3)EBONYI
(4)ENUGU
(5)IMO

In view of the above introduction, the PDP's VICE PRESIDENTIAL POSITION should come from the SOUTH EAST and I present my 'one and only candidate' that I believe in from the SOUTH EAST, he is SENATOR IKE EKWEREMADU (Senator representing ENUGU WEST SENATORIAL DISTRICT of ENUGU STATE and the Incumbent DEPUTY SENATE PRESIDENT) to the Incumbent SENATE PRESIDENT-Dr. BUKOLA SARAKI.

CONTENT:
Name: IKE EKWEREMADU
Born: 12 May 1962 (age 56)
Place of Birth: Amachara Mpu, Eastern Region , Nigeria (now Amachara Mpu, Aninri Local Government Area, Enugu State , Nigeria )

Ike Ekweremadu is a Nigerian politician and lawyer from Enugu State who has served in the Senate of Nigeria since May 2003. He is a member of the People's Democratic Party and is currently the Deputy President of the Nigerian Senate for the third consecutive time, twice under DAVID MARK as SENATE PRESIDENT (6th & 7th Assembly) & presently under BUKOLA SARAKI (8th Assembly).

EARLY LIFE:
Ike Ekweremadu was born in 1962 at Amachara Mpu in Aninri Local Government Area of Enugu State, and is of Igbo origin. He holds both Bachelors and master's degree in Law from the University of Nigeria , Nigeria and was called to the Nigerian Bar in 1987. He also holds Doctor of Philosophy Degree in Law from the University of Abuja, Nigeria.

POLITICAL APPOINTMENTS:
In 2002, Chief Ekweremadu was appointed Secretary to the Enugu State Government, before then he was Chairman of Aninri in 1997 and won the Best Local Government Chairman Award in Enugu State at the time. He was appointed the Chief of Staff of the Enugu State Government House.

SENATORIAL CAREER:
On April 12, 2003 he was elected to the Nigerian Senate. In September 2003, as Vice Chairman of the senate committee on Information, Chief Ekweremadu stated that the senate would make a serious investigation into allegations of bribery leveled by Federal Capital Territory (FCT) minister Mallam Nasir el-Rufai. Relations between Nasir el-Rufai and the senate continued to be hostile, and el-Rufai was eventually charged with corruption in 2008.

In 2005, Ike Ekweremadu was beaten in the race for President of the Senate of Nigeria by Senator Kenechukwu Nnamani. In July 2006, as spokesperson for the Southern Senators’ Forum, Ekweremadu denied charges that they had made an agreement to return power to the North in the 2007 elections.

In September 2006, President Olusegun Obasanjo asked the Senate to review a report by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission that laid charges of fraud against Vice-President Atiku Abubakar. Ike Ekweremadu promised to establish a committee of inquiry whose report would be submitted to the Senate, although he noted that impeachment would be difficult since it would require a 2/3 majority.

Ekweremadu was returned in the 29 April 2007 Nigerian National Assembly election, and retained his position as deputy senate president. He was given the job of handing out committee chairmanship positions allocated to the south east zone, making decisions that were unpopular with leaders such as Senator Chris Anyanwu, who failed to get the positions they wanted.

In July 2007, Ekweremadu was instrumental in defusing objections to the controversial nomination of Ojo Maduekwe to a ministerial position. When President Umaru Yar'Adua's Principal Private Secretary, David Edevbie, was indicted in September 2009 in a British court for corruption and money laundering, Ekweremadu refused to take a position, stating that he did not know the facts.

In September 2009, Ekweremadu was named co-chairman of a committee to conduct the primary elections for the Peoples Democratic Party’s governorship candidate for Anambra State. Senatorial election, Enugu West 2011 Ekweremadu was reelected as Senator for Enugu West in the April 2011 elections, receiving 112,806 votes. The closest runner-up was the candidate of the Peoples for Democratic Change (PDC) party, Jackson Ezeoffor, who got 7,522 votes.

ECOWAS:
In September 2009, he was appointed to lead the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) ad hoc committee to would work for the return of constitutional order in the Niger Republic. He was elected First Deputy Speaker of the ECOWAS Parliament and emerged then Speaker of the regional parliament in August 2011.

MY SUCCINCTLY THOUGHT OUT ANALYSIS:
It is very visible to the blind and audible to the deaf that the SOUTH EAST ZONE of NIGERIA hasn't really had a chance in the CENTRAL EXECUTIVE COUNCIL of the NATION since we adopted DEMOCRACY in 1999 and that's one of the reasons why someone like NNAMDI KANU has agitated for the creation of BIAFRA as a country on it's own. The SOUTH EASTERN part of NIGERIA has been largely marginalized and segregated in several positions, either elected or appointed positions.

