jln115:
Just something for my fellow South Africans JaceBlaze, XhosaNostra, IronGalaxy...... Stay positive, stay safe and stay home!!

This however has no meaning to Lionessza6 who doesn't believe in something called an economy... And AmenhotepZuid jou Ma se poes!

South Africa might just get lucky

By Alan Knott-Craig (SA Author)

In February, our country was in bad shape.

Our stock market was over-heated.

We were heading for a recession.

We were heading for a downgrade.

And then Covid19 happened.

Our stock market collapsed.

We’re now in a recession.

We’ve now been downgraded.

Before Covid19, Cyril Ramaphosa was bogged down in ANC political in-fighting, and Eskom was load-shedding every week.

Cyril now has no political opposition, everyone is too busy scrambling to fight the pandemic.

Eskom has stopped load-shedding thanks to the national lockdown easing demand from businesses.

Before progressing, let’s acknowledge that it is possible that this is Armageddon.

Health, economic and political Armageddon. The end.

Millions could die. Millions could lose jobs. Political upheaval could ensue.

Ok, got that.

But it’s also possible that Covid19 is the best thing to happen to SA since the 2010 Soccer World Cup. South Africa sailed through the Global Financial Crisis thanks to the state-sponsored infrastructure projects for the 2010 World Cup.

We were lucky.

By some bizarre irony, our country’s ongoing battle against TB may just be lucky too.

It may just turn out that most South Africans are safe because it’s mandatory to have a Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) vaccination when they are born to prevent life-threatening TB later on.

"We found that countries without universal policies of BCG vaccination, such as Italy, the Netherlands, and the United States, have been more severely affected compared to countries with universal and long-standing BCG policies," noted the researchers led by Gonzalo Otazu, assistant professor of biomedical sciences at NYIT.

Sounds pretty hopeful. And the early evidence confirms it.

Let’s compare Spain to Portugal.

Portugal forces BCG vaccinations at birth, Spain doesn’t.

As of 5 April 2020:

· Portugal: 10,524 cases, 266 deceased. 0,1% infection rate. 2,5% death rate.

· Spain: 126,128 cases, 34,219 deceased. 0,27% infection rate. 27% death rate.

Spaniards are almost 3x more likely to get Covid19, and 10x more likely to die.

India, like Portugal, administers the BCG vaccine to millions of children soon after birth to combat TB (tuberculosis). And like Portugal, Indian has seen a much lower infection rate, especially when you consider the higher risk of infection due to cramped living conditions and poverty.

And yet the USA, where there are no mandatory BCG vaccinations, has the highest number of infections, in spite of the USA’s being is 4x smaller, 28x richer and 13x less populated than India’s.

Thanks to South Africa’s mandatory BCG vaccination policy, we may just be less affected than many countries in the world.

We may just be able to end the national lockdown, and re-start the economy.

Ending the lockdown will benefit SA in seven ways:

1. Millions of jobs will be saved. Millions of families will be rescued from economic hardship.

2. Universal BCG vaccination gives our country a comparative advantage over countries that don’t, i.e.: all developed countries, and all developing countries that don’t have the systems and/or economic means to enforce mandatory vaccinations.

3. Cyril Ramaphosa can use the economic crisis as leverage to implement the much-needed structural economic reforms our country needs, without the ANC in-fighting that has previously hamstrung his efforts.

4. People have opened their eyes to the power of online education. No need to have the world’s best math teacher living in Butterworth. No need to print and deliver millions of textbooks. No matter where you live, you can have a world-class education (assuming you have affordable broadband).

5. Less flying and driving. Even the most hide-bound of executives have now been forced to telecommute. Turns out it ain’t so hard. Good for traffic. Good for the climate.

6. It means Eskom’s grid can take a breather whilst essential maintenance is carried out and IPP’s prepare for selling directly to customers, reducing our reliance on Eskom, ultimately creating a stronger and more resilient power grid.

7. It means the Moody and Fitch downgrades are pretty meaningless. Everyone is being downgraded.

Ending the national lockdown will be the best thing that our government can do to save our economy.

If the positive scenario pans out, South Africa will be the equivalent of a golfer hitting a duck hook into the water, ricocheting off a submerged rock, bouncing back to the green, and the ball coming to a rest three feet from the pin.

We may just be pretty damn lucky.

The whole world is in it together, but, by some miracle, SA might be the best place to be in it.

gallivant:


Subsistence farming is the beginning of poverty.

