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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by bbeautylik(f): 9:40pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:Did you win this..... Abeg no forget us |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by SmilingMary(m): 9:41pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby: Congrats, nice one 3 Likes |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Joeflix257: 9:41pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
bbeautylik: Uwc |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:44pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Menh, Alabi must settle me this year oooo Man gat renovations to carry out. |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:45pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
bbeautylik:Yes |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by ajaymina(m): 9:46pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby: Congrats!!! Well, you are a good punting investor... But what will it take you to share your games instead of winnings?? You like how we de feel now Try share your games next time biko! 2 Likes |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:47pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
pussyMagnett: the way all this sakamanje mommy's pet dey join cult these days is alarming, children wey never see anything for life, if dem go Kirikiri Maximum just once, for their life if dem hear Cu.....them no go wait hear the remainder..... 1 Like |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by bbeautylik(f): 9:47pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:dont forget me in particular...... I want you to teach me the way I have lost alot... Be my mentor please!!! |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by tooawesome(m): 9:48pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
ajaymina: Leave the mumu. Na beg he wan make people beg am. Showing us winnings for what? All these childish show offs 2 Likes |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by ositadima1(m): 9:48pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
ositadima1: Now, the fun part, if you can estimate probabilities better than the bookies you have an edge. Bookies are not always correct in there estimation, and if you can analyse certain markets better than them you will make profits long term as long as you have a neat staking plan. You see, winning long term lies not in picking and backing winners but in playing value bets consistently. But what is a value bet? For example let's assume the bookies offer you 2.22 odds for heads on a coin flip, if you are sharp you would see that this bet is overpriced and therefore it is a value bet, why? 2.22 odds translates to 45% but actually head turn up about 50% of the time, 5% more than estimated by bookie. That is, if you play the game 10 times you win 5 (heads) and loose 5 (tails). Let's do the calculation: 5 win = #1 x 5 x 2.22 =#11.1 profit =#11.1-#5 (initial investment) =#5.1 5 Losses =#1 x 5 x -1 =- #5 Sum = #5.1 - #5 = #0.1 Overall profit #0.1 If you can estimate better than the bookies you will make money long term. There is a standard formula to calculate EV, Expected Value; Odds x your Prob - 1 In the example above (2.22 x 0.5) - 1 = 0.1 more likes and I will post a link to a book that explains this concept in more detail. 7 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:49pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
ajaymina:alright. I will |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 9:51pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
1 Like
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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:52pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
bbeautylik:I have just been luck. That’s all |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by hardeycute(m): 9:53pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:Congrats Do not forget me ooo Bet9ja 5924662 hardeycute123 Cc nelsonebby 1 Like |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 9:54pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
eduzz:...so u gud like dis....u cum dey share just 2.odd.... 1 Like |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:57pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:58pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
eduzz:Congrats |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by olasneh1109: 9:58pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:Please do bro. There’s actually much better joy in laughing together than alone bro. Congratulations! 1 Like |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by hardeycute(m): 9:59pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
newbie2018:Congrats Pls fund me any amount bet9ja 5924662 hardeycute123 |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 9:59pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
IamJix:... baba...dat mtn stuff....i don exceed 60mb....na free basic i dey...use....i suppose don forward message for w zap |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:00pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Jagaban880:Bro no vex na freestyle pick, me still dey learn near you |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Gody05(m): 10:00pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:I hope when the crumbees and the chronic crumblords start disturbing you with pms, u will be able to handle it and not coming back here and be shouting that u're depressed! 3 Likes |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Jagaban880: Yehmy just brought it to my notice, na him make I come here self. How I go impersonate half mad man for online? |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by uvemi(f): 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Chiefheywhy: |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
nelsonebby:thanks bro |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
The mentions self dey make me laugh. That Donpikko na mad guy himself. shey you know wetin dey keep me busy offline lately? Lhimeet and Chiefheywhy can attest to this too. |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
IamJix:you've got mail bro |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
eduzz: i have die...ooo see mockery oooo u were dey chop 2 odds on a Daily.....like magician...... baba...i no reach for Top 100 |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:04pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
eduzz: Replied boss. |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by uvemi(f): 10:05pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Chiefheywhy:The game later cast. Oya begin dey swear for that guy |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eunisam: 10:05pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
night Nurse
Z6V6LVPD 1 Like |
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:06pm On Oct 13, 2018 |
Jagaban880:if I hear I dey always play ur games back 2 back |
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