Enugupikin:

this time around one of their own is coming out..even Bauchi gov has already declared for Atiku,
APC should zone VP slot to SE to split the votes

The people bro. Most of these governors you're talking about wouldn't be in the North if not for the Buhari factor. The masses vote, and they're solidly with Buhari.

Afamed:

All these analysis from Nkporkiti juncture. Atiku could only boost of Adamawa and Taraba in the NE. NW From Jigawa, Kano down to Kebbi all for to PMB. stop dreaming.

i must dream Atiku has NE and Buhari NW....APC should zone their VP slot to the SE to split the votes there

MalcoImX:
The people bro. Most of these governors you're talking about wouldn't be in the North if not for the Buhari factor. The masses vote, and they're solidly with Buhari.

nop the masses dont vote rather the elites pay the masses to win their votes.....most northerners are now with Atiku
so APC should zone their VP ticket to SE to split the votes there

Enugupikin:

nop the masses dont vote rather the elites pay the masses to win their votes.....most northerners are now with Atiku
so APC should zone their VP ticket to SE to split the votes there

Get this straight into yourself. PMB is the only one who doesn't dole out money among these politicians and had diehard followers. Atiku as Obj said, believes money can buy his way. It doesn't happen that way. Money can't buy one's heart. Money doesn't buy loyalty.

MalcoImX:
Get this straight into yourself. PMB is the only one who doesn't dole out money among these politicians and had diehard followers. Atiku as Obj said, believes money can buy his way. It doesn't happen that way. Money can't buy one's heart. Money doesn't buy royalty.

APC bought votes in osun/ekiti..get it..same party will still attempt to buy votes again

All i am saying is that APC should zone their VP slot to SE to split the votes there

PaChukwudi44:


lol But you voted Shgari-Ekwueme and Buhari-Okadigbo

Dude this is 2019 and not 1970s. Nigeria political atmosphere is clouded with religious and tribal sentiments. We dont vote someone in Nigeria because he is competent.
We vote someone based on ethnic chauvinism or religious sentiments. And that's the bitter truth which is very unfortunate.

Now how can Atiku sell himself to the average northerner. Dont forget, Atiku has never enjoyed the kind of popularity buhari is enjoying with the talakawas. Buhari picked an igbo man in 2003, northerners still voted for buhari because of the "buhari factor".
Atiku is not loved even in his homestate of Adamawa, but for the fact that buhari's administration failed many people, even the die-hard supporters of buhari at one time admitted that he really failed them transforming some of them to neutrals( fence sitters ),
but with this Atiku's decision of picking someone from se, i just don't know how he can even get votes from the north. I'm just stating the facts here so don't think am anti-igbo myself. I'm not.

fiizznation:
Dude this is 2019 and not 1970s. Nigeria political atmosphere is clouded with religious and tribal sentiments. We dont vote someone in Nigeria because he is competent.
We vote someone based on ethnic chauvinism or religious sentiments. And that's the bitter truth which is very unfortunate.

Now how can Atiku sell himself to the average northerner. Dont forget, Atiku has never enjoyed the kind of popularity buhari is enjoying with the talakawas. Buhari picked an igbo man in 2003, northerners still voted for buhari because of the "buhari factor".
Atiku is not loved even in his homestate of Adamawa, but for the fact that buhari's administration failed many people, even the die-hard supporters of buhari at one time admitted that he really failed them transforming some of them to neutrals( fence sitters ),
but with this Atiku's decision of picking someone from se, i just don't know how he can even get votes from the north. I'm just stating the facts here so don't think am anti-igbo myself. I'm not.

Atiku doesn't need to convince the fence sitters, the fence sitters would boycott the election which reduces Buhari's margin from the North.

AZeD1:

Atiku doesn't need to convince the fence sitters, the fence sitters would boycott the election which reduces Buhari's margin from the North.

exactly...because they wont like to continue suffering under Buhari

lol

people go on about the NW and SW numbers as if the sum of NW+SW is greater than NE+NC+SS+SE

The magic numbers from SW is actually from Lagos. Atiku just needs to win in Lagos and he is laughing.

Even our brothers from SW are tired of APC and Buhari. The results from Ekiti and Osun prove this

Buhari will win in NW as usual but that is where his power will end and this will not be enough.

Buhari will be defeated again like he was in 2003, 2007 and 2011.

INEC chairman and CAOS are from North East. IGP of Police is from North Central - Just watch how these people will become turncoat democrats overnight and stand up for justice and free and fair election because the Buhari opponent this time is Atiku!

fiizznation:
If this news of Atiku choosing his vp from the se is true, then Atiku should just kiss his presidential ambition goodbye. Like WTF? Who adviced Atiku to choose a vp from the se instead of choosing a vp from the sw? Is not like Atiku can even defeat buhari in 2019, but if he had choosen a vp from the sw, he (Atiku) have a better chance of giving buhari a very good fight. Lol


I'm not trying to sound tribalistic, but which northerner in his right senses will vote for a igbo man? Whether for vp position or any federal position? And besides Atiku is very unpopular in the north, but people were willing to give him a chance even though people view him as someone that is very corrupt. And then this great miscalculation from Atiku. Neah neah neah....... Atiku goofed big time.