Just30:
you know nothing kiddo Jon Snow

Lionessza6:


By ending poverty you mean they have food to eat(most villagers in SA also don't lack food, they produce a lot of what they consume), or they are also making a living out of this practice ? I would love to hear more on this,you can recommend articles and all.

jln115:
fixed

Just30:


Jon Snow is too much a character for that dumb kid

JaceBlaze:


You need to be creative than that,you pre historic afonja.


When was the last time electricity was on in your village? I'm sure the light bulbs in your shack are gathering dust

BadBradley:
when a Zulu whose national hospital uses cell phone lights to conduct major operations talks like this, we know there's no home for his tribe.

These are people Africa fought for to come down from the tallest trees and steepest jungle in mpumalanga and he's claiming to be civilised.

jln115:
yeah not getting involved.... Just thought it was funny

forgiveness:


Lebanese are not in the top 100 richest in Nigeria. Take that to the bank.

jln115:
Edo looks very Chinese looking.... Including the people

I mean they even had samurai swords in Edo!!!

P.s please don't turn into Samorobo claiming other countries things as your own!!

gallivant:


How much do you have in the bank, that's the big question here.

forgiveness:


How does it concerns you? Are you a yahoo yahoo boy?

jln115:

As I said I need to see Edo Nigeria first then I can compare.....now stop stealing the infastructure of other countries then claim it as your own!

Show me a picture of Edo Nigeria then I can compare

gallivant:


I am not the one always mentioning and complaining about private individuals wealth, white or black. Don't try to be sneaky, you are not good at it.

forgiveness:


Because you an Indian benefiting from Kenyans.

forgiveness:


Is Edo city in that picture same with Kraal? I only asked you a simple question.

All those things you wrong are inconsequential. Just answer the dam question.

jln115:
That's not Edo city Nigeria mate............so it absolutely has zero relevance comparing the 2.

Now show me Edo Nigeria

jln115:

You don't have to "believe" I live in the Garden route..... I've stated several times very clearly that I Live in Mossel Bay

Do you know what you are Mrs Lioness? You are an embarrassment to us South Africans who just want to live our lives in a prosperous none racial society, you and your BLF are just the Black version of the AWB, luckily just like the AWB you are insignificant, nothing more than a laughing stock that couldn't even get the same amount of votes as the likes on your FB page!

And I don't need my "Dog walker" (is that even a thing?) to translate for me.....i got Google translate to do that..... But here something you can go translate yourself jy en jou BLF maatjies kan maar op die trienspoor gan speel poplap!!

Just30:
here with the introduction of improved seedlings
subsistence farmers have been able to move themselves out of poverty by a large extent.

And have even gone ahead to increase the size of their farms and mechanised.

The goal is to give the person a purpose.

The major problems with farmin has been post-harvest losses

jln115:
Just something for my fellow South Africans JaceBlaze, XhosaNostra, IronGalaxy...... Stay positive, stay safe and stay home!!

This however has no meaning to Lionessza6 who doesn't believe in something called an economy... And AmenhotepZuid jou Ma se poes!

South Africa might just get lucky

By Alan Knott-Craig (SA Author)

In February, our country was in bad shape.

Our stock market was over-heated.

We were heading for a recession.

We were heading for a downgrade.

And then Covid19 happened.

Our stock market collapsed.

We’re now in a recession.

We’ve now been downgraded.

Before Covid19, Cyril Ramaphosa was bogged down in ANC political in-fighting, and Eskom was load-shedding every week.

Cyril now has no political opposition, everyone is too busy scrambling to fight the pandemic.

Eskom has stopped load-shedding thanks to the national lockdown easing demand from businesses.

Before progressing, let’s acknowledge that it is possible that this is Armageddon.

Health, economic and political Armageddon. The end.

Millions could die. Millions could lose jobs. Political upheaval could ensue.

Ok, got that.

But it’s also possible that Covid19 is the best thing to happen to SA since the 2010 Soccer World Cup. South Africa sailed through the Global Financial Crisis thanks to the state-sponsored infrastructure projects for the 2010 World Cup.

We were lucky.

By some bizarre irony, our country’s ongoing battle against TB may just be lucky too.

It may just turn out that most South Africans are safe because it’s mandatory to have a Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) vaccination when they are born to prevent life-threatening TB later on.

