Na wa oo.. Atiku ...this odd is over 2.5 oo..how we go do am naa...

biafranation:
For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

is it d same Kaduna I live in u re talking bout?

MrJanuzaj:


Igbos this, Igbos that. If you guys make this elections about Buhari vs An Igbo candidate ( Atiku) . Be rest assured that Atiku will lose that elections before noon.

My brother, no body is making it igbo vs Buhari.. I am already tired of some of u.

U don't want igbos to talk abi? Only una go mock igbos, only una go still don't want them to defend them selves..

It doenst make sense. U guys were laughing igbos from the statistics published.. And u don't want then to defend them selves..

The point is the 2019 election will not be like 2015. In 2015, people saw Buhari as the savior. But now, at least half of the people who voted for him no longer sew that in him..

I don't know why anything igbos dey pain some of u for nairaland. The igbos here are only trying to defend their identity..

For peace to rain on nairaland, make igbos just accept that they don't have electoral value abi?

Pls allow these guys have peace.. Haba, in 2915 u guys chose Buhari and u guys are angry igbos are choosing another person..

There was serious political apathy in 2015 among the igbos. That is what they should work on simple..

Ozibe:


Man wake up.

Turn out 65 to 70 in which region?

Yes PVC collection in the NW is 18m as stated b4. And a combined Pvc from SE, SS and MB will do the magic. The add NE which is Atiku's base and 40% of Sw.

All SW sitting governors are APC but needed a battalion to rig and win election in Osun, APC:s strongest hold outside Lagos.

Awka ibom, rivers and delta are pdp's strongest base. U must be dreaming.. APC will not even see 5%

I trust the south east we are waiting for APC. Those who died under the watch and machination of this evil government, will not forgive us if we give them 1%

Your miscalculating.buhari owns north east.he has always won there heavily with little or no support except in taraba and adamawa and adamawa where he will manage to win narrowly.north central like south west is 50-50.apc still has an advantage here,forget the fulani rampage afterall both atiku and buhari are fulanis.
Ss/se dislikd both buhari and atiku.there will be low turnout.apc has gotten stronger in states like rivers,delta,cross river and akwa ibom.many here dont like atiku.you dony expect them to come out and vote him enmasse.
In 2015,with goodluck contesting the turnout was 7.5 million in ss/se while in the nw/ne,12.5million voted.expect the figures in the ss/se to reduce to 5 million or lower.i expect atiku to get 4 million and buhari 1 million.
In nw/ne,expect same 12.5 million voters with buhari getting 9 million and atiku 3.5 million.a lot has changed in ss/se.nobody here is ready to kill himself for an aboki

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

keep dreaming!

VeeVeeMyLuv:

Bros I thought I was the only one that noticed.
Vindictive vendetta.

Very unfortunate.


In the finally analysis, they are all the same.

he was just all out yo destroy southern interests. Remember when he went to searching for investors and saw jim ovia elumelu ..etc and was very angry at his aides for letting Nigerian investors get in...i don't get how ediot still support this dullardeen.

mycar:
SE people are mostly outside their territories, no city in Nigeria except borno state without a considerable % of S. east people.

Unfortunately, these people outside their territories will not be allowed to vote.

This unrealistic analysis is what gave most people hope that GEJ was going to win when the odds were clearly against him.

The odds are by far against Atiku, the sooner we all realise the better

chisco82:
mention any state outside south west were you have upto 10,000 yorubas living there.

minna, Kaduna,Kano and Sokoto.

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

Oops u mean those figures oshiomhole tempered with in order to scare us..

uthlaw:
minna, Kaduna,Kano and Sokoto.

Really?

Afamed:

With your assumption, that should have automatically translated to GEJ winning the election in 2015.Abi the 100billion Igbos in Lagos and far away NE and NW migrated immediately after the 2015 election?

People were fed up with PDP as at then and many thought that Buhari was the Messiah.

I know many that campaigned for Buhari that have since changed their minds.
I will also change my mind if Atiku fails to make a positive impact.