To solve this unequal distribution of man power in Nigeria and to make people happy across all quarters, especially the EAST, EKWEREMADU is the best VICE PRESIDENTIAL Aspirant PDP can use that will be of impact. I know that SENATOR IKE EKWEREMADU has already collected the PDP Nomination form to return to the SENATE but I believe he can relinquish that to be the VICE PRESIDENT to ATIKU ABUBAKAR and that would be a classic winning strategy for PDP to regain power in NIGERIA.

APC have already won the GOVERNORSHIP POSITIONS of 3 STATES (ONDO, EKITI & OSUN(tentatively) out of the 6 STATES (ONDO, EKITI, OSUN, LAGOS, OGUN & OYO) in the SOUTH WEST and I believe APC will win LAGOS again via BABAJIDE SANWO-OLU's gubernatorial candidature. OYO STATE (ADEBAYO ADELABU-APC vs SEYI MAKINDE-PDP) & OGUN STATE (DAPO ABIODUN-APC vs OLADIPUPO ADEBUTU-PDP) is 50/50 for now according to my critical observation and analysis.

In view of the paragraph above, I see APC having at least 4 states in the SOUTH WEST out of 6 states in this geopolitical zone and I'm absolutely sure that they will all be in support of PRESIDENT MUHAMMADU BUHARI's 2nd term ambition come 2019. At such, ATIKU ABUBAKAR should forget the SOUTH WEST ZONE, MUHAMMADU BUHARI will defeat him in this Zone, even if it's by a small margin. So, he should focus on other places that will be he would have a comparative advantage.

I am very sure that with the likes of those that contested with ATIKU ABUBAKAR (ADAMAWA STATE of NORTH EAST) in the PDP Primaries such as:
*NORTH CENTRAL:
BUKOLA SARAKI of KWARA STATE
DAVID MARK of BENUE STATE
JONAH JANG of PLATEAU STATE
KABIRU TURAKI of NASARAWA STATE

*NORTH EAST:
IBAHIM DANKWANBO of GOMBE STATE (ATIKU ABUBAKAR's ZONE-ADAMAWA STATE)

*NORTH WEST:
RABIU KWANKWASO of KANO STATE
AMINU TAMBUWAL of SOKOTO STATE
ATTAIHIRU BAFARAWA of SOKOTO STATE
SULE LAMIDO of JIGAWA STATE
DATTI BABA AHMED of KADUNA STATE
AHMED MARKAFI of KADUNA STATE,

ATIKU ABUBAKAR will give the incumbent President MUHAMMADU BUHARI a good run for his money in the NORTH CENTRAL, EAST (ATIKU ABUBAKAR's ZONE-ADAMAWA STATE); and most especially the WEST (BUHARI's Zone-KATSINA STATE) because PDP have at least 6 of those that contested with ATIKU in the primary election coming from that Zone as seen above with majority of them been the former GOVERNORS of those States. I have a strong believe that President Muhammadu Buhari might not even see draw in the 3 NORTHERN ZONES (CENTRAL, EAST & WEST).

Everyone knows that I have been in support of OMOYELE SOWORE as PRESIDENT for some time now because he is a youth & he is positve minded. I would still love to but after reading this quote by JIM ROHN which says: "Don't join the easy crowd. You won't grow. Go where the expectations are high. Go where the demands are high. Go where the pressure is to perform, grow, to change, to read, to study, to develop new skills" and since the time I came across this quote, I've had a rethink about my choice of Presidential aspirant because I want my votes to count and not just to make up numbers.

Sequel to the above paragraph, if PDP can choose SEN. IKE EKWEREMADU as ATIKU ABUBAKAR's running mate (VICE PRESIDENT), I will definitely jump ship from supporting OMOYELE SOWORE and I will start supporting ATIKU ABUBAKAR for PRESIDENT come 2019. The SOUTH EAST Zone have been neglected enough, they need to have a position in the Executive arm of government in Nigeria too and I believe the IGBO's will definitely be in support of this inclusive form of governance which to me, will definitely be the greatest start to the RESTRUCTURING agenda of ATIKU ABUBAKAR.

If that comes to reality, no one needs to crucify me for my change of choice from OMOYELE SOWORE(48) to ATIKU ABUBAKAR(71) because I'm entitled to support whoever I deem fit to support which I believe it is in the best interest of our fatherland, Nigeria. PDP have a concrete structure on ground already for almost 20 years and you can't expect a Party that was just formed less than a year to defeat such a party or the APC. I also do not expect a party that doesn't even have a structure in the 774 Local government areas in Nigeria to IMMEDIATELY defeat the likes of APC or PDP in their first shot at the PRESIDENTIAL seat. That's the bitter truth. Take it or leave it.

