Papertrail11:



you are wrong the world is moving to an ear of trading shorting longing so I don't see any crash in foresight


do you know the cost of minnign a coin 1btc factor that Into miners profit et al

You are speaking from the fundamental aspect of the piece. The cost of mining is not the same all over the world. Miners who can't cope with mining profitability at some time will have to exit. And who told you miners can't stop mining, dump their BTC, and buyback lower. You will be amazed at the level of manipulation going on in the crypto.

And to shock you, the $6000 all year long support was held be a few whales and they've let BTC do what it oaught to have done a long time ago.

If you are a whale, what will you do with BTC price before a bull run? You suppress the price to as low as possible and get coins cheaper.

From a technical aspect, a 12-month support was broken turning it to a resistance. A strong support becomes a strong resistance. I'm thinking BTC will wallow under $6k for another 9 months. I'm calling $3k to $4.5k as the bottom.

I don't even think that Bakkt going live in December will have much effect to turn the tide because it's priced in already.

I will look out for a marketcap between $100 - 120m before giving highcaps a look.

Again, this is a manipulated market and surprises can spring up anytime, so I may be wrong.

Which ever you look at it, the $6k support turning to resistance is a big deal.

The derivative niche of the market (shorting and longing) will listen and follow the spot market. When it's time for a bull market, it will be a one-way show - Up, when the risk of shorting will be at an all-time high.

grossintel:
Why do you think so?

History repeats itself, but not in conventional ways. A bull market will still come but not when everyone is expecting it. The herd never get anything right. When they look left, be rest assured that looking right is your best bet. Smart money never thinks like the herd and it's why they always win. Herd are always losers.

One indicator you can use to determine when the time for a bull market is near is the interest level of retail investors. If you are observant, interest of Nairalanders in BTC is already at an all time low. That's the first step. The next step is the purge stage, a time when sellers will sell their BTC at dirty cheap price because virtually nobody will be interested - BTC won't look appealing again. It's at that stage that smart money accumulate.

The next stage will be the bull run. It's when BTC is at an all time high again that herd will become interested. The smart money will think, "be fearful when others are greedy" and they will dump their BTC and tokens for the herd to purchase.

The cycle will kickstart again. BTC crashes and on we will go until we get to this stage again.

Market cycle!

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