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

Apc can have the governors in those states but they don't own the state, moreover is not the governors that determine who wins but the electorate.

worldman:
keep quiet I'm from osun. Osun vote is 100% buhari

Same osun that APC had to rig to win to the condemnation of the USA

Temptee101:

Drugs should be prescribed for you urgently. Osun votes are for buhari yet he had to rig osun election blatantly which PDP clearly won? Am not sure you are ok honesty

it’s because you don’t understand south west voting pattern , in south- west because they vote against a governor does not mean they will vote the governor president, south- west are not sentimental in their voting pattern .... it’s only the south-east that will hate anyone that is related to who they hate ....

Lagos, Oyo, Edo top states with unclaimed PVCs-- Premium Times

PassingShot:
It's not the number of registered voters that matters as much as number of collected PVCs.

Well said

UgwuAghachi:


Same osun that APC had to rig to win to the condemnation of the USA

Igbos are frustrated to the mention of USA at every argument

mmb:
hahahha, i feel sorry for PDP and Atiku.

Buhari already has 14+ million votes in his bag from registered APC members.

Accredited voters are different from registers voters

Bnladan:
is it d same Kaduna I live in u re talking bout?

tell him to go check kakuri,kabala,Mando,tundun wada,rigasa etc.to know the population of Yoruba in Kaduna.

sokera:
[s] so you think they are no Yorubas and Hausa in other region .. it’s typical of PDP to win election on social media ... one thing I like about APC loyalist is that they don’t talk too much ... they show who they are on elections day[/s]

thru massive ringing like they did in osun state.



bros let me kill your appetite.

do you knw why many are happy about the emergence of atiku? it is bc he is one man you cant rig out in an election.

atiku will giv you:

thuggery for thuggery
dollars for dollars
rigging for rigging
genuine vote for genuine vote.

and above all, he will out do any one in Nigeria on this including the APC!

Atiku is a menace!

geadom:
INEC REGISTRATION HAS CLOSED AND HERE IS HOW WE STAND IN NIGERIA
[right]The total number of eligible voters in the 6 Geopolitical Zones in Nigeria for the 2019 General Elections as registered by INEC are as follows;

SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356
----------------------------------------
SOUTH SOUTH
Edo 1,412;225
Delta 1,900,055
Bayelsa 472,389
Akwa Ibom 1,714,781
RIvers 2,419,057
C/Rivers 1,018,550
TOTAL 8,937,057
----------------------------------------
NORTH CENTRAL
Benue 1,415,162
Kogi 1,215,405
Kwara 1,115,665
Nassarawa 1,224,206
Niger 721,478
Plateau 1,983,453
TOTAL 7,675,369
----------------------------------------
NORTH EAST
Adamawa 1,714,860
Bauchi 1,835,562
Borno 2,730,368
Gombe 1,266,993
Taraba 1,308,106
Yobe 1,182,230
TOTAL 10,038,119
----------------------------------------
NORTH WEST
Jigawa 1,852,698
Kano 5,135,415
Katsina 2,931,668
Kaduna 3,565,762
Kebbi 1,603,468
Sokoto 2,065,508
Zamfara 1,746,024
TOTAL 18,900,543

Grand Total - 66,878,004

SE people are Business people who are wide spread across country

They make up 40% population in SW and 25% population in entire NORTH.
.
.
.

BestDude:
as much as I do not like the rhetorical recitals, you can see the Yorubas doing same on this thread, don't you?

No wahala just continue labelling Atiku as an Igbo candidate and expect the core north even Atikus Adamawa state to vote him.
With the slogan of restructuring which Atiku is fronting and the hate-induced support igbos seem to have been offering him. It means one thing to the northerners (i.e NE, NW, Niger state and Some minorities in Nassarawa, Platueae and Kwara) 'DIVISION', this will be a complete anathema to them. The yorubas you are talking about will not touch him too.

BabaRamota1980:
With these figures the odds is stacked against Atiku. Look at Lagos and Oyo population, both APC owned. Compare to SE, Atiku's only stronghold.

lol do you know how many south easterners and south southerners in lagos alone?

adanny01:


Unfortunately, these people outside their territories will not be allowed to vote.

This unrealistic analysis is what gave most people hope that GEJ was going to win when the odds were clearly against him.

The odds are by far against Atiku, the sooner we all realise the better

Anybody that thinks buhari will win North East which is Atiku's home zone is a joker

BabaRamota1980:


So why didnt this your computation help Gej in 2015?