In all the geopolitical Zones, SOUTH WEST have had 8 years as a PRESIDENT through OLUSEGUN OBASANJO (OGUN STATE) and NORTH EAST also had 8 years as a VICE PRESIDENT through ATIKU ABUBAKAR (ADAMAWA STATE); 1999-2011. NORTH WEST have also had about 3 years through Late President UMARU MUSA YAR' ADUA (KATSINA STATE) and SOUTH SOUTH have also had 3 years as VICE PRESIDENT through GOODLUCK JONATHAN (BAYELSA STATE); 2007-2011. SOUTH SOUTH also had another 5 years through GOODLUCK JONATHAN (BAYELSA) as PRESIDENT and NORTH WEST have also had 4 years as VICE PRESIDENT through NAMADI SAMBO (KADUNA); 2011-2015.

NORTH WEST are presently ruling again through the Incumbent President MUHAMMADU BUHARI (KATSINA STATE, same state with late ex-president UMARU MUSA YAR' ADUA) and the Incumbent VICE PRESIDENT (YEMI Osinbajo) too is from the SOUTH WEST (OGUN STATE) just like the ex-president OLUSEGUN OBASANJO, 2015 till date. Now, In view of these analysis, it will only be egalitarian, good and just enough for ATIKU ABUBAKAR who is from the NORTH EAST (ADAMAWA STATE) to pick someone like IKE EKWEREMADU from the SOUTH EAST (ENUGU STATE) as his VICE PRESIDENT.

I am from the SOUTH WESTERN (OGUN STATE) geopolitical zone but I have lived all my life in LAGOS STATE for almost 3 decades (30 years) and I believe that the SOUTH WEST have had their fair share of inclusiveness in the democracy of our great country, just like other geopolitical zones but the SOUTH EAST have been left behind in the EXECUTIVE arm of governance in Nigeria and it will only be just and egalitarian enough to spread this political positions across all zones in the polity and I believe now is the time for that to happen with a relatively not too old (56) man like IKE EKWEREMADU as the VICE PRESIDENT to ATIKU ABUBAKAR.

ATIKU ABUBAKAR / IKE EKWEREMADU as PRESIDENT & VICE PRESIDENT respectively would bring into reality the promise of ATIKU to restructure NIGERIA. With this, I see ATIKU ABUBAKAR winning the SOUTH EAST and SOUTH SOUTH (Strong hold of Ex-president GOODLUCK EBELE JONATHAN) with EKWEREMADU as his VICE PRESIDENT, he will also win the NORTH CENTRAL & NORTH EAST (HIS ZONE) comprehensively and Incumbent PRESIDENT MUHAMMADU BUHARI will win the NORTH WEST that he comes from but not even with a wide margin as PDP have big wings in this Zone and he will win SOUTH WEST too which is the MAIN BASE of the APC.

A TURNING POINT (EBORA OWU).
Chief Olusegun Mathew Okikiola Aremu Obasanjo , GCFR , Ph.D. Born on the 5th of May 1937 is a former Nigerian Army general who was President of Nigeria from 1999 to 2007. Obasanjo was a career soldier before serving twice as his nation's head of state. He served as a military ruler from 13 February 1976 to 1 October 1979, and as a democratically elected president from 29 May 1999 to 29 May 2007. From July 2004 to January 2006, Obasanjo also served as Chairperson of the African Union. I used this paragraph to introduce and remind us of the human being tagged 'EBORA OWU'.

Finally, this is the man that will finally aid ATIKU ABUBAKAR and if picked, IKE EKWEREMADU to become the next PRESIDENT and VICE PRESIDENT of NIGERIA come 2019. He might have torn his PDP membership card but he was, he is and will always be a PDP man. He might have had some issues with ATIKU ABUBAKAR in the past, especially during their reign together as PRESIDENT & VICE PRESIDENT respectively but he once said that he has forgiven him and others that offended him. I believe the PDP Chieftans and leaders should pay EBORA OWU series of visits and get him to fully support ATIKU ABUBAKAR and IKE EKWEREMADU who is also a trusted companion to BABA IYABO.

SUB-CONCLUSION:
I am an advocate of a positive minded youth emerging as the PRESIDENT in 2019 but after the show of shame that happened to the PACT (Presidential Aspirant Coming Together) that these youths formed, I can only see that they are not diffrerent from these so called old leaders in power. FELA DUROTOYE was picked by the PACT but I guess for the selfish interest of others, they didn't agree with the results. If these youthful aspirants fail to still support just one of them, they won't make any impact or get anywhere near 1,000,000 votes in 2019. I'm not a PDP or an APC member and I'm not considering to be, at least for now but I don't see these newly formed parties standing up to be counted in 2019.

