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Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 - Business (5983) - Nairaland

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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by bbeautylik(f): 9:40pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?
Did you win this..... Abeg no forget us
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by SmilingMary(m): 9:41pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

Congrats, nice one

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Joeflix257: 9:41pm On Oct 13, 2018
bbeautylik:
I will say thanks to you for giving me liver to stake and for making me win

Uwc
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:44pm On Oct 13, 2018
Menh, Alabi must settle me this year oooo


Man gat renovations to carry out.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:45pm On Oct 13, 2018
bbeautylik:
Did you win this..... Abeg no forget us
Yes
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by ajaymina(m): 9:46pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

Congrats!!!

Well, you are a good punting investor... But what will it take you to share your games instead of winnings??

You like how we de feel now

Try share your games next time biko!

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:47pm On Oct 13, 2018
pussyMagnett:
yes you can confirm from him, he is a cultist that has been on the run from SARS for 3 months now... This is intel knowledge. cool

the way all this sakamanje mommy's pet dey join cult these days is alarming, children wey never see anything for life, if dem go Kirikiri Maximum just once, for their life if dem hear Cu.....them no go wait hear the remainder.....

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by bbeautylik(f): 9:47pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:

Yes
dont forget me in particular...... I want you to teach me the way I have lost alot...



Be my mentor please!!! cry cry cry
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by tooawesome(m): 9:48pm On Oct 13, 2018
ajaymina:


You are a good punting investor... But what will it take you to share your games instead of winnings??

You like how we decided feel now

Try share your games next time biko!

Leave the mumu. Na beg he wan make people beg am. Showing us winnings for what? All these childish show offs undecided

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by ositadima1(m): 9:48pm On Oct 13, 2018
ositadima1:


ok,

Let's understand what this probs really mean;

Tokyo vs
Blaublitz Akita

1: 34.7%
X: 32.26%
2: 45.05%

As per bookies, 45% of d time Blaublitz Akita will win, note that in tomorrows game they may loose or draw. If the bookies are correct, then a similar game repeated 100 times, away would win about 45 of them and loose or draw in the remaining 55 or so.

You have to bear this in mind when ever you see these percentages, 80% only means that an event is more likely to happen​ in the long run.

more likes and I go on

Now, the fun part, if you can estimate probabilities better than the bookies you have an edge. Bookies are not always correct in there estimation, and if you can analyse certain markets better than them you will make profits long term as long as you have a neat staking plan.

You see, winning long term lies not in picking and backing winners but in playing value bets consistently.

But what is a value bet? For example let's assume the bookies offer you 2.22 odds for heads on a coin flip, if you are sharp you would see that this bet is overpriced and therefore it is a value bet, why?

2.22 odds translates to 45% but actually head turn up about 50% of the time, 5% more than estimated by bookie. That is, if you play the game 10 times you win 5 (heads) and loose 5 (tails).

Let's do the calculation:

5 win = #1 x 5 x 2.22 =#11.1
profit =#11.1-#5 (initial investment)
=#5.1
5 Losses =#1 x 5 x -1 =- #5

Sum = #5.1 - #5 = #0.1

Overall profit #0.1

If you can estimate better than the bookies you will make money long term.

There is a standard formula to calculate EV, Expected Value;

Odds x your Prob - 1

In the example above

(2.22 x 0.5) - 1 = 0.1

more likes and I will post a link to a book that explains this concept in more detail.

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:49pm On Oct 13, 2018
ajaymina:


You are a good punting investor... But what will it take you to share your games instead of winnings??

You like how we decided feel now

Try share your games next time biko!
alright. I will
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 9:51pm On Oct 13, 2018
eduzz:
Alabi cooperate grin pls
253 odds smashed!!

Alabi 5 million next pls grin

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:52pm On Oct 13, 2018
bbeautylik:
dont forget me in particular...... I want you to teach me the way I have lost alot...



Be my mentor please!!! cry cry cry
I have just been luck. That’s all
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by hardeycute(m): 9:53pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?
Congrats

Do not forget me ooo


Bet9ja 5924662 hardeycute123

Cc nelsonebby

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 9:54pm On Oct 13, 2018
eduzz:
253 odds smashed!!