Atiku just lost the north!!!

I feel you pain. Continue crying.

PaChukwudi44:


Buhari 30% in Rivers,Delta,Crossriver and Akwaibom? Are you joking or what?

Yes this time he is not contesting against a son of the SS and APC has made a lot of inroads into the place

Politicians like Akpabio, Ogboru Uduaghan who are very popular in these places are now in for Buhari

So I can easily see him polling between 20 and 30% in these places

fiizznation:
If this news of Atiku choosing his vp from the se is true, then Atiku should just kiss his presidential ambition goodbye. Like WTF? Who adviced Atiku to choose a vp from the se instead of choosing a vp from the sw? Is not like Atiku can even defeat buhari in 2019, but if he had choosen a vp from the sw, he (Atiku) have a better chance of giving buhari a very good fight. Lol


I'm not trying to sound tribalistic, but which northerner in his right senses will vote for a igbo man? Whether for vp position or any federal position? And besides Atiku is very unpopular in the north, but people were willing to give him a chance even though people view him as someone that is very corrupt. And then this great miscalculation from Atiku. Neah neah neah....... Atiku goofed big time.



Atiku just lost the north!!!

lol..you think north is made up of Fulani people alone abi..for your info, North is more multi-ethnic compared to south and they have christians there toom. An average berom man will vote for an igbo man like obi instead of buhari.. buhari have been loosing Elections before in the North and 2019 won't be different..Most northern ethnic groups despises the average Fulani man and won't want to do anything with them..I have stayed in the north before and there is nothing like United north..NC and NE will surely vote fr Atiku/peter

raumdeuter:


Yes this time he is not contesting against a son of the SS and APC has made a lot of inroads into the place

Politicians like Akpabio, Ogboru Uduaghan who are very popular in these places are now in for Buhari

So I can easily see him polling between 20 and 30% in these places

You are ignorant of politics of SS, this men you mention doesn't pull weight in SS, Ibori, Tompolo, Asari, Briggs is the heavy weight.

MalcoImX:
The people bro. Most of these governors you're talking about wouldn't be in the North if not for the Buhari factor. The masses vote, and they're solidly with Buhari.

which masses, the masses in the north central that are tired of Fulani people killing them and Buhari is not doing anything about it.Are they the ones you are hoping to vote fr buhari again..In a free and fair Election, buhari won't win gather a vote in NC states..buhari hope is only the NW

Odingo1:

You are ignorant of politics of SS, this men you mention doesn't pull weight in SS, Ibori, Tompolo, Asari, Briggs is the heavy weight.

Akpabio Amaechi and Uduaghan were governors less than 4yrs ago, to say a former governor has no weight is nonsense. In addition to people like Ogboru

There is no SS man on either ticket, So no sentiments to vote a SS man

yorubakid:
which masses, the masses in the north central that are tired of Fulani people killing them and Buhari is not doing anything about it.Are they the ones you are hoping to vote fr buhari again..In a free and fair Election, buhari won't win gather a vote in NC states..buhari hope is only the NW

Which NC? Buhari will win Niger, Nasarawa and Kogi states Easily

When was the last time Buhari lost Niger state?

raumdeuter:
I am happy with the choice Atiku has made, Now we wont hear that Atiku lost because he didnt choose from the SE

I can now confirm with a +- 4 states error the states Buhari will win

All NW, Buhari to score about 70% in each NW state

NE -Bauchi, Borno, Yobe(60% Buhari), Gombe 55%

All SW (At least 55% Buhari in each state)

NC Niger, Nasarawa Kogi 65% in these states

That makes 7 NW, 4 NE, 6 SW, 3 NC 21 states already where Buhari scores the majority

Dicey states

Edo Plateau, Kwara, Taraba (These states Buhari will have between 45-55%)

Buharu 10-20% in all SE + Bayelsa
Buhari 20-30% in Rivers, Delta Cross River
Buhari 30-40% in AkwaIbom CrossRiver Benue

I don't know how u are getting/arriving at ur trash analysis without taking futuristic outcomes into cognisance. Have u thought about APC primaries effects? Religious leaders effects? Decamping effects and free and fair/rigging effects? Go back to ur drawing board and consider these

raumdeuter:


Which NC? Buhari will win Niger, Nasarawa and Kogi states Easily

Lol..keep consoling yourself.. Anything to make you sleep better at night.

yorubakid:
Lol..keep consoling yourself.. Anything to make you sleep better at night.