The Ibos in Lagos vote their interest, and thats their shops and market. They dont care about voting with SE.
They mess up and feel the wrath from the owners of Lagos. Did you not see how after his coronation different Ibo groups were visiting to pay homage to Aare Ona Kakanfo? You will think Iba Gani Adams was head of Ohanazae. Those Ibos dont want trouble, they value their business. They will vote how MC Oluomo tell them to.

Same applies with Arewa Igbo. They distanced from SE politics.

How many Ibo in Lagos or Kano observed sit at home like you did recently in SE? Those Ibos no longer belong to you....they are political tools in SW and NW to buffer and counter opposition against our interests.

Dont ever include them in your counts for SE again.

what happened in 2015 during GEJ reelection was that North aligned with SW, but here more than half of North will align with SE/SS to give Atiku a landslide victory. Remember that Igbos are spread over all the country, for example 30% of Lagosian and Kano/kaduna are igbos. So what atiku will do is to pick VP from SE. Buhari will be gonna

SternProphet:
The belief that all Igbos will vote against Buhari
The belief that Igbo votes determine who becomes President. No. It is NW votes
The belief that C.Rivers, Rivers and Akwa Ibom are not cooling for Buhari already
The belief that up to 28 governors not already for Buhari
The belief that Imo State, Ebonyi State and one of either Anambra or Enugu won't swing for Buhari. Buhari will win 3 states in SE
The belief that the federal govt does not have "tools" to increase their favourabikity before elections including SIP, minimum wage et.c
The belief that the close margin in Osun is a referendum on Buhari. It is not. It was ANGER against salary issues and sentiment for Adeleke family
The belief that Wike will be compelled to work for Atiku by force. WRONG. Rivers State and Delta State are already swinging APC.

on this forum I think you are the worst political analyst sorry don't be offended but that's the truth

sokera:
Igbos are frustrated to the mention of USA at every argument

Say whatever you like, I thought I was having a discussion with someone with sense

adanny01:


Unfortunately, these people outside their territories will not be allowed to vote.

This unrealistic analysis is what gave most people hope that GEJ was going to win when the odds were clearly against him.

The odds are by far against Atiku, the sooner we all realise the better

Why?
They registered where they reside, hence eligible.

Beside, Buhari has nothing more to offer, we can come back to APC in 2023 if they present a better candidate if Atiku fails, power should belong to the people and not the other way round.

biafranation:
For all major states outside of SE, you should know that 10-30% of registered voters are Igbos. This is something most people fail to understand. SE registered voters is just bonus to over 15-20 million scattered in major states. 20-30% of Lagos registered voters are Igbos. One way to know this is simple...Agbaje votes. Agbaje almost won. 20% of Kaduna voters are also Igbos. This may shock sfonkas because most have never stepped foot in the North. I lived in Kaduna so I know.

Hmmmmm

With your view of the polity, an Igbo will always be left behind in the scheme of things.

The 20% you are peddling for Igbos in Kaduna is a mirage. I am from Kaduna. Even if Igbos are 20% like you said, they wont be allowed to vote in 90% of the polling centres.

In most cases, Igbos in these areas stay indoors. They dont join politics and are most times not allowed to come near polling units. The same way Igbos refuse to participate during religious crisis, the refuse to participate in political activities.

Born2Breed:
Less than 50% of the over 60million would be voting next year.

Atiku will make more penetration in NW and NE than Goodluck in 2015.

NC is a goal for Atiku,SS n SE is banger for Atiku.

The fight will be SW and Atiku will gain more ground than Goodluck.

Let's see how the cows from Niger will give Buhari more than the necessary votes in Katsina and Kano.

Buhari's vote since 2003 in those region has always been the same until Kwankawso assisted him to rig Kano massively,now that rigging machine is in the hands of Atiku.

Your funny.how can ss/se be a no go area when atiku is contesting? This region will give atiku lets votes than they gave goodluck.buhari has penetrated here than atiku has in the north.do you know that pdp fielded unpooular candidates hers while apc fielded popular candidates.

Hizzy:

on this forum I think you are the worst political analyst sorry don't be offended but that's the truth

Prove him wrong