Sequel to the first paragraph of this sub-conclusion, how can these youths survive the 2019 election individually without amalgamating together? Impossible! I am a fan and supporter of Omoyele Sowore and I've convinced a lot of friends to support him too but there have been great division amongst us. Some prefer FELA DUROTOYE, some KINGSLEY MOGHALU, etc. With this, the youthful aspirants will only make up the numbers come 2019. I wish most of these youthful aspirants were bold enough to support one aspirant fully and aspire at the NASS (National Assembly-Senate & House of Representatives (example-SHINA PELLER), the State House of Assembly like DESMOND OLUSOLA ELLIOT, and at the Local government area level. A house divided against itself cannot stand. It is a bitter truth that we need to know.

I will also have you know that I once wrote an article on my timeline going against ATIKU ABUBAKAR, BUKOLA SARAKI & DAVID MARK becoming the next president in NIGERIA but at this juncture, I've realised that there is no saint anywhere. If you have never been involved in one act of misdeed, cast the first stone, before doing this, search your conscience deeply and do justice by casting the first stone like those who wanted to stone the woman who was referred to as a prostitute was told in the biblical words of the holy bible. It is as if we are in between the devil (ATIKU ABUBAKAR) & the deep blue sea (MUHAMMADU BUHARI) but the truth is that these two are the major Presidential aspirants that we have in the forthcoming 2019 general elections.

WIFE FACTOR (PROBABLE FIRST LADY):
ATIKU ABUBAKAR married 4 wives, later divorced one and remarried a 4th wife which is the maximum in Islam. His newly married 4th wife will always have a role to play, especially amongst the IGBO's who have been sidelined and marginalized enough in the executive arm of the government so far since 1999. Atiku Abubakar, is married to a beautiful Igbo lady, Jennifer Jamila Iwenjora, who was until their marriage, a reporter with the popular Nigeria Television Authority (NTA). She is from the SOUTH EAST too just like IKE EKWEREMADU. This is also another reason I chose and prefer IKE EKWEREMADU to be ATIKU ABUBAKAR's VICE PRESIDENTIAL Running mate in 2019.

CONCLUSION:
I have observed carefully and have also considered a lot of political indices, statistics and facts and I'm certain that if someone from the SOUTH EAST, preferably IKE EKWEREMADU is picked as ATIKU ABUBAKAR's Running mate, the PDP 'MIGHT' oust APC from power come 2019 and there won't be any form of inconclusive election. If RESTRUCTURING will happen, it needs to start now and that will provide a blueprint of how the governance will be, if it will be filled with unequal distribution of human and material resources or not.

Some of my friends as an undergraduate have been saying am a PDP member and I've collected money to support ATIKU ABUBAKAR when I've not even stopped supporting OMOYELE SOWORE as at now as my PRESIDENT but I can't be so blind to face the obvious reality that 2019 is not the year for SOWORE and the newly formed party-AAC (African Action Congress) doesn't even have a concrete structure in the 774 Local government areas of the country. I might decide to support ATIKU ABUBAKAR or any other PRESIDENTIAL HOPEFUL tomorrow but that doesn't change who I'm, an egalitarian and an upholder of Justice against Injustice.

Yes, I might just be a learner who is learning the ropes in POLITICS (macro world) but having held varying positions in UNIONISM (micro world) as an Undergraduate, I have learnt in ample ways. If all these analysis of mine can be considered by the ATIKU 4 PRESIDENT CAMPAIGN TEAM and the PEOPLE's DEMOCRATIC PARTY (PDP) and not considered inconsequential, I see ATIKU ABUBAKAR wining the PRESIDENTIAL SEAT IN NIGERIA in the forthcoming 2019 GENERAL ELECTIONS regardless of the power of incumbency. GOODLUCK JONATHAN was ousted from power by BUHARI despite his power of incumbency and the same can happen in 2019 with ATIKU ABUBAKAR.

I will use part of the lyrics in ERRIGA's SONG (MOTIVATION) ft VICTOR AD to end this article and an open letter to the PEOPLE's DEMOCRATIC PARTY:
"Pikin (NIGERIANS) wey dey find Party rice (GOOD LEADERSHIP) no suppose to fear Dance (VOTE). Respect who GET (Incumbent President MUHAMMADU BUHARI) but fear who Never Collect (ATIKU ABUBAKAR)."

I so submit.

Yours sincerely,
Okesola Oluwasegun.


Written by:
OKESOLA OLUWASEGUN TIWALADE
(SETIOK)
A POSITIVE AND PROGRESSIVE MINDED YOUTH
E-mail: Okesolaoluwasegun3@gmail.com

Thank you jare, and suddenly they have stopped Yoruba muslim talk cuz Atiku is a muslim....

MrJanuzaj:


Igbos this, Igbos that. If you guys make this elections about Buhari vs An Igbo candidate ( Atiku) . Be rest assured that Atiku will lose that elections before noon.

PaChukwudi44:
It is not the same as number of eligible voters by ethnicity. We all know a sizeable number of voters in some regions belong to non-indigenes

This is what they don't understand. I just dey pity most Nigerians, they are petty. Look at Lagos for instance with millions of Mon indigenes..