When was the last time Buhari lost an election in Niger State

Jahwinaboy:


I don't know how u are getting/arriving at ur trash analysis without taking futuristic outcomes into cognisance. Have u thought about APC primaries effects? Religious leaders effects? Decamping effects and free and fair/rigging effects? Go back to ur drawing board and consider these

What primary and what religious leader effect? Who are those decamping that have any sort of weight to change anything

Give names and be specific

Enugupikin:
Now that PDP VP has been confirmed to be peter Obi from SE, APC should also zone their VP slot to SE to split the vote there
Afterall SW is already APC and APC will win SW even if the VP slot goes there or not

i suggest DR OGBONNAYA ONU for APC VP

If you were calculating well in school you for pass Maths.

if you like give us presidential post, we no do again

raumdeuter:


What primary and what religious leader effect? Who are those decamping that have any sort of weight to change anything

Give names and be specific

Kwankwaso installed Emir of Kano Sanusi and he(Sanusi) has been a critic of Buhari. Kwankwaso was Minister of defence under OBJ. 2. Tambuwal and Sultan of Sokoto are 5&6. Kano and sokoto in view of NW.

Jahwinaboy:


Kwankwaso installed Emir of Kano Sanusi and he(Sanusi) has been a critic of Buhari. Kwankwaso was Minister of defence under OBJ. 2. Tambuwal and Sultan of Sokoto are 5&6. Kano and sokoto in view of NW.

Kwankwanso was sitting governor of Kano state in 2003 when Buhari under ANPP defeated PDP in presidency and sponsored Shekarau to defeat the same Kwankwanso as a sitting governor

I even thought you wanted to mention someone better not knowing say na Kwankwanso

Regardsless of party Kwankwanso is, Buhari has always won Kano

raumdeuter:


Kwankwanso was sitting governor of Kano state in 2003 when Buhari under ANPP defeated PDP in presidency and sponsored Shekarau to defeat the same Kwankwanso as a sitting governor

I even thought you wanted to mention someone better not knowing say na Kwankwanso

Regardsless of party Kwankwanso is, Buhari has always won Kano

Kwankwaso was subsequently appointed as the
Minister of Defence in President Olusegun Obasanjo 's cabinet in 2003. In 2007, he was appointed as the Presidential Special Envoy to
Somalia and Darfur by the Obasanjo administration after losing the bid from his party to contest the 2007 general governorship election. He continued to use his influence at the Federal level to undermine his opponents especially the Kano State Government. He resigned his ministerial position to contest the election in 2007 but he lost because he had been indicted by a Government White Paper. Watch and see March 2019 drama.

Jahwinaboy:


Kwankwaso was subsequently appointed as the
Minister of Defence in President Olusegun Obasanjo 's cabinet in 2003. In 2007, he was appointed as the Presidential Special Envoy to
Somalia and Darfur by the Obasanjo administration after losing the bid from his party to contest the 2007 general governorship election. He continued to use his influence at the Federal level to undermine his opponents especially the Kano State Government. He resigned his ministerial position to contest the election in 2007 but he lost because he had been indicted by a Government White Paper. Watch and see March 2019 drama.

When he was sitting governor, with the backing of the Obasanjo FG he was defeated So was it when he went to Darfur that he will suddenly have power to defeat Buhari

2003 Kwankwanso PDP Buhari won in Kano

20011 Kwankwanso PDP Buhari won in Kano

So regardless of the party Kwankwanso is, Buhari has always won Kano

ednut1:
Igbos wey i know would rather not vote than vote APC. SE came out in mass to vote GEj in 2011, in 2015 they did not come out. after all mr PMB has done, 97%, python dance and all, i can assure you they would come out to to vote Atiku.

Even if every single registered voter from the SE came out to vote for Atiku, it will still be neutralized by the votes of the 3 northern states of Kano, Kaduna and katsina alone. The SE cannot be the determining region in this election.

And what is the total number of registered voters in the whole of the South East, and what is the actual number of people that would come out to vote? Remember IPOB will issue election boycott as usual.

Kano alone will provide more voters than the south east.

raumdeuter:


When he was sitting governor, with the backing of the Obasanjo FG he was defeated So was it when he went to Darfur that he will suddenly have power to defeat Buhari

2003 Kwankwanso PDP Buhari won in Kano

20011 Kwankwanso PDP Buhari won in Kano

So regardless of the party Kwankwanso is, Buhari has always won Kano

OK but don't rule out Emir Sanusi factor. One command from him, Kano is settled

Jahwinaboy:
OK but don't rule out Emir Sanusi factor. One command from him, Kano is settled

Command ko, commando ni

raumdeuter:

Command ko, commando ni

No wahala by God's grace we shall live to witness the events of things. God bless

Afamed:

All these analysis from Nkporkiti juncture. Atiku could only boost of Adamawa and Taraba in the NE. NW From Jigawa, Kano down to Kebbi all for to PMB. stop dreaming.

he cannot win Adamawa, may be taraba