"We found that countries without universal policies of BCG vaccination, such as Italy, the Netherlands, and the United States, have been more severely affected compared to countries with universal and long-standing BCG policies," noted the researchers led by Gonzalo Otazu, assistant professor of biomedical sciences at NYIT.

Sounds pretty hopeful. And the early evidence confirms it.

Let’s compare Spain to Portugal.

Portugal forces BCG vaccinations at birth, Spain doesn’t.

As of 5 April 2020:

· Portugal: 10,524 cases, 266 deceased. 0,1% infection rate. 2,5% death rate.

· Spain: 126,128 cases, 34,219 deceased. 0,27% infection rate. 27% death rate.

Spaniards are almost 3x more likely to get Covid19, and 10x more likely to die.

India, like Portugal, administers the BCG vaccine to millions of children soon after birth to combat TB (tuberculosis). And like Portugal, Indian has seen a much lower infection rate, especially when you consider the higher risk of infection due to cramped living conditions and poverty.

And yet the USA, where there are no mandatory BCG vaccinations, has the highest number of infections, in spite of the USA’s being is 4x smaller, 28x richer and 13x less populated than India’s.

Thanks to South Africa’s mandatory BCG vaccination policy, we may just be less affected than many countries in the world.

We may just be able to end the national lockdown, and re-start the economy.

Ending the lockdown will benefit SA in seven ways:

1. Millions of jobs will be saved. Millions of families will be rescued from economic hardship.

2. Universal BCG vaccination gives our country a comparative advantage over countries that don’t, i.e.: all developed countries, and all developing countries that don’t have the systems and/or economic means to enforce mandatory vaccinations.

3. Cyril Ramaphosa can use the economic crisis as leverage to implement the much-needed structural economic reforms our country needs, without the ANC in-fighting that has previously hamstrung his efforts.

4. People have opened their eyes to the power of online education. No need to have the world’s best math teacher living in Butterworth. No need to print and deliver millions of textbooks. No matter where you live, you can have a world-class education (assuming you have affordable broadband).

5. Less flying and driving. Even the most hide-bound of executives have now been forced to telecommute. Turns out it ain’t so hard. Good for traffic. Good for the climate.

6. It means Eskom’s grid can take a breather whilst essential maintenance is carried out and IPP’s prepare for selling directly to customers, reducing our reliance on Eskom, ultimately creating a stronger and more resilient power grid.

7. It means the Moody and Fitch downgrades are pretty meaningless. Everyone is being downgraded.

Ending the national lockdown will be the best thing that our government can do to save our economy.

If the positive scenario pans out, South Africa will be the equivalent of a golfer hitting a duck hook into the water, ricocheting off a submerged rock, bouncing back to the green, and the ball coming to a rest three feet from the pin.

We may just be pretty damn lucky.

The whole world is in it together, but, by some miracle, SA might be the best place to be in it.

Lionessza6:


LMFAO, you are one confused fellow; 1st I was a Zupta stooge ,next you called me an employee of some firm ...forgot thr name. Next I was a CiC girl, now I'm a full BLF member ? . Thixo! What's next ,PAC or ATM ? . Don't confuse yourself little man. LMFAO, use those non racial slogans on idiots who actually believe in " equality for all" in the most unequal shythole in the world ,I'm sure they would love to hear ur comforting words,I am the wrong audience .

I thought it was George,now its Mossel Bay? . Let's hope you are not one of the mercenaries stationed there ,I wouldn't to be shot . And btw ,I think I read somewhere that you EXPECTED south Africans to think or see things a certain way ...or something like that . Ucinga ungubani na msunu webhulu . Rha sies.

non racial slogans on idiots who actually believe in " equality for all" in the most unequal shythole in the world

jln115:
I on't have time for your racist sh1t sweetheart, thus you can promptly fvckoff

forgiveness:


Answer simple question and stop dodging. Oh! Your usual bias or should I say racist mentality wouldn't want to rate a city out of Africa, right?

Just30:
Fair

you should have believed it when we said the Kenyans have nothing hence why they keep repeating pictures of a 2km radius area

AmenhotepZuid:
@aystin and xhosanostra we have a fake Boer who on nairaland who looksxand reasons like Tito Mboweni he desperately showed me a banana skin hand of a fellow passenger to prove his fake whiteness. this is a guy who spends 24 hours on black topics....

vaxx1:
kenya president prefer making 100 million shillings available from poor kenya tax cover to be distributed to their musician to keep entertaining Kenyans amidst the lockdown.