Alabi 5 million next pls grin
...so u gud like dis....u cum dey share just 2.odd.... angry

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:57pm On Oct 13, 2018
Jagaban880:
....

make i hear from iamjix First....i cnt believe dis lipsrsealed


You no get my number?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by nelsonebby(m): 9:58pm On Oct 13, 2018
eduzz:
253 odds smashed!!

Alabi 5 million next pls grin
Congrats cool
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by olasneh1109: 9:58pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
alright. I will
Please do bro. There’s actually much better joy in laughing together than alone bro.
Congratulations!

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by hardeycute(m): 9:59pm On Oct 13, 2018
newbie2018:

I didn't cash out.... WON 16k bagged
Congrats

Pls fund me any amount
bet9ja 5924662 hardeycute123
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 9:59pm On Oct 13, 2018
IamJix:




You no get my number?
...

baba...dat mtn stuff....i don exceed 60mb....na free basic i dey...use....i suppose don forward message for w zap
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:00pm On Oct 13, 2018
Jagaban880:
...so u gud like dis....u cum dey share just 2.odd.... angry
Bro no vex na freestyle pick, me still dey learn near you grin
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Gody05(m): 10:00pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:

I have just been luck. That’s all
I hope when the crumbees and the chronic crumblords start disturbing you with pms, u will be able to handle it and not coming back here and be shouting that u're depressed!

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018
Jagaban880:
...

baba...dat mtn stuff....i don exceed 60mb....na free basic i dey...use....i suppose don forward message for w zap

Yehmy just brought it to my notice, na him make I come here self.

How I go impersonate half mad man for online?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by uvemi(f): 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018
Chiefheywhy:
M-Pfp Merrybet Username : Chiefay Bet ID : 213338302

Netherlands - Germany Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.74
Belgium - Switzerland Belgium to win either half - yes 1.24
Russia - Sweden Double chance - Russia or draw 1.23
Belarus - Luxembourg Under/Over 3.5 goals - under 3.5 (3.5) 1.25
Kosovo - Malta 1x2 - Kosovo 1.26
Armenia - Gibraltar Handicap 0:1 - Armenia (0:1) 1.21
Deportivo Pasto - Atletico Bucaramanga Highest scoring half - 2nd half 2.15
FC Sochaux - FC Metz Double chance - draw or FC Metz 1.28
TSG Hoffenheim II - VfB Stuttgart II Both halves under 1.5 - no (1.5) 1.34
Botafogo RJ - Vasco Da Gama RJ Botafogo RJ win to nil - no 1.29
CD River Plate Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca CD River Plate Ecuador win to nil - no 1.21
Sunderland AFC - Carlisle Utd 1x2 - Sunderland AFC 1.48
Cork City FC - Bohemians Dublin FC 1x2 - Cork City FC 1.70
Bohemians 1905 - SK Slavia Praha Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.42
Bamber Bridge - North Ferriby Utd Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.61


TOTAL ODD : 167.45
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:02pm On Oct 13, 2018
nelsonebby:
Congrats cool
thanks bro
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018
The mentions self dey make me laugh.
That Donpikko na mad guy himself.
shey you know wetin dey keep me busy offline lately? Lhimeet and Chiefheywhy can attest to this too.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018
IamJix:



You no get my number?
you've got mail bro
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Jagaban880: 10:03pm On Oct 13, 2018
eduzz:
Bro no vex na freestyle pick, me still dey learn near you grin

i have die...ooo see mockery oooo grin grin grin

u were dey chop 2 odds on a Daily.....like magician......

baba...i no reach for Top 100
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 10:04pm On Oct 13, 2018
eduzz:
you've got mail bro

Replied boss.
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by uvemi(f): 10:05pm On Oct 13, 2018
Chiefheywhy:


Kaii, you for no loud am yet. grin cheesy
The game later cast. Oya begin dey swear for that guy
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eunisam: 10:05pm On Oct 13, 2018
night Nurse Z6V6LVPD

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eduzz(m): 10:06pm On Oct 13, 2018
Jagaban880:

i have die...ooo see mockery oooo grin grin grin
u were dey chop 2 odds on a Daily.....like magician......
baba...i no reach for Top 100
if I hear grin I dey always play ur games back 2 back

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