WisdomFlakes:
In a way I share you fears. Another problem that may work against Atiku is the perception that his popularity is being fueled mainly by the South. Comparatively, voter apathy is more prevalent down South than in the North, and unless the South comes out en masse (particularly the SS and SE) to vote for him like they did for Jonathan, I am afraid he will lose.

Afam4eva:
A lot of people, including myself have been very happy that Atiku won the PDP primaries and will face-off with the current President, Buhari in a keenly contested presidential election. But i think depending on what happens from now till the election day, this election may come second to the the one in 2015 in terms of competition. As much as i'm hoping that Atiku carries the day, there are some things that are making me think that a lot of people, including myself may just be disappointed.

Even though, i think Atiku will do well in the southern part of Nigeria, I put it to every that next year's election will be won in the North, more specifically, Kano state will play a key role in who wins. When i saw the number of registered voters in Kano, i was seriously SHOOK. Let's not forget that Buhari has a cult followership in the core north. I'm yet to come across any northerner that does not support Buhari. Mind you the ones i come across are the educated ones and i dare say that they're the minority in that region. The average northerner is sold on Buhari irrespective f his policies, whether good or bad. Even though Atiku is a northerner and will challenge Buhari to the northern votes, him winning will depend on how much votes he can wrestle from Buhari. if he can manage to pull atleast 40% of Kano vote for example, i think he stands a pretty good chance. But i won't hold my breadth on that one. Let's wait and see who comes out victorious. My heart say Atiku, my head says Buhari.

kYjelly2:


I'm disappointing that such an open minded individual such as yourself could run along with other mediocres in limiting our political space to two incompetent past failures, as you are doing with such a topic, "Buhari vs Atiku".

There are so many other candidates in this upcoming election, some with masters degrees from ivy league universities. These are universities with HUGE resources, that spend a lot of money on research in social, economic, medical, engineering... fields, fields responsible for the very tiny semblance of modern livelihood you are currently enjoying, yet all you guys see is the typical political jamboree, were every 4 years, you get to gist with your friends about which of the slave masters is a lesser evil. No one ever focuses on ideas, solutions to problems, NOTHING!!! Just useless beer palour gist.

Shame on all you useless Nigerians, may your unborn generation forgive you for always repeating the same mistakes.

Mynd44:

... I believe the PDP should appeal to Sheriff to return, make peace with Senator Kashamu too

Mynd44:
I think the shocker for next year isnt the three Ks (Kano Kaduna and Kastina) because we know how it will pan out. The PDP cant get 40% in Kano not when the APC is presenting President Buhari and he is an incumbent. I think the issue will be the NE.

The actions of the military against Boko Haram in the NE will come to play. This is where the PDP might just lose the election.

Then there is Ali-Modu Sheriff

EternalTruths:




Leave your enclave and travel to the North in order to see how disappointed they are in Buhari.



Hunger has reset their brains.

Afam4eva:
A lot of people, including myself have been very happy that Atiku won the PDP primaries and will face-off with the current President, Buhari in a keenly contested presidential election. But i think depending on what happens from now till the election day, this election may come second to the the one in 2015 in terms of competition. As much as i'm hoping that Atiku carries the day, there are some things that are making me think that a lot of people, including myself may just be disappointed.

Even though, i think Atiku will do well in the southern part of Nigeria, I put it to every that next year's election will be won in the North, more specifically, Kano state will play a key role in who wins. When i saw the number of registered voters in Kano, i was seriously SHOOK. Let's not forget that Buhari has a cult followership in the core north. I'm yet to come across any northerner that does not support Buhari. Mind you the ones i come across are the educated ones and i dare say that they're the minority in that region. The average northerner is sold on Buhari irrespective f his policies, whether good or bad. Even though Atiku is a northerner and will challenge Buhari to the northern votes, him winning will depend on how much votes he can wrestle from Buhari. if he can manage to pull atleast 40% of Kano vote for example, i think he stands a pretty good chance. But i won't hold my breadth on that one. Let's wait and see who comes out victorious. My heart say Atiku, my head says Buhari.

Mynd44:
I think the shocker for next year isnt the three Ks (Kano Kaduna and Kastina) because we know how it will pan out. The PDP cant get 40% in Kano not when the APC is presenting President Buhari and he is an incumbent. I think the issue will be the NE.

The actions of the military against Boko Haram in the NE will come to play. This is where the PDP might just lose the election.

Then there is Ali-Modu Sheriff

Hofbrauhaus:
Buhari would win kano.

Lagos would be shared 50:50.

Atiku would win Rivers state.

Election would be inconclusive...

SarkinYarki:


Are you saying people in the Northwest are more than those in the North central, North East, Southwest, South east and South South combined ? Do you also remember there is is huge population in of Shias in the north west that don't vote Buhari

MrJanuzaj:


Northwest = Southeast + southsouth. SE and SS are the only region Atiku will win.

SarkinYarki:


Buharis defeat will he hardest in the North central

Mynd44:

Atiku has to show how close he is down south else he will lose it. He is already disadvantaged in the SW and it is sure that the APC will get more votes in the SE/SS in 2019 than 2015.

He has to cement his strongholds.

As for the North, I believe the PDP should appeal to Sheriff to return, make peace with Senator Kashamu too

CilicMarin:
Buhari is not losing sleep about Atiku.

Atiku will be defeated in the North before 1pm on the election.

Average Northerner believes Buhari is being ganged against in the South because of his honesty and anti corruption stance.

SarkinYarki:


Buharis defeat will he hardest in the North central

basilo101:

Yes it's a gang up. Actually by northerners

Mynd44:

Atiku has to show how close he is down south else he will lose it. He is already disadvantaged in the SW and it is sure that the APC will get more votes in the SE/SS in 2019 than 2015.

He has to cement his strongholds.

As for the North, I believe the PDP should appeal to Sheriff to return, make peace with Senator Kashamu too

@the bolded, what type of weed influenced this thinking?


After thousands of Igbos were killed and harassed in the python dance?

After he called Igbos 5%? If not that you are a mod en, I for say make...

We will teach you and your people serious lessons next year just to prove to you guys that we don't behave like slaves

CyynthiaKiss:
I have talked to many Northerners, they told me that they have lost confidence in Buhari.
Majority of them said that they never knew that things would be this bad under his leadership. Some of them are complaining of hunger due to harsh economy.

It's obvious that Buhari has lost his popularity in the North because northerners have tasted him and have seen that he's not really whom they thought he is.
Thank God he won 2015 election ..He has shown his real colour.. Majority of northerners have turned their backs on him.

basilo101:

This is a very subjective analysis. Please tell yourself the truth

Hofbrauhaus:
Buhari would win kano.

Lagos would be shared 50:50.

Atiku would win Rivers state.

Election would be inconclusive...